scholarly journals Predictive validity of effective shunt fraction in critically ill patients

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emma M Chang ◽  
Andrew Bretherick ◽  
Gordon B Drummond ◽  
J Kenneth Baillie

AbstractAccurate measurement of pulmonary oxygenation is important for classification of disease severity and quantification of outcomes in clinical studies. We compared predictive validity of established tension-based methods with two new measures of shunt fraction: (1) a non-invasive effective shunt (ES); and (2) inferred values from an integrated mathematical model of gas exchange (DB). Median absolute error (MAE) values for the four measures considered were: alveolar-arterial difference, 7.30kPa; PaO2/FIO2 ratio, 2.41kPa; DB, 2.13kPa; ES: 1.88kPa. ES performed significantly better than other measures (p<10−10 in all comparisons). While the simplicity of P/F is suitable for routine use, the superior predictive validity of ES should make this measure the preferred choice where physiological accuracy is important, such as for use as surrogate outcome in clinical research.

Author(s):  
Emma M. Chang ◽  
Andrew Bretherick ◽  
Gordon B. Drummond ◽  
J Kenneth Baillie

Abstract Background Accurate measurement of pulmonary oxygenation is important for classification of disease severity and quantification of outcomes in clinical studies. Currently, tension-based methods such as P/F ratio are in widespread use, but are known to be less accurate than content-based methods. However, content-based methods require invasive measurements or sophisticated equipment that are rarely used in clinical practice. We devised two new methods to infer shunt fraction from a single arterial blood gas sample: (1) a non-invasive effective shunt (ES) fraction calculated using a rearrangement of the indirect Fick equation, standard constants, and a procedural inversion of the relationship between content and tension and (2) inferred values from a database of outputs from an integrated mathematical model of gas exchange (DB). We compared the predictive validity—the accuracy of predictions of PaO2 following changes in FIO2—of each measure in a retrospective database of 78,159 arterial blood gas (ABG) results from critically ill patients. Results In a formal test set comprising 9,635 pairs of ABGs, the median absolute error (MAE) values for the four measures were as follows: alveolar-arterial difference, 7.30 kPa; PaO2/FIO2 ratio, 2.41 kPa; DB, 2.13 kPa; and ES, 1.88 kPa. ES performed significantly better than other measures (p < 10-10 in all comparisons). Further exploration of the DB method demonstrated that obtaining two blood gas measurements at different FIO2 provides a more precise description of pulmonary oxygenation. Conclusions Effective shunt can be calculated using a computationally efficient procedure using routinely collected arterial blood gas data and has better predictive validity than other analytic methods. For practical assessment of oxygenation in clinical research, ES should be used in preference to other indices. ES can be calculated at http://baillielab.net/es.


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Emma M. Chang ◽  
Andrew Bretherick ◽  
Gordon B. Drummond ◽  
J. Kenneth Baillie

An amendment to this paper has been published and can be accessed via the original article.


Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (9) ◽  
pp. 1031
Author(s):  
Samad Noeiaghdam ◽  
Sanda Micula

This study focuses on solving the nonlinear bio-mathematical model of malaria infection. For this aim, the HATM is applied since it performs better than other methods. The convergence theorem is proven to show the capabilities of this method. Instead of applying the FPA, the CESTAC method and the CADNA library are used, which are based on the DSA. Applying this method, we will be able to control the accuracy of the results obtained from the HATM. Also the optimal results and the numerical instabilities of the HATM can be obtained. In the CESTAC method, instead of applying the traditional absolute error to show the accuracy, we use a novel condition and the CESTAC main theorem allows us to do that. Plotting several ℏ-curves the regions of convergence are demonstrated. The numerical approximations are obtained based on both arithmetics.


Crimes against women represent one of the evils of societies more so in societies where women are more vulnerable. Based on the prevailing classification of crimes against women, the study aims at examining whether different crimes behave identically or differently. The mathematical model shows that while crimes like rape and cruelty by husband follow an exponential function, crimes like kidnapping and abduction, assault with the intent to insult their modesty and indecent representation of women follow a (quadratic) polynomial function. Finally, immoral trafficking of women appears to follow none of the functions/distributions considered. Different approaches to addressing these crimes may, therefore, work better than a single approach.


2021 ◽  
Vol 53 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sen Yang ◽  
Yaping Zhang ◽  
Siu-Yeung Cho ◽  
Ricardo Correia ◽  
Stephen P. Morgan

AbstractConventional blood pressure (BP) measurement methods have different drawbacks such as being invasive, cuff-based or requiring manual operations. There is significant interest in the development of non-invasive, cuff-less and continual BP measurement based on physiological measurement. However, in these methods, extracting features from signals is challenging in the presence of noise or signal distortion. When using machine learning, errors in feature extraction result in errors in BP estimation, therefore, this study explores the use of raw signals as a direct input to a deep learning model. To enable comparison with the traditional machine learning models which use features from the photoplethysmogram and electrocardiogram, a hybrid deep learning model that utilises both raw signals and physical characteristics (age, height, weight and gender) is developed. This hybrid model performs best in terms of both diastolic BP (DBP) and systolic BP (SBP) with the mean absolute error being 3.23 ± 4.75 mmHg and 4.43 ± 6.09 mmHg respectively. DBP and SBP meet the Grade A and Grade B performance requirements of the British Hypertension Society respectively.


Sensors ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (7) ◽  
pp. 2503
Author(s):  
Taro Suzuki ◽  
Yoshiharu Amano

This paper proposes a method for detecting non-line-of-sight (NLOS) multipath, which causes large positioning errors in a global navigation satellite system (GNSS). We use GNSS signal correlation output, which is the most primitive GNSS signal processing output, to detect NLOS multipath based on machine learning. The shape of the multi-correlator outputs is distorted due to the NLOS multipath. The features of the shape of the multi-correlator are used to discriminate the NLOS multipath. We implement two supervised learning methods, a support vector machine (SVM) and a neural network (NN), and compare their performance. In addition, we also propose an automated method of collecting training data for LOS and NLOS signals of machine learning. The evaluation of the proposed NLOS detection method in an urban environment confirmed that NN was better than SVM, and 97.7% of NLOS signals were correctly discriminated.


2021 ◽  
Vol 137 ◽  
pp. 106861
Author(s):  
Deepa Joshi ◽  
Ankit Butola ◽  
Sheetal Raosaheb Kanade ◽  
Dilip K. Prasad ◽  
S.V. Amitha Mithra ◽  
...  

Animals ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 442
Author(s):  
Meiqing Wang ◽  
Ali Youssef ◽  
Mona Larsen ◽  
Jean-Loup Rault ◽  
Daniel Berckmans ◽  
...  

Heart rate (HR) is a vital bio-signal that is relatively easy to monitor with contact sensors and is related to a living organism’s state of health, stress and well-being. The objective of this study was to develop an algorithm to extract HR (in beats per minute) of an anesthetized and a resting pig from raw video data as a first step towards continuous monitoring of health and welfare of pigs. Data were obtained from two experiments, wherein the pigs were video recorded whilst wearing an electrocardiography (ECG) monitoring system as gold standard (GS). In order to develop the algorithm, this study used a bandpass filter to remove noise. Then, a short-time Fourier transform (STFT) method was tested by evaluating different window sizes and window functions to accurately identify the HR. The resulting algorithm was first tested on videos of an anesthetized pig that maintained a relatively constant HR. The GS HR measurements for the anesthetized pig had a mean value of 71.76 bpm and standard deviation (SD) of 3.57 bpm. The developed algorithm had 2.33 bpm in mean absolute error (MAE), 3.09 bpm in root mean square error (RMSE) and 67% in HR estimation error below 3.5 bpm (PE3.5). The sensitivity of the algorithm was then tested on the video of a non-anaesthetized resting pig, as an animal in this state has more fluctuations in HR than an anaesthetized pig, while motion artefacts are still minimized due to resting. The GS HR measurements for the resting pig had a mean value of 161.43 bpm and SD of 10.11 bpm. The video-extracted HR showed a performance of 4.69 bpm in MAE, 6.43 bpm in RMSE and 57% in PE3.5. The results showed that HR monitoring using only the green channel of the video signal was better than using three color channels, which reduces computing complexity. By comparing different regions of interest (ROI), the region around the abdomen was found physiologically better than the face and front leg parts. In summary, the developed algorithm based on video data has potential to be used for contactless HR measurement and may be applied on resting pigs for real-time monitoring of their health and welfare status, which is of significant interest for veterinarians and farmers.


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