Nigeria's opposition could pose renewed challenge

Subject Nigerian opposition prospects. Significance Former President Olusegun Obasanjo on January 23 issued a scathing rebuke of President Muhammadu Buhari's performance and implored him not to run for re-election in 2019. Although yet to confirm his intentions, Buhari is expected to be the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) standard-bearer once more. Meanwhile, after four years of national opposition, the former ruling People’s Democratic Party (PDP, in office 1999-2015) has overcome debilitating internal divisions and could become a serious electoral prospect once more. While this may lead to a competitive election, it could also potentially exacerbate the country’s manifold security challenges. Impacts The PDP could benefit from a proposed alteration to the electoral timetable to hold gubernatorial ahead of presidential elections. Fuel shortages and food inflation, combined with persistent underemployment and unemployment, will undermine Buhari's economic credentials. Violent election flashpoints are likely to include the central states, parts of the south-west (including Lagos) and the Niger Delta.

Subject Nigeria's opposition. Significance The main opposition People’s Democratic Party (PDP) is emboldened after scores of recent defections from the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC). Yet the PDP’s chances of winning the 2019 elections may rest on whether it can remain united, with multiple high-profile aspirants, including Senate President Bukola Saraki, vying for its presidential nomination. Impacts Buhari’s delays in passing an amended electoral act will exacerbate fears that he is attempting to undermine scrutiny of next year's vote. Should the wealthy Abubakar fail to garner the PDP nomination, this could hurt the party’s financing and campaign strategy. Defections to the APC in the south-south and south-east are unlikely to bolster support sufficiently to overtake the PDP there. The Buhari administration's poor economic management record may undermine his support in the economically vital south-west.


Subject Nigeria's presidential elections. Significance Nigeria will hold presidential and legislative elections on February 16, with incumbent President Muhammadu Buhari facing former Vice President Atiku Abubakar. Buhari has a slight edge based on a mass bloc of popular support in the north and a network of elite backers who can deliver voting blocs in the south-west. However, Abubakar is a formidable opponent and there is a significant chance of close, contested and even violent outcomes in multiple battleground states. Impacts The presidential elections will set the tone for the almost equally consequential gubernatorial and state assembly elections to follow. Disputed presidential elections could see violence in hotspots such as Kaduna, Kano, Plateau or Rivers, including in gubernatorial polls. Widespread perceptions of bias in key institutions will further erode trust in the state, even if Buhari wins a popular mandate fairly. A weak showing by the PDP could suggest it is now primarily a sectional party representing the south-east and south-south. If Buhari wins despite faring poorly in the south-east and south-south, this could reinforce a sense of marginalisation in those regions.


2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 129-139 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ailsa Cameron ◽  
Eleanor K. Johnson ◽  
Paul B. Willis ◽  
Liz Lloyd ◽  
Randall Smith

Purpose This paper aims to report the findings of a study that explores the contribution volunteers make to social care for older adults, identifying lessons for the social care sector and policymakers. Design/methodology/approach An exploratory multiple case study design was used to capture the perspectives and experiences of managers of services, volunteer co-ordinators, volunteers, paid care staff and older people. Seven diverse social care organisations took part in the study drawn from three locations in the South West of England. Findings This study identified three distinct models of volunteer contribution to social care services for older people. Although the contributions made by volunteers to services are valued, the study drew attention to some of the challenges related to their involvement. Research limitations/implications The organisations taking part in this small-scale study were all based in the South West of England, and the findings are therefore not generalisable but contribute to the growing evidence base related to this important field. Practical implications This study demonstrates the importance of the volunteer co-ordinator role and suggests that it is properly funded and resourced. It also confirms the importance of volunteers receiving appropriate training and support. Originality/value Given the increasing involvement of volunteers in the provision of social care, this paper provides lessons to ensure the role of volunteers in social care enhances rather than diminishes the quality of care provided.


Subject Gubernatorial polls and the devolution outlook. Significance The All Progressives Congress (APC) won 20 out of the 29 states that held elections for governorships and assemblies on April 11. While the majority of the remaining seven states had been won by the People's Democratic Party (PDP) in by-elections last year, the APC has broadly repeated its victory in the presidential polls. Over the next four years, incoming state administrations will be spending nearly half of the national budget to develop services and infrastructure under a new federal government that has promised greater devolution of powers. Impacts The PDP will have to re-grow its party from a much-reduced regional powerbase in the south-south and south-east of the country. Problematic elections in PDP states may sow the seeds for continued localised instability and security problems. Longer term, more dynamic state governments may spearhead a more localised infrastructure boom not as reliant on central planning. Whether the APC can meet the high bar set by Lagos elsewhere will depend on the quality of its candidates locally.


2014 ◽  
Vol 64 (Pt_8) ◽  
pp. 2920-2925 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fei Ren ◽  
Limin Zhang ◽  
Lei Song ◽  
Shiyao Xu ◽  
Lijun Xi ◽  
...  

An aerobic, Mn(II)-oxidizing, Gram-negative bacterium, strain 8047T, was isolated from a deep-sea hydrothermal vent plume in the south-west Indian Ocean. The strain was rod-shaped and motile with a terminal flagellum, and formed yellowish colonies. It produced catalase and oxidase, hydrolysed gelatin and reduced nitrate. 16S rRNA gene sequence analysis showed that strain 8047T belonged to the order Rhizobiales of the class Alphaproteobacteria , and was phylogenetically most closely related to the genus Fulvimarina , sharing 94.4 % sequence identity with the type strain of the type species. The taxonomic affiliation of strain 8047T was supported by phylogenetic analysis of four additional housekeeping genes, gyrB, recA, rpoC and rpoB. The predominant respiratory lipoquinone of strain 8047T was Q-10, the major fatty acid was C18 : 1ω7c and the DNA G+C content was 61.7 mol%. On the basis of the phenotypic and genotypic characteristics determined in this study, strain 8047T represents a novel species within the genus Fulvimarina , for which the name Fulvimarina manganoxydans sp. nov. is proposed. The type strain is strain 8047T ( = CGMCC1.10972T = JCM 18890T).


Author(s):  
Ejiroghene Augustine Oghuvbu

Nigeria, like most developing States is still grappling with the task of nation – building, responsive democratic order and a just and secured polity. The task over the years has remained arduous and seemingly illusive. Presently, the menance of Boko Haram, the marauding herdsmen militancy, the new face of militancy in the Niger Delta, the spate of kidnappings, armed robberies, and ethno-regional intolerance, the vociferous separatist agitations in the South-East and South-South and the deteriorating living conditions have continued to create survival, stability and security challenges and threaten the very existence of Nigeria as a federation. Against this backdrop, this paper therefore attempts to identify some of the emerging trends of security challenges in Nigeria with a view to diagnosing their causes and examining their implications on the corporate existence of Nigeria. This paper adopted the analytical method and relied on the natural theory of state to posit that the solution to the disturbing trend of security challenges in Nigeria is employment generation and genuine implementation of poverty alleviation programmes in the polity


Significance Kanu's arrest in October on treason and other charges ignited deadly protests in ethnic Igbo-dominated regions, spurring speculation of a violent revival of the Biafran separatism that caused the 1967-70 Civil War. Impacts Elders in Igbo communities outside the south-east will strike a conciliatory tone with other groups, reducing the risk of clashes. Literary output by Igbo authors such as Chinua Achebe will add to nostalgia for the Biafran cause among the global diaspora. Niger Delta militants will threaten further attacks on oil pipelines to pressure Buhari to continue their amnesty payments beyond 2017. Political fallout from the army raid on a Shia sect in December risks escalating Shia-Sunni tensions.


Subject Nigerian economic platforms. Significance The two main political parties in the 2019 presidential elections have released their campaign manifestos, both focused on similar themes of economic development and jobs creation. The governing All Progressives Congress (APC) envisages an expanded role for government in driving the economy while the opposition People’s Democratic Party (PDP) has outlined a private sector-led framework. Neither approach is likely to achieve their vast promises. Impacts The exchange rate is unlikely to be fully liberalised regardless of who triumphs. International investors have largely written off the chances of a full economic recovery if Buhari wins a second term. Abubakar's previous political flip-flops could sow doubts over his commitment to market-based reforms. A strong performance by technocratic candidates could signal growing voter appetite for change beyond the established parties.


2018 ◽  
Vol 45 (11) ◽  
pp. 1533-1549
Author(s):  
Nurun Naher Moni ◽  
Mohammed Ziaul Haider ◽  
Md Mahedi Al Masud

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to provide a better understanding of the dynamics of institutional practices, socio-economic status and vulnerability of shrimp fry catchers in the south-west region of Bangladesh. Design/methodology/approach This study draws on primary research conducted through face-to-face interviews with women fry collectors in the south-west region of Bangladesh. This study attempts to identify the nature and extent of the impact of institutional practices on the women engaged in catching fry regarding their positioning within the institutional framework. Findings In the coastal region of Bangladesh, the shrimp sector has opened up economic opportunities for women in terms of access to income and employment. However, women have to make a trade-off between employment gain in terms of wage and health hazards caused due to poor working conditions. The findings of the study indicate that shrimp fry catching, complemented by other sources of income, can only help women to survive. The study also finds that the vulnerability of the fry collectors is the end result of mutually interacting institutional practices under different institutional domains. Accordingly, recommendations are made with a view to effectively utilizing social capital at the community level, which will be particularly helpful in raising fry catchers’ voice in the local political arena and strengthening their position in the marketplace. Due to the higher preferences of buyers towards wild fry and the participation of a huge number of people in fry collecting, this study suggests rethinking government intervention in this regard. Originality/value This is original research focusing on the underlying structural and institutional factors behind the marginalization and vulnerability of women and devising policies that will enable modification of the factors that restrain women.


Significance Obama's personal connections to Kenya have ensured that this trip has received much more attention than usual presidential journeys. However, the impact of these visits has been called into question, as expectations for results are often not met. Impacts The trip is designed in part to mend fences with the Congressional Black Caucus (CBC), which has criticised Obama for continental neglect. Shoring up support in the CBC will help to maintain Democratic party unity in the House of Representatives. Obama's domestic position has been enhanced by his comments on human rights in Kenya, particularly for women. His prestige will help Democrats in 2016 presidential elections.


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