Bosnia-Hercegovina edges closer to breaking up
Subject Fallout from Bosnian Serbs’ celebration of national day on January 9. Significance The Day of Republika Srpska (RS) was celebrated in the Serb-dominated entity with great pomp and in open defiance of the Constitutional Court of Bosnia-Hercegovina (BiH), which had forbidden marking the Orthodox St Stephen’s Day (January 9) as a national holiday on the grounds that it discriminated against non-Serbs. The court has long been a thorn in the side of the Bosnian Croat and Serb leadership and is expected to be the next political battleground. The celebration also defied EU and US officials who had demanded that the court’s decision be respected. Impacts BiH’s deepening crisis is undermining state institutions at all levels and increasing its economic and social problems. Attempts by Croat or Serb leaders to move for independence could result in new violence. Growing tensions in and between Croatia, Serbia and Macedonia, and international divisions are supporting and even augmenting the crisis. Russian and Turkish influence in BiH may increase.