Blood glucose prediction by breath analysis system with feature selection and model fusion

Author(s):  
Ke Yan ◽  
David Zhang
2014 ◽  
Vol 61 (11) ◽  
pp. 2787-2795 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ke Yan ◽  
David Zhang ◽  
Darong Wu ◽  
Hua Wei ◽  
Guangming Lu

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 1742
Author(s):  
Ignacio Rodríguez-Rodríguez ◽  
José-Víctor Rodríguez ◽  
Wai Lok Woo ◽  
Bo Wei ◽  
Domingo-Javier Pardo-Quiles

Type 1 diabetes mellitus (DM1) is a metabolic disease derived from falls in pancreatic insulin production resulting in chronic hyperglycemia. DM1 subjects usually have to undertake a number of assessments of blood glucose levels every day, employing capillary glucometers for the monitoring of blood glucose dynamics. In recent years, advances in technology have allowed for the creation of revolutionary biosensors and continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) techniques. This has enabled the monitoring of a subject’s blood glucose level in real time. On the other hand, few attempts have been made to apply machine learning techniques to predicting glycaemia levels, but dealing with a database containing such a high level of variables is problematic. In this sense, to the best of the authors’ knowledge, the issues of proper feature selection (FS)—the stage before applying predictive algorithms—have not been subject to in-depth discussion and comparison in past research when it comes to forecasting glycaemia. Therefore, in order to assess how a proper FS stage could improve the accuracy of the glycaemia forecasted, this work has developed six FS techniques alongside four predictive algorithms, applying them to a full dataset of biomedical features related to glycaemia. These were harvested through a wide-ranging passive monitoring process involving 25 patients with DM1 in practical real-life scenarios. From the obtained results, we affirm that Random Forest (RF) as both predictive algorithm and FS strategy offers the best average performance (Root Median Square Error, RMSE = 18.54 mg/dL) throughout the 12 considered predictive horizons (up to 60 min in steps of 5 min), showing Support Vector Machines (SVM) to have the best accuracy as a forecasting algorithm when considering, in turn, the average of the six FS techniques applied (RMSE = 20.58 mg/dL).


2021 ◽  
pp. 193229682110182
Author(s):  
Aaron P. Tucker ◽  
Arthur G. Erdman ◽  
Pamela J. Schreiner ◽  
Sisi Ma ◽  
Lisa S. Chow

Successful measurements of interstitial glucose are a key component in providing effective care for patients with diabetes. Recently, there has been significant interest in using neural networks to forecast future glucose values from interstitial measurements collected by continuous glucose monitors (CGMs). While prediction accuracy continues to improve, in this work we investigated the effect of physiological sensor location on neural network blood glucose forecasting. We used clinical data from patients with Type 2 Diabetes who wore blinded FreeStyle Libre Pro CGMs (Abbott) on both their right and left arms continuously for 12 weeks. We trained patient-specific prediction algorithms to test the effect of sensor location on neural network forecasting ( N = 13, Female = 6, Male = 7). In 10 of our 13 patients, we found at least one significant ( P < .05) increase in forecasting error in algorithms which were tested with data taken from a different location than data which was used for training. These reported results were independent from other noticeable physiological differences between subjects (eg, height, age, weight, blood pressure) and independent from overall variance in the data. From these results we observe that CGM location can play a consequential role in neural network glucose prediction.


2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-6 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yannian Wang ◽  
Fenfen Wei ◽  
Changqing Sun ◽  
Quanzhong Li

Diabetes may result in some complications and increase the risk of many serious health problems. The purpose of clinical treatment is to carefully manage the blood glucose concentration. If the blood glucose concentration is predicted, treatments can be taken in advance to reduce the harm to patients. For this purpose, an improved grey GM (1, 1) model is applied to predict blood glucose with a small amount of data, and especially in terms of improved smoothness it can get higher prediction accuracy. The original data of blood glucose of type 2 diabetes is acquired by CGMS. Then the prediction model is established. Finally, 50 cases of blood glucose from the Henan Province People’s Hospital are predicted in 5, 10, 15, 20, 25, and 30 minutes, respectively, in advance to verify the prediction model. The prediction result of blood glucose is evaluated by the EGA, MSE, and MAE. Particularly, the prediction results of postprandial blood glucose are presented and analyzed. The result shows that the improved grey GM (1, 1) model has excellent performance in postprandial blood glucose prediction.


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