Passion vs. Preference: Motivation Factors Affecting Forecast Accuracy and Confidence

1991 ◽  
Author(s):  
Timothy Buckley ◽  
Janet A. Sniezek
2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (3) ◽  
pp. 400-414
Author(s):  
Calvin KC Lee ◽  
Bo-Wah Leung

In this study, we investigated the factors affecting the motivation of studio-based instrumental learners in Hong Kong. We interviewed a total of 13 participants who learnt the violin and/or the piano. We analyzed the interview data by selective coding accordingly to the three basic needs in the conceptual framework of Basic Psychology Needs Theory, which is one of the mini-theories from Self-Determination Theory. The thematization of basic needs are (1) autonomy, (2) relatedness, and (3) competency. We found relatedness and competence were more related to our participants. This study contributes to the understanding of studio-based, learning-environment characteristics as well as specific motivation factors attributed to the distinctions between the violin and the piano learning environments in Hong Kong. We also discussed the issues of music learning in school and teacher's style of teaching practice.


Water ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (9) ◽  
pp. 2631
Author(s):  
Xinchi Chen ◽  
Xiaohong Chen ◽  
Dong Huang ◽  
Huamei Liu

Precipitation is one of the most important factors affecting the accuracy and uncertainty of hydrological forecasting. Considerable progress has been made in numerical weather prediction after decades of development, but the forecast products still cannot be used directly for hydrological forecasting. This study used ensemble pro-processor (EPP) to post-process the Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) and Climate Forecast System version 2 (CFSv2) with four designed schemes, and then integrated them to investigate the forecast accuracy in longer time scales based on the best scheme. Many indices such as correlation coefficient, Nash efficiency coefficient, rank histogram, and continuous ranked probability skill score were used to evaluate the results in different aspects. The results show that EPP can improve the accuracy of raw forecast significantly, and the scheme considering cumulative forecast precipitation is better than that only considers single-day forecast. Moreover, the scheme that considers some observed precipitation would help to improve the accuracy and reduce the uncertainty. In terms of medium- and long-term forecasts, the integrated forecast based on GEFS and CFSv2 after post-processed would be better than CFSv2 significantly. The results of this study would be a very important demonstration to remove the deviation of ensemble forecast and improve the accuracy of hydrological forecasting in different time scales.


2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (02) ◽  
pp. 2050015 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anna Feldmann ◽  
Frank Teuteberg

Increasing digitalization and new technological possibilities also entail substantial changes for working methods in the B2B (business-to-business) environment in banking. In this context, the concept of co-creation is critical. Although this concept and the motivation factors behind it have been thoroughly investigated in the B2C (business-to-consumer) sector, only a few research results exist for the B2B context. This study aims to bridge the current knowledge gap and investigate individuals’ motivation to participate in B2B co-creation. By using a case study and qualitative interviews, this study focuses on two aspects: (a) It reveals how a co-creation measure is used in practice in the B2B environment; and (b) it provides information on the motivation factors and outcome from the point of view of the participants in the B2B co-creation project. The paper concludes with an integrative model of the main motivation factors behind B2B co-creation and their effects.


2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 88-101
Author(s):  
Deddy Rusyandi

AbstractEmployees who have a high level of engagement can be a solution to performance problems, because they feel tied to the organization and work enthusiastically. The study aims to determine the condition of engagement and analyse the factors that can affect the level of engagement of employees of bank front lines in the city of Bandung. The method used in this research is descriptive method by applying exploratory factor analysis to 42 factors that influence employee engagement. The results of the study found that the 42 factors were quite influential in increasing the engagement of Bank front liner employees in the city of Bandung. And 5 new factors are formed which consist of: Individual Factors Facility Factors; Motivation Factors; and Career Factors.


2018 ◽  
pp. 26-48 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. T. Gurvich ◽  
I. V. Prilepskiy

The article studies the factors affecting formation of oil price forecasts by leading expert and official organizations (International Energy Agency, US Energy Information Administration, World Bank, OPEC, RF Ministry of Economic Development). It is demonstrated that all these forecasts take into account both oil market fundamentals and the current conjuncture, but the significance of these factors differs by agency. Non-linear dependence between forecast accuracy and horizon length is identified. The error is greatest for the projections 6 to 8 years ahead, which may be explained by the mismatch between the linear nature of the forecasts and the actual cyclical oil price dynamics during the last 50 years. Accuracy of short- to medium-term projections by the Ministry of Economic Development is shown to hold a median position among forecasting agencies, with the leading position held by the US Energy Information Administration.


Author(s):  
Aleksandra Mitrofanova ◽  
G. Manvelyan

The article examines the use of various motivation factors in order to retain personnel in the organization. The relevance of the research topic is due to the fact that the complexity of today's business environment is constantly changing the settings in which organizations compete for survival, with the result that special attention is paid to the acquisition and retention of quality employees, as this is seen as a key factor underlying organizational success. While many other resources are required to run a business, people are the most valuable resource that determines the success of every organization. The article considers rewards and compensation, career management, work-life balance, staff engagement, and job satisfaction as the main factors affecting staff retention. The practical significance of the study lies in the fact that its results will help organizations use both modern and traditional methods of human resource management in order to retain employees.


2006 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 423-436 ◽  
Author(s):  
Prem Bhandari ◽  
Richard C. Stedman ◽  
A. E. Luloff ◽  
James C. Finley ◽  
Duane R. Diefenbach

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (21) ◽  
pp. 5975 ◽  
Author(s):  
Konul Aghayeva ◽  
Beata Ślusarczyk

This research is aimed to identify and comparatively assess the motivation factors influencing labor productivity from the construction employees’ perception. Based on results of a filled-in and returned questionnaire distributed among 350 workers and managers from 25 construction companies throughout the Republic of Azerbaijan, motivation and demotivation factors were identified. The statistical analysis of motivation drivers showed that most important ones for all construction employees are remuneration (including its timely payment), job security, bonuses, and fringe benefits. Among top demotivators for all types of employees are unsafe work conditions, underpayment, and colleagues’ aggressive management style. Workers are also affected by bad treatment by managers and changing on workmates. While workers are more concerned with quality of site management and good relations with colleagues, managers are more motivated by responsible job and challenging tasks and demotivated by chaos and incompetent colleagues. Thus, according to the study, both economic and non-economic motivation and demotivation drivers occurred to be important for construction employees, and must be accounted by human resource (HR) officers. The results of the research would assist construction companies’ management in developing more precise and employee-oriented human resources strategies and policies.


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