scholarly journals A Case Study for Modelling Cancer Incidence Using Bayesian Spatio-Temporal Models

2015 ◽  
Vol 57 (3) ◽  
pp. 325-345 ◽  
Author(s):  
Su Yun Kang ◽  
James McGree ◽  
Peter Baade ◽  
Kerrie Mengersen
2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (17) ◽  
pp. 5742
Author(s):  
Maxime Conjard ◽  
Henning Omre

Assimilation of spatio-temporal data poses a challenge when allowing non-Gaussian features in the prior distribution. It becomes even more complex with nonlinear forward and likelihood models. The ensemble Kalman model and its many variants have proven resilient when handling nonlinearity. However, owing to the linearized updates, conserving the non-Gaussian features in the posterior distribution remains an issue. When the prior model is chosen in the class of selection-Gaussian distributions, the selection Ensemble Kalman model provides an approach that conserves non-Gaussianity in the posterior distribution. The synthetic case study features the prediction of a parameter field and the inversion of an initial state for the diffusion equation. By using the selection Kalman model, it is possible to represent multimodality in the posterior model while offering a 20 to 30% reduction in root mean square error relative to the traditional ensemble Kalman model.


2019 ◽  
Vol 28 (7) ◽  
pp. 1863-1883 ◽  
Author(s):  
Agustín Molina Sánchez ◽  
Patricia Delgado ◽  
Antonio González-Rodríguez ◽  
Clementina González ◽  
A. Francisco Gómez-Tagle Rojas ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
Álvaro Briz-Redón ◽  
Adina Iftimi ◽  
Juan Francisco Correcher ◽  
Jose De Andrés ◽  
Manuel Lozano ◽  
...  

GeoJournal ◽  
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Nasiri ◽  
S. Akbarpour ◽  
AR. Zali ◽  
N. Khodakarami ◽  
MH. Boochani ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 188
Author(s):  
Cyril Carré ◽  
Younes Hamdani

Over the last decade, innovative computer technologies and the multiplication of geospatial data acquisition solutions have transformed the geographic information systems (GIS) landscape and opened up new opportunities to close the gap between GIS and the dynamics of geographic phenomena. There is a demand to further develop spatio-temporal conceptual models to comprehensively represent the nature of the evolution of geographic objects. The latter involves a set of considerations like those related to managing changes and object identities, modeling possible causal relations, and integrating multiple interpretations. While conventional literature generally presents these concepts separately and rarely approaches them from a holistic perspective, they are in fact interrelated. Therefore, we believe that the semantics of modeling would be improved by considering these concepts jointly. In this work, we propose to represent these interrelationships in the form of a hierarchical pyramidal framework and to further explore this set of concepts. The objective of this framework is to provide a guideline to orient the design of future generations of GIS data models, enabling them to achieve a better representation of available spatio-temporal data. In addition, this framework aims at providing keys for a new interpretation and classification of spatio-temporal conceptual models. This work can be beneficial for researchers, students, and developers interested in advanced spatio-temporal modeling.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 18
Author(s):  
Lennart Adenaw ◽  
Markus Lienkamp

In order to electrify the transport sector, scores of charging stations are needed to incentivize people to buy electric vehicles. In urban areas with a high charging demand and little space, decision-makers are in need of planning tools that enable them to efficiently allocate financial and organizational resources to the promotion of electromobility. As with many other city planning tasks, simulations foster successful decision-making. This article presents a novel agent-based simulation framework for urban electromobility aimed at the analysis of charging station utilization and user behavior. The approach presented here employs a novel co-evolutionary learning model for adaptive charging behavior. The simulation framework is tested and verified by means of a case study conducted in the city of Munich. The case study shows that the presented approach realistically reproduces charging behavior and spatio-temporal charger utilization.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-16
Author(s):  
CAN ZHOU ◽  
NIGEL BROTHERS

Summary The incidental mortality of seabirds in fisheries remains a serious global concern. Obtaining unbiased and accurate estimates of bycatch rates is a priority for seabird bycatch mitigation and demographic research. For measuring the capture risk of seabird interactions in fisheries, the rate of carcass retrieval from hauled gear is commonly used. However, reliability can be limited by a lack of direct capture observations and the substantial pre-haul bycatch losses known to occur, meaning incidence of seabird bycatch is underestimated. To solve this problem, a new measure (bycatch vulnerability) that links an observed interaction directly to the underlying capture event is proposed to represent the capture risk of fishery interactions by seabirds. The new measure is not affected by subsequent bycatch loss. To illustrate how to estimate and analyse bycatch vulnerability, a case study based on a long-term dataset of seabird interactions and capture confirmation is provided. Bayesian modelling and hypothesis testing were conducted to identify important bycatch risk factors. Competition was found to play a central role in determining seabird bycatch vulnerability. More competitive environments were riskier for seabirds, and larger and thus more competitive species were more at risk than smaller sized and less competitive species. Species foraging behaviour also played a role. On the other hand, no additional effect of physical oceanic condition and spatio-temporal factors on bycatch vulnerability was detected. Bycatch vulnerability is recommended as a replacement for the commonly used bycatch rate or carcass retrieval rate to measure the capture risk of an interaction. Combined with a normalized contact rate, bycatch vulnerability offers an unbiased estimate of seabird bycatch rate in pelagic longline fisheries.


SATS ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nivedita Gangopadhyay ◽  
Alois Pichler

Abstract Our linguistic communication often takes the form of creating texts. In this paper, we propose that creating texts or ‘texting’ is a form of joint action. We examine the nature and evolution of this joint action. We argue that creating texts ushers in a special type of joint action, which, while lacking some central features of normal, everyday joint actions such as spatio-temporal collocation of agency and embodiment, nonetheless results in an authentic, strong, and unique type of joint action agency. This special type of agency is already present in creating texts in general and is further augmented in creating texts through digital media. We propose that such a unique type of joint action agency has a transformative effect on the experience of our sense of agency and subjectivity. We conclude with the implications of the proposal for social cognition and social agency. The paper combines research in philosophy of mind with the emerging fields of digital humanities and text technology.


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