Ischemic Stroke in Patients With Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy According to Presence or Absence of Atrial Fibrillation

Stroke ◽  
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Laurent Fauchier ◽  
Arnaud Bisson ◽  
Alexandre Bodin ◽  
Julien Herbert ◽  
Pascal Spiesser ◽  
...  

Background and Purpose: Patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) have high risk of ischemic stroke (IS), especially if atrial fibrillation (AF) is present. Improvements in risk stratification are needed to help identify those patients with HCM at higher risk of stroke, whether AF is present or not. Methods: This French longitudinal cohort study from the database covering hospital care from 2010 to 2019 analyzed adults hospitalized with isolated HCM. A logistic regression model was used to construct a French HCM score, which was compared with the HCM Risk-CVA and CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc scores using c-indexes and calibration analysis. Results: In 32 206 patients with isolated HCM, 12 498 (38.8%) had AF, and 2489 (7.7%) sustained an IS during follow-up. AF in patients with HCM was independently associated with a higher risk for death (hazard ratio, 1.129 [95% CI, 1.088–1.172]), cardiovascular death (hazard ratio, 1.254 [95% CI, 1.177–1.337]), IS (hazard ratio, 1.210 [95% CI, 1.111–1.317]), and other major cardiovascular events. Independent predictors of IS in HCM were older age, heart failure, AF, prior IS, smoking and poor nutrition (all P <0.05). For the HCM Risk-CVA score, CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc score and a French HCM score, all c-indexes were 0.65 to 0.70, with good calibration. Among patients with AF, the CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc score had marginal improvement over the HCM Risk-CVA score but was less predictive compared with the French HCM score ( P =0.001). In patients without AF, both HCM Risk-CVA score and the French HCM score had significantly better prediction compared with CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc (both P <0.0001). Decision curve analysis demonstrated that the French HCM score had the best clinical usefulness of the 3 tested risk scores. Conclusions: Patients with HCM have a high prevalence of AF and a significant risk of IS, and the presence of AF in patients with HCM was independently associated with worse outcomes. A simple French HCM score shows good prediction of IS in patients with HCM and clinical usefulness, with good calibration.

2021 ◽  
Vol 42 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
L Fauchier ◽  
A Bisson ◽  
A Bodin ◽  
J Herbert ◽  
P H Spiesser ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) have high risk of death related to cardiovascular (CV) death. Improvements in risk stratification are needed to help identify those HCM patients at higher risk of all-cause death and cardiovascular death. Methods This French longitudinal cohort study from the database covering hospital care from 2010 to 2019 analyzed adultshospitalized with isolated HCM. The overall sample of 52,091 patients was randomly partitioned into derivation (n=26,067) and validation (n=26,024) populations. A logistic regression model was used to construct HCM death and CV-death scores in the derivation sample, which were compared to the Charlson index, Frailty index and CHA2DS2VASc scores using c-indexes and calibration analysis. Results In 52,091 patients with isolated HCM, 12,676 (24.0%) died during follow-up of 3.0±2.8 years (median 2.3, interquartile range 0.4–5.0). Rate of all-cause death was 8.10%/year (7.96–8.24) and was 2.76%/year (2.68–2.84) for CV death.Independent predictors of CV death in HCM were older age, diabetes mellitus, heart failure, history of pulmonary edema, atrial fibrillation, ventricular tachycardia or fibrillation, ischemic stroke, while smoking and poor nutrition were associated with better survival (all p&lt;0.05). In addition to these, male sex, vascular disease, alcohol related diagnoses, kidney disease, lung disease, liver disease anemia and cancer were independent predictors of all-cause death. In the derivation cohort, c-indexes for the HCM death score were 0.720 (0.713–0.727) for all-cause death and 0.695 (0.685–0.705) for CV death. For the HCM CV-death score, c-indexes were 0.679 (0.671–0.686) for all-cause death and 0.723 (0.712–0.733) for CV death. Performances were very similar in the validation cohort. Both scores had good calibrations. Charlson and Frailty indexes however had a better clinical usefulness than the HCM death score and HCM CV-death scores for predicting all-cause death. Decision curve analysis for CV death demonstrated that the HCM CV-death score had the best clinical usefulness of all the tested risk scores. Conclusion HCM patients have a high risk of all-cause and CV mortality. Independent predictors of CV-mortality in HCM were used to derive and validate a simple risk prediction model (French HCM CV-mortality score) which performed better than clinical scores, Charlson Index and Frailty Index; showing the best clinical usefulness, with good calibration. FUNDunding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (13) ◽  
pp. 2869
Author(s):  
Indah Jamtani ◽  
Kwang-Woong Lee ◽  
Yun-Hee Choi ◽  
Young-Rok Choi ◽  
Jeong-Moo Lee ◽  
...  

This study aimed to create a tailored prediction model of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC)-specific survival after transplantation based on pre-transplant parameters. Data collected from June 2006 to July 2018 were used as a derivation dataset and analyzed to create an HCC-specific survival prediction model by combining significant risk factors. Separate data were collected from January 2014 to June 2018 for validation. The prediction model was validated internally and externally. The data were divided into three groups based on risk scores derived from the hazard ratio. A combination of patient demographic, laboratory, radiological data, and tumor-specific characteristics that showed a good prediction of HCC-specific death at a specific time (t) were chosen. Internal and external validations with Uno’s C-index were 0.79 and 0.75 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.65–0.86), respectively. The predicted survival after liver transplantation for HCC (SALT) at a time “t” was calculated using the formula: [1 − (HCC-specific death(t’))] × 100. The 5-year HCC-specific death and recurrence rates in the low-risk group were 2% and 5%; the intermediate-risk group was 12% and 14%, and in the high-risk group were 71% and 82%. Our HCC-specific survival predictor named “SALT calculator” could provide accurate information about expected survival tailored for patients undergoing transplantation for HCC.


2018 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 159-166 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kumar Mukherjee ◽  
Khalid M Kamal

Background Atrial fibrillation is a significant risk factor for ischemic stroke and increases cost of treatment. Aims To estimate the incremental inpatient cost and length of stay due to atrial fibrillation among adults hospitalized with a primary diagnosis of ischemic stroke after controlling for sociodemographic, clinical, and hospital characteristics in a nationally representative discharge record of US population. Methods Hospital discharge records with a primary diagnosis of ischemic stroke were identified from the National Inpatient Sample data for the years 2010–2013. Generalized linear model with log link and least-square means were utilized to estimate the incremental inpatient cost and length of stay in ischemic stroke due to atrial fibrillation after controlling for sociodemographic, clinical, and hospital characteristics. Results Among 434,544 hospital discharge records with a primary diagnosis of ischemic stroke, 90,190 (20.76%) discharge records had a secondary diagnosis of atrial fibrillation. The average inpatient cost for all discharge records with a primary diagnosis of ischemic stroke was (mean = $13,072, median = $9270.87) significantly (p < 0.0001) higher compared to all discharge records without ischemic stroke (mean = $12,543.07, median = $7517.13). The mean length of stay for all records was 4.55 days (95% CI = 4.53–4.56). Among those identified with ischemic stroke, adjusted mean inpatient cost was higher by $2829 (95% CI = $2708–$2949) and mean length of stay was greater by 0.85 (95% CI = 0.81–0.89) for those with atrial fibrillation compared to those without. Conclusions The presence of atrial fibrillation was associated with increased inpatient cost and length of stay among patients diagnosed with ischemic stroke. Increased inpatient cost and length of stay call for a more comprehensive patient care approach including targeted interventions among adults diagnosed with ischemic stroke and atrial fibrillation, which could potentially reduce the overall cost in this population.


2021 ◽  
Vol 42 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Y Cottin ◽  
B.M Ben Messaoud ◽  
H Yao ◽  
G Laurent ◽  
A Bisson ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) and heart failure (HF) often coexist and are closely intertwined, each condition worsening the other. The temporal relationships between these two disorders have not yet been fully explored. We assessed, on a nationwide scale, the prognosis of patients hospitalized with HF and AF, based on the timing of AF and HF development. Methods From the administrative database covering hospital care for the whole French population, we identified 1,349,638 patients diagnosed with both AF and HF between 2010 and 2018: 956,086 of these AF patients developed HF first (prevalent HF) and 393,552 developed HF after AF (incident HF). The outcome analysis (all-cause death, cardiovascular [CV] death, ischemic stroke or hospitalization for HF) was performed with follow-up starting at the time of last event between AF or HF in the whole cohort and in 427,848 propensity-score-matched patients (213,924 with incident HF and 213,924 with prevalent HF). Results During follow-up (mean follow-up 1.6±1.9 year), matched patients with prevalent HF had a higher risk of all-cause death (21.6 vs 19.2%/year), CV death (7.6 vs 6.5%/year) as well as non-cardiovascular death (13.9 vs 12.7%/year) than those with incident HF. The risk for ischemic stroke was lower in the prevalent HF group (1.2 vs 2.4%/year). Conclusion In patients hospitalized with both AF and HF, we identified two distinct clinical entities based on the chronological sequence of the two disorders. Patients in whom HF preceded AF (prevalent HF) had higher mortality and higher risk of rehospitalization for HF. FUNDunding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dicken Kong ◽  
Jiandong Zhou ◽  
Sharen Lee ◽  
Keith Sai Kit Leung ◽  
Tong Liu ◽  
...  

AbstractBackgroundIn this territory-wide, observational, propensity score-matched cohort study, we evaluate the development of transient ischaemic attack and ischaemic stroke (TIA/Ischaemic stroke) in patients with AF treated with edoxaban or warfarin.MethodsThis was an observational, territory-wide cohort study of patients between January 1st, 2016 and December 31st, 2019, in Hong Kong. The inclusion were patients with i) atrial fibrillation, and ii) edoxaban or warfarin prescription. 1:2 propensity score matching was performed between edoxaban and warfarin users. Univariate Cox regression identifies significant risk predictors of the primary, secondary and safety outcomes. Hazard ratios (HRs) with corresponding 95% confidence interval [CI] and p values were reported.ResultsThis cohort included 3464 patients (54.18% males, median baseline age: 72 years old, IQR: 63-80, max: 100 years old), 664 (19.17%) with edoxaban use and 2800 (80.83%) with warfarin use. After a median follow-up of 606 days (IQR: 306-1044, max: 1520 days), 91(incidence rate: 2.62%) developed TIA/ischaemic stroke: 1.51% (10/664) in the edoxaban group and 2.89% (81/2800) in the warfarin group. Edoxaban was associated with a lower risk of TIA or ischemic stroke when compared to warfarin.ConclusionsEdoxaban use was associated with a lower risk of TIA or ischemic stroke after propensity score matching for demographics, comorbidities and medication use.


Circulation ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 130 (suppl_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sara Aspberg ◽  
Yuchiao Chang ◽  
Daniel Singer

Introduction: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a major risk factor for acute ischemic stroke (AIS). Anticoagulation therapy (OAC) effectively prevents AIS, but increases bleeding risk. There is a need for better AIS risk prediction to optimize the anticoagulation decision in AF. The ATRIA stroke risk score (ATRIA) (table) was superior to CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc in two large California community AF cohorts. We now report the performance of the 3 scores in a very large Swedish AF cohort. Methods: The cohort consisted of all Swedish patients hospitalized with a diagnosis of AF from July 1, 2005 to December 31, 2008. Predictor variables and the outcome, AIS, were obtained from inpatient ICD-10 codes. Warfarin use was determined from National Pharmacy Database. Risk scores were assessed via c-index (C) and net reclassification index (NRI). Results: The cohort included 158,370 AF patients off warfarin who contributed 340,332 person-years of follow-up, and 11,823 incident AIS, for an overall AIS rate of 3.47%/yr, higher than the 2%/yr seen in the California cohorts. Using the entire point score, ATRIA had a good C of 0.712 (0.708-0.716), significantly better than CHADS2, 0.694 (0.689-0.698), or CHA2DS2-VASc, 0.697 (0.693-0.702). Using published cut-points for Low/Moderate/High AIS risk, C deteriorated for all scores but ATRIA and CHADS2 were superior to CHA2DS2-VASc. NRI favored ATRIA; 0.16 (0.15-0.18) versus CHADS2; 0.22 (0.21-0.24) versus CHA2DS2-VASc. However, NRI decreased to near-zero when cut-points were altered to better fit the cohort’s stroke rates. Conclusion: Findings in this large Swedish AF cohort validate those in the California AF cohorts, with the ATRIA score predicting stroke risk better than CHADS2 or CHA2DS2-VASc. However, relative performance of the categorical scores varied by population stroke risk. Knowledge about this population risk may be needed to optimize cut-points on the multipoint scores to achieve better net clinical benefit from OAC.


2018 ◽  
Vol 45 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 170-179 ◽  
Author(s):  
Keisuke Tokunaga ◽  
Hiroshi Yamagami ◽  
Masatoshi Koga ◽  
Kenichi Todo ◽  
Kazumi Kimura ◽  
...  

Background: We aimed to clarify associations between pre-admission risk scores (CHADS2, CHA2DS2-VASc, and HAS-BLED) and 2-year clinical outcomes in ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA) patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) using a prospective, multicenter, observational registry. Methods: From 18 Japanese stroke centers, ischemic stroke or TIA patients with NVAF hospitalized within 7 days after onset were enrolled. Outcome measures were defined as death/disability (modified Rankin Scale score ≥3) at 2 years, 2-year mortality, and ischemic or hemorrhagic events within 2 years. Results: A total of 1,192 patients with NVAF (527 women; mean age, 78 ± 10 years), including 1,141 ischemic stroke and 51 TIA, were analyzed. Rates of death/disability, mortality, and ischemic or hemorrhagic events increased significantly with increasing pre-admission CHADS2 (p for trend <0.001 for death/disability and mortality, p for trend = 0.024 for events), CHA2DS2-VASc (p for trend <0.001 for all), and HAS-BLED (p for trend = 0.004 for death/disability, p for trend <0.001 for mortality, p for trend = 0.024 for events) scores. Pre-admission CHADS2 (OR per 1 point, 1.52; 95% CI 1.35–1.71; p <0.001 for death/disability; hazard ratio (HR) per 1 point, 1.23; 95% CI 1.12–1.35; p <0.001 for mortality; HR per 1 point, 1.14; 95% CI 1.02–1.26; p = 0.016 for events), CHA2DS2-VASc (1.55, 1.41–1.72, p < 0.001; 1.21, 1.12–1.30, p < 0.001; 1.17, 1.07–1.27, p < 0.001; respectively), and HAS-BLED (1.33, 1.17–1.52, p < 0.001; 1.23, 1.10–1.38, p < 0.001; 1.18, 1.05–1.34, p = 0.008; respectively) scores were independently associated with all outcome measures. Conclusions: In ischemic stroke or TIA patients with NVAF, all pre-admission risk scores were independently associated with death/disability at 2 years and 2-year mortality, as well as ischemic or hemorrhagic events within 2 years.


Author(s):  
John Berntsson ◽  
Xinjun Li ◽  
Bengt Zöller ◽  
Andreas Martinsson ◽  
Pontus Andell ◽  
...  

Background It remains unclear whether heritable factors can contribute to risk stratification for ischemic stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). We examined whether having a sibling with ischemic stroke was associated with increased risk of ischemic stroke and mortality in patients with AF . Methods and Results In this nationwide study of the Swedish population, patients with AF and their siblings were identified from the Swedish patient registers and the Swedish MGR (Multi‐Generation Register). Ischemic stroke events were retrieved from the Swedish patient registers and CDR (Cause of Death Register). Risk of ischemic stroke was compared between patients with AF with and without a sibling affected by ischemic stroke, AF , or both ischemic stroke and AF . The total study population comprised 113 988 subjects (mean age, 60±12 years) diagnosed with AF between 1989 and 2012. In total, 11 709 of them were diagnosed with a first ischemic stroke and 20 097 died during a mean follow‐up time of 5.5 years for ischemic stroke and 5.9 years for mortality. After adjustment for covariates having a sibling with ischemic stroke, or both ischemic stroke and AF , was associated with increased risk of ischemic stroke (hazard ratio, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.23–1.40 or hazard ratio, 1.36; 95% CI , 1.24–1.49, respectively). Furthermore, ischemic stroke in a sibling was associated with all‐cause mortality (hazard ratio, 1.09; 95% CI , 1.05–1.14). In contrast, the risk of stroke was only marginally increased for patients with AF with a spouse affected by ischemic stroke. Conclusions Having a sibling affected by ischemic stroke confers an increased risk of ischemic stroke and death independently of traditional risk factors in patients with AF.


2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
M Iguchi ◽  
N Masunaga ◽  
M Ishii ◽  
Y An ◽  
M Esato ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Relationship between pulse rate (PR) and cardiac events in patients with sustained (persistent and permanent) atrial fibrillation (AF) in routine clinical practice remains unclear. Methods The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of the AF patients in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto. Follow-up data were available for 4,454 patients, and we obtained PR at baseline in 2,209 patients of 2,248 sustained AF patients. We divided these patients into four groups based on their PR; G1 (PR≥100 bpm, n=249), G2 (80 bpm≤PR<100 bpm, n=821), G3 (60 bpm≤PR<80 bpm, n=986), and G4 (PR<60 bpm, n=153), and examined the relationship between PR and cardiac events (composite of cardiovascular death and hospitalization for heart failure (HF)). Results Proportion of female and symptomatic AF were more in G1 group, and diastolic blood pressure was higher in G1 group, despite that systolic blood pressure was similar between the four groups. Prevalence of anemia was higher in G1 group, and that of chronic kidney disease was higher in G4 group. Prevalence of HF and left ventricular dysfunction tended to be higher in G1 group but not statistically significant. Beta-blockers and non-dihydropyridine calcium blockers were more often prescribed in G1 group. During the median follow-up of 1,449 days, cardiac events occurred in 399 patients (358 hospitalization for HF and 41 cardiovascular death). In Kaplan-Meier analysis, the incidence of cardiac events were comparable between the four groups (p=0.3). The incidence of all cause death (p=0.06) and stroke or systemic embolism (p=0.4) was also similar between the four groups. The incidence of cardiac events did not differ between the four groups when we divided the patients based on the presence of HF at baseline, and the incidence of cardiac events was also comparable between the four groups after adjusting potential confounders. However, when we examined the impact of PR according to 10 bpm increment, patients with very low PR (<50 bpm) (hazard ratio [95% confidence intervals], 2.22 [1.04–4.15]) and very high PR (≥110 bpm) (hazard ratio [95% confidence intervals], 1.67 [1.00–2.64]) had higher incidence of cardiac events than patients with PR of 70–79 bpm (Figure). Furthermore, we acquired the annual follow-up data of PR. Mean PR during the follow-up periods was not different between patients with cardiac events and those without (with vs without, 79.5±15.3 bpm vs 79.7±12.7 bpm; p=0.8), whereas maximum PR was less in patients with cardiac events (85.2±17.5 bpm vs 89.3±16.2 bpm; p<0.0001). Patients with maximum PR<60 bpm showed higher incidence of cardiac events, and the incidence of cardiac events was the lowest in patients with maximum PR of 80 to 99 bpm (maximum PR<60 bpm: 31.3%, 60–79 bpm: 24.5%, 80–99 bpm: 14.5%, 100 bpm: 16.1%; P<ehz746.03881). Conclusion PR did not appear to have strong impact on cardiac events in patients with sustained AF. However, low PR might be a risk for developing cardiac events. Acknowledgement/Funding Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development, AMED (15656344, 16768811), Boehringer Ingelheim, Bayer Healthcare, Pfizer, Bristol-Myers Squibb


Stroke ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 51 (5) ◽  
pp. 1364-1371
Author(s):  
Charlotte Andreasen ◽  
Gunnar H. Gislason ◽  
Lars Køber ◽  
Jawdat Abdulla ◽  
Andreas Martinsson ◽  
...  

Background and Purpose— Aortic valve stenosis may lead to atrial and ventricular remodeling, predisposes to atrial fibrillation, and may also be an independent risk factor of ischemic stroke. However, information on stroke rates among persons with aortic valve stenosis are sparse. We aimed to determine the incidence rates and relative risks of ischemic stroke in individuals with diagnosed aortic valve stenosis compared with age- and sex-matched controls. Methods— All patients with incident aortic valve stenosis aged >18 years (n=79 310) and age- and sex-matched controls were identified using the Danish nationwide registries (1997–2017). Incidence rates per 1000 person-years (PY) and multivariable adjusted hazard ratios with 95% CIs were reported. Results— In total, 873 373 individuals (median age 77 years, 51.5% men, 9.1% with aortic valve stenosis) were included. Ischemic stroke occurred in 70 205 (8.0%) individuals during 4 880 862 PY of follow-up. Incidence rates of ischemic stroke were 13.3/1000 PY among the controls compared with 30.4/1000 PY in patients with aortic valve stenosis, corresponding to a hazard ratio of 1.31 (95% CI, 1.28–1.34). In all age-groups, the incidence rates and relative risks were significantly increased in patients with aortic valve stenosis compared with controls, but the relative risk was greater for younger individuals (eg, age group, 18–45 years: hazard ratio, 5.94 [95% CI, 4.10–8.36]). In patients with aortic valve stenosis above 65 years of age, the risk of ischemic stroke was markedly lower after aortic valve replacement (30.3 versus 19.6/1000 PY before and after valve replacement). Among people with atrial fibrillation the incidence rate of ischemic stroke was 1.5 times higher when aortic valve stenosis was present (33.0/1000 PY versus 49.9/1000 PY). Conclusions— People with aortic valve stenosis have a significantly increased risk of ischemic stroke compared with age- and sex-matched controls. Future studies are warranted to explore whether antithrombotic therapy may be beneficial in some individuals.


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