Berlin will reorient its policy vis-a-vis Washington

Significance This comes after German Foreign Minister Sigmar Gabriel said in December that the “retreat” of the United States under Trump marked a fundamental break in Euro-Atlantic relations. He excluded the possibility that relations might return to pre-Trump normal after his departure and concluded that Germany had to adjust to a new world. Impacts Divergence in strategic outlook between the United States and Germany will complicate crisis management, for example in the Middle East. EU states will have to choose strategically between Washington and Brussels at a time when preferences about the EU’s future diverge. Different intra-EU priorities could complicate EU reform and tempt Trump to play allies off against each other.

Significance The Vietnam analogy implies that President Joe Biden’s decision to leave Afghanistan will have deeply negative consequences for the United States. However, Afghanistan is not Vietnam and the Biden withdrawal needs to be considered within the wider context of his administration’s review of US commitments abroad. Impacts The White House will be pressured to clarify the future of other US military commitments, particularly in Iraq. Biden will seek to reassure allies, particularly those in NATO, that his commitment to multilateralism will not diminish. Biden may seek an opportunity for a military show of force, possibly in the Middle East, to refute accusations of weakness.


Significance Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba on November 29 called for action "now, not later" to "deter" Russia. The same day, US Defense Department spokesman John Kirby said the Pentagon was watching Russian troop movements near Ukraine "with great concern". Fears of imminent conflict stem not just from the number of troops and tanks moved closer to Ukraine, but from Moscow's more than usually hostile rhetoric and its deliberate ambiguity, through hints that Ukraine may provoke it into some form of action. Impacts The threat of Russian action will accelerate and expand the defence assistance Ukraine gets from the United States and other NATO members. Moscow would hope its importance as a gas supplier mitigates EU sanctions imposed for military action against Ukraine. The Ukrainian government will be tempted to use the Russian threat to curb domestic opposition.


Significance In October, Netanyahu travelled to Oman -- the first visit there by an Israeli premier in decades. In the past few years, relations between Israel and most of the six Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) member states have warmed, but this has not been publicised. More recently, GCC states have become less concerned whether their relations with Israel become public knowledge. Meanwhile, the United States is encouraging rapprochement as one of the anchors of its Middle East policy. Impacts Netanyahu may soon visit Bahrain, the first public visit by an Israeli leader to the country. Relations with Qatar will follow a separate track to other Gulf states. A political opening would create economic opportunities.


2015 ◽  
Vol 54 (1) ◽  
pp. 168-171 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nathan P. Wiederhold ◽  
Veronica Garcia Gil ◽  
Felipe Gutierrez ◽  
Jonathan R. Lindner ◽  
Mohammad T. Albataineh ◽  
...  

Azole resistance inAspergillus fumigatusis an increasing problem. The TR34 L98H and TR46 Y121F T289A mutations that can occur in patients without previous azole exposure have been reported in Europe, Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and Australia. Here, we report the detection of both the TR34 L98H and TR46 Y121F T289A mutations in confirmedA. fumigatusisolates collected in institutions in the United States. These mutations, other mutations known to cause azole resistance, and azole MICs are reported here.


Significance US officials estimate that Russia has dispatched tanks and artillery to Syria in recent weeks in a reported military build-up, raising concerns that Moscow is embarking upon an extensive mission to bolster President Bashar al-Assad's embattled regime and establish a substantial Russian military presence in the Middle East. The build-up comes amid an intensive Russian diplomatic drive in Syria. Impacts Recent attempts to revive the UN-backed Geneva peace process will stumble due to the lack of US-Russian and Saudi-Iranian unanimity. Russia will use its influence over Assad as a bargaining chip in its stand-off with the United States and Europe. Hezbollah and Tehran will be emboldened by Moscow's solid backing of the Assad regime. However, this may also complicate Russia's ties with the Gulf states, Turkey and Israel.


Subject Political and economic relations between Delhi and Washington. Significance Indian Foreign Minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar last week said Delhi and Washington faced a challenge to “refresh” bilateral ties, despite “dramatic changes” over the last 20 years. India and the United States are strategic partners, but relations have come under strain over Kashmir, defence and trade. Impacts The recent halting of US-Taliban talks, which had worried Delhi because they excluded Kabul, will remove a minor source of India-US tension. India-US commercial spats will hurt Delhi’s ‘Make in India’ scheme, designed to persuade international manufactures to seek local partners. Enduring India-US strains would undermine Washington’s Indo-Pacific strategy, as Delhi is a key partner within it.


Significance Trump’s controversial Middle East policy decisions have met bipartisan criticism in the US Senate, but in the House of Representatives -- where the influence of the party grassroots is more keenly felt -- Republican congressmen have staunchly backed the president. There are growing partisan differences towards other countries, a notable shift from previous decades when party was not a clear indicator for preference. This may have a major impact on Washington’s future relationship with the Middle East. Impacts Foreign lobbying efforts in Washington will increasingly be targeted on a partisan basis. Russian foreign policy, not beholden to the vagaries of democracy, may become more influential in the Middle East. The EU could seek to play a stronger, independent regional role to replace the United States.


ICR Journal ◽  
2011 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 224-227
Author(s):  
Zarina Nalla

This book is no doubt an eye-opener and reflects the thoughts of an individual who is unique: an academician with a passion for inter-religious understanding who was a former foreign minister of Indonesia and a graduate of two diametric worlds of education: the Middle East and the United States of America.


Subject Prospects for the Middle East in the fourth quarter. Significance The ratification of the nuclear deal in Iran and the United States will pave the way to Iran's diplomatic and economic re-emergence, but will also raise tensions on proxy fronts across the region. Further low oil prices will trouble the region's energy exporters, while civil conflicts in Libya and Syria face turning-points.


Significance This follows President Donald Trump's surprise decision to withdraw troops from Syria, where Washington has been supporting the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) in fighting IS. Previously, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan had threatened to invade SDF-held areas in the north-east. Impacts US credibility as a partner in the region will be substantially diminished. Russian and Iranian influence in Syria and the wider Middle East will grow. If Washington disengages from Syria at diplomatic level, a Russian-led initiative to form a constitutional committee will likely succeed. The United States will assist Turkey in moving against the PKK in Iraq.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document