Predicting Recruitment Variation from Year Class Specific Vertebral Counts: An Analysis of the Potential and a Plan for Verification

1991 ◽  
Vol 48 (8) ◽  
pp. 1350-1357 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kenneth T. Frank

Recruitment prediction has been an elusive and seemingly unobtainable goal with no entirely satisfactory general approach yet available. I propose the use of meristic variation, traditionally applied to problems associated with stock discrimination studies, as a new method to predict recruitment variation. The approach is evaluated using literature data on year class strength (YCS) and year class specific average vertebral counts (VS), two apparently interrelated variables that are affected by environmental factors operating during the early life history. Three marine stocks at the southern limit of their species geographic range (Georges Bank haddock (Melanogrammus aeglefinus), North Sea Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua), and North Sea Atlantic herring (Clupea harengus hargenus)) and one stock at its northern limit (Pacific herring (Clupea harengus pallasi)) generally conformed to the prediction of a positive relationship between YCS and VS for southern stocks and a negative relationship for northern stocks. Exceptions to these patterns were found among stocks showing low temporal variability in recruitment or for stocks whose year class formation is not linked to environmental factors that establish the vertebral count of a year class. The approach adopted is consistent with the growing initiative of focusing on characteristics of the survivors of a population to provide insight into recruitment mechanisms.

2000 ◽  
Vol 57 (7) ◽  
pp. 1321-1325 ◽  
Author(s):  
D P Swain ◽  
A F Sinclair

Like most other stocks of Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) in the Northwest Atlantic, cod in the southern Gulf of St. Lawrence declined to low abundance in the early 1990s. Recovery has been slow in contrast with the rapid recovery from similar levels of abundance in the mid-1970s. This difference reflects remarkably high prerecruit survival of cod in the earlier period of low abundance rather than unusually poor survival in the 1990s. The period of high prerecruit survival of cod coincided with the collapse of herring (Clupea harengus) and mackerel (Scomber scombrus) stocks resulting from overfishing. These pelagic fishes are potential predators or competitors of the early life history stages of cod. We report a strong negative relationship between the biomass of these pelagic fishes and recruitment rate of southern Gulf cod. This is consistent with the recent suggestion that the success of large predatory fishes may depend on "cultivation" effects in which the adults crop down forage fishes that are predators or competitors of their young. Our results also point to the possibility of a triangular food web involving cod, seals, and pelagic fishes, making it difficult to predict the effect of a proposed cull of seals on the recovery of cod.


1987 ◽  
Vol 44 (11) ◽  
pp. 1890-1897 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul Cabilio ◽  
David L. DeWolfe ◽  
Graham R. Daborn

Selected long-term fisheries catch data from the New England – Fundy area and the Grand Banks were examined for concordance between changes in fish catches and the 18.6-yr nodal cycle of the tides using a nonlinear regression model. Significant positive correlations were found for Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua), haddock (Melanogrammus aeglefinus), alewife (Alosa pseudoharengus), Atlantic herring (Clupea harengus harengus), and scallop (Placopecten magellanicus), with lag times that are biologically appropriate for the time from hatching to recruitment into the fishery. A significant negative correlation with the nodal cycle was evident for Atlantic menhaden (Brevoortia tyrannus), for which this area constitutes the most northerly part of its range. Cod catches on the Grand Banks showed no correlation with the nodal cycle. It is suggested that the correlations between the nodal cycle and the changes in fish catches are caused by correlated changes either in sea surface temperature or in productivity resulting from changes in the degree of vertical mixing.


2018 ◽  
Vol 75 (3) ◽  
pp. 357-374 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hannes Höffle ◽  
Cindy J.G. Van Damme ◽  
Clive Fox ◽  
Stéphanie Lelièvre ◽  
Christophe Loots ◽  
...  

Previous studies have shown that four commercially important demersal species, namely Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua), haddock (Melanogrammus aeglefinus), whiting (Merlangius merlangus), and European plaice (Pleuronectes platessa), spawn in distinct areas across the North Sea. Based on two comprehensive ichthyoplankton surveys in 2004 and 2009, the present study uses generalized additive mixed models to delimit these spawning grounds using the distribution of recently spawned eggs, investigates their relationship to specific environmental conditions, and examines egg dispersal during their development. Results indicate that presence–absence of early stage eggs is more related to temporal and topographic variables, while egg densities are closely linked with hydrography. Egg distribution patterns were relatively consistent during development and only changed near hatching. Compared with historic observations, the location of the spawning grounds appeared stable on the broad scale but centres of egg abundance varied between the surveyed years. Potential effects of long-term climate change and anthropogenic short-term disturbances, such as seismic surveys, on fish reproduction are discussed, pointing out the demand for multispecies studies on these issues.


1998 ◽  
Vol 55 (7) ◽  
pp. 1632-1644 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yorgos Stratoudakis ◽  
Robert J Fryer ◽  
Robin M Cook

Understanding fishers' discarding behaviour, and anticipating their reactions to changes in the biological or regulatory characteristics of a fishery, are important for dealing with the problem of discarding. In this paper, we investigate the discarding of haddock (Melanogrammus aeglefinus), whiting (Merlangius merlangus), and Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) in the North Sea, using data collected by scientific observers onboard Scottish demersal vessels. We describe discarding on each trip by species-specific discard curves and explore how these curves depend on biological and regulatory variables. There are large differences in the size of discarded fish between inshore and offshore areas, with offshore-operating vessels discarding larger fish (high-grading). Increases in legal landing size correspond to immediate increases in the size of discarded fish, particularly for haddock and cod in inshore areas. In general, discarding practices for haddock and cod are similar over time and consistent across gears, whereas decisions for the lesser valued whiting are more variable and can be affected by the catch composition.


2020 ◽  
Vol 77 (7) ◽  
pp. 1101-1116
Author(s):  
Allan J. Debertin

An acoustic-based index of biomass was developed due to concerns that the existing bottom-trawl index for western component pollock (Pollachius virens) was inaccurate and imprecise. Acoustic data were recorded during annual summer ecosystem surveys. Pollock and other common groundfish could not be readily identified from echo-traces within echograms. Survey catch data were analyzed concurrently with acoustic data to estimate biomass from echo-integrals contributed by the six most commonly caught fish species: pollock, Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua), haddock (Melanogrammus aeglefinus), redfish (Sebastes fasciatus), Atlantic herring (Clupea harengus), and spiny dogfish (Squalus acanthias). A cluster analyses that used a Bayesian conditional probability classified homogeneous regions based on species composition. Species composition, nautical area scatter coefficient, and backscattering cross-section of fishes for regions were used to calculate the biomass of fishes. Acoustic indices were considered as appropriate as bottom-trawl indices for fisheries management advice because the bias and variance were similar between the indices when analyzed using repeated K-fold cross-validation.


1981 ◽  
Vol 38 (11) ◽  
pp. 1393-1404 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. J. Agnello ◽  
L. G. Anderson

Production equations are estimated for five major species of fish harvested in the Northwest Atlantic including Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua), haddock (Melanogrammus aeglefinus), flounder (Pleuronectiformes), redfish (Sebastes marinus), and herring (Clupea harengus) using data collected by the International Commission for the Northeast Atlantic Fisheries from 1960 to 1974. A log-linear regression specification is used in which the relationship between catch of a vessel and several factors including days fished and vessel characteristics is estimated simultaneously. Vessel characteristics are represented as (0, 1) categorical variables, and include a variable indicating the target species designated by the caption. Various settings for the target species variables allow the estimated equation to represent either a by-catch or target catch equation. The production parameters estimated by the regressions are used to analyze the effects of current quotas set by the New England Fisheries Management Council. For some fleets we find a likelihood of idle capacity given the current quotas.Key words: fisheries economics, multi-species harvesting, Northwest Atlantic fisheries


2018 ◽  
Vol 75 (4) ◽  
pp. 1393-1404 ◽  
Author(s):  
Melanie J Underwood ◽  
Shale Rosen ◽  
Arill Engås ◽  
Terje Jørgensen ◽  
Anders Fernö

Abstract In-trawl camera systems promise to improve the resolution of trawl sampling used to ground-truth the interpretation of acoustic survey data. In this study, the residence time of fish in front of the Deep Vision camera system, used to identify, measure and count fish inside the trawl, was analysed to determine the reliability of spatial distribution recorded by the system. Although Atlantic herring (Clupea harengus), haddock (Melanogrammus aeglefinus), and most Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) moved quickly back through the aft part of the pelagic trawl, saithe (Pollachius virens) spent up to 4 min in front of the system. The residence time increased for saithe and cod when other individuals were present, and cod swimming in the low water flow close to the trawl netting spent longer there than cod at the centre of the trawl. Surprisingly, residence time was not related to the size of the fish, which may be explained by the collective behaviour of shoaling fish. Our findings suggest that while in-trawl images can be used to identify, measure and count most species, when sampling fast-swimming species such as saithe the position inferred from when they were imaged may not reflect the actual spatial distribution prior to capture.


1993 ◽  
Vol 50 (11) ◽  
pp. 2315-2322 ◽  
Author(s):  
Henrik Gislason

A multispecies model (MSFOR) is used to predict the relative change in equilibrium yield and spawning stock biomass (SSB) of commercially important fish stocks in the North Sea resulting from a reduction in the fishing mortality generated by the roundfish fishery. Because predation mortality is a function of the abundance of prey and predators the results will depend on recruitment. Assuming recruitment to be independent of stock sizes the effect of changes in recruitment is studied by repeating the predictions at all possible combinations of ±50% changes in predator and prey recruitment levels. All of the predictions result in a relative increase in the SSB of Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) and saithe (Pollachius virens) and in a relative decrease in the SSB of Atlantic herring (Clupea harengus) and Norway pout (Trisopterus esmarkii). In these cases the sign of the relative change is robust to recruitment changes. However, for haddock (Melanogrammus aeglefinus), sprat (Sprattus sprattus), and sandeel (Ammodytes marinus) the relative change in SSB is found to be either positive or negative depending on the level of recruitment. The predictions for haddock are highly sensitive to changes in the level of saithe recruitment.


2018 ◽  
Vol 115 (25) ◽  
pp. 6422-6427 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kenneth T. Frank ◽  
Brian Petrie ◽  
William C. Leggett ◽  
Daniel G. Boyce

Virtually all studies reporting deepening with increasing size or age by fishes involve commercially harvested species. Studies of North Sea plaice in the early 1900s first documented this phenomenon (named Heincke’s law); it occurred at a time of intensive harvesting and rapid technological changes in fishing methods. The possibility that this deepening might be the result of harvesting has never been evaluated. Instead, age- or size-related deepening have been credited to interactions between density-dependent food resources and density-independent environmental factors. Recently, time-dependent depth variations have been ascribed to ocean warming. We use a model, initialized from observations of Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) on the eastern Scotian Shelf, where an age-dependent deepening of ∼60 m was observed, to assess the effect of size- and depth-selective exploitation on fish distribution. Exploitation restricted to the upper 80 m can account for ∼72% of the observed deepening; by extending exploitation to 120 m, all of the deepening can be accounted for. In the absence of fishing, the model indicated no age-related deepening. Observations of depth distributions of older cod during a moratorium on fishing supported this prediction; however, younger cod exhibited low-amplitude deepening (10–15 m) suggestive of an ontogenetic response. The implications of these findings are manifold, particularly as they relate to hypotheses advanced to explain the ecological and evolutionary basis for ontogenetic deepening and to recent calls for the adoption of evidence of species deepening as a biotic indicator or “footprint” of warming seas.


2000 ◽  
Vol 57 (12) ◽  
pp. 2455-2469 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lance P Garrison ◽  
William Michaels ◽  
Jason S Link ◽  
Michael J Fogarty

We investigated the relationship between hydrographic variables on Georges Bank and the spatial distribution of larval Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua), larval haddock (Melanogrammus aeglefinus), and two planktivorous fish, Atlantic herring (Clupea harengus) and Atlantic mackerel (Scomber scombrus). We conducted cruises during April-May of 1990, 1994, and 1995 to document spatial distributions and employed logistic regression and a spatial-overlap index to assess relationships between hydrographic variables, spatial distributions and spatial overlap between gadid larvae and planktivorous fish. Cod larvae were more abundant in shallow well-mixed areas, while both haddock larvae and herring were more abundant in stratified areas. Atlantic mackerel occurred in deeper water and had little spatial overlap with the other species. In 1995, the presence of Scotian Shelf water and an intrusion of continental slope water altered temperature and salinity distributions and increased spatial overlap between cod larvae and herring. The stratified areas offer a higher concentration of prey for larval haddock, however there is increased exposure to planktivorous fish predators, creating a potential trade-off between predation and starvation. Due to the high abundance of planktivorous fish and high spatial and temporal overlap, predation is likely an important factor influencing survival of gadid larvae on Georges Bank.


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