scholarly journals A Bayesian Joint Probability Approach for flood record augmentation

2001 ◽  
Vol 37 (6) ◽  
pp. 1707-1712 ◽  
Author(s):  
Q. J. Wang
Keyword(s):  
Joint Probability ◽  
Probability Approach

scholarly journals RAPID PROBABILISTIC HURRICANE SURGE AND DAMAGE FORECASTING USING SURGE RESPONSE FUNCTIONS

2011 ◽  
Vol 1 (32) ◽  
pp. 20
Author(s):  
Jennifer Linnea Irish ◽  
Celso Ferreira ◽  
Francisco Olivera ◽  
Ikpoto Udoh ◽  
Youn Kyung Song ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Scaling Laws ◽  
Probabilistic Approach ◽  
Joint Probability ◽  
Response Functions ◽  
Hurricane Ike ◽  
Probability Approach

In this paper, a joint probability approach is used with scaling laws for hurricane surge to rapidly develop probabilistic based hurricane surge and damage forecasts. The method presented is demonstrated along the Texas, USA coastline for Hurricane Ike, which made landfall in September of 2008. The probabilistic approach presented here is both accurate and fast, with a single surge and percent damage forecast taking less than one minute while representing more than 170,000 distinct hurricane possibilities.

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