Bolivia’s Morales may become victim of his own success

Subject The political longevity of Evo Morales. Significance President Evo Morales last month became Bolivia’s longest-ever serving president, overtaking Victor Paz Estenssoro. Since 2005, Bolivia has experienced an unaccustomed period of political and economic stability. It has also witnessed major social changes that undercut the strength of traditional social movements, increase public expectations and focus discontent on the shortcomings of the state Impacts The pace of urbanisation will persist even though, overall, demographic growth will slow over the next decade. The attention of government will focus increasingly on meeting middle-class demands. Emerging social sectors will remain largely outside the net of direct taxation.

Subject Continuing violent protests. Significance The wave of demonstrations and violence that has rocked Santiago and most other Chilean cities over the past few days, shocking Chileans themselves, is essentially a protest against the “1%”, in other words the political and business elite. However, this does not mean, at least for now, that Chileans want a radical change in the predominantly neoliberal economic model, but rather a fairer share of its proceeds and opportunities. Impacts Repair of some sections of the Metro could take months, to the detriment of mostly lower-middle-class neighbourhoods of Santiago. The disruption of activity will pull down growth this year, which was already expected to drop to around 2.5% from 4.0% in 2018. Growing reports of police and army brutality and violations of the law are further polarising the situation. For the rest of its term the government will be at the mercy of events and will have to negotiate agreements with the opposition.


Subject Class and racial tensions. Significance With presidential elections pending in October, the outcome will be partly determined by the major social changes that have taken place over the last decade. A substantial proportion of potential voters have been pulled out of poverty while there has continued to be rapid urbanisation. The ‘middle sectors’ are likely to play a key role in whether or not President Evo Morales is re-elected. Impacts Urbanisation will continue apace over the next ten years, eating into rural voter bases. Formerly white, middle-class neighbourhoods in the cities will become more multicultural. Pressure will increase for improvements in social provision, especially in education and health.


Subject Overview of the political and economic risks facing China. Significance China faces formidable threats to its political and economic stability, ranging from the urgent to the insidious. Impacts Economic risks include demographic ageing, debt, automation and the 'middle-income trap'. Significant political risks include a backlash against Xi’s rise at home and a backlash against China’s rise internationally. Critical uncertainties include international crises, the consequences of generational change and the risk of an environmental tipping point.


Significance Proponents of Prime Minister Narendra Modi's economic agenda await the political responses of India's urban middle classes. It was above all the urban middle-class vote at the 2014 general elections that took Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), and its National Democratic Alliance (NDA), to its sweeping victory. Impacts BJP could become isolated by relying too much on the middle-class vote. Its lack of interest in rural voters is reflected in its neglect of agrarian strife. Middle-class voters seek quality employment, which Modi's economic policy is failing to generate.


1992 ◽  
Vol 40 (1) ◽  
pp. 26-48 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul Bagguley

Most recent analyses of New Social Movements (NSMs) by British sociologists have concentrated on broad social changes or the middle classes as the key explanatory factors. This paper criticizes recent contributions to the analysis of NSMs which emphasize the development of ‘post-Fordism’ and ‘disorganized capitalism’, and recent attempts to understand NSMs as a reflection of ‘middle class’ interests or values. An alternative theoretical approach is outlined which places at the centre of the analysis the social relations in which NSMs are grounded, and which NSMs seek to transform. In this alternative account the middle classes play the role of ‘traditional intellectuals’, that is, they provide the key social resources for mobilization of NSMs and all social movements.


2016 ◽  
Vol 18 (3) ◽  
pp. 210
Author(s):  
Abu Bakar

This paper discusses the emergence of social movements To Pulo with the issue of a new government and thedevelopment of the New Order. Today, the issue is increasingly disappearing in local political discourse inKepulauan Selayar. This paper will explore how these things to happen to focus on the political disorientationand why the role of intermediary actors To Pulo weakened middle class. To explain this case, the use of socialmovement theory perspective of social identity theory and case study research method. The purpose of thispaper to describe a social movement To Pulo by answering questions; how To Pulo social movements?; Whydid political disorientation inside could be happened?; Why did middle-class intermediary role fi zzle?. The conclusion is the disorientation caused by the absence of a strong commitment. And the weak role of the intermediary is caused by internal confl icts To Pulo.


Author(s):  
Lara Deeb ◽  
Mona Harb

South Beirut has recently become a vibrant leisure destination with a plethora of cafés and restaurants that cater to the young, fashionable, and pious. What effects have these establishments had on the moral norms, spatial practices, and urban experiences of this Lebanese community? From the diverse voices of young Shi'i Muslims searching for places to hang out, to the Hezbollah officials who want this media-savvy generation to be more politically involved, to the religious leaders worried that Lebanese youth are losing their moral compasses, this book provides a sophisticated and original look at leisure in the Lebanese capital. What makes a café morally appropriate? How do people negotiate morality in relation to different places? And under what circumstances might a pious Muslim go to a café that serves alcohol? This book highlights tensions and complexities exacerbated by the presence of multiple religious authorities, a fraught sectarian political context, class mobility, and a generation that takes religion for granted but wants to have fun. The book elucidates the political, economic, religious, and social changes that have taken place since 2000, and examines leisure's influence on Lebanese sociopolitical and urban situations. Asserting that morality and geography cannot be fully understood in isolation from one another, the book offers a colorful new understanding of the most powerful community in Lebanon today.


Author(s):  
Tim Watson

This chapter analyzes the novels of the British writer Barbara Pym, which are often read as cozy tales of English middle-class postwar life but which, I argue, are profoundly influenced by the work Pym carried out as an editor of the journal Africa at the International African Institute in London, where she worked for decades. She used ethnographic techniques to represent social change in a postwar, decolonizing, non-normative Britain of female-headed households, gay and lesbian relationships, and networks of female friendship and civic engagement. Pym’s novels of the 1950s implicitly criticize the synchronic, functionalist anthropology of kinship tables that dominated the discipline in Britain, substituting an interest in a new anthropology that could investigate social change. Specific anthropological work on West African social changes underpins Pym’s English fiction, including several journal articles that Pym was editing while she worked on her novels.


2021 ◽  
pp. 002190962110345
Author(s):  
Theophilus Tinashe Nenjerama ◽  
Shepherd Mpofu

This study examines a new wave of populisms arising in the digital era using Pastor Evan Mawarire’s #ThisFlag movement: What are they, and how do they express themselves? How does the hegemony react to them? Non-mainstream, digitally born movements, especially in dictatorships, are dismissed by the political elite as ill-mannered disruptors whose political interventions are detrimental. To analyse the cleric’s populism and its meaning to the Zimbabwean body politic, we use three specific themes: (a) personality and influence of movement leader(s); (b) populist communication and messaging; and (c) recreating an involved citizenry. We used digital ethnography to gather and analyse data.


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