scholarly journals Reply to: Comments on “Nomograms based on inflammatory biomarkers for predicting tumor grade and micro-vascular invasion in stage I/II hepatocellular carcinoma”

2019 ◽  
Vol 39 (12) ◽  
Author(s):  
Peng Li ◽  
Wei Huang ◽  
Feng Wang ◽  
Ye-Fang Ke ◽  
Lin Gao ◽  
...  

Abstract We appreciate to receive commentary from Dr Guangtong Deng and Dr Liang Xiao to our article, “Nomograms based on inflammatory biomarkers for predicting tumor grade and micro-vascular invasion in stage I/II hepatocellular carcinoma”. First, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and derived NLR (dNLR) are two different parameters. Some studies show that NLR is inconsistent with dNRL in prognostic value through multivariate Cox regression, therefore, it is reasonable that both NLR and dNLR entered into multivariate analysis simultaneously. Second, it is common that articles of predictive nomograms turned continuous variables into categorical variables. The reason is that the categorization of patient clinical variables is beneficial to doctors to make decisions based on the risk level of individual patients in clinical. At last, multicenter validation is quite difficult and we have listed the shortcomings in the limitations of our article. Further validation will need the joint efforts by other institutions.

2018 ◽  
Vol 38 (6) ◽  
Author(s):  
Peng Li ◽  
Wei Huang ◽  
Feng Wang ◽  
Ye-Fang Ke ◽  
Lin Gao ◽  
...  

Background: Increasing evidences reveal that inflammation plays a critical role in tumorigenesis and progression. We aimed to develop the nomograms based on inflammatory biomarkers to predict micro-vascular invasion (MVI) and tumor grade in stage I/II hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Methods: A retrospective cohort of 627 patients with stage I/II HCC between January 2007 and December 2014 was included in the study. Logistic regression was performed to identify the independent risk factors of tumor grade and MVI. The significant predictors including neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), derived neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (dNLR), lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), tumor volume age, and tumor size were subsequently incorporated to build the nomograms. The prediction accuracies of the nomograms were evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Results: The independent risk factors for tumor grade were NLR, dNLR, and tumor volume (P<0.001, P=0.001, and P<0.001, respectively), which were assembled into tumor grade nomogram. MVI nomogram was developed by dNLR, LMR, age, and tumor size (P<0.001, P<0.001, P<0.001, and P=0.001, respectively) which were the independent predictors for MVI. The area under the ROC curve of nomograms for predicting tumor grade and MVI were 0.727 (95% confidence intervals [CI]: 0.690–0.761) and 0.839 (95% CI: 0.808–0.867), respectively. Patients who had a nomogram score of less than 100 and 79 were considered to have high possibility of moderate grade and have low risks of MVI presence, respectively. Conclusion: We successfully developed nomograms predicting tumor grade and MVI based on inflammatory biomarkers with high accuracy, leading to a rational therapeutic choice for stage I/II HCC.


2019 ◽  
Vol 39 (10) ◽  
Author(s):  
Liang Xiao ◽  
Furong Zeng ◽  
Guangtong Deng

Abstract Some doubts were generated during the reading of nomograms based on inflammatory biomarkers for preoperatively predicting tumor grade and microvascular invasion in stage I/II hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We would like to highlight and discuss with authors. First, neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and derived NLR (dNLR) should not be entered into multivariate analysis simultaneously. Second, authors should clarify how the cutoffs of these variables including lymphocyte-monocyte ratio (LMR), dNLR, age and tumor size were set. We insist that the type of variables should be consistent when we carry out the analysis and establish the nomogram. Last, we have to point out that Li et al.’s (Biosci. Rep. (2018), 38) study failed to validate nomograms using an independent dataset.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dakui Luo ◽  
Yufei Yang ◽  
Zezhi Shan ◽  
Qi Liu ◽  
Sanjun Cai ◽  
...  

The aim of this study was to explore the prognostic factors in stage I-III colorectal cancer (CRC) patients who had survived for over five years. A total of 9754 stage I-III CRC patients who received curative surgery in the Department of Colorectal Surgery, Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center were enrolled in this study. Of them, 3640 patients had survived for over five years after surgery. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed in the entire cohort and those who had survived for over five years. Compared with patients in the entire cohort, patients who had survived for over five years were more likely to be younger, have less disease of signet ring cell histology, perineural invasion and vascular invasion, more well differentiated tumors and stage I disease. In the entire cohort, increased age, signet ring cell, poor differentiation, more advanced pathological stage, perineural invasion and vascular invasion were inversely associated with disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) using multivariable Cox regression analyses. Only age, pathological stage and perineural invasion remained significant in patients who had survived for over five years. Moreover, tumor location was an independent factor for OS in this subgroup. Predictors for prognosis of CRC change over time. Age, pathological stage and perineural invasion deserve more attention among patients who have survived for over five years.


Circulation ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 132 (suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sean D Pokorney ◽  
Meena P Rao ◽  
Daniel M Wojdyla ◽  
Bernard J Gersh ◽  
Renato D Lopes ◽  
...  

Background: The package insert for apixaban recommends against its use for stroke prevention in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) with prosthetic heart valves. There are no published data on the use of apixaban in patients with AF with bioprosthetic valves. This analysis provides preliminary exploratory data on the safety and efficacy of apixaban in these patients. Methods: The ARISTOTLE trial randomized patients with AF to apixaban versus warfarin, and patients with a history of bioprosthetic valve replacement were eligible for inclusion in the trial. In this secondary analysis, baseline characteristics of patients with bioprosthetic valves were compared between apixaban and warfarin patients using Wilcoxon tests for continuous variables and chi-square tests for categorical variables. Unadjusted endpoints were compared between randomized treatments using a Cox regression model. With data collection on these valve patients ongoing, this interim report represents 82 of 260 patients with a history of valve surgery from ARISTOTLE. Results: Among 82 patients with bioprosthetic valves, 41 patients each were in the apixaban and warfarin arms. The patients had a median age of 78 years (vs. 70 years in overall trial), 18% had prior stroke (vs. 19% in overall trial), and 41% had concomitant aspirin use (vs. 31% in overall trial). Other than a higher rate of hypertension in the warfarin arm (98% vs. 81%, p=0.03), there were no statistically significant differences in baseline characteristics between the two groups. There were few events in patients with bioprosthetic valves. There were 2 stroke events, and there were no statistically significant differences between the apixaban and warfarin groups for major bleeding, stroke/systemic embolism, all-cause death, or cardiovascular death (Table). Conclusions: Among the small number of patients in ARISTOTLE with bioprosthetic valves, there were few events with similar event rates in both the apixaban and warfarin groups.


2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e16637-e16637
Author(s):  
Yongjian Chen ◽  
Xing Li ◽  
Jie Chen ◽  
Gang Qin ◽  
Yidan Qiao ◽  
...  

e16637 Background: Current guidelines lack definitive evidences about the predictive capability of clinical parameters for transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE). The aim of this study was to comprehensively investigate the predictive factor among stage I-IV liver hepatocellular carcinoma (LIHC) patients after TACE. Methods: We investigated the clinical features of 211 stage I-IV patients with LIHC in discover group and 341 patients in validation group. Overall survival (OS) was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method and the log-rank test. Results: Univariate Cox regression revealed that Monocyte count, TNM stage and AST-to-APOA ratio (AAR) were associated with unfavorable OS. AAR was identified as an independent predictor of OS using multivariate analysis. Kaplan-Meier curve demonstrated that patients with AAR < 50 displayed better prognosis. The median follow-up time was 17.1 (95%CI, 14.4 to 19.3) months, 3-year overall survival was 55.9% in the low AAR group versus 28.6% in the high AAR group, and there was significant difference in OS (Hazard ratio [HR] 0.47, 95%CI 0.33 to 0.67, P < 0.001). The AAR showed predictive ability for OS (12-month, AUC = 0.707). These findings were successfully validated in validation group (HR 0.62, 95%CI 0.46 to 0.84, P = 0.002; 12-month AUC = 0.636). Conclusions: AAR was an independent predictor among LIHC patients after TACE. Patients with lower AAR were optimal candidates for TACE.


Author(s):  
Penelope St-Amour ◽  
Michael Winiker ◽  
Christine Sempoux ◽  
François Fasquelle ◽  
Nicolas Demartines ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Although resection margin (R) status is a widely used prognostic factor after esophagectomy, the definition of positive margins (R1) is not universal. The Royal College of Pathologists considers R1 resection to be a distance less than 0.1 cm, whereas the College of American Pathologists considers it to be a distance of 0.0 cm. This study assessed the predictive value of R status after oncologic esophagectomy, comparing survival and recurrence among patients with R0 resection (> 0.1-cm clearance), R0+ resection (≤ 0.1-cm clearance), and R1 resection (0.0-cm clearance). Methods The study enrolled all eligible patients undergoing curative oncologic esophagectomy between 2012 and 2018. Clinicopathologic features, survival, and recurrence were compared for R0, R0+, and R1 patients. Categorical variables were compared with the chi-square or Fisher’s test, and continuous variables were compared with the analysis of variance (ANOVA) test, whereas the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression were used for survival analysis. Results Among the 160 patients included in this study, 113 resections (70.6%) were R0, 34 (21.3%) were R0+, and 13 (8.1%) were R1. The R0 patients had a better overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) than the R0+ and R1 patients. The R0+ resection offered a lower long-term recurrence risk than the R1 resection, and the R status was independently associated with DFS, but not OS, in the multivariate analysis. Both the R0+ and R1 patients had significantly more adverse histologic features (lymphovascular and perineural invasion) than the R0 patients and experienced more distant and locoregional recurrence. Conclusions Although R status is an independent predictor of DFS after oncologic esophagectomy, the < 0.1-cm definition for R1 resection seems more appropriate than the 0.0-cm definition as an indicator of poor tumor biology, long-term recurrence, and survival.


Pain Medicine ◽  
2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Devin D Antonovich ◽  
Willy Gama ◽  
Alexandra Ritter ◽  
Bethany Jacobs Wolf ◽  
Ryan H Nobles ◽  
...  

Abstract Objective We hypothesize that reoperation rates of spinal cord stimulation (SCS) systems utilizing percutaneous leads are comparable to those utilizing paddle leads. We attempt here to characterize causes for those reoperations and identify any related patient characteristics. Design and Subjects This study is a single-center retrospective chart review of 291 subjects (410 operations) who underwent at least one permanent SCS implantation utilizing percutaneous or paddle leads over a 10-year period at the Medical University of South Carolina. Methods Charts were reviewed for height, weight, body mass index, gender, race, age, stimulator type, type of reoperation, diabetes status, history and type of prior back surgery, top lead location, and number of leads placed. Comparisons of patient and procedural characteristics were conducted using a two-sample t test (continuous variables), chi-square, or Fisher exact approach (categorical variables). Univariate and multivariate Cox regression models were developed, identifying associations between patient characteristics, SCS characteristics, reoperation rates, and time to reoperation. Results Thirty point five eight percent of subjects (89/291), required at least one reoperation. The reoperation rate was 27.84% for percutaneous systems (N = 54/194) and 27.78% for percutaneous systems (N = 60/216). Time to reoperation also did not differ between the two systems (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.06, 95% CI = 0.70–1.60). Of all factors examined, younger age at time of placement was the only factor associated with risk of reoperation (HR = 0.73, 95% CI = 0.62–0.87, P &lt; 0.001). Conclusions Our data suggest that reoperation rates and time to reoperation between percutaneous and paddle leads are clinically similar; therefore, rates of reoperation should have no bearing on which system to choose.


2016 ◽  
Vol 34 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 416-416
Author(s):  
Humaid Obaid Al-Shamsi ◽  
Reham Abdel-Wahab ◽  
Manal Hassan ◽  
Gehan Botrus ◽  
Ahmed S Shalaby ◽  
...  

416 Background: Prognostic modeling of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is complex due to preexisting cirrhosis in most cases. Tumor features and factors related to functional hepatic reserve must be taken into account when considering treatment options or counseling patients about their survival. The key prognostic factors may vary at different stages of the disease especially for early stage. Methods: From 1992 to 2011 total of 397 HCC patients with T1N0M0 were referred to MD Anderson Cancer Center for treatment. Detailed clinical-pathologic information were retrieved from medical records. Univariate analysis was done using the c2or Fisher’s exact test for categorical variables. Kaplan-Meier used to estimate the median overall survival (OS). Multivariate cox regression analysis was performed to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI). Results: The male to female ratio was3:1. The mean age ± standard deviation was 65.04 ± 12.5, 57.2% were non-viral related, 59.7% had cirrhosis, and 9.3% had poorly differentiated tumor (PDT). Median OS (95% CI) was 28.5 months (23.6 – 33.4). First line therapy is summarized in table 1. Surgical intervention was similar to systemic therapy with 76% reduction in mortality compared to non-treated group. Restricted analysis among cirrhotic patients showed similar results. PDT was associated with significant poor prognosis compared to well-differentiated tumor, HR (95% CI) was 2.42 (1.36-4.28) after adjustment for demographic, epidemiological, and clinical factors. Conclusions: Our results indicate that T1N0M0 HCC patients have similar outcome with systemic therapy and surgery which could be beneficial for patients with underlying cirrhosis and high risk of postsurgical complications. [Table: see text]


2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 553-553
Author(s):  
Mehmet Akce ◽  
Yuan Liu ◽  
Katerina Mary Zakka ◽  
Dylan J. Martini ◽  
Amber Draper ◽  
...  

553 Background: Sarcopenia and inflammation are independently associated with worse survival in cancer patients. This study aims to determine the impact of inflammatory biomarkers, BMI and sarcopenia on survival in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients treated with immunotherapy. Methods: We performed a retrospective review of advanced HCC patients treated with immunotherapy-based therapies at Winship Cancer Institute between 2015 and 2019. Baseline computed tomography and magnetic resonance imaging scans were collected at mid-L3 level, assessed for skeletal muscle density using SliceOmatic (TomoVision, version 5.0) and converted to skeletal muscle index (SMI) by dividing it by height (m)2. Gender-specific sarcopenia was defined by median value of SMI. The optimal cut for continuous inflammation biomarker was determined by bias-adjusted log-rank test. Overall Survival (OS) was set as primary outcome and Cox proportional hazard model was performed. Results: 57 patients were included; 77.2% male, 52.6% Caucasian, 58.5% ECOG PS 0-1, 80.7% Child Pugh A. Treatment was second line and beyond in 71.9%. The median follow-up time was 6 months. Sarcopenia cut-off for males and females was SMI of 43 and 39, respectively. 49.1% of patients had sarcopenia. Median OS was 5 vs. 14.3 months in sarcopenic vs. non-sarcopenic patients (p=0.054). Median OS was 5 and 17.5 months in patients with BMI <25 and BMI ≥25 respectively (p=0.034). Median OS was 3.6 and 14.3 months for patients with neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) ≥ 5.15 vs. NLR < 5.15 (p<0.001). In multivariable Cox regression model, higher baseline NLR was associated with worse OS (HR: 4.17, 1.52-11.39, p=0.005). Gender specific sarcopenia showed a trend of worse OS (HR: 1.71, 0.73-4.00, p=0.215) but was not statistically significant. BMI<25 was associated with worse OS (HR: 2.73, 1.15-6.53, p=0.023). In the association with PFS, neither baseline BMI nor gender specific sarcopenia showed statistical significance. Conclusions: Baseline BMI and NLR may predict OS after immunotherapy treatment. After controlling for baseline Child Pugh Score and NLR, gender specific sarcopenia was not associated with OS significantly.


Author(s):  
Raul Carlos Wahle ◽  
Adávio de Oliveira e Silva ◽  
Adriano Miziara Gonzalez ◽  
Jorge Marcelo Padilla Mancero ◽  
Marcelo Augusto Fontenelle Ribeiro-Junior ◽  
...  

BACKGROUND: An imprecise estimate of the tumor's aggressiveness of the hepatocellular carcinoma especially in transplanted patients beyond the Milan criteria has a poor outcome, although a more reliable criteria including microscopic vascular invasion is difficult to be established before transplantation. AIM: To examine a cohort of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing liver transplantation to evaluate the preoperative predicting factors for microscopic vascular invasion. METHODS: A series of 46 consecutive cirrhotic patients with hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing transplantation based on Milan criteria or similar criteria in a single center were enrolled between 1993 and 2007. The survival was calculated using Kaplan-Meyer's method and a multivariate Cox regression was performed to evaluate survival and factors related to microscopic vascular invasion. RESULTS: Multifocal tumors were present in 39%. Microvascular invasion, tumor relapses and hepatocellular carcinoma beyond the Milan criteria were identified in 33%, 13% and 33%, respectively. Overall 1-, 3-, and 5-year actuarial patient survival rates were 64%, 59% and 45% respectively. Patients who exceeded the Milan criteria had a higher incidence of microscopic vascular invasion and bilobar tumor compared to those who met the Milan criteria (53% vs. 23% and 80% vs. 19%; p<0.05, respectively). After multivariate analysis, the variable identified as independent risk factor for microscopic vascular invasion was the presence of bilobar tumor (hazard ratio, 3.67; 95% confidence interval, 1.01 to 13.34; p<0.05). CONCLUSIONS: The presence of a bilobar tumor is more frequent in hepatocellular carcinoma beyond the Milan criteria and it is an independent predictive factor of a high risk of microscopic vascular invasion. The presence of bilobar tumor in hepatocellular carcinoma beyond the Milan criteria could be used as selection criteria to estimate the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence, at least until large randomized studies becomes available.


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