scholarly journals Improving Public Infrastructure in the Philippines

2019 ◽  
Vol 36 (2) ◽  
pp. 159-184
Author(s):  
Takuji Komatsuzaki
Keyword(s):  
Public Investment ◽  
Scale Up ◽  
The Philippines ◽  
Infrastructure Investment ◽  
Investment Efficiency ◽  
Model Structure ◽  
Public Infrastructure ◽  
Investment Expenditure ◽  
Macroeconomic Implications

This paper explores the macroeconomic effects of improving public infrastructure in the Philippines, modeling the infrastructure scale-up plan being implemented by the current administration. After benchmarking the Philippines’ level of infrastructure investment, quantity and quality of public infrastructure, and public investment efficiency relative to its neighboring countries, the analysis uses a dynamic general equilibrium model to quantitatively assess the macroeconomic implications of raising public investment expenditure with different financing schemes and different rates of public investment efficiency. Critically dependent on a model structure in which accumulation of publicly provided infrastructure raises the overall productivity of the economy, the model simulations show that (i) increasing public infrastructure investment results in sustained gains in output, (ii) the effects of improving public investment efficiency are substantial, and (iii) deficit-financed increases in public investment lead to higher borrowing costs that constrain output increases over time. These results underscore the importance of improving public investment efficiency and revenue mobilization.

scholarly journals Government public infrastructure investment and economic performance in Spain (1980-2016)

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jose Perez-Montiel ◽  
Carles Manera
Keyword(s):  
Public Investment ◽  
Infrastructure Investment ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Public Infrastructure ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Autonomous Communities ◽  
Vector Autoregressive ◽  
Acyclic Graphs ◽  
Multiplier Effects

Purpose The authors estimate the multiplier effect of government public infrastructure investment in Spain. This paper aims to use annual data of the 17 Spanish autonomous communities for the 1980–2016 period. Design/methodology/approach The authors use dynamic acyclic graphs and the heterogeneous panel structural vector autoregressive (P-SVAR) method of Pedroni (2013). This method is robust to cross-sectional heterogeneity and dependence, which are present in the data. Findings The findings suggest that an increase in the level of government public infrastructure investment generates a positive and persistent effect on the level of output. Five years after the fiscal expansion, the multiplier effects of government public infrastructure investment reach values above one. This confirms that government public infrastructure investment expansions have Keynesian effects. The authors also find that the multiplier effects differ between autonomous communities with above-average and below-average GDP per capita. Originality/value To the best of the authors’ knowledge, no research uses dynamic acyclic graphs and heterogeneous P-SVAR techniques to estimate fiscal multipliers of government public investment in Spain by using subnational data.

Does public investment crowd-out private investment in India

2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 50-69 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shanmugam Muthu
Keyword(s):  
Public Investment ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Infrastructure Investment ◽  
Public Infrastructure ◽  
Public And Private ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Macroeconomic Uncertainty ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to examine the crowding-in or crowding-out relationship between public and private investment in India. Design/methodology/approach The autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach is used to estimate the long run relationship between public and private investment using annual data from 1971-1972 to 2009-2010. Findings Based on the empirical findings, it is observed that aggregate public investment has a positive effect on private investment both in the long run and the short run. In contrast to the findings of previous studies, no significant impact of public infrastructure investment on private investments is found in the long run, while non-infrastructure investment has a positive impact on private investment in the short run. Among the various categories of infrastructure sector, a positive and significant impact in the case of electricity, gas and water supply is observed. Similarly, the result indicates that public investment in machinery and equipment and construction have substantially influenced the private sector machinery and equipment in the long run and the short run. In the case of the role of macroeconomic uncertainty, the results find a negative and significant impact on private investment and the impact is higher in the short run than in the long run. Originality/value The present study extends the literature in three important ways: First, the study attempts to capture heterogeneity of public investment as well as disaggregate effects of two different categories of public infrastructure on private investment. The extent to which two different types of public assets impact the private investment in machinery and equipment investment is also examined. Second, ARDL model is used to examine the long-run relationship between public and private investment. Third, the study incorporates macroeconomic uncertainty into the empirical analysis to examine the role of macroeconomic volatility in determining private investment decision.

Public infrastructure investment and fiscal sustainability in Latin America: incompatible goals?

2014 ◽  
Vol 41 (1) ◽  
pp. 29-50 ◽  
Author(s):  
Luis Carranza ◽  
Christian Daude ◽  
Angel Melguizo
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
Latin America ◽  
Latin American ◽  
Public Investment ◽  
Fiscal Rules ◽  
Infrastructure Investment ◽  
Fiscal Consolidation ◽  
Public Infrastructure ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Fiscal Space

Purpose – This paper aims to understand the relationship in developing countries between fiscal consolidation and public investment – a flexible part of the budget that is easier to cut during consolidation effort, but with potentially negative growth effects. Analyzing in detail the case of Peru, the paper explores alternative fiscal rules and frameworks that might help create fiscal space for infrastructure investment. Design/methodology/approach – The paper analyses trends in public and total infrastructure investment in six large Latin American economies, in the light of fiscal developments since the early 1980s. In particular, the paper explores the association between fiscal consolidations (improvements in the structural fiscal balance) and public infrastructure investment rates. In the second part, the paper analyzes recent changes in the fiscal framework of Peru and shows how they were conductive in creating additional fiscal space. Findings – The authors argue that post-crisis fiscal frameworks, notably fiscal rules that are increasingly popular in the region, should not only consolidate the recent progress towards debt sustainability, but also create the fiscal space to close these infrastructure gaps. These points are illustrated in a detailed account of recent developments in the fiscal framework and public investment in the Peruvian case. Originality/value – The paper contributes new evidence to the literature on fiscal consolidation and the composition of government expenditures. While the literature based on evidence from the 1990s has argued that fiscal consolidation plans in Latin America have almost always led to a significant reduction in public infrastructure investment, the paper finds less clear cut evidence when extending the analysis backwards (1980s) and forwards (2000s). The example of the case of Peru is used to explore fiscal institutions and rules that might be useful for other developing countries that face important infrastructure gaps.

Impact of Public and Private Infrastructure Investment on Economic Growth: Evidence from India

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 119-138
Author(s):  
Nishija Unnikrishnan ◽  
Thomas Paul Kattookaran
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Public Investment ◽  
Impulse Response Function ◽  
Decomposition Analysis ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Infrastructure Investment ◽  
Public Infrastructure ◽  
Public And Private ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Impact

Literature presents contradictory views regarding the impact of public and private investment on the economic growth of a country. India being a developing country, where the major share of investment is by public sector, the question which props up is what among public and private investment is contributing more towards the economic growth of the country. In this framework, the gross domestic product (GDP) can be fairly explained as a function of public infrastructure investment and private infrastructure investment. Johansen’s co-integration was used to test the long-run relationship between the variables over the period from 1961–1962 to 2016–2017. A vector error correction model (VECM) along with an impulse response function and variance decomposition analysis was done to measure the impact of public infrastructure investment and private infrastructure investment on the GDP. Based on the empirical evidence discussed earlier, it was evident that both public and private infrastructure investments have a significant impact on the economic growth of the nation. Findings which came up in this study correlate to majority findings of past literature that, when compared with public investment, it is private investment which is capable of giving a better impetus to economic growth.

INVESTING IN PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE: ROADS OR SCHOOLS?

2019 ◽  
pp. 1-30 ◽  
Author(s):  
Manoj Atolia ◽  
Bin Grace Li ◽  
Ricardo Marto ◽  
Giovanni Melina
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Equilibrium Model ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Thought Experiment ◽  
Public Investment ◽  
Scale Up ◽  
Public Infrastructure ◽  
Dynamic General Equilibrium Model ◽  
The Government

Why do governments in developing economies favor roads rather than schools in public investment scale-ups? We study this question using a dynamic general equilibrium model and argue that the different pace at which roads and schools contribute to economic growth, public debt intolerance, and political myopia are central to this decision. In a thought experiment with a large return differential in favor of schools, a benevolent government would intuitively devote the majority of an investment scale-up to them. However, the fraction of schools chosen by the government falls with increasing levels of debt intolerance and political myopia. In particular, political myopia is a meaningful explanation for the observed result to the extent that an extremely myopic government would not invest in schools at all.

scholarly journals DEA Game Cross-Efficiency Model to Urban Public Infrastructure Investment Comprehensive Efficiency of China

2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yu Sun ◽  
Huixia Huang ◽  
Chi Zhou
Keyword(s):  
Evaluation Model ◽  
Infrastructure Investment ◽  
Investment Efficiency ◽  
Investment Fund ◽  
Public Infrastructure ◽  
Investment Funds ◽  
Capital Cities ◽  
Self Evaluation ◽  
The Game Theory ◽  
Application Data

In managerial application, data envelopment analysis (DEA) is used by numerous studies to evaluate performances and solve the allocation problem. As the problem of infrastructure investment becomes more and more important in Chinese cities, it is of vital necessity to evaluate the investment efficiency and assign the fund. In practice, there are competitions among cities due to the scarcity of investment funds. However, the traditional DEA model is a pure self-evaluation model without considering the impacts of the other decision-making units (DMUs). Even though using the cross-efficiency model can figure out the best multiplier bundle for the unit and other DMUs, the solution is not unique. Therefore, this paper introduces the game theory into DEA cross-efficiency model to evaluate the infrastructure investment efficiency when cities compete with each other. In this paper, we analyze the case involving 30 provincial capital cities of China. And the result shows that the approach can accomplish a unique and efficient solution for each city (DMU) after the investment fund is allocated as an input variable.

Thai Public Capital Budget and Management Process

2019 ◽  
pp. 206-235
Author(s):  
Arwiphawee Srithongrung ◽  
Kenneth A. Kriz
Keyword(s):  
Local Governments ◽  
Public Investment ◽  
Public Capital ◽  
Capital Budgeting ◽  
Infrastructure Investment ◽  
Budget Process ◽  
Public Infrastructure ◽  
The Public ◽  
Debt Capacity

This chapter describes the public capital budgeting process in Thailand. Public infrastructure is very centralized; local governments do not play a large role in public infrastructure investment. The country's long-term physical planning is fragmented and lacks an effective long-term fiscal planning. The budget process is dominated by senior civil servants in the Bureau of the Budget, the Ministry of Finance, Bank of Thailand, and the National Economic and Social Development Board. Expensive projects financed by long-term debt bypass the budget process, and as a result, a comprehensive list of annually approved projects is unavailable to the public. This leads to public investment being driven almost entirely by debt capacity. Because of these factors, Thai governments have invested too little in public infrastructure, and the infrastructure investment is uneven across sectors.

Estimating the Efficiency of Public Infrastructure Investment: A State-wise Analysis

2018 ◽  
Vol 19 (4) ◽  
pp. 1037-1049 ◽  
Author(s):  
Manvi Saxena ◽  
Varun Chotia ◽  
N.V. Muralidhar Rao
Keyword(s):  
Public Investment ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Infrastructure Investment ◽  
State Governments ◽  
Public Infrastructure ◽  
State Budget ◽  
The Public ◽  
Analysis Technique ◽  
Indian State ◽  
Using Data

The objective of this study is to empirically analyse the relationship between public infrastructure investment and economic growth for India using yearly data for its 28 states (excluding Telangana). We have taken six major sub-sectors falling under infrastructure sector: transport; education, sports, arts and culture; energy; medical and public health; telecommunication; and water supply and sanitation. We have aimed to analyse the efficiency of each of these sub-sectors using data envelopment analysis (DEA). For every state, we have used the public investment data from the state budget files as input while sector-specific infrastructural criterions and sector-wise revenue are taken as outputs. We have gone by the logic that a state’s particular sub-sector of infrastructure will be highly efficient if it is able to use up the investment allotted to it and create a stronger infrastructure as compared to other states, subsequently generating higher amount of revenues. For each sector, various infrastructural criteria were clubbed together using principal component analysis technique to construct a single infrastructure index (representing the sector-wise output). Further, DEA was applied to calculate efficiency for each Indian state and they were ranked based on their efficiency scores. The analysis tells us that policy-making and budget allocation may be done in accordance with standing performances of different states in various sectors and the goals of the respective state governments.

scholarly journals On the Effects of Infrastructure Investment on Economic Performance in Ontario

2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Alfredo Marvao Pereira ◽  
Rui Manuel Pereira
Keyword(s):  
Economic Performance ◽  
Public Investment ◽  
Methodological Approach ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Infrastructure Investment ◽  
Public Infrastructure ◽  
Transit Systems ◽  
Vector Autoregressive ◽  
Dynamic Time ◽  
The Impact

Over the past decade, Ontario has seen a renewal in efforts to stimulate economic growth by investing in infrastructures. In this paper, we analyze the impact of public infrastructure investment on economic performance in this province. We use a multivariate dynamic time series methodological approach, based on the use of vector autoregressive models to estimate the elasticities and marginal products of six different types of public infrastructure assets on private investment, employment and output. We find that all types of public investment crowd in private investment while investment in highways, roads, and bridges crowds out employment. We also find that all types of public investment, with the exception of highways, roads and bridges, have a positive effect on output. The relatively large range of results estimated for the impact of each of the different public infrastructure types suggests that a targeted approach to the design of infrastructure investment policy is required. Infrastructure investment in transit systems and health facilities display the highest returns for output and the largest effects on employment and labor productivity. In terms of the nature of the empirical results presented here it would be important to highlight the fact that investments in health infrastructures as well as investments in education infrastructures are of great relevance. This is a pattern consistent with the mounting international evidence on the importance of human capital for long term economic performance.

scholarly journals Moving to Higher Ground: Migration Response to Natural Disasters in the Early Twentieth Century

2012 ◽  
Vol 102 (3) ◽  
pp. 238-244 ◽  
Author(s):  
Leah Platt Boustan ◽  
Matthew E Kahn ◽  
Paul W Rhode
Keyword(s):  
Twentieth Century ◽  
Natural Disasters ◽  
New Deal ◽  
Public Investment ◽  
Infrastructure Investment ◽  
Public Infrastructure ◽  
Migration Data ◽  
Self Protection ◽  
The New Deal ◽  
Migration Response

Areas differ in their propensity to experience natural disasters. Exposure to disaster risks can be reduced either through migration (i.e., self-protection) or through public infrastructure investment (e.g., building seawalls). Using migration data from the 1920s and 1930s, this paper studies how the population responded to disaster shocks in an era of minimal public investment. We find that, on net, young men move away from areas hit by tornados but are attracted to areas experiencing floods. Early efforts to protect against future flooding, especially during the New Deal era of the late 1930s, may have counteracted an individual migration response.

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