A risk model predicted major bleeding in older patients with atrial fibrillation receiving warfarin therapy

2007 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 57-57 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. Garcia ◽  
E. Hylek
BMJ Open ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (11) ◽  
pp. e033283 ◽  
Author(s):  
Frederik Dalgaard ◽  
Karen Pieper ◽  
Freek Verheugt ◽  
A John Camm ◽  
Keith AA Fox ◽  
...  

ObjectivesTo externally validate the accuracy of the Global Anticoagulant Registry in the FIELD-Atrial Fibrillation (GARFIELD-AF) model against existing risk scores for stroke and major bleeding risk in patients with non-valvular AF in a population-based cohort.DesignRetrospective cohort study.SettingDanish nationwide registries.Participants90 693 patients with newly diagnosed non-valvular AF were included between 2010 and 2016, with follow-up censored at 1 year.Primary and secondary outcome measuresExternal validation was performed using discrimination and calibration plots. C-statistics were compared with CHA2DS2VASc score for ischaemic stroke/systemic embolism (SE) and HAS-BLED score for major bleeding/haemorrhagic stroke outcomes.ResultsOf the 90 693 included, 51 180 patients received oral anticoagulants (OAC). Overall median age (Q1, Q3) were 75 (66–83) years and 48 486 (53.5%) were male. At 1-year follow-up, a total of 2094 (2.3%) strokes/SE, 2642 (2.9%) major bleedings and 10 915 (12.0%) deaths occurred. The GARFIELD-AF model was well calibrated with the predicted risk for stroke/SE and major bleeding. The discriminatory value of GARFIELD-AF risk model was superior to CHA2DS2VASc for predicting stroke in the overall cohort (C-index: 0.71, 95% CI: 0.70 to 0.72 vs C-index: 0.67, 95% CI: 0.66 to 0.68, p<0.001) as well as in low-risk patients (C-index: 0.64, 95% CI: 0.59 to 0.69 vs C-index: 0.57, 95% CI: 0.53 to 0.61, p=0.007). The GARFIELD-AF model was comparable to HAS-BLED in predicting the risk of major bleeding in patients on OAC therapy (C-index: 0.64, 95% CI: 0.63 to 0.66 vs C-index: 0.64, 95% CI: 0.63 to 0.65, p=0.60).ConclusionIn a nationwide Danish cohort with non-valvular AF, the GARFIELD-AF model adequately predicted the risk of ischaemic stroke/SE and major bleeding. Our external validation confirms that the GARFIELD-AF model was superior to CHA2DS2VASc in predicting stroke/SE and comparable with HAS-BLED for predicting major bleeding.


2007 ◽  
Vol 71 (5) ◽  
pp. 761-765 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shinya Suzuki ◽  
Takeshi Yamashita ◽  
Takeshi Kato ◽  
Tadashi Fujino ◽  
Koichi Sagara ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
T Yamashita ◽  
C.C Wang ◽  
Y.-H Kim ◽  
R De Caterina ◽  
P Kirchhof ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) and the need for appropriate anticoagulation increase with age. The benefit/risk profile of direct oral anticoagulants such as edoxaban in elderly population with AF in regular clinical practice is therefore of particular interest. Purpose Analyses of Global ETNA-AF data were performed to report patient characteristics, edoxaban treatment, and 1-year clinical events by age subgroups. Methods Global ETNA-AF is a multicentre, prospective, noninterventional program conducted in Europe, Japan, Korea, Taiwan, and other Asian countries. Demographics, baseline characteristics, and 1-year clinical event data were analysed in four age subgroups. Results Of 26,823 patients included in this analysis, 50.4% were ≥75 years old and 11.6% were ≥85 years. Increase in age was generally associated with lower body weight, lower creatinine clearance, higher CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores, and a higher percentage of patients receiving the reduced dose of 30 mg daily edoxaban. At 1-year, rates of ISTH major bleeding and ischaemic stroke were generally low across all age subgroups. The proportion of intracranial haemorrhage within major bleeding events was similar across age groups. All-cause mortality increased with age more than cardiovascular mortality. Conclusion Data from Global ETNA-AF support the safety and effectiveness of edoxaban in elderly AF patients (including ≥85 years) in routine clinical care with only a small increase in intracranial haemorrhage. The higher all-cause mortality with increasing age is not driven by cardiovascular causes. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Private company. Main funding source(s): Daiichi Sankyo


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