Reliability Life Span of Fatigue Cracks

Author(s):  
Cameron Rout ◽  
James Mihell ◽  
Keith Adams ◽  
Nathan Len

Reliability analysis has become widely used as a method of accounting for uncertainty in the sizing of metal loss features in pipeline integrity management programs. As inline inspection (ILI) technology for crack detection becomes more widely available, the opportunity to use reliability methods in a manner similar to that already adopted for metal loss features presents itself. Nevertheless, the technical challenges to the application of reliability analysis of cracks are distinct from those that are relevant to the reliability analysis of metal loss features. Calculating the time-dependent threat of failure due to fatigue or corrosion fatigue must address different parameters than it would for metal loss features, and consequently this presents new challenges in developing statistical analysis tools. Such challenges include predicting operational pressure cycling, accounting for uncertainty in ILI crack sizing, and characterizing crack growth behaviour type. This paper provides an overview of some important parameters to be considered in reliability-based fatigue or corrosion fatigue analysis with some examples of how they have been addressed in work to date by Dynamic Risk Assessment Systems, Inc.

Author(s):  
Sherif Hassanien ◽  
Len Leblanc ◽  
Javier Cuervo ◽  
Karmun Cheng

Reliability engineering science is a mature discipline that has been used extensively in industries such as aviation, nuclear energy, automobiles, and structures. The application of reliability principles (especially structural reliability) in oil and gas transmission pipelines is still an active area of development. The advent of high resolution in-line inspections tools (ILI) facilitates a formal application/utilization of reliability methods in pipeline integrity in order to safely manage deformation, metal loss, and crack threats. At the same time, the massive amount of ILI data, their associated uncertainties, and the availability/accuracy of failure prediction models present a challenge for operators to effectively implement the use of reliability analysis to check the safety of integrity programs within available timeframes. On the other hand, approximate reliability techniques may affect the analysis in terms of both accuracy and precision. In this paper, a Pipeline Integrity Reliability Analysis (PIRA) approach is presented where the sophistication of the reliability analysis is staged into three levels: PIRA levels I, II and III. The three PIRA levels correspond to different representations of integrity uncertainties, uses of available validated/calibrated data, uses of statistical models for operating pressure and resistance random variables, implementation of reliability methods, and consideration of failure modes. Moreover, PIRA levels allow for improved integration of reliability analysis with the existing timelines/stages of traditional integrity programs, such that integrity data are updated as the integrity program progresses. The proposed integrity reliability approach allows for the delivery of safety checks leveraging all types of information available at any given point in time. In addition, the approach provides a full understanding of the strengths and weaknesses of each PIRA level. Pipeline corrosion case studies are provided herein to illustrate how the PIRA Levels can be applied to integrity programs.


Author(s):  
Mark Piazza ◽  
Justin Harkrader ◽  
Rogelio Guajardo ◽  
Thomas Henning ◽  
Miguel Urrea ◽  
...  

In-line inspection (ILI) systems continue to improve in the detection and characterization of cracks in pipelines, and are relied on substantially by pipeline operators to support Integrity Management Programs for continual assessment of conditions on operating pipelines that are susceptible to cracking as an integrity threat. Recent experience for some forms of cracking have shown that integration of data from multiple ILI systems can improve detection and characterization (depth sizing, crack orientation, and crack feature profile) performance. This paper will describe the approach taken by a liquids pipeline operator to integrate data from multiple ILI systems, namely Ultrasonic axial (UC) and circumferential (UCc) crack detection and Magnetic Flux Leakage (MFL) technologies, to improve detection and characterization of cracks and crack fields on a 42 miles long, 12-inch OD liquid pipeline with a 38-year operating history. ILI data has indicated a large number of crack features, including 4000+ crack features reported by UC, 1000+ crack features by UCc, and 2500+ metal loss features reported by MFL. Initial excavations demonstrated a unique pattern of blended circumferential-, oblique- and axial-orientated cracks along the entire extent of the 42-mile pipeline, requiring advanced methods of data integration and analysis. Applying individual technologies and their analysis approaches showed limitations in performance for identification and characterization of these blended features. The outcome of the study was the development of a feature classification approach to classify the cracks with respect to their orientation, and rank them based on the depth sizing by using multiple datasets. Several sections of the 42-mile pipeline were cut-out and subjected to detailed examination using multiple non-destructive examination (NDE) methods and destructive testing to confirm the crack depths and profiles. These data were used as the basis for confirming the ILI tool performance and providing confirmation on the improvements made to crack detection and sizing through the data integration process.


Author(s):  
Millan Sen ◽  
Steven Bott ◽  
Amanda Kulhawy ◽  
Saheed Akonko

This case study describes the crack management program for a pipeline that is NPS26, 7.1 mm wall thickness, Grade X52, flash welded and was constructed from 1954–1957. It transports light crude oil, and experiences pressure cycling though start-stop operations. Excavations have revealed that the pipeline’s flash welded seam contains a variety of manufacturing anomalies. While the majority of these anomalies are benign and stable, some exhibit the potential to grow due to the pressure cycling of the line. Furthermore, in 2010, the pipeline experienced a rupture and leak that were caused by cracks in the longitudinal seam weld. Correspondingly, the cracking threat has been actively managed using in-line inspection (ILI), excavation, and repair programs. The most recent ILI runs were conducted with ultrasonic crack detection (USCD / UTCD) and ultrasonic phased array crack detection (DUO) tools in 2009, 2012 and 2013. As a part of these ILIs, a comprehensive excavation program comprised of over 300 excavations was conducted to validate the ILI data and mitigate the cracking threat. Unity plots comparing the measurements from each excavated ILI feature with the corresponding field Non-Destructive Examination (NDE) measurements were evaluated to support quantification of the Probabilities of Identification, Detection, and Sizing for these inspections. The results revealed that the ILI results were not repeatable when comparing the data from the three inspections, and not meeting target specifications. Furthermore, advanced analysis was completed to combine the data and evaluate the tool performance reliability for the pipeline. The results showed that the crack ILI tools were not achieving the required reliability targets for the pipeline. Considering that ILI is often successfully used to support the crack management of pipelines for the vast majority of conditions, the 2010 failures were investigated to determine the causes for the unacceptable ILI performance. The investigation revealed that the distinct peaking, misalignments, and pipe mill grinding associated with the pipelines flash weld, caused challenges for the tool’s detection and sizing capabilities. Therefore in order to ensure the safety of this pipeline, mitigation in addition to crack ILI programs was deemed to be required. Some options included operating at a reduced pressure, hydrostatic testing, or pipeline replacement. Hydrostatic testing was selected as the preferred option for implementation. This was successfully completed in October 2015 and there were no leaks or ruptures that occurred during the hydrostatic testing. This demonstrated that the pre-test excavation programs, which targeted features exhibiting burst pressures below that of the hydrotest pressure, had mitigated the cracking threat on the pipeline. The results of the reliability analysis showed that the uncertainties associated with the ILI were higher than acceptable. However as there were no failures during the hydrotest the reliability analysis was conservative for this case in consideration that the pre-test excavation program was able to mitigate the cracking threat. Nonetheless, the process of reviewing and assessing the ILI-field comparisons and evaluating the ILI tool performance remains a critical component of crack ILI management. Conducting alternative mitigation to ILI for crack management, if required, also remains a critical component of crack ILI management. For this pipeline the cracking threat will be re-assessed within 5 years of the hydrostatic test to support continued safe and reliable operation.


Author(s):  
Kaitlyn Korol ◽  
Yvan Hubert ◽  
Gordon Fredine ◽  
Petra Senf ◽  
Sherry-Ann Koon Koon

Inline Inspection (ILI) tools along with hydrostatic testing have been the primary identification and mitigation techniques for cracking threats on liquids pipelines. Each technique faces detection challenges in relation with the weld type, geometry, and feature types, sizes and orientations. Low frequency electric resistance welds (LF ERWs) are subject to a number of crack-like defects due to the ERW manufacturing process. These defects may include fatigue cracks, lack of fusion, burned metal defects, stitched welds, cold welds, cracks in hard HAZ, surface breaking hook cracks near the weld and selective seam corrosion [1]. Within a population of features in a pipeline, a subpopulation can exist of short, deep defects (>50% wt) that may be undersized by the ILI tool or not detected by a hydrostatic test due to the length of the flaw. For ILI tools, a length detection threshold is set based on the tool speed (which is dictated by the tool type and configuration). A feature may be undersized by the ILI tool if its length is below this tool threshold. For hydrostatic testing, through-wall flaws may be undetected if the flaw length is below the critical length for a significant leak. Through detailed ILI data analysis, Enbridge along with PII Pipeline Solutions has been able to consistently identify short and deep crack-related defects on LF ERW pipe through means other than feature dimensions provided by the ILI tool. In-ditch non-destructive examination and destructive laboratory testing has confirmed these features are critical and fall below current ILI tool’s detection thresholds. This paper discusses unique ILI data attributes that may identify a more severe feature than would conventional ILI sizing practices, and how the identification and selection procedure is being applied across Enbridge’s pipeline system. This analysis effort aligns with Enbridge’s goal to continuously improve its integrity management processes and further enhance the safety of its pipelines.


Author(s):  
Garrett H. Wilkie ◽  
Tanis J. Elm ◽  
Don L. Engen

Enbridge Pipelines Inc. operates the world’s longest and most complex liquids pipeline network. As part of Enbridge’s Integrity Management Program In-Line Inspections have been and will continue to be conducted on more than 15,000 km of pipeline. This extensive program is comprised of a mature metal loss and geometry inspection component as well as a crack inspection program utilizing the most sophisticated In-Line Inspection (ILI) tools available. Enbridge conducted its first ultrasonic crack inspection with the British Gas Elastic Wave Vehicle (Now GE Power Systems – Oil & Gas – PII Pipeline Solutions) in September 1993 on a Canadian portion of it’s 864–mm (34”) diameter line. The Elastic Wave Vehicle was also used for crack detection on additional segments of this same 864–mm (34”) diameter line during the following years, 1994, 1995 and 1996. Enbridge then conducted its first crack inspection with the Pipetronix UltraScan CD tool (Now also GE Power Systems – Oil & Gas – PII Pipeline Solutions) in November 1997 on a segment of this 864–mm (34”) diameter line that was previously inspected with the Elastic Wave Vehicle. The UltraScan CD tool was then utilized again in 1999, 2000 and 2001 completing crack inspection of the Canadian portion of this 864–mm (34”) diameter line. Enbridge conducted its first magnetic crack inspection with the PII TranScan (TFI) Circumferential Magnetic inspection tool in December 1998 on a United States portion of another 864–mm (34”) diameter line. This same section of line was subsequently inspected with the PII UltraScan CD tool in July 2001. This paper discusses the comparison of results from overlapping crack inspection data analysis from these three PII crack detection tools. Specifically, the overlap of the UltraScan CD and Elastic Wave Vehicle along with the overlap of the UltraScan CD and TranScan (TFI) tool. The relative performance of each crack detection tool will be explored and conclusions drawn.


2017 ◽  
Vol 1 (20) ◽  
pp. 63-74 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arkadiusz Rychlik ◽  
Krzysztof Ligier

This paper discusses the method used to identify the process involving fatigue cracking of samples on the basis of selected vibration signal characteristics. Acceleration of vibrations has been chosen as a diagnostic signal in the analysis of sample cross section. Signal characteristics in form of change in vibration amplitudes and corresponding changes in FFT spectrum have been indicated for the acceleration. The tests were performed on a designed setup, where destruction process was caused by the force of inertia of the sample. Based on the conducted tests, it was found that the demonstrated sample structure change identification method may be applied to identify the technical condition of the structure in the aspect of loss of its continuity and its properties (e.g.: mechanical and fatigue cracks). The vibration analysis results have been verified by penetration and visual methods, using a scanning electron microscope.


Author(s):  
Shahani Kariyawasam ◽  
Warren Peterson

Reliability methods have being adopted by oil and gas operators for integrity management decisions. These methods explicitly account for all relevant uncertainties and are designed to provide consistent safety. Consequently, a risk or reliability based approach is a very appropriate basis for decision making in the face of uncertainties. However, as in the effective use of any powerful methodology the sensitivities of the method to assumptions and limitations of applicability need to be well understood. This paper presents how improvements were made to reliability based integrity program by understanding its limitations and sensitivities. First the inputs that have the highest impact on the results were identified. These inputs are the most appropriate areas for improvement and data gathering. It is also very important to understand how the results are to be used and for what purpose. The results of this particular inline inspection based reliability assessment are used to make better excavation and repair decisions. A defect-based and joint-based decision making process is essential for determining with sufficient confidence if each defect and joint is in a safe condition. Consequently, the improvements are focused on discriminating between the myriad of defects found during an inline inspection run. Distinct field characteristics of corrosion growth are also taken into account in these improvements. The paper presents the implementation of effective area methods for future integrity probabilistic evaluations. It also describes the benefit of applying defect-specific growth rates. Finally, case studies are presented to demonstrate the effectiveness of the changes.


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