scholarly journals Are the Observed Changes in Heat Extremes Associated With a Half‐Degree Warming Increment Analogues for Future Projections?

2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (8) ◽  
pp. 978-992 ◽  
Author(s):  
Siyao Zhao ◽  
Tianjun Zhou
Keyword(s):  
Future Projections ◽  
Half Degree ◽  
Heat Extremes

Transient high-resolution regional climate simulation for Greece over the period 1960-2100: evaluation and future projections

2015 ◽  
Vol 64 (2) ◽  
pp. 123-140 ◽  
Author(s):  
P Zanis ◽  
E Katragkou ◽  
C Ntogras ◽  
G Marougianni ◽  
A Tsikerdekis ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Climate Simulation ◽  
Regional Climate Simulation ◽  
Future Projections

scholarly journals Future projections for terrestrial biomes indicate widespread warming and moisture reduction in forests up to 2100 in South America

2021 ◽  
pp. e01441
Author(s):  
Luciano J.S. Anjos ◽  
Everaldo Barreiros de Souza ◽  
Calil Torres Amaral ◽  
Tassio Koiti Igawa ◽  
Peter Mann de Toledo
Keyword(s):  
South America ◽  
Future Projections ◽  
Terrestrial Biomes

Future projections in tropical cyclone activity over multiple CORDEX domains from RegCM4 CORDEX-CORE simulations

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
José Abraham Torres-Alavez ◽  
Russell Glazer ◽  
Filippo Giorgi ◽  
Erika Coppola ◽  
Xuejie Gao ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Tropical Cyclone ◽  
Tropical Cyclone Activity ◽  
Cyclone Activity ◽  
Future Projections

scholarly journals Climate Change Projection in the Twenty-First Century Simulated by NIMS-KMA CMIP6 Model Based on New GHGs Concentration Pathways

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hyun Min Sung ◽  
Jisun Kim ◽  
Sungbo Shim ◽  
Jeong-byn Seo ◽  
Sang-Hoon Kwon ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Climate Changes ◽  
Scientific Information ◽  
Earth System Model ◽  
First Century ◽  
System Model ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Earth System ◽  
Future Projections ◽  
Twenty First Century

AbstractThe National Institute of Meteorological Sciences-Korea Meteorological Administration (NIMS-KMA) has participated in the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project (CMIP) and provided long-term simulations using the coupled climate model. The NIMS-KMA produces new future projections using the ensemble mean of KMA Advanced Community Earth system model (K-ACE) and UK Earth System Model version1 (UKESM1) simulations to provide scientific information of future climate changes. In this study, we analyze four experiments those conducted following the new shared socioeconomic pathway (SSP) based scenarios to examine projected climate change in the twenty-first century. Present day (PD) simulations show high performance skill in both climate mean and variability, which provide a reliability of the climate models and reduces the uncertainty in response to future forcing. In future projections, global temperature increases from 1.92 °C to 5.20 °C relative to the PD level (1995–2014). Global mean precipitation increases from 5.1% to 10.1% and sea ice extent decreases from 19% to 62% in the Arctic and from 18% to 54% in the Antarctic. In addition, climate changes are accelerating toward the late twenty-first century. Our CMIP6 simulations are released to the public through the Earth System Grid Federation (ESGF) international data sharing portal and are used to support the establishment of the national adaptation plan for climate change in South Korea.

On the uncertainty of future projections of Marine Heatwave events in the North Atlantic Ocean

2021 ◽  
Vol 56 (7-8) ◽  
pp. 2027-2056
Author(s):  
Sandra M. Plecha ◽  
Pedro M. M. Soares ◽  
Susana M. Silva-Fernandes ◽  
William Cabos
Keyword(s):  
Atlantic Ocean ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
North Atlantic Ocean ◽  
Future Projections ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic

scholarly journals Mass Balance Sensitivity and Future Projections of Rabots Glaciär, Sweden

Climate ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (8) ◽  
pp. 126
Author(s):  
Moon Taveirne ◽  
Laura Ekemar ◽  
Berta González Sánchez ◽  
Josefine Axelsson ◽  
Qiong Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Mass Balance ◽  
Climate Scenario ◽  
Summer Temperature ◽  
Glacier Mass Balance ◽  
Northern Sweden ◽  
Dramatic Decrease ◽  
Future Projections ◽  
Modelling Studies ◽  
The Relationship

Glacier mass balance is heavily influenced by climate, with responses of individual glaciers to various climate parameters varying greatly. In northern Sweden, Rabots Glaciär’s mass balance has decreased since it started being monitored in 1982. To relate Rabots Glaciär’s mass balance to changes in climate, the sensitivity to a range of parameters is computed. Through linear regression of mass balance with temperature, precipitation, humidity, wind speed and incoming radiation the climate sensitivity is established and projections for future summer mass balance are made. Summer mass balance is primarily sensitive to temperature at −0.31 m w.e. per °C change, while winter mass balance is mainly sensitive to precipitation at 0.94 m w.e. per % change. An estimate using summer temperature sensitivity projects a dramatic decrease in summer mass balance to −3.89 m w.e. for the 2091–2100 period under climate scenario RCP8.5. With large increases in temperature anticipated for the next century, more complex modelling studies of the relationship between climate and glacier mass balance is key to understanding the future development of Rabots Glaciär.

Narrative Continuity/Rupture: Projected Professional Futures amid Pervasive Employment Precarity

2021 ◽  
pp. 073088842110282
Author(s):  
Elena Ayala-Hurtado
Keyword(s):  
Working Conditions ◽  
Lived Experiences ◽  
Institutional Support ◽  
University Graduates ◽  
Cultural Narratives ◽  
Future Projections ◽  
Cultural Narrative ◽  
The Past ◽  
Stable Employment ◽  
Past Conditions

As working conditions change worldwide, employment precarity is increasing, including for groups for whom such conditions are unexpected. This study investigates how members of one such group—educationally advantaged young adults—describe their professional futures in a context of unprecedented employment precarity where their expected trajectories are no longer easily achievable. Using 75 interviews with young university graduates in Madrid, Spain, I find that most young graduates drew on a long-standing cultural narrative, which I call the “achievement narrative,” to imagine future stable employment. Simultaneously, most denounced this narrative as fraudulent. To explain this finding, I draw on the concept of hysteresis: the mismatch between beliefs that are dependent on the past conditions that produced them and the available opportunities in the present. I argue that hysteresis can extend into future projections; projected futures can be guided by beliefs based on past conditions more than by lived experiences in the present. Further, I argue that the achievement narrative itself reinforces hysteresis in future projections due to its resonance and institutional support. The paper offers new insights into projected futures and employment precarity by analyzing the future projections of a privileged cohort facing unexpected precarity, further develops the concept of hysteresis, and extends the study of cultural narratives.

scholarly journals Future projections and uncertainty assessment of precipitation extremes in the Korean peninsula from the CMIP6 ensemble

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jeong-Soo Park ◽  
Yonggwan Shin ◽  
Yire Shin ◽  
Juyoung Hong ◽  
Maeong-Ki Kim ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Korean Peninsula ◽  
Uncertainty Assessment ◽  
Precipitation Extremes ◽  
Future Projections
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