scholarly journals Probabilistic Expert Systems for Forensic Inference from DNA Markers in Horses: Applications to Confirm Genealogies with Lack of Genetic Data

2009 ◽  
Vol 101 (2) ◽  
pp. 240-245 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Dobosz ◽  
C. Bocci ◽  
M. Bonuglia ◽  
C. Grasso ◽  
S. Merigioli ◽  
...  
1993 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 409-412 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Madigan

Directed acyclic independence graphs (DAIGs) play an important role in recent developments in probabilistic expert systems and influence diagrams (Chyu [1]). The purpose of this note is to show that DAIGs can usefully be grouped into equivalence classes where the members of a single class share identical Markov properties. These equivalence classes can be identified via a simple graphical criterion. This result is particularly relevant to model selection procedures for DAIGs (see, e.g., Cooper and Herskovits [2] and Madigan and Raftery [4]) because it reduces the problem of searching among possible orientations of a given graph to that of searching among the equivalence classes.


Parasitology ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 147 (13) ◽  
pp. 1469-1479
Author(s):  
Y. V. Tatonova ◽  
A. V. Izrailskaia ◽  
V. V. Besprozvannykh

AbstractMature worms of Stephanoprora amurensis sp. nov. were obtained in an experimental study of its life cycle. In the Russian southern Far East, this trematode circulates using freshwater snails Parajuga subtegulata, freshwater fish and birds as the first, second intermediate and final hosts, respectively. Stephanoprora amurensis sp. nov. differs from the well-known representatives of Stephanoprora in a number of morphometric indicators of the developmental stages. The validity of the species was also confirmed by nuclear and mitochondrial DNA markers. In addition, new genetic data were obtained for Echinochasmus suifunensis and Echinochasmus milvi. An analysis of phylogenetic relationships within Echinochasmidae based on the 28S rRNA gene and ITS2 region identified two clusters, one of which combines species of Echinochasmus with 20–22 collar spines and short-tailed cercariae, and the other which includes Stephanoprora spp. and a number of representatives of Echinochasmus with 24 collar spines and long-tailed cercariae. The results of phylogenetic analysis based on ITS2 data show interfamily level of differences between the two clusters and intergeneric differentiation between the three subclusters uniting the species of Stephanoprora and Echinochasmus.


2003 ◽  
Vol 63 (3) ◽  
pp. 191-205 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Mortera ◽  
A.P. Dawid ◽  
S.L. Lauritzen

2009 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 472-474
Author(s):  
Massimo Lancia ◽  
Alessio Coletti ◽  
Marina Dobosz ◽  
Eugenia Carnevali ◽  
Susanna Massetti ◽  
...  

1997 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 442-443
Author(s):  
Slawomir T. Wierzchon

Probabilistic expert systems are intended to provide reasoned guidance in complex environments characterized by extensive uncertainty . An explicit 'causal' model is constructed for the process being observed, in which an acyclic directed graph is used to express conditional independence assumptions about variables, and probability assessments specify a full joint probability distribution. The resulting graphical structure can cope with a range of issues that arise in realistic modelling. Here we consider a particular example of assessing the chance that a suspected adverse reaction is due to a particular drug under suspicion. The background biological knowledge provides an appropriate model and probability assessments are obtained from expert microbiologists. The model allows a variety of interpretations for ‘causality’. Details of the graphical and computational algorithms used to perform efficient calculations of conditional probabilities on complex graphical structures are provided and illustrated with the example. Further developments should allow updating of the risk parameters in the light of a series of case reports, and may form the basis for a flexible expert system for causality assessment and post-marketing surveillance.


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