Methodology for Early-Stage Technology Assessment and Decision Making under Uncertainty:  Application to the Selection of Chemical Processes

2004 ◽  
Vol 43 (15) ◽  
pp. 4337-4349 ◽  
Author(s):  
Volker H. Hoffmann ◽  
Gregory J. McRae ◽  
Konrad Hungerbühler
2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 7251-7255

In current market conditions, the key to productive economic activity is the ability to provide a high-quality forecast, even in situations of insufficient information. Strategic forecasting refers to this type of activity, errors in which the actions of any company can have a detrimental effect on the fundamental level. The justification and selection of specific management decisions can often be carried out in conditions of uncertainty due to the inability to clearly predict the values of the final results of these decisions. The decision-making system within the framework of the strategic forecasting task should help maintain the effectiveness of actions by simplifying the picture of the real world by modelling it. While allowing to reduce the influence of the subjectivity of the personality of the decision-maker on the decision-making process itself


BMC Cancer ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Mokhles ◽  
J. J. M. E. Nuyttens ◽  
M. de Mol ◽  
J. G. J. V. Aerts ◽  
A. P. W. M. Maat ◽  
...  

2003 ◽  
Vol 89 (S1) ◽  
pp. S87-S99 ◽  
Author(s):  
Silvia Valtueña ◽  
Kevin Cashman ◽  
Simon P. Robins ◽  
Aedin Cassidy ◽  
Alwine Kardinaal ◽  
...  

Research on the bone effects of natural phyto-oestrogens after menopause is at a relatively early stage. Published studies are few, difficult to compare and often inconclusive, due in part to design weaknesses. Currently, many questions remain to be answered including to what extent a safe daily intake may prevent postmenopausal bone loss. These questions can only be addressed by conducting well-planned, randomised clinical trials that take into consideration present knowledge in the oestrogen, phyto-oestrogen and bone fields. This review is intended to provide hints for critical decision-making about the selection of subjects, type of intervention, suitable outcome measures and variables that need to be controlled.


Energy ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 137 ◽  
pp. 908-916 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ayse Dilan Celebi ◽  
Adriano Viana Ensinas ◽  
Shivom Sharma ◽  
François Maréchal

2011 ◽  
pp. 206-222 ◽  
Author(s):  
Edward W.N. Bernroider ◽  
Stefan Koch

In this chapter we focus on the early stage of evaluating and selecting an ERP system prior to implementation. Only a part of decision making for ERP systems can be handled by a definite or accepted procedure such as standard investment calculations. There are many other intangible decision-making criteria needing to be judged and evaluated by the decision makers. There is no agreed-upon and formal procedure for this important task (Hecht 1997; Laudon & Laudon, 1998). Therefore it seems necessary to investigate decision-making practices to increase the understanding of this complex and important task. We also focus on the decision-making situation faced by small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). This is of particular importance because SMEs are more and more experiencing the need for integration, especially for interorganizational integration, and expecting ERP software to fulfill these needs. The availability of relatively inexpensive hardware is fostering this situation (Gable & Stewart, 1999). In general, decision making in SMEs features much greater constraints on the ability to gather information in order to reduce uncertainty about their investment (Cobham, 2000). Considering ERP software decisions with its complex and far-reaching implications, poor decision making by SMEs can result in disastrous situations.


Author(s):  
Yongling Lin ◽  
Ruolei Gu ◽  
Shenghua Luan ◽  
Li Hu ◽  
Shaozheng Qin ◽  
...  

Abstract Social misalignment occurs when a person’s attitudes and opinions deviate from those of others. We investigated how individuals react to social misalignment in risky (outcome probabilities are known) or ambiguous (outcome probabilities are unknown) decision contexts. During each trial, participants played a forced-choice gamble, and they observed the decisions of four other players after they made a tentative decision, followed by an opportunity to keep or change their initial decision. Behavioral and event-related potential data were collected. Behaviorally, the stronger the participants’ initial preference, the less likely they were to switch their decisions, whereas the more their decisions were misaligned with the majority, the more likely they were to switch. Electrophysiological results showed a hierarchical processing pattern of social misalignment. Misalignment was first detected binarily (i.e. match/mismatch) at an early stage, as indexed by the N1 component. During the second stage, participants became sensitive to low levels of misalignment, which were indexed by the feedback-related negativity. The degree of social misalignment was processed in greater detail, as indexed by the P3 component. Moreover, such hierarchical neural sensitivity is generalizable across different decision contexts (i.e. risky and ambiguous). These findings demonstrate a fine-grained neural sensitivity to social misalignment during decision-making under uncertainty.


2020 ◽  
Vol 108 (2) ◽  
pp. 350-357 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rick A. Vreman ◽  
Huseyin Naci ◽  
Wim G. Goettsch ◽  
Aukje K. Mantel‐Teeuwisse ◽  
Sebastian G. Schneeweiss ◽  
...  

2011 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 139-142
Author(s):  
S.PUSHPARANI S.PUSHPARANI ◽  
◽  
Dr.S.SENTHAMILKUMAR Dr.S.SENTHAMILKUMAR

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