Creep Life Prediction for Aero Gas Turbine Hot Section Component Using Artificial Neural Networks

Author(s):  
M. F. Abdul Ghafir ◽  
Y. G. Li ◽  
L. Wang

Accurate and reliable component life prediction is crucial to ensure safety and economics of gas turbine operations. In pursuit of such improved accuracy and reliability, model-based creep life prediction methods have become more and more complicated and therefore demand more computational time although they are more flexible in applications, in particular for new gas turbine engines. Therefore, there is a need to find an alternative approach that is able to provide a quick solution to creep life prediction for production engines while at the same time maintain the same accuracy and reliability as that of the model-based methods. In this paper a novel creep life prediction approach using Artificial Neural Networks is introduced as an alternative to the model based creep life prediction approach to provide a quick and accurate estimation of gas turbine creep life. Multilayer feed forward back propagation neural networks have been utilised to form three neural network-based creep life prediction architectures known as the Range Based, Functional Based and Sensor Based architectures. The new neural network creep life prediction approach has been tested with a model single spool turboshaft gas turbine engine. The results show that good generalisation can be achieved in all three neural network architectures. It was also found that the Sensor-Based architecture is better than the other two in terms of accuracy, with 98% of the post-test samples possessing prediction errors within ± 0.4%. Overall, it can be concluded that the proposed neural network approach in creep life prediction is able to provide a good alternative to the more complicated model-based creep life prediction algorithms and can be applied to different types of gas turbine engines.

Author(s):  
M. F. Abdul Ghafir ◽  
Y. G. Li ◽  
L. Wang

Accurate and reliable component life prediction is crucial to ensure safety and economics of gas turbine operations. In pursuit of such improved accuracy and reliability, model-based creep life prediction methods have become more complicated and demand higher computational time. Therefore, there is a need to find an alternative approach that is able to provide a quick solution to creep life prediction for production engines while at the same time maintain the same accuracy and reliability as that of the model-based methods. In this paper, a novel creep life prediction approach using artificial neural networks is introduced as an alternative to the model-based creep life prediction approach to provide a quick and accurate estimation of gas turbine creep life. Multilayer feed forward backpropagation neural networks have been utilized to form three neural network–based creep life prediction architectures known as the range-based, functional-based, and sensor-based architectures. The new neural network creep life prediction approach has been tested with a model single-spool turboshaft gas turbine engine. The results show that good generalization can be achieved in all three neural network architectures. It was also found that the sensor-based architecture is better than the other two in terms of accuracy, with 98% of the post-test samples possessing prediction errors within ±0.4%.


Author(s):  
Rasul Mohammadi ◽  
Esmaeil Naderi ◽  
Khashayar Khorasani ◽  
Shahin Hashtrudi-Zad

This paper presents a novel methodology for fault detection in gas turbine engines based on the concept of dynamic neural networks. The neural network structure belongs to the class of locally recurrent globally feed-forward networks. The architecture of the network is similar to the feed-forward multi-layer perceptron with the difference that the processing units include dynamic characteristics. The dynamics present in these networks make them a powerful tool useful for identification of nonlinear systems. The dynamic neural network architecture that is described in this paper is used for fault detection in a dual-spool turbo fan engine. A number of simulation studies are conducted to demonstrate and verify the advantages of our proposed neural network diagnosis methodology.


Author(s):  
Д.О. Пушкарёв

Рассматривается применение нейросетевых экспертных систем в области контроля, диагностики и прогнозирования технического состояния авиационных ГТД на основе нечеткой логики. Показана методика для решения таких задач в области технической эксплуатации авиационной техники совместно с использованием фаззи-интерференсной системы программы MATLAB. Используя статистические данные о работе двигателя формируется экспертная система на основе нейронной сети позволяющая осуществлять контроль и диагностику ГТД, а также прогнозировать дальнейшее техническое состояния анализируемого двигателя. The application of neural network expert systems in the field of monitoring, diagnostics and forecasting of the technical condition of aviation gas turbine engines based on fuzzy logic is considered. The technique for solving such problems in the field of technical operation of aircraft and using the fuzzy-interference system of the MATLAB program is shown. Using statistical data on the operation of the engine, an expert system is based on the fundamental of a neural network that provide monitoring and diagnostics of gas turbine engines, as well as predicting the further technical condition of the analyzed engine.


Author(s):  
A. Vatani ◽  
K. Khorasani ◽  
N. Meskin

In this paper two artificially intelligent methodologies are proposed and developed for degradation prognosis and health monitoring of gas turbine engines. Our objective is to predict the degradation trends by studying their effects on the engine measurable parameters, such as the temperature, at critical points of the gas turbine engine. The first prognostic scheme is based on a recurrent neural network (RNN) architecture. This architecture enables ONE to learn the engine degradations from the available measurable data. The second prognostic scheme is based on a nonlinear auto-regressive with exogenous input (NARX) neural network architecture. It is shown that this network can be trained with fewer data points and the prediction errors are lower as compared to the RNN architecture. To manage prognostic and prediction uncertainties upper and lower threshold bounds are defined and obtained. Various scenarios and case studies are presented to illustrate and demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed neural network-based prognostic approaches. To evaluate and compare the prediction results between our two proposed neural network schemes, a metric known as the normalized Akaike information criterion (NAIC) is utilized. A smaller NAIC shows a better, a more accurate and a more effective prediction outcome. The NAIC values are obtained for each case and the networks are compared relatively with one another.


Aviation ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
pp. 52-56 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mykola Kulyk ◽  
Sergiy Dmitriev ◽  
Oleksandr Yakushenko ◽  
Oleksandr Popov

A method of obtaining test and training data sets has been developed. These sets are intended for training a static neural network to recognise individual and double defects in the air-gas path units of a gas-turbine engine. These data are obtained by using operational process parameters of the air-gas path of a bypass turbofan engine. The method allows sets that can project some changes in the technical conditions of a gas-turbine engine to be received, taking into account errors that occur in the measurement of the gas-dynamic parameters of the air-gas path. The operation of the engine in a wide range of modes should also be taken into account.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document