scholarly journals Bayesian Estimation of Two-Parameter Weibull Distribution Using Extension of Jeffreys' Prior Information with Three Loss Functions

2012 ◽  
Vol 2012 ◽  
pp. 1-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chris Bambey Guure ◽  
Noor Akma Ibrahim ◽  
Al Omari Mohammed Ahmed
Keyword(s):  
Weibull Distribution ◽  
Bayesian Estimation ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Loss Function ◽  
Prior Information ◽  
Loss Functions ◽  
Bayesian Estimator ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Jeffreys Prior ◽  
Two Parameter

The Weibull distribution has been observed as one of the most useful distribution, for modelling and analysing lifetime data in engineering, biology, and others. Studies have been done vigorously in the literature to determine the best method in estimating its parameters. Recently, much attention has been given to the Bayesian estimation approach for parameters estimation which is in contention with other estimation methods. In this paper, we examine the performance of maximum likelihood estimator and Bayesian estimator using extension of Jeffreys prior information with three loss functions, namely, the linear exponential loss, general entropy loss, and the square error loss function for estimating the two-parameter Weibull failure time distribution. These methods are compared using mean square error through simulation study with varying sample sizes. The results show that Bayesian estimator using extension of Jeffreys' prior under linear exponential loss function in most cases gives the smallest mean square error and absolute bias for both the scale parameterαand the shape parameterβfor the given values of extension of Jeffreys' prior.

scholarly journals Best estimation for the Reliability of 2-parameter Weibull Distribution

2009 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 705-710
Author(s):  
Baghdad Science Journal
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Weibull Distribution ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Method ◽  
Likelihood Method ◽  
Statistical Criterion ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Simulation Process ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Two Parameter

This Research Tries To Investigate The Problem Of Estimating The Reliability Of Two Parameter Weibull Distribution,By Using Maximum Likelihood Method, And White Method. The Comparison Is done Through Simulation Process Depending On Three Choices Of Models (?=0.8 , ß=0.9) , (?=1.2 , ß=1.5) and (?=2.5 , ß=2). And Sample Size n=10 , 70, 150 We Use the Statistical Criterion Based On the Mean Square Error (MSE) For Comparison Amongst The Methods.

scholarly journals E-Bayesian and Bayesian Estimation for the Lomax Distribution under Weighted Composite LINEX Loss Function

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Afrah Al-Bossly
Keyword(s):  
Bayesian Estimation ◽  
Loss Function ◽  
Shape Parameter ◽  
Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Loss Functions ◽  
Bayesian Estimator ◽  
Linex Loss Function ◽  
Lomax Distribution ◽  
Linex Loss ◽  
Asymmetric Loss Function

The main contribution of this work is the development of a compound LINEX loss function (CLLF) to estimate the shape parameter of the Lomax distribution (LD). The weights are merged into the CLLF to generate a new loss function called the weighted compound LINEX loss function (WCLLF). Then, the WCLLF is used to estimate the LD shape parameter through Bayesian and expected Bayesian (E-Bayesian) estimation. Subsequently, we discuss six different types of loss functions, including square error loss function (SELF), LINEX loss function (LLF), asymmetric loss function (ASLF), entropy loss function (ENLF), CLLF, and WCLLF. In addition, in order to check the performance of the proposed loss function, the Bayesian estimator of WCLLF and the E-Bayesian estimator of WCLLF are used, by performing Monte Carlo simulations. The Bayesian and expected Bayesian by using the proposed loss function is compared with other methods, including maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) and Bayesian and E-Bayesian estimators under different loss functions. The simulation results show that the Bayes estimator according to WCLLF and the E-Bayesian estimator according to WCLLF proposed in this work have the best performance in estimating the shape parameters based on the least mean averaged squared error.

scholarly journals EVALUATING THE ACCURACY OF TAIL RISK FORECASTS FOR SYSTEMIC RISK MEASUREMENT

2018 ◽  
Vol 13 (02) ◽  
pp. 1850009 ◽  
Author(s):  
CHRISTIAN BROWNLEES ◽  
GIUSEPPE CAVALIERE ◽  
ALICE MONTI
Keyword(s):  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Financial Institutions ◽  
Loss Function ◽  
Systemic Risk ◽  
Value At Risk ◽  
Risk Measurement ◽  
Loss Functions ◽  
Conditional Value At Risk ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Tail Risk

In this paper, we address how to evaluate tail risk forecasts for systemic risk (SRISK) measurement. We propose two loss functions, the Tail Tick Loss and the Tail Mean Square Error, to evaluate, respectively, Conditional Value-at-Risk (CoVaR) and MES forecasts. We then analyse CoVaR and MES forecasts for a panel of top US financial institutions between 2000 and 2012 constructed using a set of bivariate DCC-GARCH-type models. The empirical results highlight the importance of using an appropriate loss function for the evaluation of such forecasts. Among other findings, the analysis confirms that the DCC-GJR specification provides accurate predictions for both CoVaR and MES, in particular for the riskiest group of institutions in the panel (Broker-Dealers).

scholarly journals Selection of Efficient Parameter Estimation Method for Two-Parameter Weibull Distribution

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Mohammed M. A. Almazah ◽  
Muhammad Ismail
Keyword(s):  
Parameter Estimation ◽  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Weibull Distribution ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Likelihood Method ◽  
Estimation Methods ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Two Parameter

Several studies have considered various scheduling methods and reliability functions to determine the optimum maintenance time. These methods and functions correspond to the lowest cost by using the maximum likelihood estimator to evaluate the model parameters. However, this paper aims to estimate the parameters of the two-parameter Weibull distribution (α, β). The maximum likelihood estimation method, modified linear exponential loss function, and Wyatt-based regression method are used for the estimation of the parameters. Minimum mean square error (MSE) criterion is used to evaluate the relative efficiency of the estimators. The comparison of the different parameter estimation methods is conducted, and the efficiency of these methods is observed, both mathematically and experimentally. The simulation study is conducted for comparison of samples sizes (10, 50, 100, 150) based on the mean square error (MSE). It is concluded that the maximum likelihood method was found to be the most efficient method for all sample sizes used in the research because it achieved the least MSE compared with other methods.

scholarly journals A Bayesian model for binary Markov chains

2004 ◽  
Vol 2004 (8) ◽  
pp. 421-429 ◽  
Author(s):  
Souad Assoudou ◽  
Belkheir Essebbar
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Markov Chain ◽  
Markov Chains ◽  
Bayesian Estimation ◽  
Bayesian Model ◽  
Transition Probabilities ◽  
Simulated Data ◽  
Bayesian Estimator ◽  
Jeffreys Prior ◽  
Data Set

This note is concerned with Bayesian estimation of the transition probabilities of a binary Markov chain observed from heterogeneous individuals. The model is founded on the Jeffreys' prior which allows for transition probabilities to be correlated. The Bayesian estimator is approximated by means of Monte Carlo Markov chain (MCMC) techniques. The performance of the Bayesian estimates is illustrated by analyzing a small simulated data set.

scholarly journals A Bayesian Approach for Estimating Parameter of Rayleigh Distribution

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 23-39
Author(s):  
J. Mahanta ◽  
M. B. A. Talukdar
Keyword(s):  
Weibull Distribution ◽  
Loss Function ◽  
Bayesian Approach ◽  
Rayleigh Distribution ◽  
Loss Functions ◽  
Bayes Risk ◽  
Squared Error ◽  
Different Types ◽  
Two Parameters ◽  
Special Case

This paper is concerned with estimating the parameter of Rayleigh distribution (special case of two parameters Weibull distribution) by adopting Bayesian approach under squared error (SE), LINEX, MLINEX loss function. The performances of the obtained estimators for different types of loss functions are then compared. Better result is found in Bayesian approach under MLINEX loss function. Bayes risk of the estimators are also computed and presented in graphs.

scholarly journals Bayesian Estimation of Inequality and Poverty Indices in Case of Pareto Distribution Using Different Priors under LINEX Loss Function

2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kamaljit Kaur ◽  
Sangeeta Arora ◽  
Kalpana K. Mahajan
Keyword(s):  
Loss Function ◽  
Pareto Distribution ◽  
Loss Functions ◽  
Conjugate Prior ◽  
Jeffreys Prior ◽  
Linex Loss Function ◽  
Poverty Measure ◽  
Noninformative Priors ◽  
Simulation Techniques ◽  
Linex Loss

Bayesian estimators of Gini index and a Poverty measure are obtained in case of Pareto distribution under censored and complete setup. The said estimators are obtained using two noninformative priors, namely, uniform prior and Jeffreys’ prior, and one conjugate prior under the assumption of Linear Exponential (LINEX) loss function. Using simulation techniques, the relative efficiency of proposed estimators using different priors and loss functions is obtained. The performances of the proposed estimators have been compared on the basis of their simulated risks obtained under LINEX loss function.

scholarly journals "Evaluation of Some Methods for Estimating the Weibull Distribution Parameters"

2017 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 8-14
Author(s):  
J. A. Labban ◽  
H. H. Depheal
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Weibull Distribution ◽  
Least Squares ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Random Sample ◽  
Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Distribution Parameters

"This paper some of different methods to estimate the parameters of the 2-Paramaters Weibull distribution such as (Maximum likelihood Estimation, Moments, Least Squares, Term Omission). Mean square error will be considered to compare methods fits in case to select the best one. There by simulation will be implemented to generate different random sample of the 2-parameters Weibull distribution, those contain (n=10, 50, 100, 200) iteration each 1000 times."

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