scholarly journals Numerical simulations of tropical cyclone-ocean interaction with a high-resolution coupled model

1993 ◽  
Vol 98 (D12) ◽  
pp. 23245 ◽  
Author(s):  
Morris A. Bender ◽  
Isaac Ginis ◽  
Yoshio Kurihara
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Tropical Cyclone ◽  
Numerical Simulations ◽  
Coupled Model

Retrieval of tropical cyclone statistics with a high-resolution coupled model and data

2014 ◽  
Vol 41 (2) ◽  
pp. 652-660 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Zhang ◽  
M. Zhao ◽  
S.-J. Lin ◽  
X. Yang ◽  
W. Anderson
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Tropical Cyclone ◽  
Coupled Model

Forecasting a Large Number of Tropical Cyclone Intensities around Japan Using a High-Resolution Atmosphere–Ocean Coupled Model

2015 ◽  
Vol 30 (3) ◽  
pp. 793-808 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kosuke Ito ◽  
Tohru Kuroda ◽  
Kazuo Saito ◽  
Akiyoshi Wada
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Tropical Cyclone ◽  
Mesoscale Model ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Ocean Model ◽  
Japan Meteorological Agency ◽  
Track Forecast ◽  
Surface Cooling ◽  
Forecast Time ◽  
Better Than

Abstract This work quantifies the benefits of using a high-resolution atmosphere–ocean coupled model in tropical cyclone (TC) intensity forecasts in the vicinity of Japan. To do so, a large number of high-resolution calculations were performed by running the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) nonhydrostatic atmospheric mesoscale model (AMSM) and atmosphere–ocean coupled mesoscale model (CMSM). A total of 281 3-day forecasts were compiled for 34 TCs from April 2009 to September 2012 for each model. The performance of these models is compared with the JMA global atmospheric spectral model (GSM) that is used for the operational TC intensity guidance. The TC intensities are better predicted by CMSM than the other models. The improvement rates in CMSM relative to GSM and AMSM generally increase with increasing forecast time (FT). CMSM is better than GSM and AMSM by 27.4% and 21.3% at FT = 48 h in terms of minimum sea level pressure, respectively. Regarding the maximum wind speed, CMSM is better than GSM and AMSM by 12.8% and 19.5% at FT = 48 h, respectively. This is due to smaller initial intensity errors and sea surface cooling consistent with in situ observations that suppress erroneous TC intensification. Thus, a high-resolution coupled model is promising for TC intensity prediction in the area surrounding Japan, where most of the TCs are in a decay stage. In contrast, coupling to the upper-ocean model yields only a negligible difference in the TC track forecast skill on average.

A New Time-dependent Theory of Tropical Cyclone Intensification

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuqing Wang ◽  
Yuanlong Li ◽  
Jing Xu
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Layer ◽  
Tropical Cyclone ◽  
Numerical Simulations ◽  
Strong Dependence ◽  
Surface Wind ◽  
Time Dependent ◽  
Quasi Equilibrium ◽  
Free Atmosphere ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Tangential Wind

AbstractIn this study, the boundary-layer tangential wind budget equation following the radius of maximum wind, together with an assumed thermodynamical quasi-equilibrium boundary layer is used to derive a new equation for tropical cyclone (TC) intensification rate (IR). A TC is assumed to be axisymmetric in thermal wind balance with eyewall convection becoming in moist slantwise neutrality in the free atmosphere above the boundary layer as the storm intensifies as found recently based on idealized numerical simulations. An ad-hoc parameter is introduced to measure the degree of congruence of the absolute angular momentum and the entropy surfaces. The new IR equation is evaluated using results from idealized ensemble full-physics axisymmetric numerical simulations. Results show that the new IR equation can reproduce the time evolution of the simulated TC intensity. The new IR equation indicates a strong dependence of IR on both TC intensity and the corresponding maximum potential intensity (MPI). A new finding is the dependence of TC IR on the square of the MPI in terms of the near-surface wind speed for any given relative intensity. Results from some numerical integrations of the new IR equation also suggest the finite-amplitude nature of TC genesis. In addition, the new IR theory is also supported by some preliminary results based on best-track TC data over the North Atlantic and eastern and western North Pacific. Compared with the available time-dependent theories of TC intensification, the new IR equation can provide a realistic intensity-dependent IR during weak intensity stage as in observations.

scholarly journals Rip current evidence by hydrodynamic simulations, bathymetric surveys and UAV observation

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guido Benassai ◽  
Pietro Aucelli ◽  
Giorgio Budillon ◽  
Massimo De Stefano ◽  
Diana Di Luccio ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Grain Size ◽  
High Resolution ◽  
Numerical Simulations ◽  
Current System ◽  
Current Evidence ◽  
Rip Current ◽  
Rip Currents ◽  
Transport Pathways ◽  
Fine Sediments ◽  
Scientific Challenge

Abstract. The prediction of the formation, spacing and location of rip currents is a scientific challenge that can be achieved by means of different complementary methods. In this paper the analysis of numerical and experimental data, including UAV observation, allowed to detect the presence of rip currents and rip channels at the mouth of Sele river, in the Gulf of Salerno, southern Italy. The dataset used to analyze these phenomena consisted of two different bathymetric surveys, a detailed sediment 5 analysis and a set of high-resolution wave numerical simulations, completed with satellite and UAV observation. The grain size trend analysis and the numerical simulations allowed to identify the rip current system, forced by topographically constrained channels incised on the seabed, which were detected by high resolution bathymetric surveys. The study evidenced that on the coastal area of the Sele mouth grain-size trends are controlled by the contribution of fine sediments, which exhibit suspended transport pathways due to rip currents and longshore currents. The results obtained were confirmed by satellite and UAV 10 observations in different years.

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