Critical Situations of Vessel Operations in Short Crested Seas—Forecast and Decision Support System

Author(s):  
Günther F. Clauss ◽  
Sascha Kosleck ◽  
Daniel Testa

The encounter of extreme waves, extreme wave groups, or unfavorable wave sequences poses dangerous threats for ships and floating/stationary marine structures. The impact of extreme waves causes enormous forces, whereas an unfavorable wave sequence—not necessarily extreme waves—can arouse critical motions or even resonance, often leading to loss of cargo, ship, or crew. Thus, besides a well thought-out maritime design, a system detecting critical incoming wave sequences in advance can help avoiding those dangerous situations, increasing the safety of sea transport or offshore operations. During the last two years a new system for decision support onboard a ship or floating/fixed marine structure named CASH—Computer Aided Ship Handling—has been introduced. The preceding papers showed the step wise development of the main components of the program code—3d-wave forecast and 3d-ship motion forecast. These procedures provide a deterministic approach to predict the short crested seas state within radar range of the ship, as well as resulting ship motions in six degrees of freedom. Both methods have been enhanced with special focus on the speed of calculation to ensure a just-in-time forecast. A newly developed component is the adaptive 3d-pressure distribution. This method calculates the pressure distribution along the wetted surface of the ship hull using a newly developed stretching approach. With the end of the joint project Loads on Ships in Seaway (LaSSe), (funded by the German Government) the paper presents the CASH system, giving the possibility to detect critical situations in advance. Thus not only decision support onboard a cruising ship can be provided, but also time windows for offshore operations are identified well in advance.

Author(s):  
Gu¨nther F. Clauss ◽  
Sascha Kosleck ◽  
Daniel Testa

The encounter of extreme waves, extreme wave groups or of unfavourable wave sequences is a dangerous thread for ships and floating/fixed marine structures. The impact of extreme waves causes enormous forces whereas the encounter of an unfavourable wave sequence — not necessarily extreme waves — can arouse critical motions or even resonance, often leading to loss of cargo, ship and crew. Thus, besides a well thought-out maritime design, a system detecting critical incoming wave sequences in advance can help avoiding those dangerous situations, increasing the safety of sea transport or offshore operations. During the last two years (see [1] and [2]) a new system for decision support on board a ship or floating/fixed marine structure named CASH — Computer Aided Ship Handling — has been introduced. The preceding papers showed the step wise development of the main components of the program code — 3D–WAVE FORECAST and 3D–SHIP MOTION FORECAST. These procedures provide a deterministic approach to predict the short-crested seas state within radar range of the ship, as well as resulting ship motions in 6 degrees of freedom. Both methods have been enhanced with special focus on the speed of calculation to ensure a just-in-time forecast. A newly developed component is the ADAPTIVE 3D-PRESSURE DISTRIBUTION. This method calculates the pressure distribution along the wetted surface of the ship hull using a newly developed stretching approach [3]. With the end of the joint project LaSSe — Loads on Ships in Seaway (funded by the German Government) the paper presents the CASH-system, giving the possibility to detect critical situations in advance. Thus not only decision support on board a cruising ship can be provided, but also time windows for offshore operations are identified well in advance.


Author(s):  
Gu¨nther F. Clauss ◽  
Sascha Kosleck ◽  
Daniel Testa ◽  
Katrin Hessner

The impact of single extreme waves or wave groups on marine structures and ships causes enormous forces often leading to critical situations or even loss of ship, cargo and crew. One approach to avoid dangerous situations is to adjust heading and cruise speed. To identify critical situations well in advance the forecast of the incoming wave train is essential. Concerning the method to predict the wave train a ship will encounter within the near future — some minutes ahead — the so far unidirectional WAVE FORECAST method, pre-calculating an encountering wave train from surface elevation snapshots of the surrounding sea — taken by radar — has been improved. This paper presents a method to predict the entire sea state within the surrounding area of the vessel considering multidirectional waves. Thus the evolution of critical waves coming from various directions can be predicted. In addition the SHIP MOTION FORECAST method — pre-calculating the vessel response — has also been enhanced. Taking into account the encounter angle of the incoming wave components, depending on time and course angle of the vessel, the ship-fixed compass rose is divided into a number of sectors. The corresponding encountering wave train for every sector is derived by superimposing all wave components coming from certain directions. With a set of directional Response Amplitude Operators (RAOs) for the six degrees of freedom the sector-wise vessel responses can be calculated as well. The response spectra are derived in frequency domain and transferred into time domain by the use of Inverse Fast Fourier Transformation (IFFT). Thus the overall vessel response is obtained by superimposing the time domain responses for every sector and degree of freedom, delivering a comprehensive data base for the analysis of critical situations in advance.


Diabetes ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 69 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 778-P
Author(s):  
ZIYU LIU ◽  
CHAOFAN WANG ◽  
XUEYING ZHENG ◽  
SIHUI LUO ◽  
DAIZHI YANG ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Vol 71 (1) ◽  
pp. 15-41
Author(s):  
Dominik Maltritz ◽  
Sebastian Wüste

AbstractWe search for drivers of fiscal deficits in Europe using a data panel containing annual data of 27 EU countries in the years 1991–2012. Our special focus is on the influence of fiscal rules as well as on fiscal councils, i. e. institutions that may help to reduce deficits and enforce fiscal rules by advising governments. We distinguish between internal fiscal rules and external rules that result from EMU membership. In addition, we consider the impact of “creative accounting”, i. e. measures that help to circumvent fiscal rules, which we approximate by so called stock-flow-adjustments. We especially analyze the interactive influence of the mentioned variables on the budget balance.


2020 ◽  
Vol 30 (Supplement_5) ◽  
Author(s):  
◽  

Abstract   Childhood obesity has grown to become one of the most dramatic features of the global obesity epidemic, with long-term consequences. The spread of obesity has been fueled by changes in social norms and living environments that have shaped individual behaviours making them conducive to excessive and imbalanced nutrition, sedentary lifestyles, and ultimately obesity and associated diseases. The STOP project will aim to generate scientifically sound, novel and policy-relevant evidence on the factors that have contributed to the spread of childhood obesity in European countries and on the effects of alternative technological and organisational solutions and policy options available to address the problem. STOP will translate the evidence gathered and generated into indicators and measurements, policy briefs and toolkits and multi-stakeholder frameworks. A special focus of STOP is understanding the stakeholders' networks and drivers of stakeholders' action. STOP will establish new ways for policy-relevant evidence to be generated, made available and used in the design and implementation of effective and sustainable solutions for childhood obesity at the EU, national and local levels. Each of the policy work packages will: Produce evidence syntheses and impact simulations for different policy approaches;Assess selected policy approaches and actions in children cohorts and other relevant settings;Devise policy toolkits and policy guidance to support the adoption and implementation of specific actions by relevant actors;Establish a country-based European accountability and monitoring framework in each policy area. The workshop aims to: Showcase the impact of different policy options evaluated throughout the STOP project;Increase participants' understanding and awareness of the opportunities and challenges associated with the implementation of selected policies;Increase awareness of public health professionals of the importance of overcoming siloes in identifying and implementing public health policies;Increase the understanding of multi-stakeholder engagement. The discussion will explore the role of stakeholders across different policy areas. We will explore the different definitions of “stakeholders” and “multi-stakeholders” engagement. This will also be an opportunity to explore some of the benefits, risks and challenges around stakeholder engagement, and explore what are the different types of stakeholders involved in these policies as well as their roles. The workshop will offer an opportunity to: Inform participants about existing physical activity, regulatory and fiscal policies to address childhood obesity;Inform participants about new, innovative EU-level projects that aim to address childhood obesity;Outline preliminary findings of the STOP project with regards to the effectiveness of the evaluated policies;Identify some of the gaps and limitations of existing policies and discuss some of the steps to ensure successful policy implementation. Key messages Present new evidence on what policy approaches work in addressing key determinants of childhood obesity. Showcase findings on the attitudes of different stakeholders towards obesity policies, and debate the benefits, risks and challenges of multi-stakeholder engagement.


Author(s):  
Éva Leiter ◽  
Tamás Emri ◽  
Klaudia Pákozdi ◽  
László Hornok ◽  
István Pócsi

Abstract Regulation of signal transduction pathways is crucial for the maintenance of cellular homeostasis and organismal development in fungi. Transcription factors are key elements of this regulatory network. The basic-region leucine zipper (bZIP) domain of the bZIP-type transcription factors is responsible for DNA binding while their leucine zipper structural motifs are suitable for dimerization with each other facilitiating the formation of homodimeric or heterodimeric bZIP proteins. This review highlights recent knowledge on the function of fungal orthologs of the Schizosaccharomyces pombe Atf1, Aspergillus nidulans AtfA, and Fusarium verticillioides FvAtfA, bZIP-type transcription factors with a special focus on pathogenic species. We demonstrate that fungal Atf1-AtfA-FvAtfA orthologs play an important role in vegetative growth, sexual and asexual development, stress response, secondary metabolite production, and virulence both in human pathogens, including Aspergillus fumigatus, Mucor circinelloides, Penicillium marneffei, and Cryptococcus neoformans and plant pathogens, like Fusarium ssp., Magnaporthe oryzae, Claviceps purpurea, Botrytis cinerea, and Verticillium dahliae. Key points • Atf1 orthologs play crucial role in the growth and development of fungi. • Atf1 orthologs orchestrate environmental stress response of fungi. • Secondary metabolite production and virulence are coordinated by Atf1 orthologs.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (02) ◽  
pp. 199-207
Author(s):  
Liang Yan ◽  
Thomas Reese ◽  
Scott D. Nelson

Abstract Objective Increasingly, pharmacists provide team-based care that impacts patient care; however, the extent of recent clinical decision support (CDS), targeted to support the evolving roles of pharmacists, is unknown. Our objective was to evaluate the literature to understand the impact of clinical pharmacists using CDS. Methods We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Cochrane Central for randomized controlled trials, nonrandomized trials, and quasi-experimental studies which evaluated CDS tools that were developed for inpatient pharmacists as a target user. The primary outcome of our analysis was the impact of CDS on patient safety, quality use of medication, and quality of care. Outcomes were scored as positive, negative, or neutral. The secondary outcome was the proportion of CDS developed for tasks other than medication order verification. Study quality was assessed using the Newcastle–Ottawa Scale. Results Of 4,365 potentially relevant articles, 15 were included. Five studies were randomized controlled trials. All included studies were rated as good quality. Of the studies evaluating inpatient pharmacists using a CDS tool, four showed significantly improved quality use of medications, four showed significantly improved patient safety, and three showed significantly improved quality of care. Six studies (40%) supported expanded roles of clinical pharmacists. Conclusion These results suggest that CDS can support clinical inpatient pharmacists in preventing medication errors and optimizing pharmacotherapy. Moreover, an increasing number of CDS tools have been developed for pharmacists' roles outside of order verification, whereby further supporting and establishing pharmacists as leaders in safe and effective pharmacotherapy.


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