Top powers race for artificially intelligent weapons

2018 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
United States ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
The United States ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Reputational Risk ◽  
Waking Up

Subject Innovation in artificial intelligence-enabled defence systems outside the United States. Significance Besides the United States, China and Russia seek a geostrategic advantage through artificial intelligence(AI)-enabled defence. European governments are also waking up to the potential of such systems, but their efforts are splintered. Impacts The feverish pace of development in China suggests its defence systems may be unreliable or unsafe initially. Western researchers will be more bound by ethical barriers than their Russian and Chinese counterparts. Private sector responses will balance commercial gain and reputational risk.

China’s role aids Egypt’s army more than the economy

2019 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
The United States ◽  
Foreseeable Future ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Gcc Countries ◽  
Ability And Willingness

Significance China’s ability and willingness to build and finance mammoth initiatives of questionable national value has made it a convenient partner for President Abdel Fatah el-Sisi. Impacts Both sides will tout projects that reflect the personal visions of their leaders. Private-sector Egyptian companies will be crowded out of the market by military-led enterprises. Egypt’s main economic partners will remain GCC countries, Europe and the United States for the foreseeable future.

Impunity will incentivise cyberattacks globally

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
The United States ◽  
National Committee ◽  
Content Type ◽  
High Profile ◽  
Saudi Aramco

Significance The hacking of emails of the Democratic National Committee (DNC) and Hillary Clinton’s campaign chair has touched off national discussion in the United States on Russia’s involvement and -- along with other high-profile cyberattacks believed to have been carried out by states such as those on Sony in 2014 and Saudi Aramco in 2012 -- have shone a spotlight on the complexity of attribution in cyberspace. Impacts Companies will increasingly find themselves in the crossfire of disputes between states. Governments will need to not only ramp up their country’s defences but also work with the private sector to ensure their cyber readiness. Societies may experience a challenge to democratic processes as states use cyber instruments to influence foreign elections.

Hype around artificial intelligence set to settle

2019 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
United States ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
The United States ◽  
Major Research ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Past ◽  
Explainable Ai

Subject Prospect for artificial intelligence applications. Significance Artificial intelligence (AI) technologies, particularly those using 'deep learning', have in the past five years helped to automate many tasks previously outside the capabilities of computers. There are signs that the feverish pace of progress seen recently is slowing. Impacts Western legislation will make companies responsible for preventing decisions based on biased AI. Advances in 'explainable AI' will be rapid. China will be a major research player in AI technologies, alongside the United States, Japan and Europe.

Tehran will flounder over COVID-19’s economic impact

2020 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Social Security ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Health Spending ◽  
The United States ◽  
Economic Pressure ◽  
Limited Capacity ◽  
Content Type ◽  
High Inflation

Significance Facing the region’s largest coronavirus outbreak, the authorities belatedly closed schools, banned all religious and social gatherings and asked people to stay indoors. However, since mid-April, they have loosened restrictions, reflecting the difficulties of the private sector as well as the government’s limited capacity to provide relief. Impacts The economic pressure from COVID-19 on top of sanctions may force Tehran to divert assets away from the conflict in Syria. Finance for operations in Iraq will be prioritised as a core Iranian interest as well as an arena to combat the United States. The central bank may be forced to print money to finance increased health spending and social security, risking extremely high inflation.

EU-US will clash on artificial intelligence regulation

2020 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
United States ◽  
Law Enforcement ◽  
Facial Recognition ◽  
The United States ◽  
Public Authorities ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Regulatory Strategy ◽  
Innovative Potential

Significance Its guidance will probably be at odds with the approach adopted by the United States. Impacts European AI firms will criticise a tougher regulatory strategy, fearing restrictions on their innovative potential, as well as from abroad. Larger tech companies will be better able to adapt to AI regulations than their smaller competitors. Public authorities, and law enforcement especially, will push back against facial recognition bans.

India-Russia ties will withstand external pressures

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
The United States ◽  
Strong Ties ◽  
Content Type ◽  
External Pressures ◽  
Complicating Factors ◽  
India And China

Significance The countries have historically had strong ties. However, Delhi’s growing partnership with Washington and burgeoning Moscow-Beijing relations are complicating factors, given the rivalry between Russia and the United States, and between India and China. Impacts Russia’s burgeoning ties with India’s enemy, Pakistan, will not undermine the Moscow-Delhi relationship. India’s private sector will remain reluctant to invest in Russia, fearing US sanctions. Delhi will over the next five years initiate 2+2 dialogues with individual ASEAN and EU members.

US tech regulation will develop locally

2019 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
United States ◽  
Racial Discrimination ◽  
The United States ◽  
Privacy And Security ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Ethical Concerns ◽  
Advanced Technologies ◽  
Facial Identification ◽  
Recognition Software

Subject Tech regulation in the United States. Significance San Francisco’s Board of Supervisors on December 10 amended its ban on facial recognition software to allow for Apple iPhones that use facial identification for unlocking the phone. The move reflects the difficulty cities and states face in regulating artificial intelligence (AI) and other advanced technologies that have privacy and security implications: while they are legally permitted to regulate, the efficacy of localities’ reforms runs into challenges in a largely unregulated national scene. Impacts AI in policing will attract attention, since municipalities are the jurisdiction for most US police. AI adoption will accentuate ethical concerns about racial discrimination in policing as reports of bias in algorithms proliferate. AI has a low chance of becoming polarised; the tech sector has Republican and Democratic friends.

Iraq’s promised reconstruction funding will lag

2018 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
The United States ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Foreign Ministers

Significance The United States and Iran sent their foreign ministers and 74 other countries also participated, along with many multilateral organisations, NGOs and private sector representatives. However, pledges were vague and even the most generous interpretation of aggregated funds -- 30 billion dollars, mainly in credit and investment pledges, not grants -- fell far short of the 60-88 billion dollars estimated to be needed. Impacts The relatively low level of pledges could harm the prime minister’s electoral prospects. Investments could flow to more prosperous areas rather than those worst affected by war. A failure to rebuild the economy in Sunni areas could catalyse future extremism.

Multilateralism risks will rise amid World Bank change

2019 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
United States ◽  
Renewable Energy ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
World Bank ◽  
The United States ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Global Issues ◽  
The Us

Significance Kim's departure creates unforeseen turbulence at the institution, whose corporate commitments around climate change, gender and renewable energy are anathema to the current US administration. Impacts If the US nominee is an ideological conservative, World Bank relations with either the United States or other shareholders will be damaged. Short-term impacts on Bank operations will be minimal. Kim’s belief that he can affect “global issues” more in the private sector emphasises the importance of the Bank reviving its global role.

China will be the key global automotive market

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
Emerging Markets ◽  
Low Cost ◽  
The United States ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Automotive Market ◽  
Car Market ◽  
New Models ◽  
European Markets

Significance The passenger car market will expand by 2.7% in 2016, according to private sector estimates, with growth evenly spread between the BRICS, Europe and the United States. The industry will focus on three transformations: the push into emerging markets (EMs), exploiting the potential of data and connectivity and managing the regulatory drive towards cleaner fuels. Impacts Diesel will remain a viable fuel in European markets. However, tougher testing and lower filtering margins will strengthen the case for further hybridisation of new models. The limited response from European regulators risks diminishing the incentives for domestic manufacturers to make changes early. Volume manufacturers are squeezed between low-cost manufacturers and the premium brands when it comes to connectivity.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document