Characteristics of Interannual and Interdecadal Changes of Spring Precipitation in Sichuan-Chongqing Region

2020 ◽  
Vol 09 (05) ◽  
pp. 487-493
Author(s):  
羽丰 赵
Keyword(s):  
Spring Precipitation ◽  
Interdecadal Changes

Interdecadal changes in the relationship between Southern China winter-spring precipitation and ENSO

2013 ◽  
Vol 43 (5-6) ◽  
pp. 1327-1338 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiepeng Chen ◽  
Zhiping Wen ◽  
Renguang Wu ◽  
Zesheng Chen ◽  
Ping Zhao
Keyword(s):  
Southern China ◽  
Spring Precipitation ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Interdecadal Changes

Interannual Variations and Prediction of Spring Precipitation over China

2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (2) ◽  
pp. 655-670 ◽  
Author(s):  
YuJia You ◽  
Xiaojing Jia
Keyword(s):  
Regression Model ◽  
Yangtze River ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Seasonal Forecast ◽  
Forecast Skill ◽  
Interannual Variations ◽  
The Yangtze River ◽  
Spring Precipitation ◽  
Coupled Climate Models ◽  
Time Variations

The interannual variations and the prediction of the leading two empirical orthogonal function (EOF) modes of spring (April–May) precipitation over China for the period from 1951 to 2014 are investigated using both observational data and the seasonal forecast made by six coupled climate models. The leading EOF mode of spring precipitation over China (EOF1-prec) features a monosign pattern, with the maximum loading located over southern China. The ENSO-related tropical Pacific SST anomalies in the previous winter can serve as a precursor for EOF1-prec. The second EOF mode of spring precipitation (EOF2-prec) over China is characterized by a dipole structure, with one pole near the Yangtze River and the other one with opposite sign over the Pearl River delta. A North Atlantic sea surface temperature (SST) anomaly dipole in the preceding March is found contribute to the prec-EOF2 and can serve as its predictor. A physics-based empirical (P-E) model is then formulated using the two precursors revealed by the observational analysis to forecast the variations of EOF1-prec and EOF2-prec. Compared to coupled climate models, which have little skill in forecasting the time variations of the two EOF modes, this P-E model can significantly improve the forecast skill of their time variations. A linear regression model is further established using the time series forecast by the P-E model to forecast the spring precipitation over China. Results suggest that the seasonal forecast skill of the spring precipitation over southeastern China, especially over the Yangtze River area, can be significantly improved by the regression model.

scholarly journals Assessing Climatic Drivers of Spring Mean and Annual Maximum Flows in Western Canadian River Basins

Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (12) ◽  
pp. 1617
Author(s):  
Yonas B. Dibike ◽  
Rajesh R. Shrestha ◽  
Colin Johnson ◽  
Barrie Bonsal ◽  
Paulin Coulibaly
Keyword(s):  
Snow Water Equivalent ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
River Basins ◽  
Snow Accumulation ◽  
Spatial Variations ◽  
Annual Maximum ◽  
Spring Precipitation ◽  
Average Maximum ◽  
Maximum Flows

Flows originating from cold and mountainous watersheds are highly dependent on temperature and precipitation patterns, and the resulting snow accumulation and melt conditions, affecting the magnitude and timing of annual peak flows. This study applied a multiple linear regression (MLR) modelling framework to investigate spatial variations and relative importance of hydroclimatic drivers of annual maximum flows (AMF) and mean spring flows (MAMJflow) in 25 river basins across western Canada. The results show that basin average maximum snow water equivalent (SWEmax), April 1st SWE and spring precipitation (MAMJprc) are the most important predictors of both AMF and MAMJflow, with the proportion of explained variance averaging 51.7%, 44.0% and 33.5%, respectively. The MLR models’ abilities to project future changes in AMF and MAMJflow in response to changes to the hydroclimatic controls are also examined using the Canadian Regional Climate Model (CanRCM4) output for RCP 4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios. The results show considerable spatial variations depending on individual watershed characteristics with projected changes in AMF ranging from −69% to +126% and those of MAMJflow ranging from −48% to +81% by the end of this century. In general, the study demonstrates that the MLR framework is a useful approach for assessing the spatial variation in hydroclimatic controls of annual maximum and mean spring flows in the western Canadian river basins. However, there is a need to exercise caution in applying MLR models for projecting changes in future flows, especially for regulated basins.

Interdecadal changes in the interannual variability of the summer temperature over Northeast Asia

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-50
Author(s):  
Ruidan Chen ◽  
Zhiping Wen ◽  
Riyu Lu ◽  
Wenjun Liu
Keyword(s):  
Interannual Variability ◽  
Northeast Asia ◽  
Tropical Indian Ocean ◽  
Summer Temperature ◽  
Atmospheric Variability ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Southeastern Tropical Indian Ocean ◽  
Interdecadal Changes ◽  
Mean State

AbstractThis study reveals the interdecadal changes in the interannual variability of the summer temperature over Northeast Asia (NEA), which presents an enhancement around the early 1990s and a reduction after the mid-2000s. The stronger NEA temperature variability after the early 1990s is favored by the enhanced influence of the Pacific–Japan (PJ) teleconnection, which is remotely modulated by the southeastern tropical Indian Ocean (SETIO). After the early 1990s, the mean state over the SETIO presents relatively warmer SST and ascending motion, favoring a good relationship between the local SST and convection. Therefore, the SETIO SST could prominently influence the local convection and subsequently modulate the convection over the western North Pacific (WNP) via a cross-equatorial overturning circulation. The abnormal convection over the WNP further triggers the PJ teleconnection to influence NEA. However, these ocean–atmosphere processes disappear before the early 1990s. In this period, the mean state over the SETIO features relatively colder SST and subsiding motion, accompanied by a poor relationship between the local SST and convection. Therefore, the variability of convection over the SETIO is weak, thus the atmospheric variability over the WNP is also weakened and the PJ teleconnection presents a different distribution that could not influence NEA. The reduced variability of NEA temperature after the mid-2000s is related to the feeble influence of the PJ teleconnection and the reduced variability of the SETIO SST, which is modulated by the SST over the tropical central–eastern Pacific during the preceding winter to spring.

scholarly journals Climatic Regionalization and the Spatio-Temporal Occurrence of Extreme Single-Year Drought Events (1500–1998) in the Interior Pacific Northwest, USA

2002 ◽  
Vol 58 (3) ◽  
pp. 226-233 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul A. Knapp ◽  
Henri D. Grissino-Mayer ◽  
Peter T. Soulé
Keyword(s):  
Pacific Northwest ◽  
Radial Growth ◽  
Extended Period ◽  
Growth Indices ◽  
Spring Precipitation ◽  
Enso Events ◽  
Western Juniper ◽  
Northern Nevada ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
Spatio Temporal

AbstractTree-ring records from western juniper (Juniperus occidentalis var. occidentalis Hook.) growing throughout the interior Pacific Northwest identify extreme climatic pointer years (CPYs) (i.e., severe single-year droughts) from 1500–1998. Widespread and extreme CPYs were concentrated in the 16th and early part of the 17th centuries and did not occur again until the early 20th century. The 217-yr absence of extreme CPYs may have occurred during an extended period of low variance in the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. We mapped climatic boundaries for the interior Pacific Northwest based on the location of sites with similar precipitation variability indices. Three regions, the Northwest (based on chronologies from nine sites), the Southwest (four sites), and the East (five sites) were identified. Our results suggest that western juniper radial growth indices have substantial interannual variability within the northwestern range of the species (central Oregon), particularly when compared with western juniper growing in its eastern range (eastern Oregon, southeastern Idaho, and northern Nevada) and southwestern range (southern Oregon and northeast California). We suspect that the substantial differences in the variability of western juniper radial growth indices are linked to the influence of ENSO events on winter/spring precipitation amounts.

scholarly journals Föhrenverjüngung: Plastizität und Akklimatisation in einem trockeneren Klima

2018 ◽  
Vol 169 (5) ◽  
pp. 269-278
Author(s):  
Barbara Moser ◽  
Christoph Bachofen ◽  
Thomas Wohlgemuth
Keyword(s):  
Scots Pine ◽  
Natural Regeneration ◽  
Common Garden ◽  
Forest Steppe ◽  
Short Time Scale ◽  
Summer Drought ◽  
Spring Precipitation ◽  
Pine Regeneration ◽  
A Minor ◽  
Rhone Valley

Pine regeneration: plasticity and acclimation in a dryer climate Increasing summer drought might limit the natural regeneration of Scots pine stands at low elevations of the Rhone valley. Common garden experiments at the forest-steppe ecotone have shown that emergence and establishment of Scots pine primarily depend on spring precipitation and, to a minor degree, on summer drought and rising temperatures. Scots pine seedlings acclimated rapidly to drought periods by favouring root to shoot growth. In the second year, the saplings were already adapted to drought so that most of them survived an extended spring and summer drought, as recorded at Sion twelve times during the last 154 years. Only an extreme summer drought – no water from June to September – killed 14.7% of the Scots pine saplings. Surprisingly, they were even able to acclimate to such extreme drought events: after the same extreme summer drought in the third year, mortality dropped below 5%. In general, the Scots pine was very plastic, i.e. seedlings and saplings changed their phenotype depending on environmental conditions. But we also found genetic adaptation: Scots pine originating from regions with pronounced summer drought, including populations from lower elevations in the Rhone valley, produced more biomass than those from moister regions in all treatment combinations. Black pine reacted similarly to the treatments like Scots pine, but it grew faster and more saplings survived the first extreme summer drought. These results show that Scots pine from low elevations of the Rhone valley is one of the most drought-tolerant provenances in Europe. Thanks to its high phenotypic plasticity and the ability of seedlings and saplings to acclimate to drought on a short time scale, natural regeneration of Scot pine at low elevations of the Rhone valley is likely to occur also under future conditions, but maybe less frequent than today.

scholarly journals Interannual variability of net ecosystem carbon production and its climatic and biotic mechanism during 2005-2018 in a rain-fed maize ecosystem

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hui Zhang ◽  
Tianhong Zhao ◽  
Sidan Lyu ◽  
Hang Wu ◽  
Yang Yang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Changes ◽  
Daily Maximum ◽  
Spring Precipitation ◽  
Area Index ◽  
Carbon Production ◽  
Ecosystem Carbon ◽  
Spring Maize ◽  
Carbon Release ◽  
Northeast Of China ◽  
Beginning Date

AbstractThe interannual variation (IAV) of net ecosystem carbon production (NEP) plays an important role in understanding the mechanisms of the carbon cycle in the agriculture ecosystem. In this study, the IAV of NEP, which were expressed as annual values and anomalies, and its climatic and biotic controls mechanism, were investigated based on an eddy covariance dataset of rain-fed spring maize during 2005–2018 in the northeast of China. The annual NEP was 270±115 g C m−2yr −1. Annual values and anomalies of NEP were positively correlated with that of precipitation (PPT), gross ecosystem production (GEP) and daily maximum NEP (NEPmax). Annual anomalies of NEP were dominantly and positively controlled by the soil water content (SWC) through GEP and the soil temperature (Ts) through RE. In comparison, annual anomalies of NEP were dominantly and negatively controlled by summer VPD through the NEPmax, positively adjusted by spring precipitation and the effective accumulative temperature through the beginning date (BDOY) of the affecting carbon uptake period (CUP), and by autumn precipitation and leaf area index through the end date (EDOY) of the affecting CUP. Residues restrained the carbon release at the beginning of the year, and accelerated the carbon release at the end of the year. Our results hightlight that NEP might be more sensitive to the change of water condition (such as PPT, SWC and VPD) induced by the climate changes.

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