Assessment of urbanization effects in time series of surface air temperature over land

Nature ◽  
1990 ◽  
Vol 347 (6289) ◽  
pp. 169-172 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. D. Jones ◽  
P. Ya. Groisman ◽  
M. Coughlan ◽  
N. Plummer ◽  
W-C. Wang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Air Temperature ◽  
Surface Air Temperature

scholarly journals Spatial and Temporal Distribution of Air Temperature in the Northern Hemisphere

2013 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 177-182
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
20Th Century ◽  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Air Temperature ◽  
Temporal Distribution ◽  
Surface Air Temperature ◽  
Temperature Time Series ◽  
Mean Values ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Temperature Time

In the present study, the spatial and temporal surface air temperature variability for the Northern Hemisphere has been examined, for the period 1900-1996. Factor Analysis has been applied to 5o Latitude x 10o Longitude grid box data covering the area from almost the equator to 70o N. These data are anomalies of the mean annual air temperature from the respective mean values of the period 1961- 1990. The analysis showed that, mainly 20 regions were determined in the Northern Hemisphere with significantly covariant air temperature time series. The comparison of the trends of the mean annual surface air temperature time series of these regions, revealed such common characteristics as the minimum of the first decade of the 20th century and the recent years warming. The results of this study are also compared to the respective results of a former study in which data for the last half of the century (1948-1996) have been analyzed. The findings extracted indicate the stability of climate distribution in Northern Hemisphere during the 20th century.

scholarly journals Global air temperature variability independent of sea-surface temperature influences

2012 ◽  
Vol 37 (1) ◽  
pp. 29-35
Author(s):  
Andrew C. Comrie ◽  
Gregory J. McCabe
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Sea Surface Temperature ◽  
Air Temperature ◽  
Recent Literature ◽  
Surface Air Temperature ◽  
Warming Trend ◽  
Sea Surface ◽  
Sst Variability ◽  
Global Surface

Mean global surface air temperature (SAT) and sea surface temperature (SST) display substantial variability on timescales ranging from annual to multi-decadal. We review the key recent literature on connections between global SAT and SST variability. Although individual ocean influences on SAT have been recognized, the combined contributions of worldwide SST variability on the global SAT signal have not been clearly identified in observed data. We analyze these relations using principal components of detrended SST, and find that removing the underlying combined annual, decadal, and multi-decadal SST variability from the SAT time series reveals a nearly monotonic global warming trend in SAT since about 1900.

Historical Records

1996 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ilya Polyak
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Normal Distribution ◽  
Air Temperature ◽  
Surface Air Temperature ◽  
Historical Records ◽  
Long Period ◽  
Climate Forecasting ◽  
Straight Line ◽  
Instrumental Observations ◽  
Climatic Time Series

In this chapter, the historical records of annual surface air temperature, pressure, and precipitation with the longest observational time series will be studied. The analysis of the statistically significant systematic variations, as well as random fluctuations of such records, provides important empirical information for climate change studies or for statistical modeling and long-range climate forecasting. Of course, compared with the possible temporal scales of climatic variations, the interval of instrumental observations of meteorological elements proves to be very small. For this reason, in spite of the great value of such records, they basically characterize the climatic features of a particular interval of instrumental observations, and only some statistics, obtained with their aid, can have more general meaning. Because each annual or monthly value of such records is obtained by averaging a large number of daily observations, the corresponding central limit theorem of the probability theory can guarantee their approximate normality. In spite of this, we computed the sample distribution functions for each time series analyzed below and evaluated their closeness to the normal distribution by the Kolmogorov- Smirnov criterion. As expected, the probability of the hypothesis that each of the climatic time series (annual or monthly) has a normal distribution is equal to one with three or four zeros after the decimal point. As seen in this section, the straight line least squares approximation of the climatic time series enables us to obtain very simple and easy-to-interpret information about the power of the long period climate variability. Carrying out such an approximation, we assume that the fluctuation with a period several times greater than the observational interval will become apparent as a gradual increase or decrease of the observed values. Using only a small sample, it is impossible to determine accurately the amplitude and frequency of such long-period climate fluctuation. Consequently, the straight-line model is the simplest approach in this case. Let us begin with an analysis of the annual surface air temperature time series, the observations of which are published in Bider et al., (1959), Bider and Schiiepp, (1961), Lebrijn (1954), Manlcy (1974), and in the World Weather Records (1975).

scholarly journals Construction of a surface air temperature series for Qingdao in China for the period 1899 to 2014

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 643-652
Author(s):  
Yan Li ◽  
Birger Tinz ◽  
Hans von Storch ◽  
Qingyuan Wang ◽  
Qingliang Zhou ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Air Temperature ◽  
Surface Air Temperature ◽  
Warming Trend ◽  
Observation Data ◽  
China Meteorological Administration ◽  
Ascii Format ◽  
Long Term Trends ◽  
The City

Abstract. We present a homogenized surface air temperature (SAT) time series at 2 m height for the city of Qingdao in China from 1899 to 2014. This series is derived from three data sources: newly digitized and homogenized observations of the German National Meteorological Service from 1899 to 1913, homogenized observation data of the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) from 1961 to 2014 and a gridded dataset of Willmott and Matsuura (2012) in Delaware to fill the gap from 1914 to 1960. Based on this new series, long-term trends are described. The SAT in Qingdao has a significant warming trend of 0.11 ± 0.03 ∘C decade−1 during 1899–2014. The coldest period occurred during 1909–1918 and the warmest period occurred during 1999–2008. For the seasonal mean SAT, the most significant warming can be found in spring, followed by winter. The homogenized time series of Qingdao is provided and archived by the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) web page under overseas stations of the Deutsche Seewarte (http://www.dwd.de/EN/ourservices/overseas_stations/ueberseedoku/doi_qingdao.html) in ASCII format. Users can also freely obtain a short description of the data at https://doi.org/https://dx.doi.org/10.5676/DWD/Qing_v1. And the data can be downloaded at http://dwd.de/EN/ourservices/overseas_stations/ueberseedoku/data_qingdao.txt.

scholarly journals Australia's Air Temperature Trend Reviewed

2016 ◽  
Vol 66 (3) ◽  
pp. 270
Author(s):  
Gregory P. Ayers
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Air Temperature ◽  
Temperature Anomaly ◽  
Surface Air Temperature ◽  
Temperature Trend ◽  
Temperature Record ◽  
Trend Estimation ◽  
Australian Region ◽  
Anthropogenic Contribution

The hypothesis of an artificially exaggerated temperature trend in the Australian continental surface air temperature record is tested via comparison with four other records of temperature measured in the Australian region. The trends extracted from all five records are consistent, so the hypothesis of bias in the Bureau of Meteorology’s Australian surface air temperature record cannot be sustained and is rejected. Using three different methods of trend estimation applied to five temperature anomaly time series, the anthropogenic contribution to warming of the Australian region since 1950 is determined to have occurred at a rate of 0.12 ± 0.02K per decade, which translates to a total anthropogenic warming contribution of 0.78 ± 0.13K over the period 1950 to 2015.

scholarly journals Construction of homogenized daily surface air temperature for the city of Tianjin during 1887–2019

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (5) ◽  
pp. 2211-2226
Author(s):  
Peng Si ◽  
Qingxiang Li ◽  
Phil Jones
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Air Temperature ◽  
Minimum Temperature ◽  
Surface Air Temperature ◽  
Warming Trend ◽  
Research Unit ◽  
Climatic Research Unit ◽  
Daily Maximum ◽  
Tianjin City ◽  
Monthly Journal

Abstract. Century-long continuous daily observations from some stations are important for the study of long-term trends and extreme climate events in the past. In this paper, three daily data sources – (1) the Department of Industry Agency of the British Concession in Tianjin covering 1 September 1890–31 December 1931, (2) the Water Conservancy Commission of North China covering 1 January 1932–31 December 1950 and (3) monthly journal sheets for Tianjin surface meteorological observation records covering 1 January 1951–31 December 2019 – have been collected from the Tianjin Meteorological Archive. The completed daily maximum and minimum temperature series for Tianjin from 1 January 1887 (1 September 1890 for minimum) to 31 December 2019 has been constructed and assessed for quality control with an early extension from 1890 back to 1887. Several significant breakpoints are detected by the penalized maximal T test (PMT) for the daily maximum and minimum time series using multiple reference series around Tianjin from monthly Berkeley Earth (BE), Climatic Research Unit Time-Series version 4.03 (CRU TS4.03) and Global Historical Climatology Network (GHCN) v3 data. Using neighboring daily series the record has been homogenized with quantile matching (QM) adjustments. Based on the homogenized dataset, the warming trend in annual mean temperature in Tianjin averaged from the newly constructed daily maximum and minimum temperature is evaluated as 0.154 ± 0.013 ∘C per decade during the last 130 years. Trends of temperature extremes in Tianjin are all significant at the 5 % level and have much more coincident change than those from the raw data, with amplitudes of −1.454, 1.196, −0.140 and 0.975 d per decade for cold nights (TN10p), warm nights (TN90p), cold days (TX10p) and warm days (TX90p) at the annual scale. The adjusted daily maximum, minimum and mean surface air temperature dataset for Tianjin city presented here is publicly available at https://doi.org/10.1594/PANGAEA.924561 (Si and Li, 2020).

scholarly journals An Investigation into the Impact of using Various Techniques to Estimate Arctic Surface Air Temperature Anomalies*

2015 ◽  
Vol 28 (5) ◽  
pp. 1743-1763 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emma M. A. Dodd ◽  
Christopher J. Merchant ◽  
Nick A. Rayner ◽  
Colin P. Morice
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Sea Ice ◽  
Air Temperature ◽  
Surface Air Temperature ◽  
Meteorological Station ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Test Bed ◽  
Recent Climate ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Mean Square Errors

Abstract Time series of global and regional mean surface air temperature (SAT) anomalies are a common metric used to estimate recent climate change. Various techniques can be used to create these time series from meteorological station data. The degree of difference arising from using five different techniques, based on existing temperature anomaly dataset techniques, to estimate Arctic SAT anomalies over land and sea ice was investigated using reanalysis data as a test bed. Techniques that interpolated anomalies were found to result in smaller errors than noninterpolating techniques relative to the reanalysis reference. Kriging techniques provided the smallest errors in estimates of Arctic anomalies, and simple kriging was often the best kriging method in this study, especially over sea ice. A linear interpolation technique had, on average, root-mean-square errors (RMSEs) up to 0.55 K larger than the two kriging techniques tested. Noninterpolating techniques provided the least representative anomaly estimates. Nonetheless, they serve as useful checks for confirming whether estimates from interpolating techniques are reasonable. The interaction of meteorological station coverage with estimation techniques between 1850 and 2011 was simulated using an ensemble dataset comprising repeated individual years (1979–2011). All techniques were found to have larger RMSEs for earlier station coverages. This supports calls for increased data sharing and data rescue, especially in sparsely observed regions such as the Arctic.

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