scholarly journals Hopf Bifurcation of a Delayed Epidemic Model with Information Variable and Limited Medical Resources

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Caijuan Yan ◽  
Jianwen Jia
Keyword(s):  
Hopf Bifurcation ◽  
Epidemic Model ◽  
Sufficient Conditions ◽  
Endemic Equilibrium ◽  
Logistic Growth ◽  
Sir Epidemic Model ◽  
Medical Resources ◽  
Reproduction Ratio ◽  
Disease Free ◽  
Information Variable

We consider SIR epidemic model in which population growth is subject to logistic growth in absence of disease. We get the condition for Hopf bifurcation of a delayed epidemic model with information variable and limited medical resources. By analyzing the corresponding characteristic equations, the local stability of an endemic equilibrium and a disease-free equilibrium is discussed. If the basic reproduction ratioℛ0<1, we discuss the global asymptotical stability of the disease-free equilibrium by constructing a Lyapunov functional. Ifℛ0>1, we obtain sufficient conditions under which the endemic equilibriumE*of system is locally asymptotically stable. And we also have discussed the stability and direction of Hopf bifurcations. Numerical simulations are carried out to explain the mathematical conclusions.

scholarly journals Dynamics of an SIR Epidemic Model with Information Variable and Limited Medical Resources Revisited

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Caijuan Yan ◽  
Jianwen Jia ◽  
Zhen Jin
Keyword(s):  
Epidemic Model ◽  
Sufficient Conditions ◽  
Asymptotical Stability ◽  
Endemic Equilibrium ◽  
Basic Reproduction Ratio ◽  
Sir Epidemic Model ◽  
Medical Resources ◽  
Reproduction Ratio ◽  
Sir Epidemic ◽  
Information Variable

The stability of the SIR epidemic model with information variable and limited medical resources was studied. When the basic reproduction ratioℛ0<1, there exists the disease-free equilibrium and when the basic reproduction ratioℛ0>1, we obtain the sufficient conditions of the existence of the endemic equilibrium. The local asymptotical stability of equilibrium is verified by analyzing the eigenvalues and using the Routh-Hurwitz criterion. We also discuss the global asymptotical stability of the endemic equilibrium by autonomous convergence theorem. A numerical analysis is given to show the effectiveness of the main results.

scholarly journals Stability and Hopf Bifurcation for a Delayed SIR Epidemic Model with Logistic Growth

2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yakui Xue ◽  
Tiantian Li
Keyword(s):  
Incidence Rate ◽  
Epidemic Model ◽  
Threshold Value ◽  
Endemic Equilibrium ◽  
Logistic Growth ◽  
Global Dynamics ◽  
Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Sir Epidemic Model ◽  
Globally Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Sir Epidemic

We study a delayed SIR epidemic model and get the threshold value which determines the global dynamics and outcome of the disease. First of all, for anyτ, we show that the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable; whenR0<1, the disease will die out. Directly afterwards, we prove that the endemic equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable for anyτ=0; whenR0>1, the disease will persist. However, for anyτ≠0, the existence conditions for Hopf bifurcations at the endemic equilibrium are obtained. Besides, we compare the delayed SIR epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate to the one with bilinear incidence rate. At last, numerical simulations are performed to illustrate and verify the conclusions.

scholarly journals Hopf-Bifurcation Analysis of Pneumococcal Pneumonia with Time Delays

2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-21
Author(s):  
Fulgensia Kamugisha Mbabazi ◽  
Joseph Y. T. Mugisha ◽  
Mark Kimathi
Keyword(s):  
Hopf Bifurcation ◽  
Time Delays ◽  
Pneumococcal Pneumonia ◽  
Endemic Equilibrium ◽  
Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Reproduction Ratio ◽  
Transversality Conditions ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Delay Differential ◽  
Disease Free

In this paper, a mathematical model of pneumococcal pneumonia with time delays is proposed. The stability theory of delay differential equations is used to analyze the model. The results show that the disease-free equilibrium is asymptotically stable if the control reproduction ratioR0is less than unity and unstable otherwise. The stability of equilibria with delays shows that the endemic equilibrium is locally stable without delays and stable if the delays are under conditions. The existence of Hopf-bifurcation is investigated and transversality conditions are proved. The model results suggest that, as the respective delays exceed some critical value past the endemic equilibrium, the system loses stability through the process of local birth or death of oscillations. Further, a decrease or an increase in the delays leads to asymptotic stability or instability of the endemic equilibrium, respectively. The analytical results are supported by numerical simulations.

scholarly journals Partial Differential Equations of an Epidemic Model with Spatial Diffusion

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-6 ◽  
Author(s):  
El Mehdi Lotfi ◽  
Mehdi Maziane ◽  
Khalid Hattaf ◽  
Noura Yousfi
Keyword(s):  
Basic Reproduction Number ◽  
Epidemic Model ◽  
Reproduction Number ◽  
Reaction Diffusion ◽  
Endemic Equilibrium ◽  
Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Sir Epidemic Model ◽  
Globally Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Disease Free ◽  
The Basic Reproduction Number

The aim of this paper is to study the dynamics of a reaction-diffusion SIR epidemic model with specific nonlinear incidence rate. The global existence, positivity, and boundedness of solutions for a reaction-diffusion system with homogeneous Neumann boundary conditions are proved. The local stability of the disease-free equilibrium and endemic equilibrium is obtained via characteristic equations. By means of Lyapunov functional, the global stability of both equilibria is investigated. More precisely, our results show that the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if the basic reproduction number is less than or equal to unity, which leads to the eradication of disease from population. When the basic reproduction number is greater than unity, then disease-free equilibrium becomes unstable and the endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable; in this case the disease persists in the population. Numerical simulations are presented to illustrate our theoretical results.

scholarly journals Qualitative and Bifurcation Analysis of an SIR Epidemic Model with Saturated Treatment Function and Nonlinear Pulse Vaccination

2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-18
Author(s):  
Xiangsen Liu ◽  
Binxiang Dai
Keyword(s):  
Epidemic Model ◽  
Sufficient Conditions ◽  
Sir Epidemic Model ◽  
Pulse Vaccination ◽  
Sir Epidemic ◽  
Treatment Function ◽  
Existence And Stability ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Saturated Treatment ◽  
Disease Free

An SIR epidemic model with saturated treatment function and nonlinear pulse vaccination is studied. The existence and stability of the disease-free periodic solution are investigated. The sufficient conditions for the persistence of the disease are obtained. The existence of the transcritical and flip bifurcations is considered by means of the bifurcation theory. The stability of epidemic periodic solutions is discussed. Furthermore, some numerical simulations are given to illustrate our results.

Analysis of a delayed epidemic model with non-monotonic incidence rate and vertical transmission

2014 ◽  
Vol 07 (04) ◽  
pp. 1450041
Author(s):  
Jinhu Xu ◽  
Wenxiong Xu ◽  
Yicang Zhou
Keyword(s):  
Vertical Transmission ◽  
Basic Reproduction Number ◽  
Epidemic Model ◽  
Reproduction Number ◽  
Sufficient Conditions ◽  
Endemic Equilibrium ◽  
Globally Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Comparison Arguments ◽  
Disease Free ◽  
The Basic Reproduction Number

A delayed SEIR epidemic model with vertical transmission and non-monotonic incidence is formulated. The equilibria and the threshold of the model have been determined on the bases of the basic reproduction number. The local stability of disease-free equilibrium and endemic equilibrium is established by analyzing the corresponding characteristic equations. By comparison arguments, it is proved that, if R0 < 1, the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. Whereas, the disease-free equilibrium is unstable if R0 > 1. Moreover, we show that the disease is permanent if the basic reproduction number is greater than one. Furthermore, the sufficient conditions are obtained for the global asymptotic stability of the endemic equilibrium when R0 > 1.

scholarly journals Rich dynamics of an SIR epidemic model

2010 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 71-81 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Pathak ◽  
A. Maiti ◽  
G. P. Samanta
Keyword(s):  
Numerical Simulations ◽  
Epidemic Model ◽  
Transmission Function ◽  
Endemic Equilibrium ◽  
Sir Epidemic Model ◽  
Sir Epidemic ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Disease Free

This paper aims to study an SIR epidemic model with an asymptotically homogeneous transmission function. The stability of the disease-free and the endemic equilibrium is addressed. Numerical simulations are carried out. Implications of our analytical and numerical findings are discussed critically.

scholarly journals An SIRS Epidemic Model Incorporating Media Coverage with Time Delay

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Huitao Zhao ◽  
Yiping Lin ◽  
Yunxian Dai
Keyword(s):  
Hopf Bifurcation ◽  
Time Delay ◽  
Periodic Orbits ◽  
Epidemic Model ◽  
Media Coverage ◽  
Critical Value ◽  
Endemic Equilibrium ◽  
Sirs Epidemic Model ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Disease Free

An SIRS epidemic model incorporating media coverage with time delay is proposed. The positivity and boundedness are studied firstly. The locally asymptotical stability of the disease-free equilibrium and endemic equilibrium is studied in succession. And then, the conditions on which periodic orbits bifurcate are given. Furthermore, we show that the local Hopf bifurcation implies the global Hopf bifurcation after the second critical value of the delay. The obtained results show that the time delay in media coverage can not affect the stability of the disease-free equilibrium when the basic reproduction numberR0<1. However, whenR0>1, the stability of the endemic equilibrium will be affected by the time delay; there will be a family of periodic orbits bifurcating from the endemic equilibrium when the time delay increases through a critical value. Finally, some examples for numerical simulations are also included.

STABILITY ANALYSIS OF A DELAYED SIRS EPIDEMIC MODEL WITH VACCINATION AND NONLINEAR INCIDENCE

2012 ◽  
Vol 05 (06) ◽  
pp. 1250050 ◽  
Author(s):  
XIAOHONG TIAN
Keyword(s):  
Epidemic Model ◽  
Local Stability ◽  
Lyapunov Functional ◽  
Sufficient Conditions ◽  
Threshold Value ◽  
Iteration Scheme ◽  
Endemic Equilibrium ◽  
Globally Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Sirs Epidemic Model ◽  
Disease Free

In this paper, an SIRS epidemic model with time delay and vaccination is investigated. By analyzing the corresponding characteristic equation, the local stability of disease-free equilibrium of the model is established. By constructing Lyapunov functional, sufficient conditions are established for the local stability of an endemic equilibrium of the model. Further, a threshold value is obtained. By using comparison arguments, it is proved when the threshold value is less than unity, the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. When the threshold value is greater than unity, by using an iteration scheme and by constructing appropriate Lyapunov functional, respectively, sufficient conditions are derived for the global stability of the endemic equilibrium of the model. Numerical simulations are carried out to illustrate the theoretical results.

scholarly journals Transmission Dynamics of a Two-City SIR Epidemic Model with Transport-Related Infections

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yao Chen ◽  
Mei Yan ◽  
Zhongyi Xiang
Keyword(s):  
Basic Reproduction Number ◽  
Epidemic Model ◽  
Reproduction Number ◽  
Sufficient Conditions ◽  
Endemic Equilibrium ◽  
Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Sir Epidemic Model ◽  
Globally Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Sir Epidemic ◽  
The Basic Reproduction Number

A two-city SIR epidemic model with transport-related infections is proposed. Some good analytical results are given for this model. If the basic reproduction numberℜ0γ≤1, there exists a disease-free equilibrium which is globally asymptotically stable. There exists an endemic equilibrium which is locally asymptotically stable if the basic reproduction numberℜ0γ>1. We also show the permanence of this SIR model. In addition, sufficient conditions are established for global asymptotic stability of the endemic equilibrium.

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