scholarly journals The Effects of the Gulf of California SSTs on Warm-Season Rainfall in the Southwestern United States and Northwestern Mexico: A Regional Model Study

2005 ◽  
Vol 18 (23) ◽  
pp. 4970-4992 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jinwon Kim ◽  
Jongyoun Kim ◽  
John D. Farrara ◽  
John O. Roads
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Gulf Of California ◽  
Monsoon Rainfall ◽  
Land Development ◽  
Warm Season ◽  
Sea Breeze ◽  
Western Slope ◽  
Mesoscale Circulation ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Northwestern Mexico

Abstract The impacts of the sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the northern Gulf of California (GC) on warm-season rainfall in the Arizona–New Mexico (AZNM) and the northwestern Mexico (NWM) regions associated with the North American monsoon (NAM) are examined from two sets of seasonal simulations in which different SSTs were prescribed in the GC. The simulations reproduced important features in the low-level mesoscale circulations and upper air fields around the time of monsoon rainfall onset in AZNM such as sea-breeze-like diurnal variations in the low-level winds between the GC and the land, development of south-southeasterly winds over the GC and the western slope of the Sierra Madre Occidental after the onset of rainfall, and the strengthening of the 500-hPa high over AZNM around the onset of monsoon rainfall in AZNM. The simulated temporal variations in the upper air fields and daily rainfall, as well as the mesoscale circulation around the GC, suggest that the GC SSTs affect the water cycle around the GC mainly by altering mesoscale circulation and water vapor fluxes, but they have minimal impacts on the onset timing of monsoon rainfall in NWM and AZNM. With higher SSTs in the NGC, rainfall in NWM and AZNM increases in response to enhanced water vapor fluxes from the GC into the land. The enhanced onshore component of the low-level water vapor fluxes from the GC with higher GC SSTs results from two opposing effects: weakened sea-breeze-like circulation between the GC and the surrounding lands that tends to reduce the water vapor fluxes from the GC, and increased evaporation from the GC that tends to increase the water vapor fluxes. The simulations also suggest that the development of south-southeasterly low-level winds over the GC after monsoon rainfall onset plays an important role in enhancing rainfall as longer fetches over the GC can provide more water vapor into the low atmosphere.

scholarly journals Development of Convective Systems over Baja California during Tropical Cyclone Linda (2003)

2005 ◽  
Vol 20 (5) ◽  
pp. 801-811 ◽  
Author(s):  
Luis M. Farfán
Keyword(s):  
Tropical Cyclone ◽  
Gulf Of California ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Baja California ◽  
Precipitable Water ◽  
Sea Breeze ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Early Afternoon ◽  
Northwestern Mexico ◽  
Western Side

Abstract Characteristics of the life cycle and motion of convective systems that occurred over the Baja California Peninsula were determined from a case study in September of 2003. This note applies data from satellite imagery, regular observations from upper-air and surface networks, and operational analyses. Changes in environmental conditions over northwestern Mexico are documented and these are associated with the development of Tropical Cyclone Linda in the eastern Pacific Ocean. When Linda became a tropical storm and was located several hundred kilometers away to the southwest, a convective outbreak occurred over land. An examination of large-scale conditions indicated that flow from the eastern flank of Linda supplied low- to midlevel moisture. Significant convection is associated with specific thresholds for precipitable water, CAPE, and lifted index. Convective systems initiated in the early afternoon remained active for several hours and provided localized areas of precipitation along the western side of the peninsular mountains. An assessment of all the available surface data was performed to determine regional elements that played a role in the development of these systems. Results include documentation of a sea breeze from the Gulf of California onto the mountain slopes when organized convection was first detected.

scholarly journals The Impact of the Sierra Nevada on Low-Level Winds and Water Vapor Transport

2007 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 790-804 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jinwon Kim ◽  
Hyun-Suk Kang
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Sierra Nevada ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Northern Region ◽  
Vapor Transport ◽  
Water Vapor Transport ◽  
Western Slope ◽  
Mountain Range ◽  
Low Level ◽  
The Impact

Abstract To understand the influence of the Sierra Nevada on the water cycle in California the authors have analyzed low-level winds and water vapor fluxes upstream of the mountain range in regional climate model simulations. In a low Froude number (Fr) regime, the upstream low-level wind disturbances are characterized by the rapid weakening of the crosswinds and the appearance of a stagnation point over the southwestern foothills. The weakening of the low-level inflow is accompanied by the development of along-ridge winds that take the form of a barrier jet over the western slope of the mountain range. Such upstream wind disturbances are either weak or nonexistent in a high-Fr case. A critical Fr (Frc) of 0.35 inferred in this study is within the range of those suggested in previous observational and numerical studies. The depth of the blocked layer estimated from the along-ridge wind profile upstream of the northern Sierra Nevada corresponds to Frc between 0.3 and 0.45 as well. Associated with these low-level wind disturbances are significant low-level southerly moisture fluxes over the western slope and foothills of the Sierra Nevada in the low-Fr case, which result in significant exports of moisture from the southern Sierra Nevada to the northern region. This along-ridge low-level water vapor transport by blocking-induced barrier jets in a low-Fr condition may result in a strong north–south precipitation gradient over the Sierra Nevada.

scholarly journals Mesoscale modeling of smoke transport over the Southeast Asian Maritime Continent: coupling of smoke direct radiative feedbacks below and above the low-level clouds

2013 ◽  
Vol 13 (6) ◽  
pp. 15443-15492 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Ge ◽  
J. Wang ◽  
J. S. Reid
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Layer ◽  
Water Vapor ◽  
Precipitable Water ◽  
Sea Breeze ◽  
Southeast Asian ◽  
Cloud Fraction ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Monthly Average ◽  
Smoke Particles ◽  
Karimata Strait

Abstract. The online-coupled Weather Research and Forecasting model with Chemistry (WRF-Chem) is used to simulate the direct and semi-direct radiative impacts of smoke particles over the Southeast Asian Marine Continents (MC, 10° S–10° N, 90° E–150° E) during October 2006 when a significant El Nino event caused the highest biomass burning activity since 1997. With the use of OC (Organic Carbon)/BC (Black Carbon) ratio of 10 in the smoke emission inventory, the baseline simulation shows that the low-level clouds amplifying effect on smoke absorption led to a warming effect at the top-of-atmosphere (TOA) with a domain/monthly average forcing value of ~20 W m−2 over the islands of Borneo and Sumatra. The smoke-induced monthly average daytime heating (0.3 K) that is largely confined above the low-level clouds results in the local convergence over the smoke source region. This heating-induced convergence coupled with daytime planetary boundary layer turbulent mixing, transports more smoke particles above the planetary boundary layer height (PBLH), hence rendering a positive feedback. This positive feedback contrasts with the decrease of cloud fraction resulted from the combined effects of smoke heating within the cloud layer and the more stability in the boundary layer; the latter can be considered as a negative feedback in which decrease of cloud fraction weakens the heating by smoke particles above the clouds. During nighttime, the elevated smoke layer (above clouds in daytime) is decoupled from boundary layer, and the reduction of PBLH due to the residual surface cooling from the daytime lead to the accumulation of smoke particles near the surface. Because of smoke radiative extinction, on monthly basis, the amount of the solar input at the surface is reduced as large as 60 W m−2, which lead to the decrease of sensible heat, latent heat, 2 m air temperature, and PBLH by a maximum of 20 W m−2, 20 W m−2, 1 K, 120 m, respectively. The decrease of boundary layer mixing and the generation of convergence above the PBL also results in a reduction of precipitable water 1–2 km above the PBLH and more precipitable water near the surface and in upper part of the middle troposphere with changes around 0.1 mm. Overall, there is less of a change of column water vapor over the land, and an increase of water vapor amount over the Karimata Strait. The cloud changes over continents are mostly occurred over the islands of Sumatra and Borneo during the daytime, where the low-level cloud fraction decreases more than 10%. However, the change of local wind (include sea breeze) induced by the smoke radiative feedback leads to more convergence over Karimata Strait and south coastal area of Kalimantan during both daytime and night time; consequently, cloud fraction is increased there up to 20%. The sensitivities with different OC/BC ratio show the importance of the smoke single scattering albedo for the smoke semi-direct effects. A case study on 31 October 2006 further demonstrated a much larger (more than twice of the monthly average) feedback induced by smoke aerosols. The decreased sea breeze during big events can lead to prominent increase (40%) of low-level cloud over coastal water. Lastly, the direct and semi-direct radiative impact of smoke particles over the Southeast Asian Marine Continents is summarized as a conceptual model.

The diminishing contribution of low-level jets to the U.S. Great Plains water budget

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Craig R. Ferguson
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Great Plains ◽  
Water Budget ◽  
Structural Changes ◽  
Warm Season ◽  
Water Vapor Transport ◽  
Northern Great Plains ◽  
Wind Maximum ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Low Level Jets

<p>In the semi-arid U.S. Great Plains, nocturnal southerly low-level jets (LLJs) serve critical roles as conveyors of remotely-sourced (i.e., Gulf of Mexico) water vapor and agents of atmospheric instability in the warm-season.  Defined by a diurnally oscillating wind maximum between 0–3 km above the surface, LLJs have been studied by meteorologists for over 60-years due to their role in severe weather outbreaks. It is only within the past decade that a subset of LLJs with especially high vertically integrated water vapor transport, termed atmospheric rivers, have drawn the attention of hydrologists.</p><p>In this study, changes in LLJ frequency and structure over the period from 1901–2010 are quantified using ECMWF’s Coupled Reanalysis of the Twentieth Century (CERA-20C). A new objective dynamical LLJ classification dataset is used to separately quantify changes in the two predominant LLJ types: synoptically coupled and uncoupled. The findings reveal that both the frequency of Great Plains LLJs and their associated precipitation have decreased significantly over the 20th century. Decreases in LLJ associated precipitation range between 10–14% of total present day May–September precipitation. The largest differences observed are attributable to uncoupled jet frequency and structural changes during July and August over the central and northern Great Plains. Overall, the results indicate the contribution of LLJs to the region’s water budget has diminished.</p>

scholarly journals Decadal Variation of the Southwest U.S. Summer Monsoon Circulation and Rainfall in a Regional Model

2007 ◽  
Vol 20 (18) ◽  
pp. 4702-4716 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qi Hu ◽  
Song Feng
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Moisture Transport ◽  
Gulf Of California ◽  
Monsoon Rainfall ◽  
Summer Rainfall ◽  
Western United States ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Southwest United States ◽  
Dry Conditions ◽  
Rainfall Variations

Abstract Previous studies have identified several major causes for summer rainfall variations over the southwest United States, for example, land memory (i.e., relationships between antecedent winter season precipitation and snow cover anomalies and subsequent summer rainfall anomalies over the southwest United States; these anomalies are likely most important in the northwest United States, although antecedent anomalies in the southwest United States also may be important in determining summer rainfall variations) and sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the North Pacific. Atmospheric responses to these “boundary forces” interact with moisture flows from the Gulf of Mexico and from the Gulf of California to influence the rainfall in the Southwest. The land memory and the SST effects were further found to be “naturally separated,” in the sense that they each played a dominant role influencing the monsoon rainfall variation during different periods of the last century. This separation was also manifested by different dominant low-level moisture transport anomalies in those periods. Several new questions have arisen from these findings: How have the land memory and the SST effects been “separated,” so as to affect the monsoon rainfall variations during different periods, or “regimes”? And, what are the corresponding changes of low-level flows, and hence moisture transports into the southwest United States that help achieve the land memory or the SST effects on the rainfall variations during these different regimes? These questions, and related issues, are addressed using a numerical model of regional climate. The model was used to simulate 14 individual warm seasons (April–October) in each of the postulated regimes. Analyses of the simulation results showed systematic and significant changes in atmospheric circulation anomalies between the two regimes. In the early regime (1961–90), when the land memory effect was strong, the average geopotential height was lower and storm activity was more intense over the central and western United States than in the more recent regime (from 1990 on), indicating reduced eddy energy and momentum exchanges between high and low latitudes in the western United States. The effects of these changes on the monsoon rainfall were achieved by very different low-level flow and moisture transport anomalies. In the earlier regime, low-level flow and moisture transport anomalies in the southwest United States were primarily due to easterlies and southeasterlies into the Southwest for its wet monsoon conditions, with reversed anomalies for dry conditions. In the recent regime, these anomalies changed, with primarily southerlies and southwesterlies from the Gulf of California into the Southwest during its wet monsoon conditions, and reversed flow anomalies for dry conditions. These changes indicate that different physical processes, including those responsible for the planetary-scale atmospheric circulation, led to monsoon rainfall variations during each of these regimes.

Warm Season Lightning Distributions over the Northern Gulf of Mexico Coast and Their Relation to Synoptic-Scale and Mesoscale Environments

2005 ◽  
Vol 20 (4) ◽  
pp. 415-438 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jessica R. Smith ◽  
Henry E. Fuelberg ◽  
Andrew I. Watson
Keyword(s):  
Gulf Of Mexico ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Gulf Coast ◽  
Warm Season ◽  
Sea Breeze ◽  
Northern Gulf Of Mexico ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Lake Charles ◽  
Northern Gulf Coast ◽  
Mexico Coast

Abstract Cloud-to-ground lightning data from the National Lightning Detection Network are used to create a warm season (May–September) lightning climatology for the northern Gulf of Mexico coast for the 14-yr period 1989–2002. Each day is placed into one of five flow regimes based on the orientation of the low-level flow with respect to the coastline. This determination is made using the vector mean 1000–700-hPa wind data at Lake Charles and Slidell, Louisiana. Flash densities are calculated for daily, hourly, and nocturnal periods. Spatial patterns of composite 24-h and nocturnal flash density indicate that lightning decreases in an east-to-west direction over the region. Flash densities for the 24-h period are greatest over land near the coast, with relative maxima located near Houston, Texas; Lake Charles, Baton Rouge, and New Orleans, Louisiana; Biloxi, Mississippi; and Mobile, Alabama. Flash densities during the nocturnal period are greatest over the coastal waters. Lightning across the northern Gulf coast is closely related to the prevailing low-level synoptic flow, which controls the sea breeze, the dominant forcing mechanism during the warm season. Southwest flow, the most unstable and humid of the five regimes, exhibits the most flashes. In this case, sea-breeze-induced convection is located slightly inland from the coast. Northeast flow, the driest and most stable of the regimes, exhibits the least amount of lightning. The large-scale flow restricts the sea breeze to near the coastline. Geographic features and local mesoscale circulations are found to affect lightning across the region. Geographic features include lakes, bays, marshes, swamps, and coastline orientations. Thermal circulations associated with these features interact with the main sea breeze to produce complex lightning patterns over the area.

Use of the GOES-R Split-Window Difference to Diagnose Deepening Low-Level Water Vapor

2014 ◽  
Vol 53 (8) ◽  
pp. 2005-2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel T. Lindsey ◽  
Louie Grasso ◽  
John F. Dostalek ◽  
Jochen Kerkmann
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Numerical Models ◽  
Critical Role ◽  
Warm Season ◽  
Convective Cloud ◽  
Cloud Formation ◽  
Radiative Transfer Model ◽  
Transfer Model ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Free Environment

AbstractThe depth of boundary layer water vapor plays a critical role in convective cloud formation in the warm season, but numerical models often struggle with accurate predictions of above-surface moisture. Satellite retrievals of water vapor have been developed, but they are limited by the use of a model’s first guess, instrument spectral resolution, horizontal footprint size, and vertical resolution. In 2016, Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite-R (GOES-R), the first in a series of new-generation geostationary satellites, will be launched. Its Advanced Baseline Imager will provide unprecedented spectral, spatial, and temporal resolution. Among the bands are two centered at 10.35 and 12.3 μm. The brightness temperature difference between these bands is referred to as the split-window difference, and has been shown to provide information about atmospheric column water vapor. In this paper, the split-window difference is reexamined from the perspective of GOES-R and radiative transfer model simulations are used to better understand the factors controlling its value. It is shown that the simple split-window difference can provide useful information for forecasters about deepening low-level water vapor in a cloud-free environment.

First Doppler lidar and cloud radar measurements of orographic convection initiation from a mountain observatory in the Al Hajar Mountains of the United Arab Emirates.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Oliver Branch ◽  
Andreas Behrendt ◽  
Osama Alnayef ◽  
Florian Späth ◽  
Thomas Schwitalla ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
United Arab Emirates ◽  
Sea Breeze ◽  
Doppler Lidar ◽  
Cloud Seeding ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Cloud Radar ◽  
Orographic Convection ◽  
Radar Measurements ◽  
Convection Initiation ◽  
Convective Cells

<p>We present exciting Doppler lidar and cloud radar measurements from a high-vantage mountain observatory in the hyper-arid United Arab Emirates (UAE) - initiated as part of the UAE Research Program for Rain Enhancement Science (UAEREP). The observatory was designed to study the clear-air pre-convective environment and subsequent convective events in the arid Al Hajar Mountains, with the overarching goal of improving understanding and nowcasting of seedable orographic clouds. During summer in the Al Hajar Mountains (June to September), weather processes are often complex, with summer convection being initiated by several phenomena acting in concert, e.g., interaction between sea breeze and horizontal convective rolls. These interactions can combine to initiate sporadic convective storms and these can be intense enough to cause flash floods and erosion. Such events here are influenced by mesoscale phenomena like the low-level jet and local sea breeze, and are constrained by larger-scale synoptic conditions.</p><p>The Doppler lidar and cloud radar were employed for approximately two years at a high vantage-point to capture valley wind flows and observe convective cells. The instruments were configured to run synchronized polar (PPI) scans at 0°, 5°, and 45° elevation angles and vertical cross-section (RHI) scans at 0°, 30°, 60, 90°, 120°, and 150° azimuth angles. Using this imagery, along with local C-band radar and satellite data, we were able to identify and analyze several convective cases. To illustrate our results, we have selected two cases under unstable conditions - the 5 and 6 September 2018. In both cases, we observed areas of low-level convergence/divergence, particularly associated with wind flow around a peak 2 km to the south-west of the observatory. The extension of these deformations are visible in the atmosphere to a height of 3 km above sea level. Subsequently, we observed convective cells developing at those approximate locations – apparently initiated because of these phenomena. The cloud radar images provided detailed observations of cloud structure, evolution, and precipitation. In both convective cases, pre-convective signatures were apparent before CI, in the form of convergence, wind shear structures, and updrafts.</p><p>These results have demonstrated the value of synergetic observations for understanding orographic convection initiation, improvement of forecast models, and cloud seeding guidance. The manuscript based on these results is now the subject of a peer review (Branch et al., 2021).</p><p> </p><p>Branch, O., Behrendt, Andreas Alnayef, O., Späth, F., Schwitalla, Thomas, Temimi, M., Weston, M., Farrah, S., Al Yazeedi, O., Tampi, S., Waal, K. de and Wulfmeyer, V.: The new Mountain Observatory of the Project “Optimizing Cloud Seeding by Advanced Remote Sensing and Land Cover Modification (OCAL)” in the United Arab Emirates: First results on Convection Initiation, J. Geophys. Res.  Atmos., 2021. In review (submitted 23.11.2020).</p>

Precipitation Enhancement in Squall Lines Moving Over Mountainous Coastal Regions

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fan Wu ◽  
Kelly Lombardo
Keyword(s):  
Convective Available Potential Energy ◽  
Leading Edge ◽  
Sea Breeze ◽  
Cold Pool ◽  
Pressure Perturbation ◽  
Coastal Regions ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Squall Lines ◽  
Sloping Terrain ◽  
Precipitation Enhancement

AbstractA mechanism for precipitation enhancement in squall lines moving over mountainous coastal regions is quantified through idealized numerical simulations. Storm intensity and precipitation peak over the sloping terrain as storms descend from an elevated plateau toward the coastline and encounter the marine atmospheric boundary layer (MABL). Storms are most intense as they encounter the deepest MABLs. As the descending storm outflow collides with a moving MABL (sea breeze), surface and low-level air parcels initially accelerate upward, though their ultimate trajectory is governed by the magnitude of the negative non-hydrostatic inertial pressure perturbation behind the cold pool leading edge. For shallow MABLs, the baroclinic gradient across the gust front generates large horizontal vorticity, a low-level negative pressure perturbation, and thus a downward acceleration of air parcels following their initial ascent. A deep MABL reduces the baroclinically-generated vorticity, leading to a weaker pressure perturbation and minimal downward acceleration, allowing air to accelerate into a storm’s updraft.Once storms move away from the terrain base and over the full depth of the MABLs, storms over the deepest MABLs decay most rapidly, while those over the shallowest MABLs initially intensify. Though elevated ascent exists above all MABLs, the deepest MABLs substantially reduce the depth of the high-θe layer above the MABLs and limit instability. This relationship is insensitive to MABL temperature, even though surface-based ascent is present for the less cold MABLs, the MABL thermal deficit is smaller, and convective available potential energy (CAPE) is higher.

Paleoclimate of the Gulf of California (Northwestern Mexico) During the Last 2000 Years

2019 ◽  
pp. 7-38
Author(s):  
Aída Martínez-López ◽  
Olivia de Los Ángeles Flores-Castillo ◽  
Romeo Saldívar-Lucio ◽  
Diana Cecilia Escobedo-Urías ◽  
Gerardo Verdugo-Díaz ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Gulf Of California ◽  
Northwestern Mexico
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