Detecting attractors in production systems by using system dynamics and neural networks

Author(s):  
D. Thiel
2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jagan Mohan Reddy K. ◽  
Neelakanteswara Rao A. ◽  
Krishnanand Lanka ◽  
PRC Gopal

Purpose Pull production systems have received much attention in the supply chain management environment. The number of Kanbans is a key decision variable in the pull production system as it affects the finished goods inventory (FGI) and backorders of the system. The purpose of this study is to compare the performance of the fixed and dynamic Kanban systems in terms of operational metrics (FGI and backorders) under the demand uncertainty. Design/methodology/approach In this paper, the system dynamics (SD) approach was used to model the performance of fixed and dynamic Kanban based production systems. SD approach has enabled the feedback mechanism and is an appropriate tool to incorporate the dynamic control during the simulation. Initially, a simple Kanban based production system was developed and then compared the performance of production systems with fixed and dynamic controlled Kanbans at the various demand scenarios. Findings From the present study, it is observed that the dynamic Kanban system has advantages over the fixed Kanban system and also observed that the variation in the backorders with respect to the demand uncertainty under the dynamic Kanban system is negligible. Research limitations/implications In a just-in-time production system, the number of Kanbans is a key decision variable. The number of Kanbans is mainly depended on the demand, cycle time, safety stock factor (SSF) and container size. However, this study considered only demand uncertainty to compare the fixed and dynamic Kanban systems. This paper further recommends researchers to consider other control variables which may influence the number of Kanbans such as cycle time, SSF and container size. Originality/value This study will be useful to decision-makers and production managers in the selection of the Kanban systems in uncertain demand applications.


Author(s):  
Reinaldo Moraga ◽  
Luis Rabelo ◽  
Alfonso Sarmiento

In this chapter, the authors present general steps towards a methodology that contributes to the advancement of prediction and mitigation of undesirable supply chain behavior within short- and long- term horizons by promoting a better understanding of the structure that determines the behavior modes. Through the integration of tools such as system dynamics, neural networks, eigenvalue analysis, and sensitivity analysis, this methodology (1) captures the dynamics of the supply chain, (2) detects changes and predicts the behavior based on these changes, and (3) defines needed modifications to mitigate the unwanted behaviors and performance. In the following sections, some background information is given from literature, the general steps of the proposed methodology are discussed, and finally a case study is briefly summarized.


1988 ◽  
Vol 27 (24) ◽  
pp. 5185 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elizabeth Botha ◽  
David Casasent ◽  
Etienne Barnard

2016 ◽  
Vol 333 ◽  
pp. 51-65 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jeffrey P. Walters ◽  
David W. Archer ◽  
Gretchen F. Sassenrath ◽  
John R. Hendrickson ◽  
Jon D. Hanson ◽  
...  

2007 ◽  
Vol 53 (1) ◽  
pp. 43-50 ◽  
Author(s):  
Madhusudan Singh ◽  
Smriti Srivastava ◽  
J R P Gupta ◽  
M Handmandlu

2016 ◽  
Vol 59 ◽  
pp. 254-264 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aline Aparecida de Pina ◽  
Bruno da Fonseca Monteiro ◽  
Carl Horst Albrecht ◽  
Beatriz Souza Leite Pires de Lima ◽  
Breno Pinheiro Jacob

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