scholarly journals State-Based Switching for Optimal Control of Computer Virus Propagation with External Device Blocking

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qingyi Zhu ◽  
Seng W. Loke ◽  
Ye Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Optimal Control ◽  
Control Strategies ◽  
Minimum Principle ◽  
Optimal Solution ◽  
Computer Virus ◽  
Numerical Results ◽  
Difference Approximation ◽  
External Device ◽  
Virus Propagation ◽  
The Impact

The rapid propagation of computer virus is one of the greatest threats to current cybersecurity. This work deals with the optimal control problem of virus propagation among computers and external devices. To formulate this problem, two control strategies are introduced: (a) external device blocking, which means prohibiting a fraction of connections between external devices and computers, and (b) computer reconstruction, which includes updating or reinstalling of some infected computers. Then the combination of both the impact of infection and the cost of controls is minimized. In contrast with previous works, this paper takes into account a state-based cost weight index in the objection function instead of a fixed one. By using Pontryagin’s minimum principle and a modified forward-backward difference approximation algorithm, the optimal solution of the system is investigated and numerically solved. Then numerical results show the flexibility of proposed approach compared to the regular optimal control. More numerical results are also given to evaluate the performance of our approach with respect to various weight indexes.

scholarly journals Optimal Control of ISTR Rumor Propagation Model with Social Reinforcement in Heterogeneous Network

Complexity ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-15
Author(s):  
Liang’an Huo ◽  
Sijing Chen ◽  
Xiaoxiao Xie ◽  
Huiyuan Liu ◽  
Jianjia He
Keyword(s):  
Optimal Control ◽  
Reproduction Number ◽  
Control Strategies ◽  
Minimum Principle ◽  
Optimal Solution ◽  
Propagation Model ◽  
Social Reinforcement ◽  
Social Stability ◽  
Rumor Propagation ◽  
Rumor Control

The wide spread of rumor is undoubtedly harmful to social stability; we should try to lower the effect of rumor on society. Therefore, it is reasonable to put forward the rumor control strategy on the basis of the study of the law of rumor propagation. Firstly, the ISTR model of rumor is established by including influencing factors of true information spreader and social reinforcement. And by using the next generation matrix method, the basic reproduction number of rumor is obtained. Then, in order to minimize the adverse effects of rumors, through introducing two control strategies of scientific knowledge popularization and refutation of rumors, the optimal control problem is established. And through using Pontryagin’s Minimum Principle, the optimal solution of the rumor propagation model is solved. Finally, through theoretical analysis and numerical simulation, some results can be obtained. The results show that adding true information spreaders into the rumor model can effectively control the rumor propagation, and social reinforcement plays a significance role in rumor. The results also prove that these two control strategies can effectively inhibit the propagation of rumors. With the addition of control strategies, the number of true information spreaders increases, while the number of rumor spreaders decreases.

scholarly journals Data-driven Optimized Control of the COVID-19 Epidemics

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Afroza Shirin ◽  
Yen Ting Lin ◽  
Francesco Sorrentino
Keyword(s):  
Optimal Control ◽  
Control Strategies ◽  
Optimal Solution ◽  
Optimal Level ◽  
Initial Time ◽  
Local Health ◽  
Control Input ◽  
Social Distancing ◽  
Time Period ◽  
The Impact

Optimizing the impact on the economy of control strategies aiming at containing the spread of COVID-19 is a critical challenge. We use daily new case counts of COVID-19 patients reported by local health administrations from different Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) within the US to parametrize a simple model that well describes the propagation of the disease in each area. We then introduce a time-varying control input that represents the level of social distancing imposed on the population of a given area and solve an optimal control problem with the goal of minimizing the impact of social distancing on the economy in the presence of relevant constraints, such as a desired level of suppression for the epidemics at a terminal time. We find that with the exception of the initial time and of the final time, the optimal control input is well approximated by a constant variable which is specific to each area. For all the areas considered, this optimal level corresponds to stricter social distancing than the `current' level estimated from data. Proper selection of the time period for application of the control action optimally is important: depending on the particular MSA this period should be either short or long or intermediate. Finally, we see that small deviations from the optimal solution can lead to dramatic violations of the constraints.

scholarly journals Optimal Control of a Dengue-Dengvaxia Model: Comparison Between Vaccination and Vector Control

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 198-212
Author(s):  
Cheryl Q. Mentuda
Keyword(s):  
Optimal Control ◽  
Vector Control ◽  
Basic Reproduction Number ◽  
Human Population ◽  
Model Comparison ◽  
Reproduction Number ◽  
Control Strategies ◽  
Minimum Principle ◽  
Transmitted Disease ◽  
The Basic Reproduction Number

Abstract Dengue is the most common mosquito-borne viral infection transmitted disease. It is due to the four types of viruses (DENV-1, DENV-2, DENV-3, DENV-4), which transmit through the bite of infected Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus female mosquitoes during the daytime. The first globally commercialized vaccine is Dengvaxia, also known as the CYD-TDV vaccine, manufactured by Sanofi Pasteur. This paper presents a Ross-type epidemic model to describe the vaccine interaction between humans and mosquitoes using an entomological mosquito growth population and constant human population. After establishing the basic reproduction number ℛ0, we present three control strategies: vaccination, vector control, and the combination of vaccination and vector control. We use Pontryagin’s minimum principle to characterize optimal control and apply numerical simulations to determine which strategies best suit each compartment. Results show that vector control requires shorter time applications in minimizing mosquito populations. Whereas vaccinating the primary susceptible human population requires a shorter time compared to the secondary susceptible human.

scholarly journals Modeling the Effects of Helminth Infection on the Transmission Dynamics of Mycobacterium tuberculosis under Optimal Control Strategies

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-21
Author(s):  
Aristide G. Lambura ◽  
Gasper G. Mwanga ◽  
Livingstone Luboobi ◽  
Dmitry Kuznetsov
Keyword(s):  
Optimal Control ◽  
Equilibrium Point ◽  
Drug Administration ◽  
Mass Drug Administration ◽  
Helminth Infection ◽  
Reproduction Number ◽  
Control Strategies ◽  
Active Tuberculosis ◽  
Control Measures ◽  
The Impact

A deterministic mathematical model for the transmission and control of cointeraction of helminths and tuberculosis is presented, to examine the impact of helminth on tuberculosis and the effect of control strategies. The equilibrium point is established, and the effective reproduction number is computed. The disease-free equilibrium point is confirmed to be asymptotically stable whenever the effective reproduction number is less than the unit. The analysis of the effective reproduction number indicates that an increase in the helminth cases increases the tuberculosis cases, suggesting that the control of helminth infection has a positive impact on controlling the dynamics of tuberculosis. The possibility of bifurcation is investigated using the Center Manifold Theorem. Sensitivity analysis is performed to determine the effect of every parameter on the spread of the two diseases. The model is extended to incorporate control measures, and Pontryagin’s Maximum Principle is applied to derive the necessary conditions for optimal control. The optimal control problem is solved numerically by the iterative scheme by considering vaccination of infants for Mtb, treatment of individuals with active tuberculosis, mass drug administration with regular antihelminthic drugs, and sanitation control strategies. The results show that a combination of educational campaign, treatment of individuals with active tuberculosis, mass drug administration, and sanitation is the most effective strategy to control helminth-Mtb coinfection. Thus, to effectively control the helminth-Mtb coinfection, we suggest to public health stakeholders to apply intervention strategies that are aimed at controlling helminth infection and the combination of vaccination of infants and treatment of individuals with active tuberculosis.

scholarly journals Modeling the Impact of Optimal Control Strategies on the Dynamics of Zika Virus Disease Using the Sterile Insect Technology

2020 ◽  
pp. 13-33
Author(s):  
Atokolo William ◽  
Akpa Johnson ◽  
Daniel Musa Alih ◽  
Olayemi Kehinde Samuel ◽  
C. E. Mbah Godwin
Keyword(s):  
Optimal Control ◽  
Control Strategy ◽  
Zika Virus ◽  
Human Population ◽  
Necessary Conditions ◽  
Virus Disease ◽  
Control Strategies ◽  
Control Measures ◽  
Optimal Control Strategy ◽  
The Impact

This work is aimed at formulating a mathematical model for the control of zika virus infection using Sterile Insect Technology (SIT). The model is extended to incorporate optimal control strategy by introducing three control measures. The optimal control is aimed at minimizing the number of Exposed human, Infected human and the total number of Mosquitoes in a population and as such reducing contacts between mosquitoes and human, human to human and above all, eliminates the population of Mosquitoes. The Pontryagin’s maximum principle was used to obtain the necessary conditions, find the optimality system of our model and to obtain solution to the control problem. Numerical simulations result shows that; reduction in the number of Exposed human population, Infected human population and reduction in the entire population of Mosquito population is best achieved using the optimal control strategy.

An Optimal Control Problem of Knowledge Dissemination

2020 ◽  
pp. 461-482
Author(s):  
Pantry Elastic ◽  
Toni Bakhtiar ◽  
Jaharuddin
Keyword(s):  
Optimal Control ◽  
Information Dissemination ◽  
Control Strategies ◽  
Minimum Principle ◽  
Control Model ◽  
Technical Training ◽  
Knowledge Dissemination ◽  
Transfer System ◽  
Pontryagin Minimum Principle

In this chapter, the authors develop an optimal control model of knowledge dissemination among people in the society. The knowledge transfer system is formulated in term of compartmental model, where the society members are categorized into four classes based on knowledge acquisition and their willingness to disseminate. The model is equipped with a set of control variables for process intervening, namely technical training for ignorant-immigrants, information dissemination through social media for solitariants and enthusiants, and technical training for solitariants. Optimality conditions in terms of differential equations system was derived by using Pontryagin minimum principle leading to the characterization of optimal control strategies that minimizing the number of solitariants, enthusiants, and ignorants simultaneously with the control efforts. The sweep method and the fourth order Runge-Kutta algorithm was implemented to numerically solve the equation systems. The effectiveness of the control strategies toward a set of control scenarios was evaluated through examples.

scholarly journals Transmission Dynamics of Hepatitis C with Control Strategies

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-18 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adnan Khan ◽  
Sultan Sial ◽  
Mudassar Imran
Keyword(s):  
Optimal Control ◽  
Hepatitis C ◽  
Deterministic Model ◽  
Control Strategies ◽  
Endemic Equilibrium ◽  
Transmission Dynamics ◽  
Critical Parameters ◽  
Optimal Controls ◽  
Infected Population ◽  
The Impact

We present a rigorous mathematical analysis of a deterministic model, for the transmission dynamics of hepatitis C, using a standard incidence function. The infected population is divided into three distinct compartments featuring two distinct infection stages (acute and chronic) along with an isolation compartment. It is shown that for basic reproduction number R0≤1, the disease-free equilibrium is locally and globally asymptotically stable. The model also has an endemic equilibrium for R0>1. Uncertainty and sensitivity analyses are carried out to identify and study the impact of critical parameters on R0. In addition, we have presented the numerical simulations to investigate the influence of different important parameters on R0. Since we have a locally stable endemic equilibrium, optimal control is applied to the deterministic model to reduce the total infected population. Two different optimal control strategies (vaccination and isolation) are designed to control the disease and reduce the infected population. Pontryagin’s Maximum Principle is used to characterize the optimal controls in terms of an optimality system which is solved numerically. Numerical results for the optimal controls are compared against the constant controls and their effectiveness is discussed.

scholarly journals Optimal Containment Control Strategy of the Second Phase of the COVID-19 Lockdown in Morocco

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (21) ◽  
pp. 7559
Author(s):  
Mustapha Lhous ◽  
Omar Zakary ◽  
Mostafa Rachik ◽  
El Mostafa Magri ◽  
Abdessamad Tridane
Keyword(s):  
Optimal Control ◽  
Least Squares Method ◽  
Control Strategies ◽  
Nonlinear Least Squares ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Contact Tracing ◽  
Second Phase ◽  
Containment Control ◽  
Treatment Measures ◽  
The Impact

This work investigates the optimal control of the second phase of the COVID-19 lockdown in Morocco. The model consists of susceptible, exposed, infected, recovered, and quarantine compartments (SEIRQD model), where we take into account contact tracing, social distancing, quarantine, and treatment measures during the nationwide lockdown in Morocco. First, we present different components of the model and their interactions. Second, to validate our model, the nonlinear least-squares method is used to estimate the model’s parameters by fitting the model outcomes to real data of the COVID-19 in Morocco. Next, to investigate the impact of optimal control strategies on this pandemic in the country. We also give numerical simulations to illustrate and compare the obtained results with the actual situation in Morocco.

scholarly journals The Impact of Media Coverage and Emergency Strategies on the Rumor Spreading

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Liang’an Huo ◽  
Yingying Cheng
Keyword(s):  
Optimal Control ◽  
Media Coverage ◽  
Control Method ◽  
Optimal Solution ◽  
Social Utility ◽  
Nonlinear Dynamic Model ◽  
Rumor Spreading ◽  
Optimal Control Method ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Pontryagin Maximum Principle

On the basis of nonlinear dynamic model, we research the propagation of rumors after emergencies, describe the impact of media coverage and emergency strategies by government on the transmission dynamics of information, and then obtain the basic reproduction number of rumor spreading. In order to overcome the limit of traditional methods of the static decision problem, the dynamic optimal control model for the rumor spreading is proposed based on the theorem of the optimal control. An optimal objective based on the maximum social utility is established and the optimal solution is acquired by using the Pontryagin Maximum Principle. Finally, numerical simulations show that the dynamic optimal control method has obvious superiority in modeling compared with the method without control. By means of the dynamic optimal control of media coverage and emergency strategies for government, the final rumor scale and the peak of spreaders can be effectively reduced.

The impact of neighboring infection on the computer virus spread in packets on scale-free networks

2017 ◽  
Vol 31 (30) ◽  
pp. 1750228 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Lazfi ◽  
S. Lamzabi ◽  
A. Rachadi ◽  
H. Ez-Zahraouy
Keyword(s):  
Infection Rate ◽  
Computer Virus ◽  
Simultaneous Increase ◽  
Virus Propagation ◽  
Scale Free ◽  
Traffic Routing ◽  
Normal Behavior ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Flow Of Information ◽  
Peak Value

In this paper, we introduce the effect of neighbors on the infection of packets by computer virus in the SI and SIR models using the minimal traffic routing protocol. We have applied this model to the Barabasi–Albert network to determine how intrasite and extrasite infection rates affect virus propagation through the traffic flow of information packets in both the free-flow and the congested phases. The numerical results show that when we change the intrasite infection rate [Formula: see text] while keeping constant the extrasite infection rate [Formula: see text], we get normal behavior in the congested phase: in the network, the proportion of infected packets increases to reach a peak and then decreases resulting in a simultaneous increase of the recovered packets. In contrast, when the intrasite infection rate [Formula: see text] is kept fixed, an increase of the extrasite infection rate results in two regimes: The first one is characterized by an increase of the proportion of infected packets until reaching some peak value and then decreases smoothly. The second regime is characterized by an increase of infected packets to some stationary value.

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