scholarly journals Mechanisms of decadal variability in the shallow subtropical-tropical circulation of the Atlantic Ocean: A model study

2006 ◽  
Vol 111 (C7) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sabine Hüttl ◽  
Claus W. Böning
Keyword(s):  
Atlantic Ocean ◽  
Decadal Variability ◽  
Tropical Circulation ◽  
Model Study

scholarly journals Acceleration of ocean warming, salinification, deoxygenation and acidification in the surface subtropical North Atlantic Ocean

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nicholas Robert Bates ◽  
Rodney J. Johnson
Keyword(s):  
Atlantic Ocean ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Decadal Variability ◽  
North Atlantic Ocean ◽  
Surface Warming ◽  
Time Series Study ◽  
Physical Conditions ◽  
The Past ◽  
Recent Warming ◽  
Series Study

Abstract Ocean chemical and physical conditions are changing. Here we show decadal variability and recent acceleration of surface warming, salinification, deoxygenation, carbon dioxide (CO2) and acidification in the subtropical North Atlantic Ocean (Bermuda Atlantic Time-series Study site; 1980s to present). Surface temperatures and salinity exhibited interdecadal variability, increased by ~0.85 °C (with recent warming of 1.2 °C) and 0.12, respectively, while dissolved oxygen levels decreased by ~8% (~2% per decade). Concurrently, seawater DIC, fCO2 (fugacity of CO2) and anthropogenic CO2 increased by ~8%, 22%, and 72% respectively. The winter versus summer fCO2 difference increased by 4 to 8 µatm decade−1 due to seasonally divergent thermal and alkalinity changes. Ocean pH declined by 0.07 (~17% increase in acidity) and other acidification indicators by ~10%. Over the past nearly forty years, the highest increase in ocean CO2 and ocean acidification occurred during decades of weakest atmospheric CO2 growth and vice versa.

scholarly journals Predictability and Decadal Variability of the North Atlantic Ocean State Evaluated from a Realistic Ocean Model

2017 ◽  
Vol 30 (2) ◽  
pp. 477-498 ◽  
Author(s):  
Florian Sévellec ◽  
Alexey V. Fedorov
Keyword(s):  
Atlantic Ocean ◽  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Sea Surface Temperature ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Decadal Variability ◽  
North Atlantic Ocean ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Sea Surface ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic

This study investigates the excitation of decadal variability and predictability of the ocean climate state in the North Atlantic. Specifically, initial linear optimal perturbations (LOPs) in temperature and salinity that vary with depth, longitude, and latitude are computed, and the maximum impact on the ocean of these perturbations is evaluated in a realistic ocean general circulation model. The computations of the LOPs involve a maximization procedure based on Lagrange multipliers in a nonautonomous context. To assess the impact of these perturbations four different measures of the North Atlantic Ocean state are used: meridional volume and heat transports (MVT and MHT) and spatially averaged sea surface temperature (SST) and ocean heat content (OHC). It is shown that these metrics are dramatically different with regard to predictability. Whereas OHC and SST can be efficiently modified only by basin-scale anomalies, MVT and MHT are also strongly affected by smaller-scale perturbations. This suggests that instantaneous or even annual-mean values of MVT and MHT are less predictable than SST and OHC. Only when averaged over several decades do the former two metrics have predictability comparable to the latter two, which highlights the need for long-term observations of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in order to accumulate climatically relevant data. This study also suggests that initial errors in ocean temperature of a few millikelvins, encompassing both the upper and deep ocean, can lead to ~0.1-K errors in the predictions of North Atlantic sea surface temperature on interannual time scales. This transient error growth peaks for SST and OHC after about 6 and 10 years, respectively, implying a potential predictability barrier.

scholarly journals Analyzing the Influence of the North Atlantic Ocean Variability on the Atlantic Meridional Mode on Decadal Time Scales

Atmosphere ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 3
Author(s):  
Sandro F. Veiga ◽  
Emanuel Giarolla ◽  
Paulo Nobre ◽  
Carlos A. Nobre
Keyword(s):  
Atlantic Ocean ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Decadal Variability ◽  
North Atlantic Ocean ◽  
Heat Content ◽  
Ocean Heat Content ◽  
Causality Analysis ◽  
Ocean Variability ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic

Important features of the Atlantic meridional mode (AMM) are not fully understood. We still do not know what determines its dominant decadal variability or the complex physical processes that sustain it. Using reanalysis datasets, we investigated the influence of the North Atlantic Ocean variability on the dominant decadal periodicity that characterizes the AMM. Statistical analyses demonstrated that the correlation between the sea surface temperature decadal variability in the Atlantic Ocean and the AMM time series characterizes the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO). This corroborates previous studies that demonstrated that the AMO precedes the AMM. A causal inference with a newly developed rigorous and quantitative causality analysis indicates that the AMO causes the AMM. To further understand the influence of the subsurface ocean on the AMM, the relationship between the ocean heat content (0–300 m) decadal variability and AMM was analyzed. The results show that although there is a significant zero-lag correlation between the ocean heat content in some regions of the North Atlantic (south of Greenland and in the eastern part of the North Atlantic) and the AMM, their cause-effect relationship on decadal time scales is unlikely. By correlating the AMO with the ocean heat content (0–300 m) decadal variability, the former precedes the latter; however, the causality analysis shows that the ocean heat content variability drives the AMO, corroborating several studies that point out the dominant role of the ocean heat transport convergence on AMO.

scholarly journals Multiple timescales of stochastically forced North Atlantic Ocean variability: A model study

2015 ◽  
Vol 65 (9-10) ◽  
pp. 1367-1381 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jennifer V. Mecking ◽  
Noel S. Keenlyside ◽  
Richard J. Greatbatch
Keyword(s):  
Atlantic Ocean ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
North Atlantic Ocean ◽  
Multiple Timescales ◽  
Ocean Variability ◽  
Model Study

Bjerknes Compensation and the Decadal Variability of the Energy Transports in a Coupled Climate Model

2006 ◽  
Vol 19 (7) ◽  
pp. 1167-1181 ◽  
Author(s):  
Len Shaffrey ◽  
Rowan Sutton
Keyword(s):  
Atlantic Ocean ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Energy Transport ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Decadal Variability ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Surface Fluxes ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Ocean Energy ◽  
Pole Surface

Abstract In the 1960s, Jacob Bjerknes suggested that if the top-of-the-atmosphere (TOA) fluxes and the oceanic heat storage did not vary too much, then the total energy transport by the climate system would not vary too much either. This implies that any large anomalies of oceanic and atmospheric energy transport should be equal and opposite. This simple scenario has become known as Bjerknes compensation. A long control run of the Third Hadley Centre Coupled Ocean–Atmosphere General Circulation Model (HadCM3) has been investigated. It was found that northern extratropical decadal anomalies of atmospheric and oceanic energy transports are significantly anticorrelated and have similar magnitudes, which is consistent with the predictions of Bjerknes compensation. The degree of compensation in the northern extratropics was found to increase with increasing time scale. Bjerknes compensation did not occur in the Tropics, primarily as large changes in the surface fluxes were associated with large changes in the TOA fluxes. In the ocean, the decadal variability of the energy transport is associated with fluctuations in the meridional overturning circulation in the Atlantic Ocean. A stronger Atlantic Ocean energy transport leads to strong warming of surface temperatures in the Greenland–Iceland–Norwegian (GIN) Seas, which results in a reduced equator-to-pole surface temperature gradient and reduced atmospheric baroclinicity. It is argued that a stronger Atlantic Ocean energy transport leads to a weakened atmospheric transient energy transport.

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