Investigating the performance of technical indicators in electrical industry in Tehran's Stock Exchange using hybrid methods of SRA, PCA and Neural Networks

Author(s):  
Davoud Gholamiangonabadi ◽  
Seyed Danial Mohseni Taheri ◽  
Afshin Mohammadi ◽  
Mohammad Bagher Menhaj
2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 445-454
Author(s):  
Celal Buğra Kaya ◽  
Alperen Yılmaz ◽  
Gizem Nur Uzun ◽  
Zeynep Hilal Kilimci

Pattern classification is related with the automatic finding of regularities in dataset through the utilization of various learning techniques. Thus, the classification of the objects into a set of categories or classes is provided. This study is undertaken to evaluate deep learning methodologies to the classification of stock patterns. In order to classify patterns that are obtained from stock charts, convolutional neural networks (CNNs), recurrent neural networks (RNNs), and long-short term memory networks (LSTMs) are employed. To demonstrate the efficiency of proposed model in categorizing patterns, hand-crafted image dataset is constructed from stock charts in Istanbul Stock Exchange and NASDAQ Stock Exchange. Experimental results show that the usage of convolutional neural networks exhibits superior classification success in recognizing patterns compared to the other deep learning methodologies.


2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 85-98
Author(s):  
J. Oliver Muncharaz

The use of neural networks has been extended in all areas of knowledge due to the good results being obtained in the resolution of the different problems posed. The prediction of prices in general, and stock market prices in particular, represents one of the main objectives of the use of neural networks in finance. This paper presents the analysis of the efficiency of the hybrid fuzzy neural network against a backpropagation type neural network in the price prediction of the Spanish stock exchange index (IBEX-35). The paper is divided into two parts. In the first part, the main characteristics of neural networks such as hybrid fuzzy and backpropagation, their structures and learning rules are presented. In the second part, the prediction of the IBEX-35 stock exchange index with these networks is analyzed, measuring the efficiency of both as a function of the prediction errors committed. For this purpose, both networks have been constructed with the same inputs and for the same sample period. The results obtained suggest that the Hybrid fuzzy neuronal network is much more efficient than the widespread backpropagation neuronal network for the sample analysed.


2013 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 111-117
Author(s):  
Senol Emir

The aim of this study to examine the performance of Support Vector Regression (SVR) which is a novel regression method based on Support Vector Machines (SVM) approach in predicting the Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE) National 100 Index daily returns. For bechmarking, results given by SVR were compared to those given by classical Linear Regression (LR). Dataset contains 6 technical indicators which were selected as model inputs for 2005-2011 period. Grid search and cross valiadation is used for finding optimal model parameters and evaluating the models. Comparisons were made based on Root Mean Square (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), Theil Inequality Coefficient (TIC) and Mean Mixed Error (MME) metrics. Results indicate that SVR outperforms the LR for all metrics.


2020 ◽  
Vol 18 ((1)) ◽  
Author(s):  
Eliseo Ramírez Reyes ◽  
Arturo Morales Castro ◽  
Néstor Juan Sanabria Landazábal

Different prediction models are explored to analyze the performance of the Mexican Stock Exchange (PQI) after the 2008 crisis. These models have demonstrated a good prognostic capacity for both multivariable and univariable approaches given their non-parametric characteristics. The selected variables were: Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DJIA), CPI, International Reserves (IR), CETES28, USDMX exchange rate, (M1) and the sovereign default risk of Mexico (MRDS). The models were evaluated with MAPE and compared with linear regression models (LR) and neural networks (NN). The results show that the models have a similar performance according to the percentages of error they presented.


Author(s):  
Omisore Olatunji Mumini ◽  
Fayemiwo Michael Adebisi ◽  
Ofoegbu Osita Edward ◽  
Adeniyi Shukurat Abidemi

Stock trading, used to predict the direction of future stock prices, is a dynamic business primarily based on human intuition. This involves analyzing some non-linear fundamental and technical stock variables which are recorded periodically. This study presents the development of an ANN-based prediction model for forecasting closing price in the stock markets. The major steps taken are identification of technical variables used for prediction of stock prices, collection and pre-processing of stock data, and formulation of the ANN-based predictive model. Stock data of periods between 2010 and 2014 were collected from the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) and stored in a database. The data collected were classified into training and test data, where the training data was used to learn non-linear patterns that exist in the dataset; and test data was used to validate the prediction accuracy of the model. Evaluation results obtained from WEKA shows that discrepancies between actual and predicted values are insignificant.


2016 ◽  
Vol 12 (6) ◽  
pp. 148
Author(s):  
Nasim Nasirpour ◽  
Alireza Mazdaki ◽  
Esmail Enayati

<p>Stock companies play a key role in the economy of any country and the success of these companies depends to a great degree on investors and creditors’ interest who invest in them. Auditors’ reports assume a special position in the decisions taken by investors and creditors. Therefore, the importance of offering high quality information with a view on recent events in the firms (bankruptcy and dissolution, financial scandals, loses suffered by creditors, etc.) becomes clear; moreover, audit reports can prevent these events by creating certain signals. To this end, modern heuristic methods for the prediction of the type of auditor’s opinion are offered in this paper. The aim of this study is to investigate the ability of probabilistic neural network method and to compare it with artificial neural network in order to identify and predict the type of independent auditor’s opinion in Iran in the time period of 2009 to 2013. The patterns used to predict the type of independent auditor’s opinion can be divided into different categories-these categories are becoming more complex and more advanced: single-variable models, multi discriminant analysis, regression function, neural networks, etc. neural networks are getting increasing popularity among researchers for their non-linear and non-parametric properties. Therefore, modern approaches are used in this study to predict the type of auditor’s opinion.</p>


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