Does local political support influence financial markets? A study on the impact of job approval ratings of political representatives on local stock returns

2019 ◽  
Vol 55 (2) ◽  
pp. 247-276
Author(s):  
Sunghoon Joo ◽  
Dong H. Kim ◽  
Jung Chul Park
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Political Support ◽  
Approval Ratings ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Job Approval ◽  
Local Stock

The Impact of COVID-19 on Stock Markets

2022 ◽  
pp. 250-262
Author(s):  
Aslı Aybars ◽  
Mehtap Öner
Keyword(s):  
Literature Review ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
The Novel ◽  
The World ◽  
Fast Pace ◽  
Novel Coronavirus ◽  
Almost All ◽  
The Impact

The novel coronavirus, COVID-19, which emerged at the end of 2019 and spread to the world at a very fast pace, resulted in a pandemic affecting the finance industry besides many other industries though at varying extents. Financial markets, which can be regarded as cornerstones of each and every country's economic success, have been adversely influenced due to the fear and uncertainty arising with the emergence of the novel coronavirus at different degrees. This chapter provides a summary of a literature review based on the impact of this pandemic on stock returns and volatility in the stock exchanges of different countries and regions of the world. What has been captured as a result of this literature review is that almost all of the financial markets around the world have been influenced due to the virus. Further, industry-wise empirical studies demonstrate that not all industries are affected at the same level or even in the same direction.

Herding behavior in Islamic GCC stock market: a daily analysis

2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 182-193 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mustapha Chaffai ◽  
Imed Medhioub
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Quantile Regression ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Quantile Regression Analysis ◽  
Herd Behaviour ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Quantile Regression Method

Purpose This paper aims to examine the presence of herd behaviour in the Islamic Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) stock markets following the methodology given by Chiang and Zheng (2010). Generalized auto regressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH)-type models and quantile regression analysis are used and applied to daily data ranging from 3 January 2010 to 28 July 2016. Results show evidence of herd behaviour in the GCC stock markets. When the data are divided into down and up market periods, herd information is found to be statistically significant and negative during upward market periods only. These results are similar to those reported in some emerging markets such as China, Japan and Hong Kong, where stock returns perform more similarly during down market periods and differently during rising markets. Design/methodology/approach The authors present a brief literature on herd behaviour. Second, the authors provide some specificity of the GCC Islamic stock market, followed by the presentation of the methodology and the data, results and their interpretation. Findings The authors take into account the difference existing in market conditions and find evidence of herding behaviour during rising markets only for GCC markets. This result was confirmed after using the quantile regression method, as evidence of herding was observed only in highly extreme periods. Stock returns perform more similarly when market is down in Islamic GCC stock market. Research limitations/implications The research limitation consists in the fact that this work can be extended to compare the GCC stock markets with other markets in Asia such as Malaysia and Indonesia. Practical implications The principal implication consists in the fact that herding behaviour is limited in the GCC markets and Islamic finance can have an important contribution to moderate the behaviour in the financial markets. Social implications The work focusses on the role of ethics in the financial markets and their ability to reduce the impact of behavioural biases. Originality/value The paper studies the behaviour of investors in the Islamic financial markets and gives an idea about the importance of the behaviour in this particular market regarding its characteristics.

Spillovers from tourism demand to tourism equity indices

2021 ◽  
pp. 135481662110294
Author(s):  
Faruk Balli ◽  
Muhammad Abubakr Naeem ◽  
Hatice Ozer-Balli
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
International Tourism ◽  
Tourism Demand ◽  
Tourism Sector ◽  
Equity Indices ◽  
The Impact

In this article, we analyse the extent of the spillover from international tourism demand on tourism sector equity indices and find that the magnitude of the spillovers are quite dispersed across different markets, which is in line with previous studies. Novel to the literature, we examine the impact of solvency and profitability positions of the firms in the tourism equity indices on evaluating the magnitude of the spillovers from tourism demand to sector equity indices. Firms that have better solvency ratios and operated in deeper financial markets find their stock returns are affected less from the fluctuations in tourism demand. Profitability positions of the firms, however, do not have significant impact on explaining the spillovers.

scholarly journals OIL AND GOLD PRICE VOLATILITY ON INDONESIAN STOCK MARKET IN THE PERIOD OF COVID-19 PANDEMIC

2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (2) ◽  
pp. 129-137
Author(s):  
Maria Magdalena Marwanti ◽  
Robiyanto Robiyanto
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Price Volatility ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Gold Price ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Analysis Technique ◽  
The Impact

The study aimed to analyze the effects of oil and gold price volatility on stock returns in Indonesia by comparing the period before and during the Covid-19 pandemic. The study took secondary data from the daily closing prices of oil (Brent and WTI), gold, and JCI. The analysis technique used was GARCH (1,1). The study found that oil and gold price volatility did not affect stock returns in the two periods. The impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on financial markets had yielded uncertain results. This finding supported the concept of gold as a safe haven during the financial crisis. The limitations in the study were focusing on the Indonesian capital market, and future research can compare the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on developing countries with developed countries.

Regulatory changes and the volatility of stock returns – the German solar energy sector

2014 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 160-177 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dirk Schiereck ◽  
Julian Trillig
Keyword(s):  
Solar Energy ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Risk Premium ◽  
Political Risk ◽  
Energy Sector ◽  
Political Support ◽  
High Tech ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Political News ◽  
The Impact

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to determine the impact of political risk on the German solar energy industry. The authors analyze the period from 2006 to mid-2011, when the technological development of this sector was remarkable while the whole industry is depending on political support and subsidies. Design/methodology/approach – The authors apply an EGARCH model assessing potential changes in conditional volatility response of solar industry stock returns following political risk events. Findings – The results document major changes in political support of the solar industry drive capital market risk. Whereby favorable political news significantly decrease volatility response and unfavorable political news do not affect volatility response. Moreover, the authors find that the volatility response varies with the exposure to political risk. Companies with higher exposure to political risk show more significant volatility response. Practical implications – Political risk affects the cost of capital of companies in this sector. Thus, managers are able to time equity measures in a way that they can determine periods when the investor's required return is low due to a reduced risk premium. The authors suggest risk reducing public policy facilitates investments in those industries and thus fosters the development and diffusion of immature technologies. Originality/value – The paper helps policy makers, managers, and investors to assess the impact of political risk on the overall risk of the German solar energy sector and in a broader view of immature or high-tech industries that depend crucially on governmental support.

Is stock market in Sub-Saharan Africa resilient to health shocks?

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Terver Kumeka ◽  
Patricia Ajayi ◽  
Oluwatosin Adeniyi
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Commodity Markets ◽  
The Other ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Exogenous Shocks ◽  
The Impact

Purpose This paper aims to examine the impact of health and other exogenous shocks on stock markets in Africa. Particularly, the authors examined the resilience of the major stock markets in 12 African economies during the recent global pandemic. Design/methodology/approach This paper uses the recent panel vector autoregressive model, which enables us to capture the response of stock markets to shocks in COVID-19, commodity markets and exchange rate. For robustness, the authors also analysed the panel Granger causality test. Data was obtained for the period ranging from 2 January 2020 to 31 December 2020. Findings The results show that the growth in COVID-19 cases and deaths do not have any substantial impact on the stock market returns of these economies. In terms of commodity markets, the authors find that gold price has a negative contemporaneous effect on stock returns, but the effect fizzles out around the fifth day while crude oil price, on the other hand, has a significant positive simult aneous impact on stock returns and also converges around the fifth day. The authors further find that the exchange rate has a contemporaneous and nonlinear effect on stock returns and seems to be more dramatic when compared with the other variables. Overall, the results show that stock markets in Africa appear to be flexible and resilient against the COVID-19 outbreak but are affected by other exogenous shocks such as volatile commodity prices and the foreign exchange market. The effect is, however, short-lived – between one to five days. Practical implications Following the study’s findings, policies should be put in place to support financial markets by way of hedging against commodity instability and securing domestic currency financing. Policymakers are also recommended to concentrate on managing the uncertainties around their exchange rate markets and develop robust and efficient domestic financial markets to encourage local and foreign investors. Originality/value Several studies have been carried out on the effects of disasters (such as the COVID-19 pandemic) on stock markets, but only a few studies have examined the resilience of stock markets to health and other exogenous shocks. This study’s attempt is not only to examine the impact of COVID-19 health shocks on stock markets but also to analyse the resilience of the sampled stock markets. The authors also analyse the resilience of stock markets to commodity markets and exchange rates shocks.

scholarly journals How News affects Stock Prices of Olympics and FIFA host countries

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alanoud Al-Maadid ◽  
Nicola Spagnolo ◽  
Omer Akbar
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Host Countries ◽  
Sports Industry ◽  
Sports Events ◽  
Stock Market Performance ◽  
Mega Sports Events ◽  
The Impact

As the sports industry continues to grow, mega sports events can have a significant impact on the financial markets. Stock market performance is influenced by sports-related news, however, very few studies have been undertaken to examine the impact of sports events on the stock market. Results of econometric analysis, controlling for potential endogeneity of the stock returns variables, show that news index has a positive and significant impact on stock returns. The results also show that interest rate and oil prices have a positive and significant impact on stock returns, whereas, VIX index has a negative and significant impact on stock returns.

scholarly journals IMPACT OF POLITICAL INSTABILITY AND TERRORISM ON STOCK RETURNS: EVIDENCE FROM PAKISTAN

2013 ◽  
Vol 01 (02) ◽  
pp. 47-54
Author(s):  
Hasan Raza ◽  
Shafaq Malik
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Political Instability ◽  
Bad News ◽  
Good News ◽  
Stock Market Volatility ◽  
Egarch Model ◽  
Year 2000 ◽  
The Impact

This study examines the impact of terrorist activities and regime in Pakistan on the return and volatility dynamics of the financial markets in Pakistan between year 2000 and 2010. The study constructs two dummy variables that quantify political instability and terror and examine the effect on stock market volatility. An ARCH and GARCH model to discover evidence that terrorism and regime has a significant impact on both the return and volatility dynamics of stock markets. To capture the asymmetries in terms of negative and positive shocks, this study also uses threshold GARCH (TGARCH) and an exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model. From both of the TGARCH and EGARCH results, it can be reveal that for the return of KSE-100, there are asymmetries in the news that shows bad news has a larger effect on the volatility of return than good news. Finally study of the reaction of the stock market to terrorist events may also provide indication to investors and speculators to adjust their positions when such events transpire.

Public space of the trustworthiness of sociological knowledge: The case of electoral research

2020 ◽  
pp. 13-22
Author(s):  
OLEKSANDR STEGNII
Keyword(s):  
Public Space ◽  
Research Process ◽  
Negative Influence ◽  
Election Campaign ◽  
Sociological Research ◽  
Good Tool ◽  
Sociological Knowledge ◽  
The Public ◽  
Approval Ratings ◽  
The Impact

The paper analyses specific features of sociological data circulation in a public space during an election campaign. The basic components of this kind of space with regard to sociological research are political actors (who put themselves up for the election), voters and agents. The latter refer to professional groups whose corporate interests are directly related to the impact on the election process. Sociologists can also be seen as agents of the electoral process when experts in the field of electoral sociology are becoming intermingled with manipulators without a proper professional background and publications in this field. In a public space where an electoral race is unfolding, empirical sociological research becomes the main form of obtaining sociological knowledge, and it is primarily conducted to measure approval ratings. Electoral research serves as an example of combining the theoretical and empirical components of sociological knowledge, as well as its professional and public dimensions. Provided that sociologists meet all the professional requirements, electoral research can be used as a good tool for evaluating the trustworthiness of results reflecting the people’s expression of will. Being producers of sociological knowledge, sociologists act in two different capacities during an election campaign: as analysts and as pollsters. Therefore, it is essential that the duties and areas of responsibility for professional sociologists should be separated from those of pollsters. Another thing that needs to be noted is the negative influence that political strategists exert on the trustworthiness of survey findings which are going to be released to the public. Using the case of approval ratings as an illustration, the author analyses the most common techniques aimed at misrepresenting and distorting sociological data in the public space. Particular attention is given to the markers that can detect bogus polling companies, systemic violations during the research process and data falsification.

The Impact of Dividend Announcement on Stock Returns

2016 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 46
Author(s):  
Naik Priyanka Umesh ◽  
Nezvila Tracy Saldanha ◽  
Y. V. Reddy
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
The Impact
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