Nigeria's hefty budget will not dispel investor unease

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Central Bank ◽  
State Government ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Tax Compliance ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Short Term ◽  
State Budget ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Government ◽  
Final Text

Subject Outlook for Nigeria's 2016 state budget. Significance The Senate this week will forward President Muhammadu Buhari the revised 2016 state budget, which it passed on March 23. Buhari says that he will assess it "ministry by ministry" before signing it into law to ensure that there are no irregularities in the final text. The 6.06-trillion-naira (30.6-billion-dollar) spending plan is 17 billion naira lower than the initial budget proposed by the government in December 2015. Impacts Buhari is unlikely to consider raising the value added tax given its effect on living costs, which would hurt the APC electorally. The central bank will likely keep currency restrictions in place, at least in the short term, despite their negative impact on firms. The tax compliance drive will be most effective in Lagos, due to heavy investment in collection capacity by the state government.

Indonesia’s new investment ministry faces headwinds

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Central Bank ◽  
Foreign Investment ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Sovereign Wealth Fund ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Speed Up ◽  
The Government ◽  
Roll Out

Significance The government hopes greater domestic and foreign investment can help turn around the pandemic-hit economy. The governor of Bank Indonesia (BI), the central bank, last week said GDP should grow by 4.6% in 2021, compared with last year’s 2.1% contraction. Impacts Indonesia will count on private vaccination, whereby companies buy state-procured jabs for their staff, to help speed up its roll-out. The Indonesia Investment Authority, a new sovereign wealth fund, will prioritise attracting more investment into the infrastructure sector. Singapore will continue to be Indonesia’s largest source of FDI in the short term.

Thailand’s junta will face new governing pressures

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Labour Market ◽  
Political Party ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Military Coup ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Biometric Data ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Investor Confidence ◽  
The Government

Significance This is an early move back towards elected politics following the mid-2014 military coup, and comes as recent corruption allegations, the possibility of a fifth cabinet reshuffle and concerns about the outlook for Thailand’s labour market are raising new questions about the NCPO government’s competence. This also comes as Thailand looks to a general election by November 2018 for which the NCPO may form a political party. Impacts Inadequacies in collecting biometric data for fisheries workers could draw renewed EU scrutiny and criticism. A cabinet reshuffle will not slow Thailand’s recent gains in economic growth. Media self-censorship means corruption allegations will likely not have a great negative impact on the government. Investor confidence is unlikely to be affected by corruption allegations in the short term.

scholarly journals The effect of tax rate on sales tax compliance among Jordanian public shareholding corporations

Accounting ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 883-892 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmad Farhan Alshira’h ◽  
Ali Mustafa Magablih ◽  
Moh’d Alsqour
Keyword(s):  
Negative Impact ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Tax Compliance ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Sales Tax ◽  
Survey Method ◽  
Tax Rate ◽  
Listed Firms ◽  
Amman Stock Exchange ◽  
The Government

Compliance to tax payment generally results in mitigating fiscal deficit and public debt, and in turn, provides funding to meet the economic and social development. However, regardless of the directed efforts of the government to increase sales tax compliance (or value added tax as it is referred to globally), Jordanian listed firms on the Amman Stock Exchange, compliance remains an issue in light of its negative impact on the government revenues. Literature dedicated to tax rate effects on sales tax compliance in the context of listed Jordanian firms on the Amman Stock Exchange has largely been lacking and as such, the study’s main objective is to examine the effect of tax rate on sales tax compliance among such firms. The study adopted a survey method with questionnaire copies distributed to 191 listed Jordanian firms. In the tabulation of data, only 169 questionnaire copies were deemed to be valid for the analysis. The formulated study hypotheses were tested using PLS-SEM and based on the results, tax rate has an insignificant effect on sales tax compliance. Future studies are recommended to provide further insight into the study determinants. The study contributes by furnishing information to and guiding policymakers and the listed Jordanian firms in enhancing sales tax compliance.

Polish VAT surge may subside from mid-2018

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Credit Rating ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
Positive Trend ◽  
Government Budget ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Difference ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Eu

Significance Budget data for the first ten months show revenue from value-added tax (VAT) exceeding the forecast by 22%. That could help narrow Poland’s 'VAT gap' -- the difference between collected and potential taxes. Impacts Poland is likely to bring its VAT gap closer to the EU average in the short term. However, this positive trend may offer only a temporary reprieve for ruling PiS. Rising tax revenue will boost not only the government budget but also Poland’s credit rating.

Hungarian economic stimulus measures will leave gaps

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Public Sector ◽  
Unemployment Rate ◽  
Value Added ◽  
The State ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
State Budget ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Third ◽  
The Government

Subject The series of tax-related measures that the Fidesz government hopes will boost competitiveness and support GDP by reducing labour shortages. Significance Following disappointing economic growth of just 2.2% on an unadjusted basis in the third quarter, owing to a larger-than-expected drop in investment, Fidesz’s latest tax-related measures are well-timed, since the economy is expected to slow in the final quarter of 2016. The government insists no amendments will be needed in the state budget, and is now forecasting 3.1% GDP growth in 2017, after 2.5% this year. Impacts Value-added tax cuts and rises in public-sector minimum wages will cause inflation to rise faster in 2017, as deflationary trends disappear. The unemployment rate is expected to bottom out as workers return from neighbouring countries. The government will need to make complementary reforms in education and privatising the state-dominated energy and telecoms sectors. If it does not, competitiveness as measured by wage growth and productivity will remain subdued.

Mozambican debt fallout will persist over Kroll report

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Financial Institutions ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
International Financial Institutions ◽  
Short Term ◽  
State Budget ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Domestic Debt ◽  
Financing Costs ◽  
International Donor ◽  
The Government

Significance Risk firm Kroll was looking into undisclosed state loans worth 2 billion dollars, but it said that the Mozambican government did not collaborate fully with the firm's investigation and that the CEO of the three companies openly blocked attempts to locate futher information. Expectations that the IMF and the international donor community would start talks on new funding agreements with Maputo have subsequently stalled, while mounting domestic loans taken out by the government have further soured relations with international financial institutions. Impacts Lack of transparency over financing of the state budget will preclude large-scale donor budgetary assistance in the short term. The private sector will increase its calls for the government to renegotiate the scheduling of domestic debt repayments. The ongoing debt fallout could raise infrastructure financing costs and delay several liquefied natural gas (LNG) mega-investments.

Israel’s 2019 budget assumptions have long-term risks

2018 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Prime Minister ◽  
Short Term ◽  
State Budget ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Coalition Stability ◽  
The Government

Significance The Knesset (parliament) approved the 2019 state budget on March 15, over nine months early. The 480-billion-shekel (138-billion-dollar) spending package is mildly expansionary at a time when the economy is near capacity -- and locks in fiscal policy far in advance. However, Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu was determined to pass the budget now to avoid rifts that could bring down the government before scheduled elections in November 2019. Impacts Approval of the 2019 budget should help the Netanyahu government achieve short-term coalition stability. Major expenditure hikes on education, health and transport will reverse years of underspending. Replacement of Governor Karnit Flug after mild criticism of the government could damage the Bank of Israel’s perceived independence.

Florida voters react to Biden's Caribbean policy

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Disaster Relief ◽  
Electoral Politics ◽  
The State ◽  
Pivotal Role ◽  
Economic Recovery ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Family Connections ◽  
The Caribbean ◽  
The Government

Significance Many areas of the Caribbean have trade, investment and family connections with communities in Florida. As the state now plays a pivotal role in US electoral politics, crises in the region can take on added political importance for parts of Florida’s electorate. Impacts Forecasts of short-term economic recovery for Florida remain highly uncertain given the continuing impact of the pandemic. Clashing interests across the Caribbean may demand greater coordination of US policy than the government can currently offer. Healthcare and disaster relief capabilities within the state are severely overstretched and could be overwhelmed by a new crisis.

Australian central bank holds rate as growth slips

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Labour Markets ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Commercial Lenders ◽  
The Government ◽  
Roll Out ◽  
Growth Forecasts

Significance The RBA has cut its growth forecasts amid rising job losses, weakening demand and increasing signs that the latest COVID-19 lockdowns will continue to slow the economy until the pace of the vaccine roll-out programme can be increased. Impacts Although the RBA is independent, the government will hope it keeps rates low ahead of the elections due next year. Commercial lenders could raise interest rates independently of the RBA if inflation remains high. Wage pressures will re-emerge as labour markets tighten but may be mitigated by the extent of underemployment. Economic growth will be uneven across the country in coming months as pandemic-related restrictions vary by location.

Government is unlikely to overhaul Poland’s tax regime

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Value Added ◽  
Disposable Income ◽  
Policy Preference ◽  
Corporate Taxes ◽  
Value Added Tax ◽  
Alternative Source ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
Indirect Taxes ◽  
The Government

Significance This continues the policy preference -- out of line with Poland’s peers -- for indirect taxes on goods and services, including a relatively high value-added tax (VAT) rate. The government says the sugar tax aims to curb rising obesity, but critics suspect it is a new way of raising revenue. Impacts Corporate taxes could be raised as an alternative source of revenue. Left unaddressed, the regressive trend in taxes and rising inequality may create an opening for the leftist Spring and Together parties. If UK taxes rise post-pandemic, the relative fall in disposable income could encourage Polish immigrants to return to Poland.

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