scholarly journals Commentary on: Nomograms based on inflammatory biomarkers for predicting tumor grade and microvascular invasion in stage I/II hepatocellular carcinoma

2019 ◽  
Vol 39 (10) ◽  
Author(s):  
Liang Xiao ◽  
Furong Zeng ◽  
Guangtong Deng

Abstract Some doubts were generated during the reading of nomograms based on inflammatory biomarkers for preoperatively predicting tumor grade and microvascular invasion in stage I/II hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We would like to highlight and discuss with authors. First, neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and derived NLR (dNLR) should not be entered into multivariate analysis simultaneously. Second, authors should clarify how the cutoffs of these variables including lymphocyte-monocyte ratio (LMR), dNLR, age and tumor size were set. We insist that the type of variables should be consistent when we carry out the analysis and establish the nomogram. Last, we have to point out that Li et al.’s (Biosci. Rep. (2018), 38) study failed to validate nomograms using an independent dataset.

2018 ◽  
Vol 38 (6) ◽  
Author(s):  
Peng Li ◽  
Wei Huang ◽  
Feng Wang ◽  
Ye-Fang Ke ◽  
Lin Gao ◽  
...  

Background: Increasing evidences reveal that inflammation plays a critical role in tumorigenesis and progression. We aimed to develop the nomograms based on inflammatory biomarkers to predict micro-vascular invasion (MVI) and tumor grade in stage I/II hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Methods: A retrospective cohort of 627 patients with stage I/II HCC between January 2007 and December 2014 was included in the study. Logistic regression was performed to identify the independent risk factors of tumor grade and MVI. The significant predictors including neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), derived neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (dNLR), lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), tumor volume age, and tumor size were subsequently incorporated to build the nomograms. The prediction accuracies of the nomograms were evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Results: The independent risk factors for tumor grade were NLR, dNLR, and tumor volume (P<0.001, P=0.001, and P<0.001, respectively), which were assembled into tumor grade nomogram. MVI nomogram was developed by dNLR, LMR, age, and tumor size (P<0.001, P<0.001, P<0.001, and P=0.001, respectively) which were the independent predictors for MVI. The area under the ROC curve of nomograms for predicting tumor grade and MVI were 0.727 (95% confidence intervals [CI]: 0.690–0.761) and 0.839 (95% CI: 0.808–0.867), respectively. Patients who had a nomogram score of less than 100 and 79 were considered to have high possibility of moderate grade and have low risks of MVI presence, respectively. Conclusion: We successfully developed nomograms predicting tumor grade and MVI based on inflammatory biomarkers with high accuracy, leading to a rational therapeutic choice for stage I/II HCC.


2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 426-426
Author(s):  
Brandon M. Huffman ◽  
Shruti Patel ◽  
Siddhartha Yadav ◽  
Zhaohui Jin ◽  
Amit Mahipal

426 Background: Small bowel adenocarcinoma is a rare malignancy affecting approximately 2,000 patients per year. There is a paucity of evidence prognosticating patients with small bowel adenocarcinoma. We aimed to evaluate multiple factors in patients with resected small bowel adenocarcinoma to determine any association with survival outcomes. Methods: Ninety three patients who underwent resection for stage I-III small bowel adenocarcinoma were retrospectively identified utilizing the pathology database at a single tertiary referral institution. All patients had complete follow up data and were included in the survival analysis. JMP software was used for statistical analysis. Overall survival was performed utilizing Kaplan-Meier method, and log-rank tests were used for statistical comparisons. Cox proportional hazards were performed to control for age, gender, location of tumor, tumor size, tumor stage, and adjuvant therapy. Sensitivity analysis was performed to establish best cutoff points for continuous variables. All tests were two sided and a P value of < 0.05 was considered significant. Results: The median age at diagnosis was 65 years (range 32-90). 61% were male. Median tumor size was 4.5 cm. There were 20, 36, and 37 patients with stage I, stage II, and stage III disease, respectively. Median overall survival (OS) was 151 months, 104 months, and 44 months for stages I, II, and III disease. In a multivariate analysis, independent predictor factors included presurgical lymphocyte to monocyte ratio (LMR) > 4.0, with a Hazard Ratio (HR) 0.13 (95% CI 0.007-0.69, p = 0.01), presurgical neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) < 8.0, HR 0.39 (95% CI 0.17-0.96, p = 0.04), and tumor size < 7.5 cm, HR 0.22 (95% CI 0.07-0.85, p = 0.03). Stage, age, T stage, and N stage influenced overall survival in univariate analysis, but were not statistically significant on multivariate analysis. Conclusions: LMR and NLR independently predict survival in patients with resected small bowel adenocarcinoma.


2019 ◽  
Vol 34 (3) ◽  
pp. 213-220 ◽  
Author(s):  
Furong Zeng ◽  
Bin Chen ◽  
Jiling Zeng ◽  
Zhiming Wang ◽  
Liang Xiao ◽  
...  

Background: Preoperative estimation of microvascular invasion is of great significance for the clinical decision making in hepatocellular carcinoma. Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been reported to be correlated with the poor prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma. However, the conclusions are conflicting on whether high preoperative NLR level is associated with the presence of microvascular invasion. Aim: To evaluate the association between preoperative NLR level and the risk of microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma. Methods: Relevant studies were identified by searching PubMed and Embase through February 2019. Fixed or random models were applied to analyze the data based on the heterogeneity. Subgroup, sensitivity, and publication bias analyses were performed. Review Manager 5.3 and STATA software were used for the meta-analysis. Results: A total of 15 studies were eventually included in this meta-analysis. Pooled data based on retrospective cohort studies showed there are more hepatocellular carcinoma patients with vascular invasion (OR 1.74; 95% Cl 1.42, 2.12; P < 0.001) and microvascular invasion (OR 1.62 95% Cl 1.39, 1.89; P < 0.001) in the high NLR group than in the low NLR group. Of case-control studies, a higher preoperative NLR level was found in the microvascular invasion positive group than in the microvascular invasion negative group (OR 0.62; 95% Cl 0.35, 0.90; P < 0.001). The subgroup, sensitivity, and publication bias analyses did not change the results. Conclusion: A higher preoperative NLR level is positively correlated with the risk of microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma.


2018 ◽  
Vol 19 (12) ◽  
pp. 3435-3441 ◽  
Author(s):  
Narongsak Rungsakulkij ◽  
Somkit Mingphruedh ◽  
Wikran Suragul ◽  
Pongsatorn Tangtawee ◽  
Paramin Muangkaew ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Shuai Wang ◽  
Yan Deng ◽  
Xiao Yu ◽  
Xue-Wen Zhang ◽  
Cheng-Long Huo ◽  
...  

AbstractThe study aimed to evaluate the prognostic significance of preoperative systemic inflammatory biomarkers including albumin to globulin ratio (AGR), neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), lymphocyte to monocyte ratio (LMR), and platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and establish a nomogram in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients after microwave ablation (MWA). 192 HCC patients receiving MWA as initial therapy from the first ward of hepatobiliary surgery were classified as training cohort. Whereas, 84 patients from the second of hepatobiliary surgery were classified as validation cohort. Kaplan–Meier (KM) method and univariate analyses showed that AGR, NLR, LMR, and PLR were significantly associated with OS in the training cohort. Multivariate analysis including clinicopathologic features screened out independent predictors including ascites, tumor size, cancer embolus, AGR, and PLR. Based on those variables, a nomogram for predicting OS was established. The C-index was 0.794 in the training cohort and 0.772 in the validation cohort. Calibration plots identified the nomogram performed well with an ideal model. Compared with Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging system and simple tumor size, the nomogram showed better predictive ability. Besides, the nomogram discovered the highest diagnostic accuracy in predicting postoperative clinical outcome than the combination of the present models with tumor size. In conclusion, the constructed nomogram could accurately predict individualized survival probability and might support clinician in individual treatment optimization and clinical decision-making.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Youya Zang ◽  
Peiyun Long ◽  
Ming Wang ◽  
Shan Huang ◽  
Chuang Chen

Background: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common malignant tumors. The existing staging system has a limited budget capacity for HCC recurrence. The authors aimed to establish and verify two nomogram models to predict disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) in patients with HCC. Methods: Patients diagnosed with HCC between August 2011 and March 2016 were recruited. Data were randomly divided into a training cohort and a validation cohort. Based on univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis, independent risk factors for DFS and OS were identified, and two nomogram models were established to predict patient survival. Results: Sex, tumor size, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage, tumor capsule, macrovascular invasion, AST-to-platelet ratio index, AST-to-lymphocyte ratio index, neutrophil–lymphocyte ratio and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) were used to build the nomogram for DFS, while age, tumor size, BCLC stage, tumor capsule, macrovascular invasion, systemic immune-inflammation index, AST, total bilirubin and AFP were used to build the nomogram for OS. Calibration curves showed good agreement between the nomogram prediction and actual observation. C-indices in both nomograms were significantly higher than BCLC. Conclusion: The two nomograms improved the accuracy of individualized prediction of DFS and OS, which may help doctors screen patients with a high risk of recurrence to formulate individualized treatment plans.


2019 ◽  
Vol 39 (12) ◽  
Author(s):  
Peng Li ◽  
Wei Huang ◽  
Feng Wang ◽  
Ye-Fang Ke ◽  
Lin Gao ◽  
...  

Abstract We appreciate to receive commentary from Dr Guangtong Deng and Dr Liang Xiao to our article, “Nomograms based on inflammatory biomarkers for predicting tumor grade and micro-vascular invasion in stage I/II hepatocellular carcinoma”. First, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and derived NLR (dNLR) are two different parameters. Some studies show that NLR is inconsistent with dNRL in prognostic value through multivariate Cox regression, therefore, it is reasonable that both NLR and dNLR entered into multivariate analysis simultaneously. Second, it is common that articles of predictive nomograms turned continuous variables into categorical variables. The reason is that the categorization of patient clinical variables is beneficial to doctors to make decisions based on the risk level of individual patients in clinical. At last, multicenter validation is quite difficult and we have listed the shortcomings in the limitations of our article. Further validation will need the joint efforts by other institutions.


HPB ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 20 ◽  
pp. S370
Author(s):  
N. Rungsakulkij ◽  
S. Mingphruedhi ◽  
W. Suragul ◽  
P. Tangtawee ◽  
P. Muangkaew ◽  
...  

Liver Cancer ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 94-106
Author(s):  
Seung Baek Hong ◽  
Sang Hyun Choi ◽  
So Yeon Kim ◽  
Ju Hyun Shim ◽  
Seung Soo Lee ◽  
...  

<b><i>Purpose:</i></b> Microvascular invasion (MVI) is an important prognostic factor in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, the reported results of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) features for predicting MVI of HCC are variable and conflicting. Therefore, this meta-analysis aimed to identify the significant MRI features for MVI of HCC and to determine their diagnostic value. <b><i>Methods:</i></b> Original studies reporting the diagnostic performance of MRI for predicting MVI of HCC were identified in MEDLINE and EMBASE up until January 15, 2020. Study quality was assessed using QUADAS-2. A bivariate random-effects model was used to calculate the meta-analytic pooled diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for each MRI feature for diagnosing MVI in HCC. The meta-analytic pooled sensitivity and specificity were calculated for the significant MRI features. <b><i>Results:</i></b> Among 235 screened articles, we found 36 studies including 4,274 HCCs. Of the 15 available MRI features, 7 were significantly associated with MVI: larger tumor size (&#x3e;5 cm) (DOR = 5.2, 95% CI [3.0–9.0]), rim arterial enhancement (4.2, 95% CI [1.7–10.6]), arterial peritumoral enhancement (4.4, 95% CI [2.8–6.9]), peritumoral hypointensity on hepatobiliary phase imaging (HBP) (8.2, 95% CI [4.4–15.2]), nonsmooth tumor margin (3.2, 95% CI [2.2–4.4]), multifocality (7.1, 95% CI [2.6–19.5]), and hypointensity on T1-weighted imaging (T1WI) (4.9, 95% CI [2.5–9.6]). Both peritumoral hypointensity on HBP and multifocality showed very high meta-analytic pooled specificities for diagnosing MVI (91.1% [85.4–94.8%] and 93.3% [74.5–98.5%], respectively). <b><i>Conclusions:</i></b> Seven MRI features including larger tumor size, rim arterial enhancement, arterial peritumoral enhancement, peritumoral hypointensity on HBP, nonsmooth margin, multifocality, and hypointensity on T1WI were significant predictors for MVI of HCC. These MRI features predictive of MVI can be useful in the management of HCC.


Author(s):  
Philip J. Johnson ◽  
Sofi Dhanaraj ◽  
Sarah Berhane ◽  
Laura Bonnett ◽  
Yuk Ting Ma

Abstract Background The neutrophil–lymphocyte ratio (NLR), a presumed measure of the balance between neutrophil-associated pro-tumour inflammation and lymphocyte-dependent antitumour immune function, has been suggested as a prognostic factor for several cancers, including hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Methods In this study, a prospectively accrued cohort of 781 patients (493 HCC and 288 chronic liver disease (CLD) without HCC) were followed-up for more than 6 years. NLR levels between HCC and CLD patients were compared, and the effect of baseline NLR on overall survival amongst HCC patients was assessed via multivariable Cox regression analysis. Results On entry into the study (‘baseline’), there was no clinically significant difference in the NLR values between CLD and HCC patients. Amongst HCC patients, NLR levels closest to last visit/death were significantly higher compared to baseline. Multivariable Cox regression analysis showed that NLR was an independent prognostic factor, even after adjustment for the HCC stage. Conclusion NLR is a significant independent factor influencing survival in HCC patients, hence offering an additional dimension in prognostic models.


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