Consistent Autoregressive Spectral Estimates: Nonlinear Time Series and Large Autocovariance Matrices

Author(s):  
Jiang Wang ◽  
Dimitris N. Politis
Author(s):  
Ray Huffaker ◽  
Marco Bittelli ◽  
Rodolfo Rosa

In the process of data analysis, the investigator is often facing highly-volatile and random-appearing observed data. A vast body of literature shows that the assumption of underlying stochastic processes was not necessarily representing the nature of the processes under investigation and, when other tools were used, deterministic features emerged. Non Linear Time Series Analysis (NLTS) allows researchers to test whether observed volatility conceals systematic non linear behavior, and to rigorously characterize governing dynamics. Behavioral patterns detected by non linear time series analysis, along with scientific principles and other expert information, guide the specification of mechanistic models that serve to explain real-world behavior rather than merely reproducing it. Often there is a misconception regarding the complexity of the level of mathematics needed to understand and utilize the tools of NLTS (for instance Chaos theory). However, mathematics used in NLTS is much simpler than many other subjects of science, such as mathematical topology, relativity or particle physics. For this reason, the tools of NLTS have been confined and utilized mostly in the fields of mathematics and physics. However, many natural phenomena investigated I many fields have been revealing deterministic non linear structures. In this book we aim at presenting the theory and the empirical of NLTS to a broader audience, to make this very powerful area of science available to many scientific areas. This book targets students and professionals in physics, engineering, biology, agriculture, economy and social sciences as a textbook in Nonlinear Time Series Analysis (NLTS) using the R computer language.


2000 ◽  
Vol 176 ◽  
pp. 135-136
Author(s):  
Toshiki Aikawa

AbstractSome pulsating post-AGB stars have been observed with an Automatic Photometry Telescope (APT) and a considerable amount of precise photometric data has been accumulated for these stars. The datasets, however, are still sparse, and this is a problem for applying nonlinear time series: for instance, modeling of attractors by the artificial neural networks (NN) to the datasets. We propose the optimization of data interpolations with the genetic algorithm (GA) and the hybrid system combined with NN. We apply this system to the Mackey–Glass equation, and attempt an analysis of the photometric data of post-AGB variables.


1992 ◽  
Vol 114 (1) ◽  
pp. 45-51 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. J. Brereton ◽  
A. Kodal

A new technique is presented for decomposing unsteady turbulent flow variables into their organized unsteady and turbulent components, which appears to offer some significant advantages over existing ones. The technique uses power-spectral estimates of data to deduce the optimal frequency-domain filter for determining the organized and turbulent components of a time series of data. When contrasted with the phase-averaging technique, this method can be thought of as replacing the assumption that the organized motion is identically reproduced in successive cycles of known periodicity by a more general condition: the cross-correlation of the organized and turbulent components is minimized for a time series of measurement data, given the expected shape of the turbulence power spectrum. The method is significantly more general than the phase average in its applicability and makes more efficient use of available data. Performance evaluations for time series of unsteady turbulent velocity measurements attest to the accuracy of the technique and illustrate the improved performance of this method over the phase-averaging technique when cycle-to-cycle variations in organized motion are present.


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