scholarly journals Pyramidal Framework: Guidance for the Next Generation of GIS Spatial-Temporal Models

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 188
Author(s):  
Cyril Carré ◽  
Younes Hamdani
Keyword(s):  
Conceptual Models ◽  
Future Generations ◽  
Temporal Data ◽  
Temporal Modeling ◽  
Temporal Models ◽  
Gis Data ◽  
Spatio Temporal ◽  
New Interpretation ◽  
Conventional Literature

Over the last decade, innovative computer technologies and the multiplication of geospatial data acquisition solutions have transformed the geographic information systems (GIS) landscape and opened up new opportunities to close the gap between GIS and the dynamics of geographic phenomena. There is a demand to further develop spatio-temporal conceptual models to comprehensively represent the nature of the evolution of geographic objects. The latter involves a set of considerations like those related to managing changes and object identities, modeling possible causal relations, and integrating multiple interpretations. While conventional literature generally presents these concepts separately and rarely approaches them from a holistic perspective, they are in fact interrelated. Therefore, we believe that the semantics of modeling would be improved by considering these concepts jointly. In this work, we propose to represent these interrelationships in the form of a hierarchical pyramidal framework and to further explore this set of concepts. The objective of this framework is to provide a guideline to orient the design of future generations of GIS data models, enabling them to achieve a better representation of available spatio-temporal data. In addition, this framework aims at providing keys for a new interpretation and classification of spatio-temporal conceptual models. This work can be beneficial for researchers, students, and developers interested in advanced spatio-temporal modeling.

scholarly journals Comparison between VAR, GSTAR, FFNN-VAR and FFNN-GSTAR Models for Forecasting Oil Production

MATEMATIKA ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 34 (1) ◽  
pp. 103-111 ◽  
Author(s):  
Suhartono Suhartono ◽  
Dedy Dwi Prastyo ◽  
Heri Kuswanto ◽  
Muhammad Hisyam Lee
Keyword(s):  
Forecast Accuracy ◽  
Oil Production ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Temporal Data ◽  
Monthly Data ◽  
Vector Autoregressive ◽  
Temporal Models ◽  
Accurate Forecast ◽  
Temporal Model ◽  
Spatio Temporal

Monthly data about oil production at several drilling wells is an example of spatio-temporal data. The aim of this research is to propose nonlinear spatio-temporal model, i.e. Feedforward Neural Network - Vector Autoregressive (FFNN-VAR) and FFNN - Generalized Space-Time Autoregressive (FFNN-GSTAR), and compare their forecast accuracy to linear spatio-temporal model, i.e. VAR and GSTAR. These spatio-temporal models are proposed and applied for forecasting monthly oil production data at three drilling wells in East Java, Indonesia. There are 60 observations that be divided to two parts, i.e. the first 50 observations for training data and the last 10 observations for testing data. The results show that FFNN-GSTAR(11) and FFNN-VAR(1) as nonlinear spatio-temporal models tend to give more accurate forecast than VAR(1) and GSTAR(11) as linear spatio-temporal models. Moreover, further research about nonlinear spatio-temporal models based on neural networks and GSTAR is needed for developing new hybrid models that could improve the forecast accuracy.

scholarly journals Classification of Gaussian spatio-temporal data with stationary separable covariances

2021 ◽  
Vol 26 (2) ◽  
pp. 363-374
Author(s):  
Marta Karaliutė ◽  
Kęstutis Dučinskas
Keyword(s):  
Gaussian Random Field ◽  
Error Rates ◽  
Small Error ◽  
Classification Rule ◽  
Temporal Data ◽  
Spatial Covariance ◽  
Covariance Functions ◽  
Novel Approach ◽  
Spatio Temporal

The novel approach to classification of spatio-temporal data based on Bayes discriminant functions is developed. We focus on the problem of supervised classifying of the spatiotemporal Gaussian random field (GRF) observation into one of two classes specified by different drift parameters, separable nonlinear covariance functions and nonstationary label field. The performance of proposed classification rule is validated by the values of local Bayes and empirical error rates realized by leave one out procedure. A simulation study for spatial covariance functions belonging to powered-exponential family and temporal covariance functions of AR(1) models is carried out. The influence of the values of spatial and temporal covariance parameters to error rates for several label field models are studied. The results showed that the proposed classification methodology can be applied successfully in  practice with small error rates and can be a useful tool for discriminant analysis of spatio-temporal data.

scholarly journals Geocoding and spatio-temporal modeling of long-term PM2.5 and NO2 exposure: the Mexican Teachers' Cohort

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cervantes - Martínez Karla ◽  
Riojas - Rodríguez Horacio ◽  
Díaz - Ávalos Carlos ◽  
Moreno - Macías Hortensia ◽  
López - Ridaura Ruy ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Predictive Accuracy ◽  
Generalized Additive Models ◽  
Epidemiological Studies ◽  
Additive Models ◽  
Temporal Modeling ◽  
Secondary Sources ◽  
Temporal Models ◽  
Out Of Sample ◽  
Spatio Temporal

Abstract Epidemiological studies on the effects of air pollution in Mexico often use the environmental concentrations of monitors closest to the home as exposure proxies, yet this approach disregards the space gradients of pollutants and assumes that individuals have no intra-city mobility. Our aim was to develop high-resolution spatial and temporal models for predicting long-term exposure to PM2.5 and NO2 in a population of ~ 16 500 participants from the Mexican Teachers’ Cohort study. We geocoded the home and work addresses of participants. Using information from secondary sources on geographic and meteorological variables as well as other pollutants, we fitted two generalized additive models to predict monthly PM2.5 and NO2 concentrations in the 2004–2019 period. The models were evaluated through 10-fold cross validation. Both showed high predictive accuracy with out-of-sample data and no overfitting (CV RMSE = 0.102 for PM2.5 and CV RMSE = 4.497 for NO2). Participants were exposed to a monthly average of 24.38 (6.78) µg/m3 of PM2.5 and 28.21 (8.00) ppb of NO2 during the study period. These models offer a solid alternative for estimating PM2.5 and NO2 exposure with high spatio-temporal resolution for epidemiological studies in the Valle de México region.

scholarly journals Hierarchical Bayesian Spatio-Temporal Modeling for PM10 Prediction

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Esam Mahdi ◽  
Sana Alshamari ◽  
Maryam Khashabi ◽  
Alya Alkorbi
Keyword(s):  
Process Model ◽  
Generalized Additive Models ◽  
Bayesian Models ◽  
Additive Models ◽  
Hierarchical Bayesian ◽  
Temporal Data ◽  
Temporal Modeling ◽  
Underlying Space ◽  
Spatio Temporal ◽  
Predictive Processes

Over the past few years, hierarchical Bayesian models have been extensively used for modeling the joint spatial and temporal dependence of big spatio-temporal data which commonly involves a large number of missing observations. This article represented, assessed, and compared some recently proposed Bayesian and non-Bayesian models for predicting the daily average particulate matter with a diameter of less than 10 (PM10) measured in Qatar during the years 2016–2019. The disaggregating technique with a Markov chain Monte Carlo method with Gibbs sampler are used to handle the missing data. Based on the obtained results, we conclude that the Gaussian predictive processes with autoregressive terms of the latent underlying space-time process model is the best, compared with the Bayesian Gaussian processes and non-Bayesian generalized additive models.

scholarly journals Use of Artificial Intelligence on spatio-temporal data to generate insights during COVID-19 pandemic: A Review

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gihan Jayatilaka ◽  
Jameel Hassan ◽  
Umar Marikkar ◽  
Rumali Perera ◽  
Suren Sritharan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Vital Role ◽  
Stochastic Methods ◽  
Temporal Data ◽  
Temporal Modeling ◽  
Influenza Outbreak ◽  
Short Time Span ◽  
Modeling And Forecasting ◽  
Spatio Temporal ◽  
Short Time

AbstractThe COVID-19 pandemic, within a short time span, has had a significant impact on every aspect of life in almost every country on the planet. As it evolved from a local epidemic isolated to certain regions of China, to the deadliest pandemic since the influenza outbreak of 1918, scientists all over the world have only amplified their efforts to combat it. In that battle, Artificial Intelligence, or AI, with its wide ranging capabilities and versatility, has played a vital role and thus has had a sizable impact. In this review, we present a comprehensive analysis of the use of AI techniques for spatio-temporal modeling and forecasting and impact modeling on diverse populations as it relates to COVID-19. Furthermore, we catalogue the articles in these areas based on spatio-temporal modeling, intrinsic parameters, extrinsic parameters, dynamic parameters and multivariate inputs (to ascertain the penetration of AI usage in each sub area). The manner in which AI is used and the associated techniques utilized vary for each body of work. Majority of articles use deep learning models, compartment models, stochastic methods and numerous statistical methods. We conclude by listing potential paths of research for which AI based techniques can be used for greater impact in tackling the pandemic.

scholarly journals Data Assimilation in Spatio-Temporal Models with Non-Gaussian Initial States—The Selection Ensemble Kalman Model

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (17) ◽  
pp. 5742
Author(s):  
Maxime Conjard ◽  
Henning Omre
Keyword(s):  
Posterior Distribution ◽  
Prior Distribution ◽  
Temporal Data ◽  
Initial State ◽  
Gaussian Distributions ◽  
Temporal Models ◽  
Parameter Field ◽  
Spatio Temporal ◽  
Non Gaussian

Assimilation of spatio-temporal data poses a challenge when allowing non-Gaussian features in the prior distribution. It becomes even more complex with nonlinear forward and likelihood models. The ensemble Kalman model and its many variants have proven resilient when handling nonlinearity. However, owing to the linearized updates, conserving the non-Gaussian features in the posterior distribution remains an issue. When the prior model is chosen in the class of selection-Gaussian distributions, the selection Ensemble Kalman model provides an approach that conserves non-Gaussianity in the posterior distribution. The synthetic case study features the prediction of a parameter field and the inversion of an initial state for the diffusion equation. By using the selection Kalman model, it is possible to represent multimodality in the posterior model while offering a 20 to 30% reduction in root mean square error relative to the traditional ensemble Kalman model.

scholarly journals MUSCAT: Multi-Scale Spatio-Temporal Learning with Application to Climate Modeling

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jianpeng Xu ◽  
Xi Liu ◽  
Tyler Wilson ◽  
Pang-Ning Tan ◽  
Pouyan Hatami ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prediction Models ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Spatial Scales ◽  
The United States ◽  
Temporal Data ◽  
Real World Data ◽  
Temporal Prediction ◽  
Multi Scale ◽  
Temporal Models ◽  
Spatio Temporal

In climate and environmental sciences, vast amount of spatio-temporal data have been generated at varying spatial resolutions from satellite observations and computer models. Integrating such diverse sources of data has proven to be useful for building prediction models as the multi-scale data may capture different aspects of the Earth system. In this paper, we present a novel framework called MUSCAT for predictive modeling of multi-scale, spatio-temporal data. MUSCAT performs a joint decomposition of multiple tensors from different spatial scales, taking into account the relationships between the variables. The latent factors derived from the joint tensor decomposition are  used to train the spatial and temporal prediction models at different scales for each location. The outputs from these ensemble of spatial and temporal models will be aggregated to generate future predictions. An incremental learning algorithm is also proposed to handle the massive size of the tensors. Experimental results on real-world data from the United States Historical Climate Network (USHCN) showed that MUSCAT outperformed other competing methods in more than 70\% of the locations.

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