A MATHEMATICAL ANALYSIS OF THE DISTRIBUTION IN MAIZE OF HELIOTHIS ARMIGERA Hb. (OBSOLETA F.)
The distribution among maize plants of the eggs of the American boll-worm, Heliothis armigera Hb., is discussed and analysed.The problem is considered in relation lo what is known of the connection between the state of development of maize plants and their attractiveness to ovipositing boll-worm moths. The actual frequency distribution of the eggs suggests a random as opposed to a uniform distribution, but it is shown that the conditions required for a pure mathematical random distribution cannot be satisfied. Because the maize plants differ from one another in absolute degree of attractiveness at any one time, and in relative degree of attractiveness with the passing of time, it is not true that every plant has the same chance of receiving any given egg.It is demonstrated that a mathematical theory, which is eventually one of random distribution, but which incorporates a modification to allow for the varying degrees of attractiveness of the plants, gives a fairly good representation of the egg distribution found in the field.Theoretical distributions to fit the data are calculated by two methods. One is a discontinuous process which is presented as only a rough approximation of what it is intended lo express. The other uses the compound Poisson series of Greenwood and Yule. The continuous variation in nature both in space and time, which is the essential difficulty of the problem, is discussed.