scholarly journals Spectral Analysis in Solving Problems of Managing Accident Rate in Aviation

2015 ◽  
Vol 4 (6) ◽  
pp. 12-16
Author(s):  
Попов ◽  
Yuriy Popov ◽  
Куменко ◽  
A. Kumenko
Keyword(s):  
Spectral Analysis ◽  
Management System ◽  
Statistical Data ◽  
Safety Management ◽  
Flight Safety ◽  
Accident Rate ◽  
Time Intervals ◽  
Aviation Accidents ◽  
Management Structure ◽  
Relative Safety

Based on the analysis of statistical data on the number of aviation accidents per 100 thousand flight hours for the period of 1960-2012, the article proposes the use of periodogram as a method of spectral analysis to detect cycles and determine whether there is any indication of flight safety management system at different time intervals. It shows that strategic influences on safety system (within stable and well-functioning management structure) directly and extensively shape the trend of relative safety indicator.

scholarly journals METHODOLOGICAL APPROACHES TO DEVELOPMENT OF INTELLIGENT AVIATION SAFETY CONTROL SYSTEM

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 (3) ◽  
pp. 41-48
Author(s):  
Aleksey Anatolivich Kulik ◽  
Alexander Afanasievich Bolshakov
Keyword(s):  
Human Factor ◽  
Statistical Data ◽  
Safety Management ◽  
Control Law ◽  
Flight Safety ◽  
Aviation Accidents ◽  
Safety Control ◽  
Technical Direction ◽  
New Class ◽  
Methodological Approaches

The article describes a new class of organizational and technical systems - intelligent aviation systems, whose operational principles provide the increased safety of an aircraft flight. The development of systems of this class is primarily explained by the need to record statistical data on the main causes of aviation accidents (human factor - up to 87%, failure of aviation equipment - up to 15%, external factors - 2% of all cases). A scientific problem is formulated related to the importance of creating methods for assessing and predicting the threat of an accident based on direct control of changes in the values of characteristics that affect flight safety. For this, it is proposed to use the methods and means of the scientific and technical direction of artificial intelligence, which will reveal the immediate causes of an aviation accident and prevent them using the flight safety management system. The technical characteristics are considered, the properties of the system under study are presented, which determine the principles of its functioning: intelligence, information content, speed, controllability, interdependence of subsystems, flight safety, including identification of the threat of an accident, its prediction and parry. The above principles of the functioning of the system under study, which are part of the methodology for managing the safety of an aircraft in flight, are implemented in a set of methods and algorithms. Among them should be noted the intelligent method for assessing the threat of an aviation accident, the method for predicting the threat of an accident, the method for supporting decision-making by the crew in the event of the threat of an accident, as well as the method for synthesizing the control law for countering the threat

scholarly journals The use of information technologies in risk management for the flight safety of aviation

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 ◽  
pp. 32-41
Author(s):  
O.V. Nikiforov ◽  
◽  
O.G. Dodonov ◽  
V.G. Putyatin ◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Management System ◽  
Information Technologies ◽  
Safety Management ◽  
Organizational Factors ◽  
Automated System ◽  
Electronic Systems ◽  
Flight Safety ◽  
Safety Management System ◽  
Processing And Storage ◽  
Tion System

At present, the problem of ensuring the necessary level of state aviation flights safety in terms of hu-man and organizational factors is very urgent. Despite the ongoing measures aimed at expanding and strengthening control over the processes of aviation activity, flight incidents caused by insufficient reli-ability of personnel work and organizational errors continue to occupy leading positions. There is an in-sufficient efficiency of the flight safety management system to identify hazardous factors in their latent stage, which is necessary for the early prevention of accidents. The difficulty of timely identification of the aviation system dangerous states associated with these factors is due to the need to account, corre-late and analyze data of a very large dimension and multifacetedness. According to the authors, a suc-cessful solution to this problem is possible through the use of automated processing and cognitive com-bination of large heterogeneous information arrays based on centralized electronic systems for collect-ing, information and analytical processing and storage of information about the functioning of the avia-tion system, identified abnormal and dangerous conditions, and incidents that have already occurred. The article presents the concept of creating a promising automated flight safety management system for state aviation. The proposed system will make it possible to implement the principle of proactive detec-tion and prevention of hazardous factors and risks for flight safety, taking into account human and or-ganizational factors, based on the implementation of processes for centralized collection, generalization and analysis of big data on the state of the aviation system. Topical scientific tasks for the creation of a methodological basis for the development of special software for such an automated system have been formulated.

scholarly journals INTERPRETATION OF NEURAL NETWORK TECHNOLOGIES FOR PREDICTION AND MANAGEMENT OF RISK FACTORS

Aviation ◽  
2010 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 19-23 ◽  
Author(s):  
Volodimir Kharchenko ◽  
Oleh Alexeiev
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Risk Factors ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Management System ◽  
Safety Management ◽  
Flight Safety ◽  
Integrated Methods ◽  
Network Technologies ◽  
Informative Indices ◽  
Neural Network Technologies

The analysis carried out, as well as the systematisation and generalisation of flight safety problems, has allowed us to propose a model for a flight safety management system and to define directions for priority research. To solve flight safety problems, it is suggested to use the integrated methods of flight safety management on the basis of basic and partial criteria totality, where it is possible to take into account simultaneously the probabilistic indices of the system and informative indices, which are connected by means of using neural networks. Santrauka Atliktas tyrimas, taip pat skrydžio saugumo problemu susisteminimas bei apibendrinimas leido numatyti skrydžiu saugumo valdymo sistemos tobulinimo kelius, nustatyti prioritetines ju tyrimo kryptis. Siekiant užtikrinti skrydžiu sauguma, siūloma taikyti integruotus skrydžiu saugumo valdymo metodus, kurie remiasi baziniu bei daliniu kriteriju visuma; čia galima kartu ivertinti sistemos tikimybinius bei informacinius duomenis, kuriu jungiamaja grandimi yra neuroniniai tinklai.

scholarly journals Flight safety event management method as illustrated by a guided reactivity model

2021 ◽  
Vol 24 (3) ◽  
pp. 21-30
Author(s):  
B. I. Bachkalo ◽  
S. D. Baynetov ◽  
S. G. Bolbat
Keyword(s):  
Management System ◽  
Safety Management ◽  
Flight Safety ◽  
Event Management ◽  
New Approach ◽  
Safety Management System ◽  
System Protection ◽  
Dynamic Events ◽  
Safety Event ◽  
Event Based

The article provides a brief analysis of the problems of the existing flight safety management system in the state aviation of the Russian Federation, based on the lack of stable positive dynamics of accidents reduction. Brief conclusions from the analysis of the currently proposed scientific approaches for accidents reduction are given. The most significant practical results in the field of building a safety management system for a particular flight are considered. A new approach to the implementation of on-board flight safety management systems based on event management is proposed. The method of event-based safety management of a particular flight allows us to exclude the real time manifestation of known dangerous factors. To implement it, all processes related to known hazards are described in the form of events and assembled into complete groups of events. Control of the occurrence of the complete groups of events, their analysis and event management are carried out by event management models developed for each dangerous factor. When a certain number of events in one or several complete groups of events is reached, the aviation system protection algorithm, by preventing the occurrence of the remaining one or several events of the complete group, prevents erroneous actions of the crew, which prevents the occurrence of aviation incidents and accidents. As an example of the method implementation, the principle of forming an automated guided reactivity model of the event control contour for the dangerous factor "Violation of the Established Minimum Safe Parameters of the Aircraft Flight" in relation to an arbitrary maneuverable aircraft is considered in the article. The system, having registered the events that determine the group flight, is included into the analysis of dynamic elementary events determining the position of the wingman relating to the leading aircraft inside the event control contour in terms of range, angle of sight and altitude separation. When the parameters of one of the dynamic events approach the boundary of the event control contour, the system uses a recommendation or control action to set limits to the parameters not to go beyond the contour, which prevents the occurrence of erroneous actions of the crew.

scholarly journals PENERAPAN SAFETY MANAGEMENT SYSTEM PADA LEMBAGA PENYELENGGARA PELAYANAN NAVIGASI PENERBANGAN INDONESIA

2017 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 205
Author(s):  
Adin Eka Fiyanzar ◽  
Dewi Nusraningrum ◽  
Osman Arofat
Keyword(s):  
Information System ◽  
Information Systems ◽  
Management System ◽  
Quantitative Methods ◽  
Significant Contribution ◽  
Safety Management ◽  
Aviation Safety ◽  
Flight Safety ◽  
Simultaneous Application ◽  
Safety Management System

This study aimed to analyze the effect of the implementation of Safety Management System (SMS) and the use of information system on the Flight Safety in the Indonesian Air Navigation Services Organization both partially and simultaneously. The research uses quantitative methods, and the data are analyzed using linear regression, simple correlation both partially and simultaneously and path analysis. The result shows; implementation of Safety Management System (X1) as measured by the Flight Safety (Y) has a positive and significant contribution on the level of Flight Safety.  The amount of the application contribution of Safety Management System that directly contributes to the Flight Safety is 35.4%, so the research hypothesis which states that the Safety Management System application directly impacts significantly on Aviation Safety is accepted; the use of Information Systems (X2) as measured by the Flight Safety (Y) has a positive and significant contribution on the level of Flight Safety. The use of information systems contributions that directly contributes to aviation safety is 38.4%, so the hypothesis which states that the use of information system directly affects significantly the flight safety is acceptable; the total effect of simultaneous application of Safety Management System (X1) and the use of Information Systems (X2) contribute significantly to the Flight Safety (Y) as much as 66.3%. The remaining 33.7% is the influence of the other factors such as refresher and development training for air navigation personnel, aviation navigation equipment renewal and observation flight

scholarly journals Identifikasi Bahaya Dan Manajemen Resiko Sebagai Implementasi Safety Management System Di Bandar Udara Domine Eduard Osok

2010 ◽  
Vol 22 (10) ◽  
pp. 1003-1011
Author(s):  
Ataline Muliasari
Keyword(s):  
Risk Management ◽  
Management System ◽  
Safety Management ◽  
Hazard Identification ◽  
Airport Security ◽  
Management Systems ◽  
Flight Safety ◽  
Safety Management Systems ◽  
Dangerous Goods ◽  
High Level

Airport securitt; is a process of realization of airport security. Related to the abave, the security of anairport will go to support the realization of flight safety. Domine iuard Osok Airport are still tryingto realize the security of airports with strict monitoring of passenger luggage. However, it is lesssupported btj the quality and quantity of equipment and human resourres. For example, the absenreof X-RJJy facilities fur VIP lounge. So it am re possible dangerous goods included in the aircraft cabinthrough the door.Based on analysis of hazard identification and safett; risk management, it appears that DomineE.duard Osok Airport still has a ven; high level of risk to flight safety.Keywords: Safety Management Systems, Risk

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