Diagnosis of Subtropical Humidity Dynamics Using Tracers of Last Saturation

2005 ◽  
Vol 62 (9) ◽  
pp. 3353-3367 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joseph Galewsky ◽  
Adam Sobel ◽  
Isaac Held
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Transport Model ◽  
Thermal Relaxation ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Reanalysis Data ◽  
Tracer Transport ◽  
Dry Air ◽  
Model Match

Abstract A technique for diagnosing the mechanisms that control the humidity in a general circulation model (GCM) or observationally derived meteorological analysis dataset is presented. The technique involves defining a large number of tracers, each of which represents air that has last been saturated in a particular region of the atmosphere. The time-mean tracer fields show the typical pathways that air parcels take between one occurrence of saturation and the next. The tracers provide useful information about how different regions of the atmosphere influence the humidity elsewhere. Because saturation vapor pressure is a function only of temperature and assuming mixing ratio is conserved for unsaturated parcels, these tracer fields can also be used together with the temperature field to reconstruct the water vapor field. The technique is first applied to an idealized GCM in which the dynamics are dry and forced using the Held–Suarez thermal relaxation, but the model carries a passive waterlike tracer that is emitted at the surface and lost due to large-scale condensation with zero latent heat release and no condensate retained. The technique provides an accurate reconstruction of the simulated water vapor field. In this model, the dry air in the subtropical troposphere is produced primarily by isentropic transport and is moistened somewhat by mixing with air from lower levels, which has not been saturated since last contact with the surface. The technique is then applied to the NCEP–NCAR reanalysis data from December–February (DJF) 2001/02, using the offline tracer transport model MATCH. The results show that the dryness of the subtropical troposphere is primarily controlled by isentropic transport of very dry air by midlatitude eddies and that diabatic descent from the tropical upper troposphere plays a secondary role in controlling the dryness of the subtropics.

scholarly journals Transport mechanisms for synoptic, seasonal and interannual SF<sub>6</sub> variations and "age" of air in troposphere

2009 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 1209-1225 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. K. Patra ◽  
M. Takigawa ◽  
G. S. Dutton ◽  
K. Uhse ◽  
K. Ishijima ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
General Circulation ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Sulfur Hexafluoride ◽  
Transport Model ◽  
Estimation Error ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Tracer Transport ◽  
Synoptic Variability ◽  
Transport Component

Abstract. We use an atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM) driven chemistry-transport model (ACTM) to simulate the evolution of sulfur hexafluoride (SF6) in the troposphere. The model results are compared with continuous measurements at 6 sites over 71° N–90° S. These comparisons demonstrate that the ACTM simulations lie within the measurement uncertainty over the analysis period (1999–2006) and capture salient features of synoptic, seasonal and interannual SF6 variability. To understand transport timescales of SF6 within the troposphere, transport times of air parcels from the surface to different regions of the troposphere ("age") are estimated from a simulation of an idealized tracer. The age estimation error and its sensitivity to the selection of reanalysis meteorology for ACTM nudging or the tracer transport by deep cumulus convection as represented in the model are discussed. Monthly-mean, 2-box model exchange times (τex) are calculated from both the observed and simulated SF6 time series at the 6 observing sites and show favorable agreement, suggesting that the ACTM adequately represents large-scale interhemispheric transport. The simulated SF6 variability is further investigated through decomposition of the mixing ratio time-tendency into advective, convective, and vertical diffusive components. The transport component analysis illustrates the role of each process in SF6 synoptic variability at the site level and provides insight into the seasonality of τex.

scholarly journals Utility of daily vs. monthly large-scale climate data: an intercomparison of two statistical downscaling methods

2007 ◽  
Vol 4 (5) ◽  
pp. 3413-3440 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. P. Maurer ◽  
H. G. Hidalgo
Keyword(s):  
Statistical Downscaling ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Impact Analysis ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Daily Precipitation ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Reanalysis Data ◽  
Temperature Extremes ◽  
Daily Data

Abstract. Downscaling of climate model data is essential to most impact analysis. We compare two methods of statistical downscaling to produce continuous, gridded time series of precipitation and surface air temperature at a 1/8-degree (approximately 140 km² per grid cell) resolution over the western U.S. We use NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis data from 1950–1999 as a surrogate General Circulation Model (GCM). The two methods included are constructed analogues (CA) and a bias correction and spatial downscaling (BCSD), both of which have been shown to be skillful in different settings, and BCSD has been used extensively in hydrologic impact analysis. Both methods use the coarse scale Reanalysis fields of precipitation and temperature as predictors of the corresponding fine scale fields. CA downscales daily large-scale data directly and BCSD downscales monthly data, with a random resampling technique to generate daily values. The methods produce comparable skill in producing downscaled, gridded fields of precipitation and temperatures at a monthly and seasonal level. For daily precipitation, both methods exhibit some skill in reproducing both observed wet and dry extremes and the difference between the methods is not significant, reflecting the general low skill in daily precipitation variability in the reanalysis data. For low temperature extremes, the CA method produces greater downscaling skill than BCSD for fall and winter seasons. For high temperature extremes, CA demonstrates higher skill than BCSD in summer. We find that the choice of most appropriate downscaling technique depends on the variables, seasons, and regions of interest, on the availability of daily data, and whether the day to day correspondence of weather from the GCM needs to be reproduced for some applications. The ability to produce skillful downscaled daily data depends primarily on the ability of the climate model to show daily skill.

scholarly journals Seasonality of moisture supplies to precipitation over the Third Pole: a stable water isotopic perspective

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaoxin Yang ◽  
Tandong Yao
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Isotopic Composition ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Potential Effect ◽  
Water Vapor Transport ◽  
The Tibetan Plateau ◽  
Physical Processes ◽  
Large Scale Atmospheric Circulation

Abstract This study integrated isotopic composition in precipitation at 50 stations on and around the Tibetan Plateau (TP) and demonstrated the distinct seasonality of isotopic composition in precipitation across the study period. The potential effect of water vapor isotopes on precipitation isotopes is studied by comparing the station precipitation data with extensive isotopic patterns in atmospheric water vapor, revealing the close linkage between the two. The analysis of contemporary water vapor transport and potential helps confirm the different mechanisms behind precipitation isotopic compositions in different areas, as the southern TP is more closely related to large-scale atmospheric circulation such as local Hadley and summer monsoon circulations during other seasons than winter, while the northern TP is subject to the westerly prevalence and advective moisture supply and precipitation processes. The new data presented in this manuscript also enrich the current dataset for the study of precipitation isotopes in this region and together provide a valuable database for verification of the isotope-integrated general circulation model and explanation of related physical processes.

scholarly journals Stratospheric dryness: model simulations and satellite observations

2007 ◽  
Vol 7 (5) ◽  
pp. 1313-1332 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Lelieveld ◽  
C. Brühl ◽  
P. Jöckel ◽  
B. Steil ◽  
P. J. Crutzen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Middle Atmosphere ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Satellite Observations ◽  
Radiative Heating ◽  
Mixing Ratios ◽  
Tropical Tropopause ◽  
Mass Fluxes

Abstract. The mechanisms responsible for the extreme dryness of the stratosphere have been debated for decades. A key difficulty has been the lack of comprehensive models which are able to reproduce the observations. Here we examine results from the coupled lower-middle atmosphere chemistry general circulation model ECHAM5/MESSy1 together with satellite observations. Our model results match observed temperatures in the tropical lower stratosphere and realistically represent the seasonal and inter-annual variability of water vapor. The model reproduces the very low water vapor mixing ratios (below 2 ppmv) periodically observed at the tropical tropopause near 100 hPa, as well as the characteristic tape recorder signal up to about 10 hPa, providing evidence that the dehydration mechanism is well-captured. Our results confirm that the entry of tropospheric air into the tropical stratosphere is forced by large-scale wave dynamics, whereas radiative cooling regionally decelerates upwelling and can even cause downwelling. Thin cirrus forms in the cold air above cumulonimbus clouds, and the associated sedimentation of ice particles between 100 and 200 hPa reduces water mass fluxes by nearly two orders of magnitude compared to air mass fluxes. Transport into the stratosphere is supported by regional net radiative heating, to a large extent in the outer tropics. During summer very deep monsoon convection over Southeast Asia, centered over Tibet, moistens the stratosphere.

scholarly journals A Gray-Radiation Aquaplanet Moist GCM. Part I: Static Stability and Eddy Scale

2006 ◽  
Vol 63 (10) ◽  
pp. 2548-2566 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dargan M. W. Frierson ◽  
Isaac M. Held ◽  
Pablo Zurita-Gotor
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Companion Paper ◽  
Static Stability ◽  
Lapse Rate ◽  
Surface Boundary ◽  
Moist Convection ◽  
Control Value

Abstract In this paper, a simplified moist general circulation model is developed and used to study changes in the atmospheric general circulation as the water vapor content of the atmosphere is altered. The key elements of the model physics are gray radiative transfer, in which water vapor and other constituents have no effect on radiative fluxes, a simple diffusive boundary layer with prognostic depth, and a mixed layer aquaplanet surface boundary condition. This GCM can be integrated stably without a convection parameterization, with large-scale condensation only, and this study focuses on this simplest version of the model. These simplifications provide a useful framework in which to focus on the interplay between latent heat release and large-scale dynamics. In this paper, the authors study the role of moisture in determining the tropospheric static stability and midlatitude eddy scale. In a companion paper, the effects of moisture on energy transports by baroclinic eddies are discussed. The authors vary a parameter in the Clausius–Clapeyron relation to control the amount of water in the atmosphere, and consider circulations ranging from the dry limit to 10 times a control value. The typical length scale of midlatitude eddies is found to be remarkably insensitive to the amount of moisture in the atmosphere in this model. The Rhines scale evaluated at the latitude of the maximum eddy kinetic energy fits the model results for the eddy scale well. Moist convection is important in determining the extratropical lapse rate, and the dry stability is significantly increased with increased moisture content.

scholarly journals The Relative Humidity in an Isentropic Advection–Condensation Model: Limited Poleward Influence and Properties of Subtropical Minima

2011 ◽  
Vol 68 (12) ◽  
pp. 3079-3093 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul A. O’Gorman ◽  
Nicolas Lamquin ◽  
Tapio Schneider ◽  
Martin S. Singh
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Relative Humidity ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Reanalysis Data ◽  
Specific Humidity ◽  
Moisture Source ◽  
Inflection Points ◽  
Isentropic Surface ◽  
Tropical Moisture

Abstract An idealized model of advection and condensation of water vapor is considered as a representation of processes influencing the humidity distribution along isentropic surfaces in the free troposphere. Results are presented for how the mean relative humidity distribution varies in response to changes in the distribution of saturation specific humidity and in the amplitude of a tropical moisture source. Changes in the tropical moisture source are found to have little effect on the relative humidity poleward of the subtropical minima, suggesting a lack of poleward influence despite much greater water vapor concentrations at lower latitudes. The subtropical minima in relative humidity are found to be located just equatorward of the inflection points of the saturation specific humidity profile along the isentropic surface. The degree of mean subsaturation is found to vary with the magnitude of the meridional gradient of saturation specific humidity when other parameters are held fixed. The atmospheric relevance of these results is investigated by comparison with the positions of the relative humidity minima in reanalysis data and by examining poleward influence of relative humidity in simulations with an idealized general circulation model. It is suggested that the limited poleward influence of relative humidity may constrain the propagation of errors in simulated humidity fields.

scholarly journals Oceanic controls on the primary production of the northwest European continental shelf: model experiments under recent past conditions and a potential future scenario

2012 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 97-117 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Holt ◽  
M. Butenschön ◽  
S. L. Wakelin ◽  
Y. Artioli ◽  
J. I. Allen
Keyword(s):  
Primary Production ◽  
Continental Shelf ◽  
North Sea ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Substantial Reduction ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Reanalysis Data ◽  
Open Ocean ◽  
Irish Sea ◽  
Tracer Transport

Abstract. In this paper we clearly demonstrate that changes in oceanic nutrients are a first order factor in determining changes in the primary production of the northwest European continental shelf on time scales of 5–10 yr. We present a series of coupled hydrodynamic ecosystem modelling simulations, using the POLCOMS-ERSEM system. These are forced by both reanalysis data and a single example of a coupled ocean-atmosphere general circulation model (OA-GCM) representative of possible conditions in 2080–2100 under an SRES A1B emissions scenario, along with the corresponding present day control. The OA-GCM forced simulations show a substantial reduction in surface nutrients in the open-ocean regions of the model domain, comparing future and present day time-slices. This arises from a large increase in oceanic stratification. Tracer transport experiments identify a substantial fraction of on-shelf water originates from the open-ocean region to the south of the domain, where this increase is largest, and indeed the on-shelf nutrient and primary production are reduced as this water is transported on-shelf. This relationship is confirmed quantitatively by comparing changes in winter nitrate with total annual nitrate uptake. The reduction in primary production by the reduced nutrient transport is mitigated by on-shelf processes relating to temperature, stratification (length of growing season) and recycling. Regions less exposed to ocean-shelf exchange in this model (Celtic Sea, Irish Sea, English Channel, and Southern North Sea) show a modest increase in primary production (of 5–10%) compared with a decrease of 0–20% in the outer shelf, Central and Northern North Sea. These findings are backed up by a boundary condition perturbation experiment and a simple mixing model.

scholarly journals Utility of daily vs. monthly large-scale climate data: an intercomparison of two statistical downscaling methods

2008 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 551-563 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. P. Maurer ◽  
H. G. Hidalgo
Keyword(s):  
Statistical Downscaling ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Impact Analysis ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Daily Precipitation ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Reanalysis Data ◽  
Temperature Extremes ◽  
Daily Data

Abstract. Downscaling of climate model data is essential to local and regional impact analysis. We compare two methods of statistical downscaling to produce continuous, gridded time series of precipitation and surface air temperature at a 1/8-degree (approximately 140 km2 per grid cell) resolution over the western U.S. We use NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis data from 1950–1999 as a surrogate General Circulation Model (GCM). The two methods included are constructed analogues (CA) and a bias correction and spatial downscaling (BCSD), both of which have been shown to be skillful in different settings, and BCSD has been used extensively in hydrologic impact analysis. Both methods use the coarse scale Reanalysis fields of precipitation and temperature as predictors of the corresponding fine scale fields. CA downscales daily large-scale data directly and BCSD downscales monthly data, with a random resampling technique to generate daily values. The methods produce generally comparable skill in producing downscaled, gridded fields of precipitation and temperatures at a monthly and seasonal level. For daily precipitation, both methods exhibit limited skill in reproducing both observed wet and dry extremes and the difference between the methods is not significant, reflecting the general low skill in daily precipitation variability in the reanalysis data. For low temperature extremes, the CA method produces greater downscaling skill than BCSD for fall and winter seasons. For high temperature extremes, CA demonstrates higher skill than BCSD in summer. We find that the choice of most appropriate downscaling technique depends on the variables, seasons, and regions of interest, on the availability of daily data, and whether the day to day correspondence of weather from the GCM needs to be reproduced for some applications. The ability to produce skillful downscaled daily data depends primarily on the ability of the climate model to show daily skill.

scholarly journals Comparison of CO<sub>2</sub> fluxes estimated using atmospheric and oceanic inversions, and role of fluxes and their interannual variability in simulating atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub> concentrations

2006 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 6801-6823 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. K. Patra ◽  
S. E. Mikaloff Fletcher ◽  
K. Ishijima ◽  
S. Maksyutov ◽  
T. Nakazawa
Keyword(s):  
Interannual Variability ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
A Priori Estimates ◽  
Transport Model ◽  
Dissolved Inorganic Carbon ◽  
A Priori ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Ocean General Circulation Model ◽  
Atmospheric Co2 ◽  
Tracer Transport

Abstract. We use a time-dependent inverse (TDI) model to estimate regional sources and sinks of atmospheric CO2 from 64 and then 22 regions based on atmospheric CO2 observations at 87 stations. The air-sea fluxes from the 64-region atmospheric-CO2 inversion are compared with fluxes from an analogous ocean inversion that uses ocean interior observations of dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) and other tracers and an ocean general circulation model (OGCM). We find that, unlike previous atmospheric inversions, our flux estimates in the southern hemisphere are generally in good agreement with the results from the ocean inversion, which gives us added confidence in our flux estimates. In addition, a forward tracer transport model (TTM) is used to simulate the observed CO2 concentrations using (1) estimates of fossil fuel emissions and a priori estimates of the terrestrial and oceanic fluxes of CO2, and (2) two sets of TDI model corrected fluxes. The TTM simulations of TDI model corrected fluxes show improvements in fitting the observed interannual variability in growth rates and seasonal cycles in atmospheric CO2. Our analysis suggests that the use of interannually varying (IAV) meteorology and a larger observational network have helped to capture the regional representation and interannual variabilities in CO2 fluxes realistically.

scholarly journals On the uses of a new linear scheme for stratospheric methane in global models: water source, transport tracer and radiative forcing

2012 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 479-523 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. M. Monge-Sanz ◽  
M. P. Chipperfield ◽  
A. Untch ◽  
J.-J. Morcrette ◽  
A. Rap ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Radiative Forcing ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Transport Model ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Water Source ◽  
Reanalysis Data ◽  
Radiative Transfer Model ◽  
Transfer Model ◽  
Ecmwf Model ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. A new linear parameterisation for stratospheric methane (CoMeCAT) has been developed and tested. The scheme is derived from a 3-D full chemistry transport model (CTM) and tested within the same chemistry model itself, as well as in an independent general circulation model (GCM). The new CH4/H2O scheme is suitable for any global model and here is shown to provide realistic profiles in the 3-D TOMCAT/SLIMCAT CTM and in the ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) GCM. Simulation results from the new stratospheric scheme are in good agreement with the full-chemistry CTM CH4 field and with observations from the Halogen Occultation Experiment (HALOE). The CH4 scheme has also been used to derive a source for stratospheric water. Stratospheric water increments obtained in this way within the CTM produce vertical and latitudinal H2O variation in fair agreement with satellite observations. Stratospheric H2O distributions in the ECMWF GCM present realistic overall features although concentrations are lower than in the CTM run (up to 0.5 ppmv lower above 10 hPa). The potential of the new CoMeCAT scheme for evaluating long-term transport within the ECMWF model is exploited to assess the impacts of nudging the free running GCM to ERA-40 and ERA-Interim reanalyses. In this case, the nudged GCM shows similar transport patterns to the CTM forced by the corresponding reanalysis data, ERA-Interim producing better results than ERA-40. The impact that the new methane description has in the GCM radiation scheme is also explored. Compared to the default CH4 climatology used by the ECMWF model, CoMeCAT produces up to 2 K cooling in the tropical lower stratosphere. The effect of using the CoMeCAT scheme for radiative forcing (RF) calculations has been investigated using the off-line Edwards-Slingo (E-S) radiative transfer model. Compared to the use of a tropospheric global 3-D CH4 value, the CoMeCAT distributions produce an overall decrease in the annual mean net RF, with the largest decrease found over the Southern Hemisphere high latitudes. The effect of the new CH4 stratospheric distribution on these RF calculations is of up to 30 mW m−2, i.e. the same order of magnitude, and opposite sign, as the inclusion of aircraft contrails formation in the radiative model.

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