scholarly journals Like Father, Like Son: Inheriting and Bequeathing

2019 ◽  
Vol 20 (2) ◽  
pp. 194-216
Author(s):  
Carlos Bethencourt ◽  
Lars Kunze
Keyword(s):  
Social Security ◽  
Ricardian Equivalence ◽  
Olg Model ◽  
Behavioral Interactions ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
Unfunded Social Security ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Shaped Pattern ◽  
Special Case

Abstract This paper incorporates indirect reciprocal behavior in the context of bequeathing decisions into an otherwise standard OLG model. We provide conditions for the existence of a unique steady state with operative bequests. Contrary to standard OLG models, we show that taking into account such behavioral interactions allows one to rationalize both an increasing and U-shaped pattern of the inheritance to GDP ratio over time, consistent with recent empirical evidence. Moreover, the model predicts a nonlinear (U-shaped) relationship between the size of an unfunded social security program and the long-run stock of per capita capital, which in turn provides a novel explanation of the inconclusive empirical findings on the relationship between social security, savings and long-run growth. Ricardian equivalence is shown to hold in a special case of the model.

scholarly journals Testing the Existence of the Ricardian Equivalence in Ghana in this 21st Century

1970 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 16-27
Author(s):  
Okwan Frank ◽  
Kovacs Peter
Keyword(s):  
Time Series Data ◽  
Aggregate Demand ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Gdp Per Capita ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Ricardian Equivalence ◽  
Consumption Expenditure ◽  
Model Framework ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Per Capita

The Ricardian Equivalence Hypothesis formulated by a classical British economist David Ricardo argues that a reduced tax now is a tax increase in the future, the substitution of debt for current taxes has no effect on aggregate demand. The main objective of this paper is to examine empirically the existence of the Ricardian equivalency in Ghana by using time series data running from 1990 to 2017 and ARDL bound testing approach to cointegration and Error Correction Model framework developed by Pesaran and Shin (1995,1999). We examined the long run relationship between the dependent variable household final consumption expenditure and independent variables government expenditure, deficit, GDP per capita and gross debt. The long run results showed a positive and significant relationship between GDP per capita and household consumption expenditure. The result of analysis supports the Keynesian conventional theory and found strong evidence against the existence of the Ricardian Equivalency Hypothesis in Ghana.

Cointegration-causality analysis between terrorism and key macroeconomic indicators

2014 ◽  
Vol 41 (8) ◽  
pp. 664-682 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aisha Ismail ◽  
Shehla Amjad
Keyword(s):  
Research Work ◽  
Cointegration Analysis ◽  
Gdp Per Capita ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Macroeconomic Indicators ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
The Relationship

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is two folds: first, to analyze the long-run relationship between terrorism and key macroeconomic indicators (GDP growth, GDP per capita, inflation and unemployment) and second, to determine the direction of causality between these variables in Pakistan. Design/methodology/approach – The relationship between terrorism and various macroeconomic indicators is analyzed by applying Johansen cointegration analysis. Furthermore, the causality between terrorism and macroeconomic indicators is tested by applying Toda Yamamoto Granger causality test. Findings – The results show that there exists a long-run relationship between terrorism and key macroeconomic indicators. Furthermore, the results suggest that there exists a bi-directional causality between terrorism and inflation. The causality between GDP per capita, unemployment, GDP growth and terrorism is unidirectional. Originality/value – There is a lack of research work conducted to analyze the long-run relationship and direction of causation between terrorism and various macroeconomic indicators specifically for Pakistan. The current paper fills the gap in the literature by using sophisticated econometric techniques and recent data set to provide the evidence of the relationship between terrorism and various macroeconomic indicators.

scholarly journals The cubic water Kuznets curve: patterns of urban water consumption and water policy effects

Water Policy ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 28-45 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jinjin Zhao
Keyword(s):  
Water Consumption ◽  
Water Policy ◽  
Kuznets Curve ◽  
Urban Water ◽  
Capita Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Policy Interventions ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
Curve Patterns ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Shaped Pattern

Utilizing panel data collected in 27 countries from 1960 to 2010, we demonstrate that the relationship between per capita urban water consumption and per capita gross domestic product exhibits an N-shaped pattern. Following the environmental Kuznets curve literature, this relationship can be named the cubic water Kuznets curve. We also demonstrate that water policies significantly influence per capita urban water consumption, which implies that appropriate policy interventions might allow developing countries to achieve economic development with less per capita water consumption.

scholarly journals The Relationship between Government Debt and Social Welfare

2021 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 125-134
Author(s):  
Muhammad Kivlan Reftreka Nugraha ◽  
Hefrizal Handra
Keyword(s):  
Social Welfare ◽  
Negative Correlation ◽  
Government Debt ◽  
Poverty Rate ◽  
Gdp Per Capita ◽  
Poverty Level ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
The Relationship

This study aims to analyze the relationship between government debt and social welfare in Indonesia in 1980-2019. The data used in this research is secondary data using time series data. The analysis used is the Error Correction Model (ECM). The findings result from the first model show that in the short-run, additional debt-to-GDP was not significant to the poverty level and GDP per capita. Meanwhile, the long-run, additional debt-to-GDP is significant to the poverty level and GDP per capita. The results also find that in the long run additional debt-to-GDP is positively correlated with poverty levels in Indonesia, meaning that additional debt-to-GDP increases the poverty rate in Indonesia. For GDP per capita, additional debt-to-GDP has a negative correlation. The inflation, tax-to-GDP, and GDP are not significant to the poverty rate in the short-run. Meanwhile, the long run, the additional debt-to-GDP ratio and GDP variable is significant to the poverty rate, and has a positif and negative correlation. The findings from second model also indicate that population and inflation are significant and positively correlated with the poverty level, but tax-to-GDP ratio is not significant on GDP per capita in the short-run. Meanwhile, the long run, the population and tax-to-GDP are significant to GDP per capita. Total population has a positive correlation, while tax-to-GDP ratio has a negative correlation.

scholarly journals The Differential Impact of Financial Intermediation on Economic Growth in Oil-Dependent Economies

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 267-284
Author(s):  
Anthony Anyanwu ◽  
Christopher Gan ◽  
Baiding Hu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Panel Cointegration ◽  
Bank Credit ◽  
Gdp Per Capita ◽  
Differential Impact ◽  
Pooled Mean Group ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Panel Cointegration Test ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
The Relationship

This paper analyses the relationship between bank credit and economic growth. We extend existing literature by treating separately the oil and non-oil sectors of 28 oil-dependent economies from 1990-2012. We employ panel cointegration and pooled mean group estimation techniques which are appropriate for drawing conclusions from dynamic heterogenous panels. The results of the panel cointegration test indicate that bank credit has no significant long-run relationship with non-oil GDP per capita. The results of the pooled mean group estimator reveal no significant long-run impact of bank credit on non-oil GDP per capita. Overall results suggest that banks do not yet provide adequate credit to stimulate non-oil economic growth. The policy implication of our findings is that the financial sector should be more involved in productive investment activities to promote inclusive growth.

scholarly journals An International Look at the Growth of Modern Finance

2013 ◽  
Vol 27 (2) ◽  
pp. 73-96 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas Philippon ◽  
Ariell Reshef
Keyword(s):  
Unit Cost ◽  
The United States ◽  
Income Share ◽  
Financial Deregulation ◽  
Skill Intensity ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Real Gdp Per Capita ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
The Relationship

We study the rise of finance across a set of now-industrial economies. The long-run pattern of the growth of the income share of finance from the nineteenth century to current times in the United States is similar to some economies, but not all economies reach the same size and instead reach a plateau. The relationship between financial output and income is nonhomothetic and changes three times in this sample. Most of the increase in real GDP per capita from 1870 occurred while financial output and the income share of finance were smaller than their size in 1980. After 1980 the elasticity of income with respect to financial output falls significantly. We find considerable heterogeneity in the size of finance in recent times. There is no evidence for an increase in the unit cost of financial intermediation. We find that information technology and financial deregulation can help explain the increase in relative skill intensity and in relative wages in finance, while common trends, which may be related to financial globalization, also play a role.

scholarly journals Climate Change and Economic Growth: The Role of Environmental Policy Stringency

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (8) ◽  
pp. 2273
Author(s):  
Enrico Maria de Angelis ◽  
Marina Di Giacomo ◽  
Davide Vannoni
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Economic Growth ◽  
Fixed Effects ◽  
Kuznets Curve ◽  
Negative Externalities ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
Mitigate Climate Change ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Shaped Pattern

The paper investigates the relationship between economic growth and environmental quality in the context of the Kuznets curve, which foresees that growth, while initially causing negative externalities for the environment, eventually can be seen also as the solution to environmental degradation. The novelty of the paper is to analyze the role of environmental policies, and in particular the use of market-based and non-market instruments to challenge the pollution plague and mitigate climate change. The results of fixed effects estimates on a sample of 32 countries observed for the period 1992–2012 show the existence of an inverted U-shaped relationship between per capita gross domestic product (GDP) and per-capita CO2 emissions for the quadratic specification, as well as of an N-shaped pattern for the cubic specification. Most importantly, the stringency indexes, i.e., the proxies used to account for environmental regulation, exhibit negative and strongly significant coefficients, suggesting that the policies are effective in reducing environmental damages associated with economic growth.

scholarly journals Longer Life and Higher Fertility in an OLG Economy with Production

2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-7
Author(s):  
Luciano Fanti
Keyword(s):  
Life Expectancy ◽  
Social Security ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Relative Strength ◽  
Fertility Rate ◽  
Security System ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Unfunded Social Security ◽  
The Cost

This paper investigates the effect of a change in life expectancy (i.e., longevity) on fertility in a standard OLG economy. The main result is that, in contrast with other papers, an increase in the longevity rate may increase the fertility rate as well. It is shown that such a result holds when the cost of rearing children in terms of goods and services (rather than in terms of forgone wages) matters. In particular, such a result depends on the relative “strength” of the capital in the technology as compared with the “strength” of the parsimony. Moreover it is shown, again in contrast with other papers, that with an unfunded social security system it is more likely that a longer life may increase the fertility. The latter result is even more likely in the presence of child subsidy policies, which are widespread in developed countries. In conclusion, we argue that in countries having a population with a high longevity, a high capital share, a large unfunded social security, and child subsidy policies (such as Italy), a further increase of longevity may increase fertility in the long run and thus partially alleviate the peril of the so-called “demographic bomb.”

scholarly journals Determinants of Household Debt in Botswana: 1994-2012

2015 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Faith M. Zimunya ◽  
Mpho Raboloko
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Gdp Per Capita ◽  
Household Debt ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Vector Error ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
The Relationship

<p><em>The paper identifies the factors that are influential in determining the growth of household debt in Botswana. Understanding the relationship between household debt and other economic indicators is an important step towards formulating focused and effective policies that control the effects of household debt on the whole economy. Using quarterly data from the first quarter of 1994 to the second quarter of 2012,</em><em> </em><em>the paper employs the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to analyse the influence of </em><em>G</em><em>ross </em><em>D</em><em>omestic </em><em>P</em><em>roduct (GDP) per capita, interest rates, inflation, household consumption and money supply on household debt. The findings indicate that GDP per capita, interest rates and money supply determine changes in household debt in the long-run. Further analysis shows that lagged household debt, interest rates and money supply influence changes in household debt in the short-run.</em></p><p><em><br /></em></p>

scholarly journals Testing for Twin Deficits and Ricardian Equivalence Hypotheses: Evidence from Iran

2012 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 77-84 ◽  
Author(s):  
Farzane Bagheri ◽  
Salma Keshtkaran .
Keyword(s):  
Current Account ◽  
Budget Deficit ◽  
Current Account Deficit ◽  
Ricardian Equivalence ◽  
Twin Deficits ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Causality Tests ◽  
Causality Relationship ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Casual Relationship

The main purpose of this study is to examine the relationship between budget deficit and current account deficit in Iran from 1971 to 2007. Twin deficits, which argues that a larger budget deficit leads to an expanded current account deficit, and Ricardian equivalence hypothesis, which states that there is no casual relationship between these two deficits, are examined for this purpose. To achieve this goal, Johansen co-integration and Granger causality tests are used for the period under study. The results indicate that there exists a long run equilibrium link between budget deficit and current account deficit. There is a one-way causality relationship from the budget deficit toward the current account deficit.

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