scholarly journals Impacto da duplicação de CO2 no clima global simulado por um modelo de circulação geral da atmosfera

2004 ◽  
Vol 27 ◽  
pp. 27-52
Author(s):  
Felipe Das Neves Roque da Silva ◽  
José Ricardo Almeida França
Keyword(s):  
General Circulation ◽  
Climate Changes ◽  
Hydrological Cycle ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Co2 Concentration ◽  
Polar Regions ◽  
Control Case ◽  
Model Resolution ◽  
Low Latitudes ◽  
Atmosphere General Circulation Model

The objective of this work is to evaluate climate changes caused by atmospheric CO2 concentration duplication. The LMD-Z atmosphere general circulation model (AGCM) was used (Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique - France). The model was integrated for a fifty years period and only the last forty years were used for analyses. This experiment have made two simulations: the first using the current CO2 concentration (control case) and the second using this concentration doubled (duplication case). Both were made with a variable spatial resolution with maximum of it centered in Rio de Janeiro. This way, there is a significant increase of model resolution in this region. To verify climate changes, anomaly fields generated by the model (duplication case minus control) were studied. It was possible to observe some characteristic effects of this type of experiment, such as great temperature increasing at surface in polar regions and in upper levels at low latitudes, cooling in stratosphere and intensification of hydrological cycle.

scholarly journals Sources of Holocene variability of oxygen isotopes in paleoclimate archives

2009 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 441-455 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. N. LeGrande ◽  
G. A. Schmidt
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Climate Changes ◽  
Hydrological Cycle ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Ice Cores ◽  
Water Vapor Transport ◽  
Water Isotopes ◽  
Water Isotope

Abstract. Variability in water isotopes has been captured in numerous archives and used to infer past climate changes. Here we examine water isotope variability over the course of the Holocene using the water-isotope enabled, coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation model, GISS ModelE-R. Eight Holocene time slices, ~1000 years apart are simulated and driven by estimated changes in orbital configuration, greenhouse gases, and ice sheet extent. We find that simulated water isotope archives match well with those seen in ice cores, ocean sediment cores, and speleothems. The climate changes associated with the water isotope changes, however, are more complex than simple modern spatial slope interpretations might suggest. In particular, water isotope variability in Asian speleothems is linked to alterations in landward water vapor transport, not local precipitation, and ice sheet changes over North America lead to the masking of temperature signals in Summit, Greenland. Salinity-seawater isotope variability is complicated by inter-ocean basin exchanges of water vapor. Water isotopes do reflect variability in the hydrology, but are better interpreted in terms of regional hydrological cycle changes rather than as indicators of local climate.

scholarly journals Review on Applications of 17O in Hydrological Cycle

Molecules ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 26 (15) ◽  
pp. 4468
Author(s):  
Yalalt Nyamgerel ◽  
Yeongcheol Han ◽  
Minji Kim ◽  
Dongchan Koh ◽  
Jeonghoon Lee
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Hydrological Cycle ◽  
General Circulation Models ◽  
Convective Precipitation ◽  
Subsurface Water ◽  
Polar Regions ◽  
Sea Ice Concentration ◽  
Moisture Source ◽  
Depositional Processes

The triple oxygen isotopes (16O, 17O, and 18O) are very useful in hydrological and climatological studies because of their sensitivity to environmental conditions. This review presents an overview of the published literature on the potential applications of 17O in hydrological studies. Dual-inlet isotope ratio mass spectrometry and laser absorption spectroscopy have been used to measure 17O, which provides information on atmospheric conditions at the moisture source and isotopic fractionations during transport and deposition processes. The variations of δ17O from the developed global meteoric water line, with a slope of 0.528, indicate the importance of regional or local effects on the 17O distribution. In polar regions, factors such as the supersaturation effect, intrusion of stratospheric vapor, post-depositional processes (local moisture recycling through sublimation), regional circulation patterns, sea ice concentration and local meteorological conditions determine the distribution of 17O-excess. Numerous studies have used these isotopes to detect the changes in the moisture source, mixing of different water vapor, evaporative loss in dry regions, re-evaporation of rain drops during warm precipitation and convective storms in low and mid-latitude waters. Owing to the large variation of the spatial scale of hydrological processes with their extent (i.e., whether the processes are local or regional), more studies based on isotopic composition of surface and subsurface water, convective precipitation, and water vapor, are required. In particular, in situ measurements are important for accurate simulations of atmospheric hydrological cycles by isotope-enabled general circulation models.

“Modes of Variability” and Climate Change

2009 ◽  
Vol 22 (10) ◽  
pp. 2639-2658 ◽  
Author(s):  
Grant Branstator ◽  
Frank Selten
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Stochastic Model ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Climate Changes ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Meridional Wind ◽  
Model Atmosphere ◽  
Linear Pattern ◽  
Modes Of Variability ◽  
Mean State

Abstract A 62-member ensemble of coupled general circulation model (GCM) simulations of the years 1940–2080, including the effects of projected greenhouse gas increases, is examined. The focus is on the interplay between the trend in the Northern Hemisphere December–February (DJF) mean state and the intrinsic modes of variability of the model atmosphere as given by the upper-tropospheric meridional wind. The structure of the leading modes and the trend are similar. Two commonly proposed explanations for this similarity are considered. Several results suggest that this similarity in most respects is consistent with an explanation involving patterns that result from the model dynamics being well approximated by a linear system. Specifically, the leading intrinsic modes are similar to the leading modes of a stochastic model linearized about the mean state of the GCM atmosphere, trends in GCM tropical precipitation appear to excite the leading linear pattern, and the probability density functions (PDFs) of prominent circulation patterns are quasi-Gaussian. There are, on the other hand, some subtle indications that an explanation for the similarity involving preferred states (which necessarily result from nonlinear influences) has some relevance. For example, though unimodal, PDFs of prominent patterns have departures from Gaussianity that are suggestive of a mixture of two Gaussian components. And there is some evidence of a shift in probability between the two components as the climate changes. Interestingly, contrary to the most prominent theory of the influence of nonlinearly produced preferred states on climate change, the centroids of the components also change as the climate changes. This modification of the system’s preferred states corresponds to a change in the structure of its dominant patterns. The change in pattern structure is reproduced by the linear stochastic model when its basic state is modified to correspond to the trend in the general circulation model’s mean atmospheric state. Thus, there is a two-way interaction between the trend and the modes of variability.

Atmospheric general circulation and waves simulated by a Venus AORI GCM with topographical and radiative forcings

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Masaru Yamamoto ◽  
Takumi Hirose ◽  
Kohei Ikeda ◽  
Masaaki Takahashi
Keyword(s):  
Gravity Waves ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Stationary Wave ◽  
Static Stability ◽  
Small Scale ◽  
Mean Flow ◽  
Short Period ◽  
Low Latitudes ◽  
Thermal Tides

<p>General circulation and waves are investigated using a T63 Venus general circulation model (GCM) with solar and thermal radiative transfer in the presence of high-resolution surface topography. This model has been developed by Ikeda (2011) at the Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute (AORI), the University of Tokyo, and was used in Yamamoto et al. (2019, 2021). In the wind and static stability structures similar to the observed ones, the waves are investigated. Around the cloud-heating maximum (~65 km), the simulated thermal tides accelerate an equatorial superrotational flow with a speed of ~90 m/s<sup></sup>with rates of 0.2–0.5 m/s/(Earth day) via both horizontal and vertical momentum fluxes at low latitudes. Over the high mountains at low latitudes, the vertical wind variance at the cloud top is produced by topographically-fixed, short-period eddies, indicating penetrative plumes and gravity waves. In the solar-fixed coordinate system, the variances (i.e., the activity of waves other than thermal tides) of flow are relatively higher on the night-side than on the dayside at the cloud top. The local-time variation of the vertical eddy momentum flux is produced by both thermal tides and solar-related, small-scale gravity waves. Around the cloud bottom, the 9-day super-rotation of the zonal mean flow has a weak equatorial maximum and the 7.5-day Kelvin-like wave has an equatorial jet-like wind of 60-70 m/s. Because we discussed the thermal tide and topographically stationary wave in Yamamoto et al. (2021), we focus on the short-period eddies in the presentation.</p>

scholarly journals Simulation of the isotopic composition of stratospheric water vapour – Part 1: Description and evaluation of the EMAC model

2015 ◽  
Vol 15 (10) ◽  
pp. 5537-5555 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Eichinger ◽  
P. Jöckel ◽  
S. Brinkop ◽  
M. Werner ◽  
S. Lossow
Keyword(s):  
Isotopic Composition ◽  
Water Vapour ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Hydrological Cycle ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Isotope Ratios ◽  
Physical Fractionation ◽  
Water Isotopologues ◽  
Stratospheric Water Vapour

Abstract. This modelling study aims at an improved understanding of the processes that determine the water vapour budget in the stratosphere by means of the investigation of water isotope ratios. An additional (and separate from the actual) hydrological cycle has been introduced into the chemistry–climate model EMAC, including the water isotopologues HDO and H218O and their physical fractionation processes. Additionally an explicit computation of the contribution of methane oxidation to H2O and HDO has been incorporated. The model expansions allow detailed analyses of water vapour and its isotope ratio with respect to deuterium throughout the stratosphere and in the transition region to the troposphere. In order to assure the correct representation of the water isotopologues in the model's hydrological cycle, the expanded system has been evaluated in several steps. The physical fractionation effects have been evaluated by comparison of the simulated isotopic composition of precipitation with measurements from a ground-based network (GNIP) and with the results from the isotopologue-enabled general circulation model ECHAM5-wiso. The model's representation of the chemical HDO precursor CH3D in the stratosphere has been confirmed by a comparison with chemical transport models (1-D, CHEM2D) and measurements from radiosonde flights. Finally, the simulated stratospheric HDO and the isotopic composition of water vapour have been evaluated, with respect to retrievals from three different satellite instruments (MIPAS, ACE-FTS, SMR). Discrepancies in stratospheric water vapour isotope ratios between two of the three satellite retrievals can now partly be explained.

scholarly journals The FAMOUS climate model (versions XFXWB and XFHCC): description update to version XDBUA

2011 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 3047-3065
Author(s):  
R. S. Smith
Keyword(s):  
Water Budget ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Model Description ◽  
Model Intercomparison ◽  
Ocean Atmosphere ◽  
Atmosphere General Circulation Model ◽  
Intercomparison Project ◽  
The Uk

Abstract. FAMOUS is an ocean-atmosphere general circulation model of low resolution, based on version 4.5 of the UK MetOffice Unified Model. Here we update the model description to account for changes in the model as it is used in the CMIP5 EMIC model intercomparison project (EMICmip) and a number of other studies. Most of these changes correct errors found in the code. The EMICmip version of the model (XFXWB) has a better-conserved water budget and additional cooling in some high latitude areas, but otherwise has a similar climatology to previous versions of FAMOUS. A variant of XFXWB is also described, with changes to the dynamics at the top of the model which improve the model climatology (XFHCC).

scholarly journals Amplification of obliquity forcing through mean annual and seasonal atmospheric feedbacks

2008 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 205-213 ◽  
Author(s):  
S.-Y. Lee ◽  
C. J. Poulsen
Keyword(s):  
General Circulation ◽  
Spectral Power ◽  
Spectral Characteristics ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Vapor Transport ◽  
Ice Volume ◽  
Global Ice Volume ◽  
Atmosphere General Circulation Model ◽  
Snow Precipitation ◽  
Insolation Forcing

Abstract. Pleistocene benthic δ18O records exhibit strong spectral power at ~41 kyr, indicating that global ice volume has been modulated by Earth's axial tilt. This feature, and weak spectral power in the precessional band, has been attributed to the influence of obliquity on mean annual and seasonal insolation gradients at high latitudes. In this study, we use a coupled ocean-atmosphere general circulation model to quantify changes in continental snowfall associated with mean annual and seasonal insolation forcing due to a change in obliquity. Our model results indicate that insolation changes associated with a decrease in obliquity amplify continental snowfall in three ways: (1) Local reductions in air temperature enhance precipitation as snowfall. (2) An intensification of the winter meridional insolation gradient strengthens zonal circulation (e.g. the Aleutian low), promoting greater vapor transport from ocean to land and snow precipitation. (3) An increase in the summer meridional insolation gradient enhances summer eddy activity, increasing vapor transport to high-latitude regions. In our experiments, a decrease in obliquity leads to an annual snowfall increase of 25.0 cm; just over one-half of this response (14.1 cm) is attributed to seasonal changes in insolation. Our results indicate that the role of insolation gradients is important in amplifying the relatively weak insolation forcing due to a change in obliquity. Nonetheless, the total snowfall response to obliquity is similar to that due to a shift in Earth's precession, suggesting that obliquity forcing alone can not account for the spectral characteristics of the ice-volume record.

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