Syria's Kurds may be forced to align with Damascus
Significance This follows President Donald Trump's surprise decision to withdraw troops from Syria, where Washington has been supporting the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) in fighting IS. Previously, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan had threatened to invade SDF-held areas in the north-east. Impacts US credibility as a partner in the region will be substantially diminished. Russian and Iranian influence in Syria and the wider Middle East will grow. If Washington disengages from Syria at diplomatic level, a Russian-led initiative to form a constitutional committee will likely succeed. The United States will assist Turkey in moving against the PKK in Iraq.