scholarly journals Money Demand and its Keynesian and Postkeynesian Concepts – case of the Czech Republic

2010 ◽  
Vol 58 (6) ◽  
pp. 209-226 ◽  
Author(s):  
Svatopluk Kapounek
Keyword(s):  
Czech Republic ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Money Demand ◽  
Demand Function ◽  
Demand Estimation ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
The Czech Republic ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Multiplier Effect

Money exogeneity, stable money demand and its interest rates elasticity is basic condition of central banks’ monetary policy implementation and efficiency. The stable money demand function ensures that the money supply would have predictable impact on the macroeconomic variables such as inflation and real economic growth.This article deals with the money demand estimation under the keynesisan and postkeynesian theo­re­ti­cal approaches. Although central banks may have certain control over the money supply, they cannot fix the stock of money in a country, caused by multiplier effect of deposits. Different trends in monetary aggregates fluctuation contribute to reject the money exogeneity hypothesis. The author applies the CUSUM and Hansen’s stability tests to identify instability in the models of the Czech Republic and Eurozone.

Are capital inflows in the CR inflationary?

1996 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tomáš Dvořák
Keyword(s):  
Czech Republic ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Money Demand ◽  
Empirical Investigation ◽  
Demand Function ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Capital Inflows ◽  
Supply Function ◽  
The Czech Republic ◽  
Net Foreign Assets

It is evident that the volume of capital inflows in the Czech Republic has had seriously monetary consequences. As shown in the section 2 net foreign assets accounted for most of the growth in the money supply in the Czech Republic during 1993 and 1994. Inflationary effects of capital inflows depend on whether capital inflows are driven by the money demand or by the money supply. The inflows driven by a rightward shift in the money demand function are not likely to result in inflation, while a shift in the money, supply function, caused perhaps by institutional change and greater availability of foreign funds, is likely to put pressure on prices. Empirical investigation of the supply and demand effects attempted to confirm the existence of the supply of money supply function in the Czech Republic. The application of appropriate econometric analysis in the turbulent period of 1992 - 1994 was somewhat problematic.

scholarly journals Are Central Banks In CEE Countries Concerned About The Burden Of Public Debt?

2017 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 35-51 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joanna Mackiewicz-Łyziak
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Czech Republic ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Output Gap ◽  
Markov Switching Model ◽  
The Czech Republic ◽  
Policy Regimes ◽  
Switching Model

The aim of this study is to analyze the monetary policy rules in the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland, with public debt as an additional explanatory variable. We estimate linear rules by the GMM estimation and non-linear rules, using the Markov-switching model. Our findings suggest that in the Czech Republic and Poland the monetary authorities respond to growing public debt by lowering interest rates, while in Hungary the opposite may be observed. Moreover, we distinguish between passive and active monetary policy regimes and find that the degree of interest rate smoothing is lower and the response of the central banks to inflation and/or output gap is stronger in an active regime. In the passive regime, the output gap seems to be statistically insignificant.

scholarly journals Granger Causalities Between Interest Rate, Price Level, Money Supply and Real Gdp in the Czech Republic

2017 ◽  
Vol 65 (2) ◽  
pp. 745-757
Author(s):  
Tomáš Urbanovský
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Czech Republic ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Price Level ◽  
Macroeconomic Policy ◽  
The Czech Republic ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Real Gdp

The main aim of this paper is to investigate relationships between selected macroeconomic variables – interest rate, price level, money supply and real GDP – in the Czech Republic in order to find out definite implications of its interactions and give recommendations to macroeconomic policy authorities. Two implemented vector autoregression models with different lag length reached slightly different conclusions. VAR(1) suggests that three pairs of Granger causality exist, in particular between price level and interest rate, between real GDP and interest rate and between real GDP and price level. VAR(2) uncovered two more pairs of Granger causality between money supply and interest rate and between money supply and price level. Despite better prediction power of VAR(2) in case of money supply, low correlation coefficient comprising variable money supply raises doubts about the factual existence of causality between money supply and other variables. However, both models allow forecasting the direction of change in case of variables interest rate and real GDP with the same success rate nearly 82 %. Both VARs also agreed that interest rate could be changed by change of price level and that interest rate could be changed by change of real GDP. These conclusions represent potential recommendations to macroeconomic policy authorities. For the purpose of further research, exchange rate variable will be included in the model instead of interest rate, because effect of interest rate turned out to be limited in times of weakened state of Czech economy.

scholarly journals Loose Monetary Policy and Corporate Investment of Manufacturing Firms in the Czech Republic

2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (4) ◽  
pp. 371-385
Author(s):  
Veronika Kajurová ◽  
Dagmar Linnertová
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Czech Republic ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Corporate Investment ◽  
Manufacturing Firms ◽  
Investment Activity ◽  
The Czech Republic ◽  
Low Interest Rates ◽  
Negative Effect

Abstract The aim of the paper is to evaluate the effects of loose monetary policy on corporate investment of manufacturing firms in the Czech Republic during the period between 2006 and 2015. The main focus of the paper is on the effect of low interest rates on investment activity of Czech firms; additionally, the effects of interactions between interest rate and other firm-specific variables are investigated. The results indicate that corporate investment is positively associated with firm size, investment opportunities, and long term debt. Also, a negative effect of the cash position is found. Further, the findings show that monetary policy is a significant determinant of firm investment activity: when the monetary policy is loose, investment is positively affected. Furthermore, differences in the determinants of investment between highly and low leveraged firms were revealed.

scholarly journals Comparison of effects of expansionary monetary policy in the Czech Republic and Slovakia

2020 ◽  
Vol 74 ◽  
pp. 04006
Author(s):  
Boris Fisera ◽  
Jana Kotlebova
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Czech Republic ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Open Economies ◽  
Balance Sheet ◽  
Bank Lending ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
The Czech Republic ◽  
Economic Developments

The ongoing process of globalization has affected the way the monetary policy is conducted – and this is especially the case of small open economies, where the economic developments are heavily affected by the developments abroad. Therefore, the aim of this paper is to investigate the effects of unconventional monetary policy in two very open economies – Slovakia and the Czech Republic in the post-crisis era – the two rather similar very open economies. We assess the effects of their monetary policies by estimating their impact on the banking sector in both countries. We employ two cointegrating estimators – DOLS and FMOLS, so that we can assess the dynamics of the relationship between the developments of main balance sheet items of the respective central banks and the aggregate bank lending to various sectors of the economy. We do find evidence that unconventional policies of both central banks did lift bank lending – with the effect being stronger in Slovakia and for the QE policies. In both countries, the effect was more pronounced for the bank lending to household sector – specifically on housing related loans. Finally, we do not find evidence that the increasing openness of these two already very open economies affected the transmission of monetary policies into the banking sector.

scholarly journals Interest rates and prices causality in the Czech Republic – Granger approach

2009 ◽  
Vol 55 (No. 7) ◽  
pp. 347-356 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Poměnková ◽  
S. Kapounek
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Czech Republic ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Aggregate Demand ◽  
Real Economy ◽  
Investment Activity ◽  
The Czech Republic ◽  
The Interest Rate

Monetary policy analysis concerns both the assumptions of the transmission mechanism and the direction of causality between the nominal (i.e. the money) and real economy. The traditional channel of monetary policy implementation works via the interest rate changes and their impact on the investment activity and the aggregate demand. Altering the relationship between the aggregate demand and supply then impacts the general price level and hence inflation. Alternatively, the Post-Keynesians postulate money as a residual. In their approach, banks credit in response to the movements in investment activities and demand for money. In this paper, the authors use the VAR (i.e. the vector autoregressive) approach applied to the “Taylor Rule” concept to identify the mechanism and impact of the monetary policy in the small open post-transformation economy of the Czech Republic. The causality (in the Granger sense) between the interest rate and prices in the Czech Republic is then identified. The two alternative modelling approaches are tested. First, there is the standard VAR analysis with the lagged values of interest rate, inflation and economic growth as explanatory variables. This model shows one way causality (in the Granger sense) between the inflation rate and interest rate (i.e. the inflation rate is (Granger) caused by the lagged interest rate). Secondly, the lead (instead of lagged) values of the interest rate, inflation rate and real exchange rate are used. This estimate shows one way causality between the inflation rate and interest rate in the sense that interest rate is caused by the lead (i.e. the expected future) inflation rate. The assumptions based on money as a residual of the economic process were rejected in both models.

In search for a new anchor: inflation targeting in the czech republic

2000 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiří Jonáš
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Czech Republic ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Policy Framework ◽  
The Czech Republic ◽  
Fourth Part ◽  
National Bank ◽  
New Framework ◽  
Monetary Policy Framework

In December 1997 the Czech National Bank introduced a new framework for the conduct of monetary policy, inflation targeting. This article examines the preliminary experience with inflation targeting in the Czech Republic. In the second part, we discuss the reasons that have led the Czech National Bank to introduce this monetary policy framework. Third part describes principal operational features of inflation targeting in the Czech Republic, and discusses the specifics of inflation targeting under the conditions of an economy in transition. Fourth part reviews the conduct of monetary policy under the new regime, focusing particularly on how the new policy framework has affected central bank's decisions about interest rates. Fifth part discusses some reasons why implementation of inflation targeting during the first two years was difficult, and sixth part evaluates the experience with inflation targeting and provides some suggestions for improving the framework.

scholarly journals Does Forward Guidance Matter in Small Open Economies? Examples from Europe

2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-26
Author(s):  
Jakub Rybacki
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Term Structure ◽  
Open Economies ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Small Open Economies ◽  
Forecast Horizon ◽  
The Czech Republic ◽  
Forward Guidance ◽  
European Economies

The effect of forward guidance on interest rate expectations in small, open economies is often described as heterogeneous. There are examples when financial markets adjusted term structure to reflect interest rate forecasts provided in the projections published by the central banks. On the other hand, medium-term expectations can persistently deviate from trajectories presented by decision-makers, influenced by foreign monetary policy. Our aim is to find the maximal forecast horizon where the domestic forward guidance of local banks in European economies affects market interest rate expectations strongly as compared to the ECB policy. We analyzed the term structure of interest rates in Sweden, Norway, and the Czech Republic. Central banks in these three economies provide the most mature forward guidance, e.g., regularly publishing interest rate forecasts with detailed discussions. The three-month interbank rate path calculated with the Nelson-Siegel model was contrasted with both the trajectory of policy rates presented in central bank projections and that implied by the three-month EURIBOR. We found that interest rate expectations were more influenced by ECB policy than by domestic assumptions when the forecast horizon exceeds four quarters.

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