scholarly journals Predicting atmospheric optical properties for radiative transfer computations using neural networks

Author(s):  
Menno A. Veerman ◽  
Robert Pincus ◽  
Robin Stoffer ◽  
Caspar M. van Leeuwen ◽  
Damian Podareanu ◽  
...  

The radiative transfer equations are well known, but radiation parametrizations in atmospheric models are computationally expensive. A promising tool for accelerating parametrizations is the use of machine learning techniques. In this study, we develop a machine learning-based parametrization for the gaseous optical properties by training neural networks to emulate a modern radiation parametrization (RRTMGP). To minimize computa- tional costs, we reduce the range of atmospheric conditions for which the neural networks are applicable and use machine-specific optimized BLAS functions to accelerate matrix computations. To generate training data, we use a set of randomly perturbed atmospheric profiles and calculate optical properties using RRTMGP. Predicted optical properties are highly accurate and the resulting radiative fluxes have average errors within 0.5 W m −2 compared to RRTMGP. Our neural network-based gas optics parametrization is up to four times faster than RRTMGP, depending on the size of the neural networks. We further test the trade-off between speed and accuracy by training neural networks for the narrow range of atmospheric conditions of a single large-eddy simulation, so smaller and therefore faster networks can achieve a desired accuracy. We conclude that our machine learning-based parametrization can speed-up radiative transfer computations while retaining high accuracy. This article is part of the theme issue ‘Machine learning for weather and climate modelling’.

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Menno Veerman ◽  
Robert Pincus ◽  
Caspar van Leeuwen ◽  
Damian Podareanu ◽  
Robin Stoffer ◽  
...  

<p>A fast and accurate treatment of radiation in meteorological models is essential for high quality simulations of the atmosphere. Despite our good understanding of the processes governing the transfer of radiation, full radiative transfer solvers are computationally extremely expensive. In this study, we use machine learning to accelerate the optical properties calculations of the Rapid Radiative Transfer Models for General circulation model applications - Parallel (RRTMGP). These optical properties control the absorption, scattering and emission of radiation within each grid cell. We train multiple neural networks that get as input the pressure, temperature and concentrations of water vapour and ozone of each grid cell and together predict all 224 or 256 quadrature points of each optical property. All networks are multilayer perceptrons and we test various network sizes to assess the trade-off between the accuracy of a neural network and its computational costs. We train two different sets of neural networks. The first set (generic) is trained for a wide range of atmospheric conditions, based on the profiles chosen by the Radiative Forcing Model Intercomparison Project (RFMIP). The second set (case-specific) is trained only for the range in temperature, pressure and moisture found in one large-eddy simulation based on a case with shallow convection over a vegetated surface. This case-specific set is used to explore the possible performance gains of case-specific tuning.</p><p>Most neural networks are able to predict the optical properties with high accuracy. Using a network with 2 hidden layers of 64 neurons, predicted optical depths in the longwave spectrum are highly accurate (R<sup>2 </sup>> 0.99). Similar accuracies are achieved for the other optical properties. Subsequently, we take a set of 100 atmospheric profiles and calculate profiles of longwave and shortwave radiative fluxes based on the optical properties predicted by the neural networks. Compared to fluxes based on the optical properties computed by RRTMGP, the downwelling longwave fluxes have errors within 0.5 W m<sup>-2</sup> (<1%) and an average error of -0.011 W m<sup>-2</sup> at the surface. The downwelling shortwave fluxes have an average error of -0.0013 W m<sup>-2</sup> at the surface. Using Intel’s Math Kernel Library’s (MKL) BLAS routines to accelerate matrix multiplications, our implementation of the neural networks in RRTMGP is about 4 times faster than the original optical properties calculations. It can thus be concluded that neural networks are able to emulate the calculation of optical properties with high accuracy and computational speed.</p>


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fabian Romahn ◽  
Athina Argyrouli ◽  
Ronny Lutz ◽  
Diego Loyola ◽  
Victor Molina Garcia

<p>The satellites of the Copernicus program show the increasing relevance of properly handling the huge amount of Earth observation data, nowadays common in remote sensing. This is further challenging if the processed data has to be provided in near real time (NRT), like the cloud product from TROPOMI / Sentinel-5<!-- The slash has spaces before “TROPOMI” and after “Sentinel-5”, which is inconsistent with the lack of spaces in the title. --> Precursor (S5P) or the upcoming Sentinel-4 (S4) mission.</p><p>In order to solve the inverse problems that arise in the retrieval of cloud products, as well as in similar remote sensing problems, usually complex radiative transfer models (RTMs) are used. These are very accurate, however also computationally very expensive and therefore often not feasible in combination with NRT requirements. With the recent significant breakthroughs in machine learning, easier application through better software and more powerful hardware, the methods of this field have become very interesting as a way to improve the classical remote sensing algorithms.</p><p>In this presentation we show how artificial neural networks (ANNs) can be used to replace the original RTM in the ROCINN (Retrieval Of Cloud Information using Neural Networks) algorithm with sufficient accuracy while increasing the computational performance at the same time by several orders of magnitude.</p><p>We developed a general procedure which consists of smart sampling, generation and scaling of the training data, as well as training, validation and finally deployment of the ANN into the operational processor. In order to minimize manual work, the procedure is highly automated and uses latest technologies such as TensorFlow. It is applicable for any kind of RTMs and thus can be used for many retrieval algorithms like it is already done for ROCINN in S5P and will be soon for ROCINN in the context of S4. Regarding the final performance of the generated ANN, there are several critical parameters which have a high impact (e.g. the structure of the ANN). These will be evaluated in detail. Furthermore, we also show general limitations of ANNs in comparison with RTMs, how this can lead to unexpected side effects and ways to cope with these issues.</p><p>With the example of ROCINN, as part of the operational S5P and upcoming S4 cloud product, we show the great potential of machine learning techniques in improving the performance of classical retrieval algorithms and thus increasing their capability to deal with much larger data quantities. However, we also highlight the importance of a proper configuration and possible limitations.</p>


Author(s):  
Divya Choudhary ◽  
Siripong Malasri

This paper implements and compares machine learning algorithms to predict the amount of coolant required during transportation of temperature sensitive products. The machine learning models use trip duration, product threshold temperature and ambient temperature as the independent variables to predict the weight of gel packs need to keep the temperature of the product below its threshold temperature value. The weight of the gel packs can be translated to number of gel packs required. Regression using Neural Networks, Support Vector Regression, Gradient Boosted Regression and Elastic Net Regression are compared. The Neural Networks based model performs the best in terms of its mean absolute error value and r-squared values. A Neural Network model is then deployed on as webservice to score allowing for client application to make rest calls to estimate gel pack weights


2019 ◽  
Vol 36 (9) ◽  
pp. 1889-1902
Author(s):  
Magnus Hieronymus ◽  
Jenny Hieronymus ◽  
Fredrik Hieronymus

Long sea level records with high temporal resolution are of paramount importance for future coastal protection and adaptation plans. Here we discuss the application of machine learning techniques to some regression problems commonly encountered when analyzing such time series. The performance of artificial neural networks is compared with that of multiple linear regression models on sea level data from the Swedish coast. The neural networks are found to be superior when local sea level forcing is used together with remote sea level forcing and meteorological forcing, whereas the linear models and the neural networks show similar performance when local sea level forcing is excluded. The overall performance of the machine learning algorithms is good, often surpassing that of the much more computationally costly numerical ocean models used at our institute.


2019 ◽  
Vol 622 ◽  
pp. A124 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rasha Alshehhi ◽  
Chris S. Hanson ◽  
Laurent Gizon ◽  
Shravan Hanasoge

Context. The inversion of ring fit parameters to obtain subsurface flow maps in ring-diagram analysis for eight years of SDO observations is computationally expensive, requiring ∼3200 CPU hours. Aims. In this paper we apply machine-learning techniques to the inversion step of the ring diagram pipeline in order to speed up the calculations. Specifically, we train a predictor for subsurface flows using the mode fit parameters and the previous inversion results to replace future inversion requirements. Methods. We utilize artificial neural networks (ANNs) as a supervised learning method for predicting the flows in 15° ring tiles. We discuss each step of the proposed method to determine the optimal approach. In order to demonstrate that the machine-learning results still contain the subtle signatures key to local helioseismic studies, we use the machine-learning results to study the recently discovered solar equatorial Rossby waves. Results. The ANN is computationally efficient, able to make future flow predictions of an entire Carrington rotation in a matter of seconds, which is much faster than the current ∼31 CPU hours. Initial training of the networks requires ∼3 CPU hours. The trained ANN can achieve a rms error equal to approximately half that reported for the velocity inversions, demonstrating the accuracy of the machine learning (and perhaps the overestimation of the original errors from the ring-diagram pipeline). We find the signature of equatorial Rossby waves in the machine-learning flows covering six years of data, demonstrating that small-amplitude signals are maintained. The recovery of Rossby waves in the machine-learning flow maps can be achieved with only one Carrington rotation (27.275 days) of training data. Conclusions. We show that machine learning can be applied to and perform more efficiently than the current ring-diagram inversion. The computation burden of the machine learning includes 3 CPU hours for initial training, then around 10−4 CPU hours for future predictions.


Author(s):  
Ritu Khandelwal ◽  
Hemlata Goyal ◽  
Rajveer Singh Shekhawat

Introduction: Machine learning is an intelligent technology that works as a bridge between businesses and data science. With the involvement of data science, the business goal focuses on findings to get valuable insights on available data. The large part of Indian Cinema is Bollywood which is a multi-million dollar industry. This paper attempts to predict whether the upcoming Bollywood Movie would be Blockbuster, Superhit, Hit, Average or Flop. For this Machine Learning techniques (classification and prediction) will be applied. To make classifier or prediction model first step is the learning stage in which we need to give the training data set to train the model by applying some technique or algorithm and after that different rules are generated which helps to make a model and predict future trends in different types of organizations. Methods: All the techniques related to classification and Prediction such as Support Vector Machine(SVM), Random Forest, Decision Tree, Naïve Bayes, Logistic Regression, Adaboost, and KNN will be applied and try to find out efficient and effective results. All these functionalities can be applied with GUI Based workflows available with various categories such as data, Visualize, Model, and Evaluate. Result: To make classifier or prediction model first step is learning stage in which we need to give the training data set to train the model by applying some technique or algorithm and after that different rules are generated which helps to make a model and predict future trends in different types of organizations Conclusion: This paper focuses on Comparative Analysis that would be performed based on different parameters such as Accuracy, Confusion Matrix to identify the best possible model for predicting the movie Success. By using Advertisement Propaganda, they can plan for the best time to release the movie according to the predicted success rate to gain higher benefits. Discussion: Data Mining is the process of discovering different patterns from large data sets and from that various relationships are also discovered to solve various problems that come in business and helps to predict the forthcoming trends. This Prediction can help Production Houses for Advertisement Propaganda and also they can plan their costs and by assuring these factors they can make the movie more profitable.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (13) ◽  
pp. 5956
Author(s):  
Elena Parra ◽  
Irene Alice Chicchi Giglioli ◽  
Jestine Philip ◽  
Lucia Amalia Carrasco-Ribelles ◽  
Javier Marín-Morales ◽  
...  

In this article, we introduce three-dimensional Serious Games (3DSGs) under an evidence-centered design (ECD) framework and use an organizational neuroscience-based eye-tracking measure to capture implicit behavioral signals associated with leadership skills. While ECD is a well-established framework used in the design and development of assessments, it has rarely been utilized in organizational research. The study proposes a novel 3DSG combined with organizational neuroscience methods as a promising tool to assess and recognize leadership-related behavioral patterns that manifest during complex and realistic social situations. We offer a research protocol for assessing task- and relationship-oriented leadership skills that uses ECD, eye-tracking measures, and machine learning. Seamlessly embedding biological measures into 3DSGs enables objective assessment methods that are based on machine learning techniques to achieve high ecological validity. We conclude by describing a future research agenda for the combined use of 3DSGs and organizational neuroscience methods for leadership and human resources.


Sensors ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 11
Author(s):  
Domonkos Haffner ◽  
Ferenc Izsák

The localization of multiple scattering objects is performed while using scattered waves. An up-to-date approach: neural networks are used to estimate the corresponding locations. In the scattering phenomenon under investigation, we assume known incident plane waves, fully reflecting balls with known diameters and measurement data of the scattered wave on one fixed segment. The training data are constructed while using the simulation package μ-diff in Matlab. The structure of the neural networks, which are widely used for similar purposes, is further developed. A complex locally connected layer is the main compound of the proposed setup. With this and an appropriate preprocessing of the training data set, the number of parameters can be kept at a relatively low level. As a result, using a relatively large training data set, the unknown locations of the objects can be estimated effectively.


Author(s):  
Yanxiang Yu ◽  
◽  
Chicheng Xu ◽  
Siddharth Misra ◽  
Weichang Li ◽  
...  

Compressional and shear sonic traveltime logs (DTC and DTS, respectively) are crucial for subsurface characterization and seismic-well tie. However, these two logs are often missing or incomplete in many oil and gas wells. Therefore, many petrophysical and geophysical workflows include sonic log synthetization or pseudo-log generation based on multivariate regression or rock physics relations. Started on March 1, 2020, and concluded on May 7, 2020, the SPWLA PDDA SIG hosted a contest aiming to predict the DTC and DTS logs from seven “easy-to-acquire” conventional logs using machine-learning methods (GitHub, 2020). In the contest, a total number of 20,525 data points with half-foot resolution from three wells was collected to train regression models using machine-learning techniques. Each data point had seven features, consisting of the conventional “easy-to-acquire” logs: caliper, neutron porosity, gamma ray (GR), deep resistivity, medium resistivity, photoelectric factor, and bulk density, respectively, as well as two sonic logs (DTC and DTS) as the target. The separate data set of 11,089 samples from a fourth well was then used as the blind test data set. The prediction performance of the model was evaluated using root mean square error (RMSE) as the metric, shown in the equation below: RMSE=sqrt(1/2*1/m* [∑_(i=1)^m▒〖(〖DTC〗_pred^i-〖DTC〗_true^i)〗^2 + 〖(〖DTS〗_pred^i-〖DTS〗_true^i)〗^2 ] In the benchmark model, (Yu et al., 2020), we used a Random Forest regressor and conducted minimal preprocessing to the training data set; an RMSE score of 17.93 was achieved on the test data set. The top five models from the contest, on average, beat the performance of our benchmark model by 27% in the RMSE score. In the paper, we will review these five solutions, including preprocess techniques and different machine-learning models, including neural network, long short-term memory (LSTM), and ensemble trees. We found that data cleaning and clustering were critical for improving the performance in all models.


2018 ◽  
Vol 34 (3) ◽  
pp. 569-581 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sujata Rani ◽  
Parteek Kumar

Abstract In this article, an innovative approach to perform the sentiment analysis (SA) has been presented. The proposed system handles the issues of Romanized or abbreviated text and spelling variations in the text to perform the sentiment analysis. The training data set of 3,000 movie reviews and tweets has been manually labeled by native speakers of Hindi in three classes, i.e. positive, negative, and neutral. The system uses WEKA (Waikato Environment for Knowledge Analysis) tool to convert these string data into numerical matrices and applies three machine learning techniques, i.e. Naive Bayes (NB), J48, and support vector machine (SVM). The proposed system has been tested on 100 movie reviews and tweets, and it has been observed that SVM has performed best in comparison to other classifiers, and it has an accuracy of 68% for movie reviews and 82% in case of tweets. The results of the proposed system are very promising and can be used in emerging applications like SA of product reviews and social media analysis. Additionally, the proposed system can be used in other cultural/social benefits like predicting/fighting human riots.


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