scholarly journals Predicting Alzheimer’s disease progression using deep recurrent neural networks

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Minh Nguyen ◽  
Tong He ◽  
Lijun An ◽  
Daniel C. Alexander ◽  
Jiashi Feng ◽  
...  

AbstractEarly identification of individuals at risk of developing Alzheimer’s disease (AD) dementia is important for developing disease-modifying therapies. In this study, given multimodal AD markers and clinical diagnosis of an individual from one or more timepoints, we seek to predict the clinical diagnosis, cognition and ventricular volume of the individual for every month (indefinitely) into the future. We proposed and applied a minimal recurrent neural network (minimalRNN) model to data from The Alzheimer’s Disease Prediction Of Longitudinal Evolution (TADPOLE) challenge, comprising longitudinal data of 1677 participants (Marinescu et al. 2018) from the Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI). We compared the performance of the minimalRNN model and four baseline algorithms up to 6 years into the future. Most previous work on predicting AD progression ignore the issue of missing data, which is a prevalent issue in longitudinal data. Here, we explored three different strategies to handle missing data. Two of the strategies treated the missing data as a “preprocessing” issue, by imputing the missing data using the previous timepoint (“forward filling”) or linear interpolation (“linear filling). The third strategy utilized the minimalRNN model itself to fill in the missing data both during training and testing (“model filling”). Our analyses suggest that the minimalRNN with “model filling” compared favorably with baseline algorithms, including support vector machine/regression, linear state space (LSS) model, and long short-term memory (LSTM) model. Importantly, although the training procedure utilized longitudinal data, we found that the trained minimalRNN model exhibited similar performance, when using only 1 input timepoint or 4 input timepoints, suggesting that our approach might work well with just cross-sectional data. An earlier version of our approach was ranked 5th (out of 53 entries) in the TADPOLE challenge in 2019. The current approach is ranked 2nd out of 63 entries as of June 3rd, 2020.

2009 ◽  
Vol 5 (4S_Part_13) ◽  
pp. P383-P383
Author(s):  
Simon Forstmeier ◽  
Michael Wagner ◽  
Wolfgang Maier ◽  
Hendrik Van Den Bussche ◽  
Birgitt Wiese ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
R'mani Haulcy ◽  
James Glass

Alzheimer's Disease (AD) is a form of dementia that affects the memory, cognition, and motor skills of patients. Extensive research has been done to develop accessible, cost-effective, and non-invasive techniques for the automatic detection of AD. Previous research has shown that speech can be used to distinguish between healthy patients and afflicted patients. In this paper, the ADReSS dataset, a dataset balanced by gender and age, was used to automatically classify AD from spontaneous speech. The performance of five classifiers, as well as a convolutional neural network and long short-term memory network, was compared when trained on audio features (i-vectors and x-vectors) and text features (word vectors, BERT embeddings, LIWC features, and CLAN features). The same audio and text features were used to train five regression models to predict the Mini-Mental State Examination score for each patient, a score that has a maximum value of 30. The top-performing classification models were the support vector machine and random forest classifiers trained on BERT embeddings, which both achieved an accuracy of 85.4% on the test set. The best-performing regression model was the gradient boosting regression model trained on BERT embeddings and CLAN features, which had a root mean squared error of 4.56 on the test set. The performance on both tasks illustrates the feasibility of using speech to classify AD and predict neuropsychological scores.


2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Andre Altmann ◽  
Marzia A Scelsi ◽  
Maryam Shoai ◽  
Eric de Silva ◽  
Leon M Aksman ◽  
...  

Abstract Genome-wide association studies have identified dozens of loci that alter the risk to develop Alzheimer’s disease. However, with the exception of the APOE-ε4 allele, most variants bear only little individual effect and have, therefore, limited diagnostic and prognostic value. Polygenic risk scores aim to collate the disease risk distributed across the genome in a single score. Recent works have demonstrated that polygenic risk scores designed for Alzheimer’s disease are predictive of clinical diagnosis, pathology confirmed diagnosis and changes in imaging biomarkers. Methodological innovations in polygenic risk modelling include the polygenic hazard score, which derives effect estimates for individual single nucleotide polymorphisms from survival analysis, and methods that account for linkage disequilibrium between genomic loci. In this work, using data from the Alzheimer’s disease neuroimaging initiative, we compared different approaches to quantify polygenic disease burden for Alzheimer’s disease and their association (beyond the APOE locus) with a broad range of Alzheimer’s disease-related traits: cross-sectional CSF biomarker levels, cross-sectional cortical amyloid burden, clinical diagnosis, clinical progression, longitudinal loss of grey matter and longitudinal decline in cognitive function. We found that polygenic scores were associated beyond APOE with clinical diagnosis, CSF-tau levels and, to a minor degree, with progressive atrophy. However, for many other tested traits such as clinical disease progression, CSF amyloid, cognitive decline and cortical amyloid load, the additional effects of polygenic burden beyond APOE were of minor nature. Overall, polygenic risk scores and the polygenic hazard score performed equally and given the ease with which polygenic risk scores can be derived; they constitute the more practical choice in comparison with polygenic hazard scores. Furthermore, our results demonstrate that incomplete adjustment for the APOE locus, i.e. only adjusting for APOE-ε4 carrier status, can lead to overestimated effects of polygenic scores due to APOE-ε4 homozygous participants. Lastly, on many of the tested traits, the major driving factor remained the APOE locus, with the exception of quantitative CSF-tau and p-tau measures.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Sidra Minhas ◽  
Aasia Khanum ◽  
Atif Alvi ◽  
Farhan Riaz ◽  
Shoab A. Khan ◽  
...  

In Alzheimer’s disease (AD) progression, it is imperative to identify the subjects with mild cognitive impairment before clinical symptoms of AD appear. This work proposes a technique for decision support in identifying subjects who will show transition from mild cognitive impairment (MCI) to Alzheimer’s disease (AD) in the future. We used robust predictors from multivariate MRI-derived biomarkers and neuropsychological measures and tracked their longitudinal trajectories to predict signs of AD in the MCI population. Assuming piecewise linear progression of the disease, we designed a novel weighted gradient offset-based technique to forecast the future marker value using readings from at least two previous follow-up visits. Later, the complete predictor trajectories are used as features for a standard support vector machine classifier to identify MCI-to-AD progressors amongst the MCI patients enrolled in the Alzheimer’s disease neuroimaging initiative (ADNI) cohort. We explored the performance of both unimodal and multimodal models in a 5-fold cross-validation setup. The proposed technique resulted in a high classification AUC of 91.2% and 95.7% for 6-month- and 1-year-ahead AD prediction, respectively, using multimodal markers. In the end, we discuss the efficacy of MRI markers as compared to NM for MCI-to-AD conversion prediction.


2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 58-79
Author(s):  
Ahmed Abdullah Farid ◽  
Gamal Ibrahim Selim ◽  
Hatem Awad A. Khater

Alzheimer's disease (AD) is a significant regular type of dementia that causes damage in brain cells. Early detection of AD acting as an essential role in global health care due to misdiagnosis and sharing many clinical sets with other types of dementia, and costly monitoring the progression of the disease over time by magnetic reasoning imaging (MRI) with consideration of human error in manual reading. Our proposed model in the first stage, apply the medical dataset to a composite hybrid feature selection (CHFS) to extract new features for select the best features to improve the performance of the classification process due to eliminating obscures. In the second stage, we applied a dataset to a stacked hybrid classification system to combine Jrip and random forest classifiers with six model evaluations as meta-classifier individually to improve the prediction of clinical diagnosis. All experiments conducted on a laptop with an Intel Core i7- 8750H CPU at 2.2 GHz and 16 G of ram running on windows 10 (64 bits). The dataset evaluated using an explorer set of WEKA data mining software for the analysis purpose. The experimental show that the proposed model of (CHFS) feature extraction performs better than proncipal component analysis (PCA), and lead to effectively reduced the false-negative rate with a relatively high overall accuracy with support vector machine (SVM) as meta-classifier of 96.50% compared to 68.83% which is considerably better than the previous state-of-the-art result. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was equal to 95.5%. Also, the experiment on MRI images Kaggle dataset of CNN classification process with 80.21% accuracy result. The results of the proposed model show an accurate classify Alzheimer's clinical samples against MRI neuroimaging for diagnoses AD at a low cost.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Walter H. L. Pinaya ◽  
Cristina Scarpazza ◽  
Rafael Garcia-Dias ◽  
Sandra Vieira ◽  
Lea Baecker ◽  
...  

AbstractNormative modelling is an emerging method for quantifying how individuals deviate from the healthy populational pattern. Several machine learning models have been implemented to develop normative models to investigate brain disorders, including regression, support vector machines and Gaussian process models. With the advance of deep learning technology, the use of deep neural networks has also been proposed. In this study, we assessed normative models based on deep autoencoders using structural neuroimaging data from patients with Alzheimer’s disease (n = 206) and mild cognitive impairment (n = 354). We first trained the autoencoder on an independent dataset (UK Biobank dataset) with 11,034 healthy controls. Then, we estimated how each patient deviated from this norm and established which brain regions were associated to this deviation. Finally, we compared the performance of our normative model against traditional classifiers. As expected, we found that patients exhibited deviations according to the severity of their clinical condition. The model identified medial temporal regions, including the hippocampus, and the ventricular system as critical regions for the calculation of the deviation score. Overall, the normative model had comparable cross-cohort generalizability to traditional classifiers. To promote open science, we are making all scripts and the trained models available to the wider research community.


Complexity ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-16 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shi-di Miao ◽  
Si-qi Li ◽  
Xu-yang Zheng ◽  
Rui-tao Wang ◽  
Jing Li ◽  
...  

Research on clinical data sets of Alzheimer’s disease can predict and develop early intervention treatment. Missing data is a common problem in medical research. Failure to deal with more missing data will reduce the efficiency of the test, resulting in information loss and result bias. To address these issues, this paper designs and implements the missing data interpolation method of mixed interpolation according to columns by combining the four methods of mean interpolation, regression interpolation, support vector machine (SVM) interpolation, and multiple interpolation. By comparing the effects of the mixed interpolation method with the above four interpolation methods and giving the comparison results, the experiment shows that the results of the mixed interpolation method under different data missing rates have better performance in terms of root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MSE), and error rate, which proves the effectiveness of the interpolation mechanism. The characteristics of different variables might lead to different interpolation strategy choices, and column-by-column mixed interpolation can dynamically select the best method according to the difference of features. To a certain extent, it selects the best method suitable for each feature and improves the interpolation effect of the data set as a whole, which is beneficial to the clinical study of Alzheimer’s disease. In addition, in the processing of missing data, a combination of deletion method and interpolation method is adopted with reference to expert knowledge. Compared with the direct interpolation method, the data set obtained by this method is more accurate.


2019 ◽  
Vol 30 (3) ◽  
pp. 157-168
Author(s):  
Helmut Hildebrandt ◽  
Jana Schill ◽  
Jana Bördgen ◽  
Andreas Kastrup ◽  
Paul Eling

Abstract. This article explores the possibility of differentiating between patients suffering from Alzheimer’s disease (AD) and patients with other kinds of dementia by focusing on false alarms (FAs) on a picture recognition task (PRT). In Study 1, we compared AD and non-AD patients on the PRT and found that FAs discriminate well between these groups. Study 2 served to improve the discriminatory power of the FA score on the picture recognition task by adding associated pairs. Here, too, the FA score differentiated well between AD and non-AD patients, though the discriminatory power did not improve. The findings suggest that AD patients show a liberal response bias. Taken together, these studies suggest that FAs in picture recognition are of major importance for the clinical diagnosis of AD.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document