Dynamic Models for Time Series of Counts with a Marketing Application

2016 ◽  
pp. 445-466
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Dynamic Models ◽  
Time Series Of Counts ◽  
Marketing Application

Extreme Overdispersion and Persistence in Time-Series of Counts

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Leopoldo Catania ◽  
Eduardo Rossi ◽  
Paolo Santucci de Magistris
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Of Counts

An Enquiry Into Linear Conflict Models

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Klaus B. Beckmann ◽  
Lennart Reimer
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Bounded Rationality ◽  
Dynamic Models ◽  
Conflict Analysis ◽  
Monte Carlo Techniques ◽  
Linear Dynamic ◽  
Rich Variety ◽  
Time Series Analyses ◽  
Linear Dynamic Models

This monograph generalises, and extends, the classic dynamic models in conflict analysis (Lanchester 1916, Richardson 1919, Boulding 1962). Restrictions on parameters are relaxed to account for alliances and for peacekeeping. Incrementalist as well as stochastic versions of the model are reviewed. These extensions allow for a rich variety of patterns of dynamic conflict. Using Monte Carlo techniques as well as time series analyses based on GDELT data (for the Ethiopian-Eritreian war, 1998–2000), we also assess the empirical usefulness of the model. It turns out that linear dynamic models capture selected phases of the conflict quite well, offering a potential taxonomy for conflict dynamics. We also discuss a method for introducing a modicum of (bounded) rationality into models from this tradition.

Time Series and Dynamic Models

Technometrics ◽  
1998 ◽  
Vol 40 (2) ◽  
pp. 158-158
Author(s):  
Errol Caby
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Dynamic Models
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