Fourteen years of population fluctuations of Microtus ochrogaster and M. pennsylvanicus in east central Illinois
Population densities of Microtus ochrogaster and M. pennsylvanicus were monitored from 1972 to 1986 in three habitats: alfalfa, bluegrass, and tallgrass prairie. Microtus ochrogaster displayed two apparent multiannual population cycles in alfalfa and bluegrass from 1972 to 1976; thereafter only annual (alfalfa) or erratic (bluegrass) fluctuations were apparent. Except for extremely high densities during 1984–1985, population fluctuations of M. ochrogaster in tallgrass were erratically low and there was no evidence of multiannual cycles. During 15 of 29 changes in population density of M. ochrogaster, the amplitude of fluctuations was more than 10-fold; 14 of these changes were preceded by marked population declines or very low densities the previous winter and spring. Microtus pennsylvanicus displayed annual fluctuations in abundance in alfalfa and bluegrass and was erratically high at all times in tallgrass. Only 7 of 32 population fluctuations of M. pennsylvanicus had amplitudes of at least 10-fold; in all 7 cases population density had been high the previous year. We conclude that distinct multiannual population cycles were not characteristic of either species in any habitat over the 14 years. Most previous assumptions of multiannual cycles in these species may be artifacts of short-term studies.