Impact des erreurs de prédiction de la pluie sur le contrôle en temps réel des réseaux d'égouts unitaires
This paper presents results of a study the goal of which is to evaluate the impact of rainfall forecast errors on real time control (RTC) of combined sewers in the Québec Urban Community (Q.U.C.). Firstly, we analyzed the impact of different levels of uncertainty on the probability to generate overloads in combined sewers and on the optimal overflow volume. The effects of the spatial distribution of errors on overloads and on overflow volumes have also been studied. Secondly, we modified the system management decision criteria in order to reduce the overload probability and to avoid possible backflows. This modification consisted of reducing the maximum allowable flow in the pipes of the sewer network. The results obtained showed that despite the negative impacts of forecast errors on overloads, this simple method preserves the efficiency of predictive integrated management. This ensures a safety margin on the possible backflows due to meteorological forecast errors.Key words: overflow, real time, control, combined sewers, forecast, errors, rain, overloads, backflows.