Prognostic Value of Cystatin C-Derived Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate in Patients with Acute Heart Failure

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 232-242 ◽  
Author(s):  
Se Yong Jang ◽  
Dong Heon Yang ◽  
Hyeon Jeong Kim ◽  
Bo Eun Park ◽  
Yoon Jung Park ◽  
...  

Background: Renal function is closely related to cardiac function and an important prognostic marker in heart failure. Objective: We aimed to test the prognostic value of cystatin C (cysC)-derived estimated glomerular filtration rates (eGFR) in comparison with eGFRs from creatinine solely based equations in patients with acute heart failure (AHF). Methods: This study included 262 patients (65.8 ± 14.9 years old, 126 male) with AHF. Prognostic value of the eGFRs, from cysC-based equations chronic kidney disease epidemiology collaboration (CKD-EPI-cysC and CKD-EPI-creatinine [cr]-cysC equations) were compared with eGFRs calculated from serum creatinine levels only (Modification of Diet in Renal Disease [MDRD]-4 and CKD-EPI-cr equations). Prognosis was evaluated with the composite of all-cause mortality and hospitalization for heart failure within 1 year. Results: During the follow-up period (mean follow-up period, 264.0 ± 136.1 days), 67 (25.6%) events occurred. Estimated GFR using CKD-EPI-cysC was the best for predicting 1-year outcome using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis (area under curve 0.585, 0.607, 0.669, and 0.652 for eGFRs from MDRD-4, CKD-EPI-cr, CKD-EPI-cysC, and CKD-EPI-cr-cysC respectively). The Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis showed that only the eGFRs classification from the equations based on cysC significantly predicted 1-year outcome in patients with AHF. Conclusions: Estimated GFRs calculated with cysC predicted the prognosis more accurately in patients with AHF than the eGFRs from creatinine only equations.

Circulation ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 142 (Suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hao T Phan

Introduction: The presence of acute kidney injury in the setting of acute heart failure (AHF) or acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) is very common occurrence and was termed cardiorenal syndrome 1 (CRS1). Renal dysfunction is common in patients with AHF or ADHF and is associated with significant early and late morbidity and mortality. Neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) is an early predictor of acute kidney injury and adverse events in various diseases; however, in AHF or ADHF patients, its significance remains poorly understood. This study was aimed to evaluate the 12 month prognostic value of plasma NGAL in AHF or ADHF patients Hypothesis: plasma NGAL has value in prognosis of 12-month all-cause mortality of Acute Heart Failure or Acute Decompensated Heart Failure Methods: This was a prospective cohort study Results: there were 46 all-cause mortality cases (rate 33.1%) 12 months follow up after discharge. There were 11 cases (rate 7.9%) lost to follow-up; mean age 66.12 ± 15.77, men accounted for 50.4%. The optimal cut-off of NGAL for 12-month all-cause mortality prognosis was > 383.74 ng/ml, AUC 0.632 (95% CI 0.53-0.74, p = 0.011), sensitivity 58.7 %, specificity 68.29 %, positive predictive value 50.9%, negative predictive value 74.7%. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that the high plasma NGAL (≥ 400 ng/ml) group exhibited a worse prognosis than the low plasma NGAL (< 400 ng/ml) group in 12-month all-cause death (Hazard Ratio 2.56; 95%CI 1.35-4.84, P=0.0039. Independent predictors of 12-month all-cause-mortality were identified using multivarable Cox proportional-hazards regression models with backward-stepwise selection method consisted of two variables: level of NGAL, mechanical ventialtion at admission. Conclusions: Plasma NGAL and mechanical ventilation at admission were independent predictors of 12-month all-cause mortality in patients with AHF or ADHF. The survival probability 12-month follow-up of high level NGAL (≥ 400 ng/ml) groups were lower than that of low level NGAL (<400 ng/ml,), difference was statistically significant χ2 = 8.31; p = 0.0047 by Kaplan-Meier curves.


2014 ◽  
Vol 60 (3) ◽  
pp. 481-489 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elisabet Zamora ◽  
Josep Lupón ◽  
Marta de Antonio ◽  
Joan Vila ◽  
Judith Peñafiel ◽  
...  

Abstract BACKGROUND Correct estimation of renal function is crucial in assessing prognosis of patients with heart failure (HF). Recently, two new equations have been proposed to calculate estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) with cystatin C alone or both creatinine and cystatin C. We assessed the prognostic value of eGFR estimated by these new equations in outpatients with HF. METHODS The study included 879 patients with median age, 70.4 years; main etiology of HF ischemic heart disease, 52.7%; and median LVEF, 34%. RESULTS eGFR estimates by the new equations correlated significantly with eGFR estimates from previous equations, with the best correlation observed between the 2 equations containing cystatin C [intraclass correlation coefficient 0.95 (95% confidence interval 0.94–0.95)]. During a median follow-up of 3.94 years, 371 patients died. The Chronic Kidney Disease-Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equations containing cystatin C were found to be best for predicting death [area under the ROC curve 0.685 for CKD-EPI-cystatin C and 0.672 for CKD-EPI-creatinine-cystatin C vs 0.632 for simplified Modification of Diet in Renal Disease Study traceable to isotope dilution mass spectrometry and 0.643 for CKD-EPI (all P &lt; 0.001)]. The CKD-EPI-cystatin C equations also showed significantly better calibration and reclassification measurements for both integrated discrimination improvement and net reclassification improvement in predicting death (P &lt; 0.001). Reclassification with these new equations was particularly better in the subgroup with intermediate eGFR [45–74 mL · min−1 · (1.73 m2)−1]. CONCLUSIONS The two new CKD-EPI equations containing cystatin C are useful for HF risk stratification and show better prognostic performance than creatinine-only based eGFR equations, mostly in patients with intermediate eGFR. These equations seem appropriate for assessing prognosis of HF patients with moderate renal insufficiency.


2017 ◽  
Vol 50 (18) ◽  
pp. 1007-1013 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tobias Breidthardt ◽  
Zaid Sabti ◽  
Ronny Ziller ◽  
Frank Rassouli ◽  
Raphael Twerenbold ◽  
...  

2012 ◽  
Vol 25 (5) ◽  
pp. 625-625
Author(s):  
Wei-fu OU-YANG ◽  
Wen-qiang JIANG ◽  
Mei-qun HUANG ◽  
Lian-zhen YE ◽  
Min-jing CHEN

2021 ◽  
Vol 42 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
F Valente ◽  
J Gavara ◽  
M Calvo ◽  
P Rello ◽  
M Maymi ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Acute infarct size is a predictor of clinical outcomes in acute ST segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients, although its prognostic value has differed between studies. In acute STEMI, infarct size is often overestimated due to the presence of extensive myocardial oedema, a confounder that is no longer present at a 6-month follow-up study. It was our purpose to assess whether infarct size in the acute phase or at 6-months follow-up provided superior prognostic information in STEMI patients. Methods STEMI patients who underwent successful primary percutaneous revascularization were included and a cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) was performed between 5–7 days after STEMI and at 6 months to study infarct size (as a % of myocardial mass). The primary endpoint was a composite of cardiovascular mortality, hospitalization for heart failure and ventricular arrhythmia. Results A total of 796 patients were included (mean age 58.3±11.5 years, 82.4% male, 52.3% anterior infarction). During a mean follow-up of 59 months, 59 patients (7.4%) presented with the primary end-point (cardiovascular death n=7, hospitalization for heart failure n=52, ventricular arrhythmia n=1). ROC curve analysis (figure 1) showed a non-significant difference between baseline and 6-month infarct size for the prediction of the primary endpoint (baseline AUC 0.685 95% CI 0.610–0.760, 6-month AUC 0.713 95% CI 0.643–0.782, p=0.60). Optimal cut-off values for baseline and 6-months follow-up infarct size for prediction of outcomes, respectively 22% and 17.5%, were used for Kaplan-Meier curve analysis (figure 2). Conclusion Infarct size estimated during the first week after STEMI and at 6-months follow-up showed similar predictive value and with similar cut-off values. Therefore, the prognostic information provided by infarct size can be obtained during initial STEMI admission and does not require a waiting period for infarct size stabilization. FUNDunding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None. ROC curve analysis Kaplan-Meier analysis


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