Electricity Load Forecast Using Data Streams Techniques

2008 ◽  
pp. 131-147 ◽  
Author(s):  
João Gama ◽  
Pedro Pereira Rodrigues
Keyword(s):  
Data Streams ◽  
Load Forecast ◽  
Electricity Load ◽  
Using Data

scholarly journals A Simple Method of Residential Electricity Load Forecasting by Improved Bayesian Neural Networks

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-16 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shubin Zheng ◽  
Qianwen Zhong ◽  
Lele Peng ◽  
Xiaodong Chai
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Load Forecasting ◽  
Forecast Model ◽  
Time Range ◽  
Simple Method ◽  
Load Forecast ◽  
Bayesian Neural Networks ◽  
Electricity Load ◽  
Electricity Load Forecasting

Electricity load forecasting is becoming one of the key issues to solve energy crisis problem, and time-series Bayesian Neural Network is one popular method used in load forecast models. However, it has long running time and relatively strong dependence on time and weather factors at a residential level. To solve these problems, this article presents an improved Bayesian Neural Networks (IBNN) forecast model by augmenting historical load data as inputs based on simple feedforward structure. From the load time delays correlations and impact factors analysis, containing different inputs, number of hidden neurons, historic period of data, forecasting time range, and range requirement of sample data, some advices are given on how to better choose these factors. To validate the performance of improved Bayesian Neural Networks model, several residential sample datasets of one whole year from Ausgrid have been selected to build the improved Bayesian Neural Networks model. The results compared with the time-series load forecast model show that the improved Bayesian Neural Networks model can significantly reduce calculating time by more than 30 times and even when the time or meteorological factors are missing, it can still predict the load with a high accuracy. Compared with other widely used prediction methods, the IBNN also performs a better accuracy and relatively shorter computing time. This improved Bayesian Neural Networks forecasting method can be applied in residential energy management.

scholarly journals From anomaly detection to rumour detection using data streams of social platforms

2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (9) ◽  
pp. 1016-1029 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nguyen Thanh Tam ◽  
Matthias Weidlich ◽  
Bolong Zheng ◽  
Hongzhi Yin ◽  
Nguyen Quoc Viet Hung ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Anomaly Detection ◽  
Data Streams ◽  
Using Data

scholarly journals Data-Driven Modelling of Smart Building Ventilation Subsystem

2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Grigore Stamatescu ◽  
Iulia Stamatescu ◽  
Nicoleta Arghira ◽  
Ioana Fagarasan
Keyword(s):  
Data Mining ◽  
Data Streams ◽  
Data Driven ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Commercial Building ◽  
Monitoring And Control ◽  
Smart Building ◽  
Building Ventilation ◽  
Using Data ◽  
Rich Data

Considering the advances in building monitoring and control through networks of interconnected devices, effective handling of the associated rich data streams is becoming an important challenge. In many situations, the application of conventional system identification or approximate grey-box models, partly theoretic and partly data driven, is either unfeasible or unsuitable. The paper discusses and illustrates an application of black-box modelling achieved using data mining techniques with the purpose of smart building ventilation subsystem control. We present the implementation and evaluation of a data mining methodology on collected data from over one year of operation. The case study is carried out on four air handling units of a modern campus building for preliminary decision support for facility managers. The data processing and learning framework is based on two steps: raw data streams are compressed using the Symbolic Aggregate Approximation method, followed by the resulting segments being input into a Support Vector Machine algorithm. The results are useful for deriving the behaviour of each equipment in various modi of operation and can be built upon for fault detection or energy efficiency applications. Challenges related to online operation within a commercial Building Management System are also discussed as the approach shows promise for deployment.

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